123-40 83rd Ave Unit 2C · New York, NY 11415

$199,999

1 bd · 1.0 ba · 741 sqft · Condo · 259 Days on market

Built 1960 ↓ 18% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +26.2/30.0
• DSCR +8.8/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• 1% rule +7.0/10.0
• Schools +5.0/10.0
• Livability +3.8/5.0
• Rent growth +2.8/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Welcome to Park Chateau in the heart of Kew Gardens! This cozy one-bedroom co-op offers great closet space and a comfortable layout. The building provides excellent amenities including a doorman, package room, and common laundry facilities for your convenience. Ideally located just moments from the E & F subway lines as well as the LIRR, you’ll enjoy easy access to Manhattan and beyond. A perfect opportunity to own in a well-maintained, full-service building with everything you need right at your doorstep.

Key facts

• Package room
• Great closet space
• Doorman

Tags

• GREAT CLOSET SPACE
• DOORMAN
• PACKAGE ROOM
• COMMON LAUNDRY FACILITIES
• EASY ACCESS TO MANHATTAN

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: No carport
• Utilities: Public sewer; No additional utilities listed
• Home design: Stock cooperative; Living area measured by appraiser
• Construction: Brick construction
• Exterior features: Brick exterior; Not waterfront

Interior

• Kitchen: Convection oven
• Bedrooms: 3 rooms total (bedroom count not specified)
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Wall/Window air conditioning units; Steam heating; Other heating
• Interior features: Other interior features; 11 total stories; One level; Cats allowed
• Laundry & utility: No basement

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $200k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $508 ($6k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $200k).
• Recommended offer: $176k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.4%/yr); 133 active listings in the ZIP; 31 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($86k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 259 days — a 12% lower offer ($176k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 52% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $175,999 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 259 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.20% ✓
• Cap rate: 9.34%
• Cash-on-cash: 10.89%
• DSCR: 1.48
• GRM: 7.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.35% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -1.9%
• Equity multiple: 0.93×
• Total profit: $-3,916
• Equity at exit: $29,821

10-year hold

• IRR: 5.9%
• Equity multiple: 1.41×
• Total profit: $22,898
• Equity at exit: $17,292

Cash invested: $56,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (CITY): 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State New York: 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City New York: 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34

Rent Stabilization Code; HSTPA; 6+ months in housing court.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 11415

• Rents YoY: 1.4%
• Active inventory: 133
• Price-to-rent: 7.0×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,393 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,049
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$250 /mo · $3,000/yr
• Insurance: −$83
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$502
• Net cashflow: $508

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,750

Max offer price $199,999

Occupancy floor 74%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $50,000
• Closing costs: $6,000
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 31 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
123-40 83rd Ave Unit 2107 Jamaica, NY	1.0	1.0	750	$2,573	$3.43	24d	1	0.02mi
8340 Austin St Unit 7N Kew Gardens, NY	—	1.0	550	$2,000	$3.64	24d	1	0.21mi
8321 Lefferts Blvd Kew Gardens, NY	—	1.0	550	$2,100	$3.82	24d	1	0.47mi
138-28 Queens Blvd Unit 5G Briarwood, NY	1.0	1.0	650	$2,750	$4.23	24d	1	0.51mi
13828 Queens Blvd Unit 2E Briarwood, NY	1.0	1.0	700	$2,600	$3.71	7d	1	0.51mi
13828 Queens Blvd Jamaica, NY	1.0	1.0	640	$2,700	$4.22	18d	1	0.51mi
138-28 Queens Blvd Unit 5B Briarwood, NY	1.0	1.0	500	$2,600	$5.20	24d	1	0.51mi
8380 118th St Unit 2P Kew Gardens, NY	—	1.0	550	$1,900	$3.45	13d	1	0.58mi
14160 84th Rd Unit 2G Jamaica, NY	1.0	1.0	700	$2,200	$3.14	13d	1	0.58mi
8375 117th St Unit 5E Richmond Hill, NY	1.0	1.0	650	$2,650	$4.08	11d	1	0.60mi
8375 117th St Richmond Hill, NY	1.0	1.0	650	$2,695	$4.15	24d	1	0.60mi
122-08 Hillside Ave Unit 2 Jamaica, NY	2.0	1.0	700	$2,500	$3.57	24d	1	0.63mi
8371 116th St Jamaica, NY	1.0	1.0	688	$2,725	$3.96	5d	2	0.65mi
14112 78th Rd Unit 1G Flushing, NY	1.0	1.0	700	$2,200	$3.14	24d	1	0.66mi
8455 Daniels St Unit 5H Jamaica, NY	1.0	1.0	750	$2,300	$3.07	18d	1	0.70mi
12015 Jamaica Ave Unit 2 Jamaica, NY	2.0	1.0	700	$2,200	$3.14	24d	1	0.74mi
7837 Main St Unit 2G Queens, NY	1.0	1.0	700	$2,300	$3.29	24d	1	0.79mi
7835 147th St Unit 2E Flushing, NY	1.0	1.0	700	$2,200	$3.14	6d	1	0.85mi
110-19 72nd Rd Unit 1A Forest Hills, NY	—	1.0	500	$2,395	$4.79	24d	1	0.96mi
11019 72nd Rd Unit 1B Forest Hills, NY	1.0	1.0	750	$3,200	$4.27	13d	1	0.96mi
10919 72nd Rd Unit 6F Forest Hills, NY	1.0	1.0	696	$3,485	$5.01	11d	1	0.97mi
148-16 87th Ave Unit 2 Jamaica, NY	2.0	1.0	700	$2,300	$3.29	16d	1	0.97mi
9915 Ascan Ave Forest Hills, NY	2.0	1.0	600	$2,700	$4.50	24d	1	0.97mi
15038 Union Tpke Unit 8L Flushing, NY	—	1.0	489	$2,100	$4.29	21d	1	0.98mi
152-18 Union Tpke Unit 8S Queens, NY	—	1.0	496	$1,950	$3.93	13d	1	1.00mi
10825 72nd Ave Forest Hills, NY	1.0–2.0	1.0	700	$3,500	$5.00	4d	2	1.03mi
14836 89th Ave Unit 3C Jamaica, NY	1.0	1.0	673	$2,900	$4.31	24d	1	1.19mi
10740 70th Rd Unit 7F Forest Hills, NY	1.0	1.0	750	$2,650	$3.53	24d	1	1.21mi
150-25 72nd Rd Flushing, NY	1.0	1.0	700	$2,300	$3.29	24d	1	1.32mi
14725 94th Ave Jamaica, NY	1.0	1.0	525	$2,825	$5.38	4d	3	1.35mi
89-15 Parsons Blvd Unit W6B Jamaica, NY	1.0	1.0	725	$2,100	$2.90	18d	1	1.42mi

