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4006 Toledo Rd
C+ Composite 64.87
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$165,000

4006 Toledo Rd · Bartlesville, OK 74006
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,776 sqft · SingleFamily public records
Built 1950 0.52 ac lot Est $229k · 28% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

3 bedroom 2 bathroom home on large lot in Wayside School District.

Key facts

  • 0.52 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1950

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $358 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $165k).
  • Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 4.7% in Bartlesville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#175 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools D+, crime D+.
  • Bartlesville (town): math 30% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #59 of 270 in OK (top 22%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 231 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 46 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($72k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Washington County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 7 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $103k; list at $165k implies a 60% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $165,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.10%
Cap rate
8.90%
Cash-on-cash
9.30%
DSCR
1.41
GRM
7.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$229,104
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1505 Melmart Dr 0.53mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,785 (+0%) 2mo $220,000 $123 64
1616 Harned Dr 0.62mi 3/2.5 1,777 (+0%) 2mo $238,900 $134 64
1500 Harris 0.65mi 3/2.0 1,765 (-1%) 2mo $228,500 $129 63
1869 Putnam Dr 0.42mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,868 (+5%) 1mo $232,500 $124 62
1512 Lariat Dr 0.57mi 3/2.0 1,655 (-7%) 1mo $235,000 $142 57
3918 Harvey Rd 0.54mi 3/2.0 1,913 (+8%) 1mo $210,000 $110 57
1811 Putnam 0.45mi 3/2.0 1,976 (+11%) 1mo $250,100 $127 55
1910 Roman St 0.49mi 3/2.0 1,969 (+11%) 2mo $289,000 $147 54
4100 Wayside Dr 0.49mi 3/2.0 1,554 (-12%) 2mo $184,000 $118 51
3000 Loris Ln 0.75mi 3/2.0 1,662 (-6%) 1mo $234,900 $141 50
2163 Jefferson Rd 0.65mi 3/2.0 1,587 (-11%) 0mo $190,000 $120 48
1776 Harned Dr 0.64mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,988 (+12%) 0mo $300,000 $151 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.3%
Equity multiple
0.91×
Total profit
$-3,938
Equity at exit
$24,602
10-year hold
IRR
7.4%
Equity multiple
1.56×
Total profit
$25,890
Equity at exit
$14,266

Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 74006

Home prices YoY
-33.2%
Active inventory
231
Price-to-rent
7.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,812 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$865
Tax from tax record
$139 /mo · $1,669/yr
Insurance
$69
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$380
Net cashflow
$358

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,358
Max offer price $165,000
Occupancy floor 75%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $452 -5% $405 +0% $358 +5% $311 +10% $265
Rent -10% $215 -5% $287 +0% $358 +5% $430 +10% $501
Rate -1.0pp $441 -0.5pp $400 base $358 +0.5pp $315 +1.0pp $272

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$41,250
Closing costs
$4,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4007 Morgan Ave Bartlesville, OK 2.0 1.0 1232 $1,295 $1.05 22d 1 0.41mi
3301 Sheridan Rd Bartlesville, OK 3.0 3.0 2400 $1,400 $0.58 25d 1 0.44mi
3117 Stonewall Dr Bartlesville, OK 4.0 3.0 1977 $2,950 $1.49 3d 1 0.60mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-05-29
    historical
  2. 2026-05-29
    listed $165,000
  3. 2018-12-10
    soldstatus $103,000 Closed 66-char remark
    Show marketing remark (66 chars)

    3 bedroom 2 bathroom home on large lot in Wayside School District.

  4. 2018-12-10
    soldstatus $103,100
    Show marketing remark (66 chars)

    3 bedroom 2 bathroom home on large lot in Wayside School District.

  5. 2018-12-04
    status Pending 66-char remark
    Show marketing remark (66 chars)

    3 bedroom 2 bathroom home on large lot in Wayside School District.

  6. 2018-11-26
    listed $104,900 Active 66-char remark
    Show marketing remark (66 chars)

    3 bedroom 2 bathroom home on large lot in Wayside School District.

