7046 Manette Dr · Flordell Hills, MO 63136

$78,000

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 904 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 21 Days on market

Built 1940 5,000 sqft lot Est $71k · 11% over

---

Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Appreciation +6.9/10.0
• Rent growth +3.7/5.0
• Livability +3.6/5.0
• ARV discount +2.7/15.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +1.1/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Great 3 bedroom is just what you have been looking for. With a finished basement. Carpeting and tile in most rooms. Fenced in back yard.

Key facts

• 5,000 sq ft lot
• Built 1940
• Listed 21 days

Property features AI

Exterior

• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service provided by Ameren; Electricity, natural gas, sewer and water available
• Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Vinyl siding
• Construction: Vinyl siding construction; One story
• Exterior features: Back yard

Interior

• Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
• Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
• Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
• Interior features: One-level living; Basement present (no finished basement features listed)

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $78k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $446 ($5k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $78k).
• Recommended offer: $77k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 72/100 on livability (#86 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, crime B; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, employment F.
• Jennings (suburban): math 8% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #315 of 324 in MO (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 86% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Fairview Primary (math 34% / reading 34%, grade F, #676 of 1,115 statewide, top 66%, 267 students, 100% FRL); Jennings High (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #497 of 521 statewide, top 96%, 691 students, 100% FRL).
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 372 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($41k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $3k of equity ($539 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.8% local appreciation)).
• At projected returns (3.8% appreciation + 5.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($77k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 6 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $32k; list at $78k implies a 144% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $76,830 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.53% ✓
• Cap rate: 13.15%
• Cash-on-cash: 24.49%
• DSCR: 2.09
• GRM: 5.5

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $70,512
• Comps found: 12

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
7117 W Florissant Ave	0.17mi	2/1.0 (-1)	992 (+10%)	1mo	$77,000	$78	70
5811 Helen Ave	0.27mi	3/1.0	806 (-11%)	0mo	$29,900	$37	69
2425 Shirley Ave	0.53mi	2/1.0 (-1)	896 (-1%)	2mo	$34,900	$39	67
7471 Sharon Dr	0.66mi	3/1.0	945 (+4%)	0mo	$98,000	$104	61
8808 Clifton Ave	0.68mi	2/1.0 (-1)	912 (+1%)	2mo	$29,900	$33	60
5537 Sunbury Ave	0.74mi	3/1.0	936 (+4%)	0mo	$39,900	$43	59
5614 Albia Ter	0.46mi	3/2.0	988 (+9%)	0mo	$125,000	$127	59
5712 Floy Ave	0.66mi	2/1.0 (-1)	966 (+7%)	1mo	$62,000	$64	52
2026 Mclaran Ave	0.50mi	2/1.0 (-1)	1,026 (+14%)	1mo	$89,500	$87	48
8816 Cozens Ave	0.72mi	2/1.0 (-1)	832 (-8%)	0mo	$55,000	$66	48
7431 Esterbrook Dr	0.70mi	3/1.0	792 (-12%)	2mo	$110,000	$139	45
7439 Embury Ct	0.59mi	2/1.0 (-1)	792 (-12%)	2mo	$69,000	$87	45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.79% appreciation · 4.97% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 33.5%
• Equity multiple: 2.99×
• Total profit: $43,497
• Equity at exit: $38,593

10-year hold

• IRR: 33.9%
• Equity multiple: 6.26×
• Total profit: $114,915
• Equity at exit: $62,374

Cash invested: $21,840 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Missouri: 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 63136

• Home prices YoY: 0.9%
• Rents YoY: 5.0%
• Active inventory: 372
• Price-to-rent: 5.5×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,192 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$409
• Tax from tax record: −$55 /mo · $656/yr
• Insurance: −$32
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$250
• Net cashflow: $446

