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2390 Morse Brook Rd
A- Composite 80.75
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$83,200

2390 Morse Brook Rd · Westminster, VT 05346
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,414 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 29 Days on market
Built 1965 3.50 ac lot ↓ 43% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Opportunity awaits in this serene Westminster Vermont setting! Nestled beside a charming babbling brook, this property offers the perfect backdrop to create your dream getaway or year-round home. The existing cottage is ready for a full renovation or a fresh start—bring your vision and unlock the true potential of this peaceful slice of Vermont. Rare chance to build equity in a highly desirable natural setting! est suited for a cash sale. All information deemed correct, Buyers and Buyer's agent to do their due diligence. No Seller's Report as Seller has never occupied the property. Property is actually in Westminster - has a Putney Zip Code. The seller is asking for highest and best o

Key facts

  • 3.5 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1965

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Property is foreclosed / bank-owned / REO

Exterior

  • Parking: 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Drilled well for water; Circuit breaker electrical panel; Telephone available; Internet availability unknown
  • Home design: Cottage/Camp style; Existing structure; Built in 1965
  • Construction: Wood frame construction; Wood exterior; Metal roof; Survey status unknown
  • Exterior features: Country setting; On a stream; Wooded lot; Dirt driveway; Public road frontage (approx. 423 ft)

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Electric heating; Wood stove
  • Interior features: 6 total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $83k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $374 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $83k).
  • Recommended offer: $82k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#59 in VT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: schools D+, health & safety D, amenities F.
  • Market conditions: 19 active listings in the ZIP; 188 units permitted in Windham County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $9k of equity ($575 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Windham County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $23k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.0% of price; flood insurance adds $56/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $81,952 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.69%
Cap rate
12.48%
Cash-on-cash
22.11%
DSCR
1.98
GRM
4.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
38.7%
Equity multiple
3.97×
Total profit
$69,233
Equity at exit
$74,953
10-year hold
IRR
33.3%
Equity multiple
8.96×
Total profit
$185,403
Equity at exit
$161,639

Cash invested: $23,296 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Vermont
41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause in Burlington (2022); strong habitability.

ZIP-level market 05346

Home prices YoY
7.1%
Active inventory
19
Price-to-rent
4.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,405 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$436
Tax from tax record
$210 /mo · $2,520/yr
Insurance
$35
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$295
Net cashflow
$374

Break-even live

Break-even rent $932
Max offer price $83,200
Occupancy floor 68%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$20,800
Closing costs
$2,496
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-04
    status $83,200 Pending 29 DOM
  2. 2026-06-03
    days on market $83,200 Active 29 DOM
  3. 2026-06-02
    days on market $83,200 Active 28 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    days on market $83,200 Active 27 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $83,200 Active 26 DOM
  6. 2026-05-03
    listed $83,200 Active
  7. 2007-10-04
    soldstatus $147,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VT · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,520 · $210/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,520 · $210/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,864
− Mortgage interest
−$4,660
− Property taxes
−$2,520
− Insurance
−$1,082
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,349
− Management
−$1,349
− Depreciation
−$2,420
Taxable income
$3,482
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$836
After-tax cash flow
$3,648/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — Westminster

Score
65/100
State rank
#59
US rank
#13210

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living C Crime B Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
5,236

Population outlook (Windham County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
40,432 people
By 2030
38,472 · -4.8%
By 2040
33,954 · -16.0%
By 2050
29,774 · -26.4%
By 2075
22,351 · -44.7%
By 2100
15,961 · -60.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 4%
Common ancestry
Slovak 7% Romanian 4% Lithuanian 4%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, China
Languages at home
97% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Windham

2024 margin
Solid D (+42.7) · D 69.6% · R 26.9% · Other 3.5%
2008→2024 swing
-5.4pp toward R · 2008: 48.1pp · 2024: 42.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+42.7 2020: D+47.3 2016: D+42.0 2012: D+49.2 2008: D+48.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 20.34%
Current HPI
307.2938
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-43.4% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-03 Listed $83,200 PrimeMLS
  • 2007-10-04 Sold (Public Records) $147,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-1.8%/yr

Latest (2024): $2,520 · +7.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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