  7. 2014-10-31
    soldstatus $64,000 233-char remark
    Show marketing remark (233 chars)

    Spacious home on 1/2 acre m/l. 3 bedrooms have hardwood floors. Formal dining, large living area with fireplace & bookshelves. 2 baths both have showers. Enclosed back porch could be sunroom. Easy access to Hwy 75 and Hwy 60 E.

  8. 2014-10-07
    historical 233-char remark
    Show marketing remark (233 chars)

    Spacious home on 1/2 acre m/l. 3 bedrooms have hardwood floors. Formal dining, large living area with fireplace & bookshelves. 2 baths both have showers. Enclosed back porch could be sunroom. Easy access to Hwy 75 and Hwy 60 E.

  9. 2014-09-23
    listed $63,000 233-char remark
    Show marketing remark (233 chars)

    Spacious home on 1/2 acre m/l. 3 bedrooms have hardwood floors. Formal dining, large living area with fireplace & bookshelves. 2 baths both have showers. Enclosed back porch could be sunroom. Easy access to Hwy 75 and Hwy 60 E.

  10. 2011-08-23
    soldstatus $99,500
  11. 2011-08-22
    historical
  12. 2011-08-19
    soldstatus $99,500
  13. 2011-06-10
    listed $98,500
  14. 2011-04-11
    historical
  15. 2010-10-20
    listed $105,000
  16. 2010-09-24
    historical
  17. 2010-08-23
    listed $105,000
  18. 2003-10-24
    soldstatus $78,775
  19. 2003-10-24
    soldstatus $79,000
  20. 2003-09-30
    historical
  21. 2003-07-09
    listed $79,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,669 · $139/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,669 · $139/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,741
− Mortgage interest
−$9,243
− Property taxes
−$1,669
− Insurance
−$825
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,739
− Management
−$1,739
− Depreciation
−$4,800
Taxable income
$1,726
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$414
After-tax cash flow
$3,884/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bartlesville
NCES district ID
4003630
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
29% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$48,889
Composite
25.69/100
National rank
#7389
State rank
#59 of 270 in OK

Livability — Bartlesville

Score
64/100
State rank
#175
US rank
#13940

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bartlesville, OK
County
Washington County · 41,935 people
City population
41,935
Metro
Bartlesville, OK
Population (ZIP)
27,911
Household income
$71,796
Rent vs Own
24.2% rent · 75.8% own
Severe rent burden
563.0

Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
54,946 people
By 2030
56,249 · +2.4%
By 2040
58,867 · +7.1%
By 2050
61,600 · +12.1%
By 2075
69,355 · +26.2%
By 2100
73,067 · +33.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (74%)
Race & ethnicity
White 74% Two or more races 9% Native American 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 3% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 4% Vietnamese 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Washington

2024 margin
Solid R (+47.6) · D 25.0% · R 72.7% · Other 2.4%
2008→2024 swing
-3.1pp toward R · 2008: -44.6pp · 2024: -47.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+47.6 2020: R+48.0 2016: R+48.5 2012: R+47.8 2008: R+44.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -118.35%
Current HPI
237.9056
Rent YoY
Metro
Bartlesville, OK
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.55%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+106.5% since first listed
21 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-29 Listed $165,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2026-05-29 Listing Removed MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2018-12-10 Sold (Public Records) $103,100 Public Records
  • 2018-12-10 Sold (MLS) $103,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2018-12-04 Pending MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2018-11-26 Listed $104,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2014-10-31 Sold (MLS) $64,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2014-10-07 Listing Removed MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2014-09-23 Listed $63,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2011-08-23 Sold (Public Records) $99,500 Public Records
  • 2011-08-22 Listing Removed MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2011-08-19 Sold (MLS) $99,500 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2011-06-10 Listed $98,500 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2011-04-11 Listing Removed MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2010-10-20 Listed $105,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2010-09-24 Listing Removed MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2010-08-23 Listed $105,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2003-10-24 Sold (Public Records) $79,000 Public Records
  • 2003-10-24 Sold (MLS) $78,775 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2003-09-30 Listing Removed MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2003-07-09 Listed $79,900 MLS Technology, Inc.

Property tax history

+2.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,669 · +1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…