Break-even live

Break-even rent $628

Max offer price $78,000

Occupancy floor 58%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $19,500
• Closing costs: $2,340
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 40 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
7142 Lamont Dr Saint Louis, MO	2.0	1.0	750	$1,100	$1.47	17d	1	0.13mi
5637 Jennings Station Rd Saint Louis, MO	3.0	1.0	1116	$895	$0.80	43d	1	0.19mi
5615 Beldon Dr Saint Louis, MO	2.0	1.0	850	$950	$1.12	43d	1	0.23mi
7205 Calvin Ave Saint Louis, MO	3.0	1.0	832	$750	$0.90	43d	1	0.25mi
8344 Eton Pl Saint Louis, MO	2.0	1.0	750	$895	$1.19	4d	1	0.28mi
8347 Eton Pl Saint Louis, MO	2.0	1.0	750	$1,075	$1.43	43d	1	0.30mi
5635 Hodiamont Ave Saint Louis, MO	2.0	1.0	580	$899	$1.55	20d	1	0.33mi
5516 Fairridge Ct Saint Louis, MO	2.0	1.0	1110	$995	$0.90	23d	1	0.36mi
8502 Dianthus Ln Saint Louis, MO	2.0	1.0	1072	$1,175	$1.10	23d	1	0.38mi
7218 Albright Ave Saint Louis, MO	2.0	1.0	1100	$980	$0.89	23d	1	0.38mi
5640 Sapphire Ave Saint Louis, MO	2.0	1.0	900	$1,100	$1.22	43d	1	0.40mi
8527 Dianthus Ln Saint Louis, MO	3.0	1.0	976	$1,295	$1.33	43d	1	0.41mi
7030 Emma Ave Saint Louis, MO	2.0	1.0	801	$1,350	$1.69	43d	1	0.42mi
7304 Albright Ave Saint Louis, MO	2.0	1.0	800	$1,100	$1.38	43d	1	0.43mi
7315 Albright Ave Saint Louis, MO	3.0	1.0	888	$1,150	$1.30	43d	1	0.44mi
2427 Switzer Ave Saint Louis, MO	3.0	1.0	1008	$1,300	$1.29	43d	1	0.49mi
2415 Shirley Ave Saint Louis, MO	3.0	1.0	990	$1,450	$1.46	23d	1	0.53mi
5654 Acme Ave Saint Louis, MO	2.0	1.0	968	$325	$0.34	21d	1	0.53mi
2527 Switzer Ave Saint Louis, MO	3.0	1.0	888	$1,135	$1.28	16d	1	0.54mi
1942 Damato Ct Saint Louis, MO	2.0	1.0	905	$1,100	$1.22	43d	1	0.55mi
2546 Main St Saint Louis, MO	4.0	1.0	984	$1,269	$1.29	43d	1	0.55mi
7024 Idlewild Ave Saint Louis, MO	2.0	1.0	588	$995	$1.69	43d	1	0.56mi
5439 Hodiamont Ave Saint Louis, MO	2.0	1.0	770	$950	$1.23	17d	1	0.57mi
7426 Calvin Ave Saint Louis, MO	2.0	1.0	1100	$1,125	$1.02	17d	1	0.58mi
8720 Akins Dr Saint Louis, MO	2.0	1.0	1012	$1,150	$1.14	23d	1	0.60mi
5741 Floy Ave Saint Louis, MO	2.0	1.0	1000	$1,100	$1.10	23d	1	0.61mi
7441 Calvin Ave Saint Louis, MO	3.0	1.0	1068	$1,350	$1.26	12d	1	0.61mi
7131 Garesche Ave Saint Louis, MO	2.0	1.0	918	$1,090	$1.19	4d	1	0.61mi
5721 Floy Ave Saint Louis, MO	2.0	1.0	1032	$1,120	$1.09	23d	1	0.62mi
5955 Floy Ave Saint Louis, MO	2.0	1.0	1032	$1,050	$1.02	3d	1	0.62mi
5756 Floy Ave Saint Louis, MO	2.0	1.0	1080	$995	$0.92	43d	1	0.63mi
7036 Garesche Ave Saint Louis, MO	2.0	1.0	864	$950	$1.10	17d	1	0.63mi
5613 Statler Ave Saint Louis, MO	2.0	1.0	864	$1,300	$1.50	4d	1	0.63mi
5932 Floy Ave Saint Louis, MO	3.0	1.0	1080	$1,373	$1.27	20d	1	0.64mi
5415 Hamilton Ave Unit Labs Jennings, MO	2.0	1.0	864	$1,100	$1.27	23d	1	0.66mi
5347 Janet Ave Saint Louis, MO	4.0	1.0	893	$1,350	$1.51	16d	1	0.66mi
7414 Pleaseway Dr Saint Louis, MO	2.0	1.0	768	$1,100	$1.43	43d	1	0.67mi
5546 Floy Ave Saint Louis, MO	2.0	2.0	850	$1,273	$1.50	20d	1	0.69mi
7420 Pleaseway Dr Saint Louis, MO	2.0	1.0	952	$1,250	$1.31	21d	1	0.69mi
2623 Avie Dr Saint Louis, MO	3.0	2.0	921	$1,350	$1.47	43d	1	0.69mi

