4006 Toledo Rd · Bartlesville, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.1/10.0
- 1% rule +6.0/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$165,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
3 bedroom 2 bathroom home on large lot in Wayside School District.
Key facts
- 0.52 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1950
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $358 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $165k).
- Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 4.7% in Bartlesville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#175 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools D+, crime D+.
- Bartlesville (town): math 30% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #59 of 270 in OK (top 22%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 231 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 46 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($72k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Washington County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 7 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $103k; list at $165k implies a 60% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.90%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.30%
- DSCR
- 1.41
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $229,104
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1505 Melmart Dr | 0.53mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,785 (+0%) | 2mo | $220,000 | $123 | 64 |
| 1616 Harned Dr | 0.62mi | 3/2.5 | 1,777 (+0%) | 2mo | $238,900 | $134 | 64 |
| 1500 Harris | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,765 (-1%) | 2mo | $228,500 | $129 | 63 |
| 1869 Putnam Dr | 0.42mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,868 (+5%) | 1mo | $232,500 | $124 | 62 |
| 1512 Lariat Dr | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,655 (-7%) | 1mo | $235,000 | $142 | 57 |
| 3918 Harvey Rd | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,913 (+8%) | 1mo | $210,000 | $110 | 57 |
| 1811 Putnam | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,976 (+11%) | 1mo | $250,100 | $127 | 55 |
| 1910 Roman St | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,969 (+11%) | 2mo | $289,000 | $147 | 54 |
| 4100 Wayside Dr | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,554 (-12%) | 2mo | $184,000 | $118 | 51 |
| 3000 Loris Ln | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 | 1,662 (-6%) | 1mo | $234,900 | $141 | 50 |
| 2163 Jefferson Rd | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,587 (-11%) | 0mo | $190,000 | $120 | 48 |
| 1776 Harned Dr | 0.64mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,988 (+12%) | 0mo | $300,000 | $151 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.91×
- Total profit
- $-3,938
- Equity at exit
- $24,602
- IRR
- 7.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.56×
- Total profit
- $25,890
- Equity at exit
- $14,266
Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 74006
- Home prices YoY
- -33.2%
- Active inventory
- 231
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,812 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$865
- Tax from tax record
- −$139 /mo · $1,669/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$380
- Net cashflow
- $358
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $452 | -5% $405 | +0% $358 | +5% $311 | +10% $265 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $215 | -5% $287 | +0% $358 | +5% $430 | +10% $501 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $441 | -0.5pp $400 | base $358 | +0.5pp $315 | +1.0pp $272 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,250
- Closing costs
- $4,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4007 Morgan Ave Bartlesville, OK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1232 | $1,295 | $1.05 | 22d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 3301 Sheridan Rd Bartlesville, OK | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2400 | $1,400 | $0.58 | 25d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 3117 Stonewall Dr Bartlesville, OK | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1977 | $2,950 | $1.49 | 3d | 1 | 0.60mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-05-29historical
-
2026-05-29$165,000
-
2018-12-10soldstatus $103,000 Closed 66-char remark
Show marketing remark (66 chars)
3 bedroom 2 bathroom home on large lot in Wayside School District.
-
2018-12-10soldstatus $103,100
Show marketing remark (66 chars)
3 bedroom 2 bathroom home on large lot in Wayside School District.
-
2018-12-04status Pending 66-char remark
Show marketing remark (66 chars)
3 bedroom 2 bathroom home on large lot in Wayside School District.
-
2018-11-26$104,900 Active 66-char remark
Show marketing remark (66 chars)
3 bedroom 2 bathroom home on large lot in Wayside School District.
-
2014-10-31soldstatus $64,000 233-char remark
Show marketing remark (233 chars)
Spacious home on 1/2 acre m/l. 3 bedrooms have hardwood floors. Formal dining, large living area with fireplace & bookshelves. 2 baths both have showers. Enclosed back porch could be sunroom. Easy access to Hwy 75 and Hwy 60 E.
-
2014-10-07historical 233-char remark
Show marketing remark (233 chars)
Spacious home on 1/2 acre m/l. 3 bedrooms have hardwood floors. Formal dining, large living area with fireplace & bookshelves. 2 baths both have showers. Enclosed back porch could be sunroom. Easy access to Hwy 75 and Hwy 60 E.
-
2014-09-23$63,000 233-char remark
Show marketing remark (233 chars)
Spacious home on 1/2 acre m/l. 3 bedrooms have hardwood floors. Formal dining, large living area with fireplace & bookshelves. 2 baths both have showers. Enclosed back porch could be sunroom. Easy access to Hwy 75 and Hwy 60 E.
-
2011-08-23soldstatus $99,500
-
2011-08-22historical
-
2011-08-19soldstatus $99,500
-
2011-06-10$98,500
-
2011-04-11historical
-
2010-10-20$105,000
-
2010-09-24historical
-
2010-08-23$105,000
-
2003-10-24soldstatus $78,775
-
2003-10-24soldstatus $79,000
-
2003-09-30historical
-
2003-07-09$79,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,669 · $139/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,669 · $139/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,741
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,243
- − Property taxes
- −$1,669
- − Insurance
- −$825
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,739
- − Management
- −$1,739
- − Depreciation
- −$4,800
- Taxable income
- $1,726
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$414
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,884/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bartlesville
- NCES district ID
- 4003630
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,889
- Composite
- 25.69/100
- National rank
- #7389
- State rank
- #59 of 270 in OK
Livability — Bartlesville
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #175
- US rank
- #13940
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bartlesville, OK
- County
- Washington County · 41,935 people
- City population
- 41,935
- Metro
- Bartlesville, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,911
- Household income
- $71,796
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 563.0
Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 54,946 people
- By 2030
- 56,249 · +2.4%
- By 2040
- 58,867 · +7.1%
- By 2050
- 61,600 · +12.1%
- By 2075
- 69,355 · +26.2%
- By 2100
- 73,067 · +33.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Two or more races 9% Native American 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 3% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 4% Vietnamese 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Washington
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+47.6) · D 25.0% · R 72.7% · Other 2.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.1pp toward R · 2008: -44.6pp · 2024: -47.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+47.6 2020: R+48.0 2016: R+48.5 2012: R+47.8 2008: R+44.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -118.35%
- Current HPI
- 237.9056
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Bartlesville, OK
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+106.5% since first listed21 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Listed $165,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2026-05-29 Listing Removed — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2018-12-10 Sold (Public Records) $103,100 Public Records
- 2018-12-10 Sold (MLS) $103,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2018-12-04 Pending — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2018-11-26 Listed $104,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2014-10-31 Sold (MLS) $64,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2014-10-07 Listing Removed — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2014-09-23 Listed $63,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2011-08-23 Sold (Public Records) $99,500 Public Records
- 2011-08-22 Listing Removed — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2011-08-19 Sold (MLS) $99,500 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2011-06-10 Listed $98,500 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2011-04-11 Listing Removed — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2010-10-20 Listed $105,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2010-09-24 Listing Removed — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2010-08-23 Listed $105,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2003-10-24 Sold (Public Records) $79,000 Public Records
- 2003-10-24 Sold (MLS) $78,775 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2003-09-30 Listing Removed — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2003-07-09 Listed $79,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
Property tax history
+2.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,669 · +1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…