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100 E Lyle St
D- Composite 38.19
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.6/30.0
  • Appreciation +5.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +3.6/15.0
  • DSCR +3.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0

$130,000

100 E Lyle St · Milford, IL 60953
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,494 sqft · SingleFamily · 331 Days on market
Built 1895 0.30 ac lot Est $120k · 9% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Charming, move-in ready ranch offering 1,494 sq ft of beautifully updated living space. This 2-bedroom, 1-bath home sits on a generous 99' x 132' lot and features a new roof, siding, windows, kitchen, bathroom, and flooring. The stylish, open layout includes a bright living room with fresh finishes, a crisp white kitchen with stainless steel appliances, and a warm bonus room with wood accents and a fireplace. A front porch adds curb appeal while the spacious backyard offers room to roam. Enjoy the ease of single-level living in a thoughtfully renovated home near the heart of Milford.

Key facts

  • New kitchen
  • New siding
  • New bathroom

Tags

NEW ROOFNEW SIDINGNEW WINDOWSNEW KITCHENNEW BATHROOMNEW FLOORING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property is not currently leased; Total finished/unfinshed area reported about 1,994 (main finished area listed separately)
  • HOA & community: No master association fee required

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (garage owned); Gravel parking; One garage parking space (one total parking space)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service with circuit breakers
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story layout; Fee simple ownership; Over 100 years old
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt roof; Block foundation; Built before 1978
  • Exterior features: Corner lot; Lot dimensions approximately 100 x 132; Lot size roughly 0.25–0.49 acre

Interior

  • Kitchen: Main-level kitchen (11 x 14)
  • Bedrooms: Two bedrooms (both on the main level); Master bedroom on the main level (12 x 17); Second bedroom on the main level (10 x 15)
  • Flooring: Wood laminate flooring throughout main living areas
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Six total rooms; Unfinished partial basement (about 500 finished/unfin. basement area noted separately)
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room (10 x 10)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-41 ($-498/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $123k (5.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $107k (17.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $107k (17.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#854 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, housing A-; Watch: employment D, schools D-, amenities F.
  • Milford Area PSD 124 (rural): math 30% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #278 of 620 in IL (top 45%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 10 active listings in the ZIP; 14 units permitted in Iroquois County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($899 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.9% local appreciation)).
  • Iroquois County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (1.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 331 days — a 12% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $30k; list at $130k implies a 329% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1895 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $107,278 (17.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 331 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1895 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.83%
Cap rate
5.91%
Cash-on-cash
-1.37%
DSCR
0.94
GRM
10.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$119,520
Comps found
4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
115 N Axtel Ave 0.15mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,603 (+7%) 12mo $285,000 $178 61
212 W Mckinley St 0.46mi 2/1.0 1,303 (-13%) 3mo $102,500 $79 55
223 N Walnut St 0.38mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,377 (-8%) 12mo $110,000 $80 52
206 N Grant St 0.26mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,360 (-9%) 18mo $30,000 $22 49

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.87% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
2.8%
Equity multiple
1.15×
Total profit
$5,420
Equity at exit
$50,359
10-year hold
IRR
6.7%
Equity multiple
1.91×
Total profit
$32,952
Equity at exit
$71,821

Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60953

Home prices YoY
1.2%
Active inventory
10
Price-to-rent
10.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,073 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$682
Tax from tax record
$153 /mo · $1,837/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$225
Net cashflow
$-41

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,125
Max offer price $122,673
Occupancy floor 99%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,500
Closing costs
$3,900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $130,000 Active 331 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $130,000 Active 330 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $130,000 Active 329 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $130,000 Active 328 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    price $130,000 Active 326 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $169,900 Active 326 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $169,900 Active 325 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $169,900 Active 322 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $169,900 Active 321 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $169,900 Active 320 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $169,900 Active 318 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $169,900 Active 316 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $169,900 Active 315 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $169,900 Active 314 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $169,900 Active 313 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $169,900 Active 312 DOM
  17. 2026-01-15
    price $169,900
  18. 2025-09-29
    price $179,900
  19. 2025-07-22
    listed $189,900 Active
  20. 2018-11-16
    soldstatus $30,302
  21. 2009-02-01
    soldstatus $40,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,837 · $153/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,394 · $199/mo
Expected delta
+$557/yr (+$46/mo · 30.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,873
− Mortgage interest
−$7,282
− Property taxes
−$1,837
− Insurance
−$650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,030
− Management
−$1,030
− Depreciation
−$3,782
Taxable loss
−$2,737
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$657
After-tax cash flow
$159/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Milford Area PSD 124
NCES district ID
1701416
Math proficiency
30% ▲ 2.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$44,333
Composite
24.03/100
National rank
#7767
State rank
#278 of 620 in IL

Livability — Milford

Score
62/100
State rank
#854
US rank
#16734

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment D Housing A- Health & safety F User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Milford, IL
City population
2,141
Population (ZIP)
2,141

Population outlook (Iroquois County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
26,826 people
By 2030
25,771 · -3.9%
By 2040
23,589 · -12.1%
By 2050
21,523 · -19.8%
By 2075
17,998 · -32.9%
By 2100
14,979 · -44.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (98%)
Race & ethnicity
White 98% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
2%

Political lean MEDSL · Iroquois

2024 margin
Solid R (+57.3) · D 20.6% · R 78.0% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-27.5pp toward R · 2008: -29.8pp · 2024: -57.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+57.3 2020: R+56.7 2016: R+56.0 2012: R+44.7 2008: R+29.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.87%
Current HPI
156.755
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+324.8% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-15 Price Changed $169,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-29 Price Changed $179,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-07-22 Listed $189,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-11-16 Sold (Public Records) $30,302 Public Records
  • 2009-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+9.9%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,837 · +11.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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