Listing history 30 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $78,000 Active 21 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $78,000 Active 20 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $78,000 Active 19 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $78,000 Active 18 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $78,000 Active 16 DOM
6. 2026-06-09
   days on market $78,000 Active 12 DOM
7. 2026-06-08
   days on market $78,000 Active 11 DOM
8. 2026-06-07
   days on market $78,000 Active 10 DOM
9. 2026-06-03
   days on market $78,000 Active 6 DOM
10. 2026-06-02
    days on market $78,000 Active 5 DOM
11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $78,000 Active 4 DOM
12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $78,000 Active 3 DOM
13. 2026-05-28
    listed $78,000 Active
14. 2026-02-20
    status Active
15. 2026-01-24
    historical Active Under Contract
16. 2026-01-10
    listed $75,000 Active
17. 2026-01-09
    historical
18. 2025-10-30
    historical $1,200
19. 2025-10-21
    price $1,200
20. 2025-10-02
    listed $1,350
21. 2024-08-06
    historical $1,440
22. 2024-04-02
    price $1,440
23. 2024-04-02
    listed $1,625
24. 2024-03-11
    soldstatus Closed 137-char remark

    Show marketing remark (137 chars)

    Great 3 bedroom is just what you have been looking for. With a finished basement. Carpeting and tile in most rooms. Fenced in back yard.

25. 2024-02-07
    status Pending 137-char remark

    Show marketing remark (137 chars)

    Great 3 bedroom is just what you have been looking for. With a finished basement. Carpeting and tile in most rooms. Fenced in back yard.

26. 2024-01-30
    listed $69,900 Active 137-char remark

    Show marketing remark (137 chars)

    Great 3 bedroom is just what you have been looking for. With a finished basement. Carpeting and tile in most rooms. Fenced in back yard.

27. 2008-11-17
    soldstatus $32,000
28. 2007-04-09
    soldstatus $81,500
29. 2006-12-05
    soldstatus
30. 2006-12-05
    soldstatus $36,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $656 · $55/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $757 · $63/mo
• Expected delta: +$100/yr (+$8/mo · 15.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $14,308
• − Mortgage interest: −$4,369
• − Property taxes: −$656
• − Insurance: −$390
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,145
• − Management: −$1,145
• − Depreciation: −$2,269
• Taxable income: $4,334
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,040
• After-tax cash flow: $4,309/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Jennings
• NCES district ID: 2916290
• Math proficiency: 8% ▼ -16.00%
• Reading proficiency: 20% ▼ -4.00%
• Median HH income: $30,595
• Composite: 11.04/100
• National rank: #9739
• State rank: #315 of 324 in MO

Livability — Flordell Hills

• Score: 72/100
• State rank: #86
• US rank: #5723

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment F Housing B Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Flordell Hills, MO
• County: Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
• Metro: St. Louis, MO-IL
• Population (ZIP): 40,929
• Household income: $41,154
• Rent vs Own: 53.1% rent · 46.9% own
• Severe rent burden: 3085.0

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 1,025,227 people
• By 2030: 1,028,023 · +0.3%
• By 2040: 1,020,940 · -0.4%
• By 2050: 1,007,280 · -1.8%
• By 2075: 987,277 · -3.7%
• By 2100: 921,984 · -10.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly Black (90%)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 90% White 5% Two or more races 3%
• Foreign-born: 1% · Canada

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

• 2024 margin: Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
• 2008→2024 swing: +3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 3.79%
• Current HPI: 420.28
• Rent YoY: ▲ 4.97%
• Metro: St. Louis, MO-IL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.84%
• F500 in state: 20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Healthcare	1	$163B
▸Insurance	1	$21B
▸Industrial Technology	1	$17B
▸Retail	1	$16B
▸Industrial Distribution	1	$10B
▸Utilities	1	$9B

Price history

+113.7% since first listed

18 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-28 Listed $78,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-02-20 Relisted — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-01-24 Contingent — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-01-10 Listed $75,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-01-09 Coming Soon — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-10-30 Rental Removed $1,200 SHOWMOJO
• 2025-10-21 Price Changed $1,200 SHOWMOJO
• 2025-10-02 Listed for Rent $1,350 SHOWMOJO
• 2024-08-06 Rental Removed $1,440 MARIS
• 2024-04-02 Price Changed $1,440 MARIS
• 2024-04-02 Listed for Rent $1,625 MARIS
• 2024-03-11 Sold (MLS) — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2024-02-07 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2024-01-30 Listed $69,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2008-11-17 Sold (Public Records) $32,000 Public Records
• 2007-04-09 Sold (Public Records) $81,500 Public Records
• 2006-12-05 Sold (Public Records) $36,500 Public Records
• 2006-12-05 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records

Property tax history

+4.0%/yr

Latest (2022): $656 · +1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.