738 Teagle Rd · Jackson, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 50.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.7/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +4.1/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- 1% rule +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$220,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
MOVE-IN-READY!!! Unlimited possibilities to craft this project into your dream home, perfect for first time home buyer or investors looking to increase the value. Don't miss this opportunity!
Key facts
- 4.1 acre lot
- Built 2001
- Listed 165 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $220k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $17 ($198/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $168k (23.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $168k (23.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 3.7% in Jackson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 56/100 on livability (#482 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Monroe County (rural): math 43% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #22 of 174 in GA (top 13%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Mary Persons High School (math 21% / reading 57%, grade F, #59 of 424 statewide, top 14%, 1,287 students, 41% FRL).
- Market conditions: 321 active listings in the ZIP; 281 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 165 days — a 12% lower offer ($194k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $45k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $58k; list at $220k implies a 283% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 50% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 165 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.76% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.38%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.32%
- DSCR
- 1.01
- GRM
- 10.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.44×
- Total profit
- $-34,699
- Equity at exit
- $32,803
- IRR
- -7.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.52×
- Total profit
- $-29,278
- Equity at exit
- $19,022
Cash invested: $61,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30233
- Home prices YoY
- -3.9%
- Active inventory
- 321
- Price-to-rent
- 10.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,681 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,154
- Tax from tax record
- −$66 /mo · $790/yr
- Insurance
- −$92
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$353
- Net cashflow
- $17
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $55,000
- Closing costs
- $6,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-04-24status Under Contract
-
2026-03-26price $220,000
-
2025-11-10$265,000 New
-
2017-09-12soldstatus $57,500
-
2017-09-08soldstatus $57,500 191-char remark
Show marketing remark (191 chars)
MOVE-IN-READY!!! Unlimited possibilities to craft this project into your dream home, perfect for first time home buyer or investors looking to increase the value. Don't miss this opportunity!
-
2017-06-22soldstatus $47,500
-
2017-06-19$59,900 191-char remark
Show marketing remark (191 chars)
MOVE-IN-READY!!! Unlimited possibilities to craft this project into your dream home, perfect for first time home buyer or investors looking to increase the value. Don't miss this opportunity!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $790 · $66/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,024 · $169/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,234/yr (+$103/mo · 156.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 50% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,169
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,323
- − Property taxes
- −$790
- − Insurance
- −$1,100
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,614
- − Management
- −$1,614
- − Depreciation
- −$6,400
- Taxable loss
- −$3,672
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$881
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,080/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Monroe County
- NCES district ID
- 1303720
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,955
- Composite
- 38.94/100
- National rank
- #4084
- State rank
- #22 of 174 in GA
Livability — Jackson
- Score
- 56/100
- State rank
- #482
- US rank
- #22448
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Butts County · 24,730 people
- City population
- 24,730
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,730
- Household income
- $74,222
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 88.0
Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 28,503 people
- By 2030
- 28,940 · +1.5%
- By 2040
- 29,157 · +2.3%
- By 2050
- 28,646 · +0.5%
- By 2075
- 27,261 · -4.4%
- By 2100
- 23,757 · -16.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Black 19% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Serbian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Monroe
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+46.7) · D 26.5% · R 73.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.1pp toward R · 2008: -31.5pp · 2024: -46.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+46.7 2020: R+42.8 2016: R+41.4 2012: R+37.3 2008: R+31.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -12.98%
- Current HPI
- 316.5436
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
+267.3% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-24 Pending — GAMLS
- 2026-03-26 Price Changed $220,000 GAMLS
- 2025-11-10 Listed $265,000 GAMLS
- 2017-09-12 Sold (Public Records) $57,500 Public Records
- 2017-09-08 Sold (MLS) $57,500 GAMLS
- 2017-06-22 Sold (Public Records) $47,500 Public Records
- 2017-06-19 Listed $59,900 GAMLS
Property tax history
+5.7%/yrLatest (2025): $790 · +4.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…