HOA detail condo

• Monthly dues: $0 · $0/yr
• Likely covers: doorman
• Assessments: None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 17 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $199,999 Active 259 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $199,999 Active 258 DOM
3. 2026-06-15
   days on market $199,999 Active 256 DOM
4. 2026-06-13
   days on market $199,999 Active 254 DOM
5. 2026-06-10
   days on market $199,999 Active 250 DOM
6. 2026-06-08
   days on market $199,999 Active 249 DOM
7. 2026-06-03
   days on market $199,999 Active 244 DOM
8. 2026-06-01
   days on market $199,999 Active 242 DOM
9. 2026-05-31
   days on market $199,999 Active 241 DOM
10. 2026-03-31
    price $199,999
11. 2026-03-31
    status Active
12. 2026-03-22
    historical
13. 2026-02-26
    price $220,000
14. 2025-09-20
    listed $235,000 Active
15. 2025-08-02
    historical
16. 2025-06-14
    price $235,000
17. 2025-02-01
    listed $245,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 52% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $28,714
• − Mortgage interest: −$11,203
• − Property taxes: −$3,000
• − Insurance: −$1,000
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,297
• − Management: −$2,297
• − Depreciation: −$5,818
• Taxable income: $3,098
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$744
• After-tax cash flow: $5,354/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — New York

• Score: 75/100
• State rank: #268
• US rank: #4188

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A- Housing C+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: New York, NY
• County: Queens County · 1,914,869 people
• City population: 7,731,280
• Metro: New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
• Population (ZIP): 21,154
• Household income: $86,394
• Rent vs Own: 55.5% rent · 44.5% own
• Severe rent burden: 1615.0

Population outlook (Queens County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 2,546,320 people
• By 2030: 2,643,059 · +3.8%
• By 2040: 2,815,563 · +10.6%
• By 2050: 2,944,423 · +15.6%
• By 2075: 3,123,338 · +22.7%
• By 2100: 3,098,688 · +21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.71)
• Race & ethnicity: White 43% Hispanic / Latino 25% Asian 20% Two or more races 11% Black 6%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 5% Dominican 4%
• Common ancestry: Scotch-Irish 6% Romanian 5% Scandinavian 1%
• Foreign-born: 38% · Canada, Jamaica, China
• Languages at home: 45% English-only · Spanish 18% Other Indo-European 12% Russian/Polish/Slavic 10%

Political lean MEDSL · Queens

• 2024 margin: Strong D (+24.6) · D 62.3% · R 37.7%
• 2008→2024 swing: -26.2pp toward R · 2008: 50.8pp · 2024: 24.6pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+24.6 2020: D+45.2 2016: D+53.4 2012: D+58.5 2008: D+50.8

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -155.23%
• Current HPI: 184.7643
• Rent YoY: ▲ 1.35%
• Metro: New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.60%
• F500 in state: 92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	10	$950B
▸Consumer Goods	9	$162B
▸Insurance	4	$225B
▸Telecommunications	2	$144B
▸Pharmaceuticals	2	$112B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$69B

Price history

-18.4% since first listed

8 events — show timeline

• 2026-03-31 Price Changed $199,999 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-03-31 Relisted — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-03-22 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-02-26 Price Changed $220,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-09-20 Listed $235,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-08-02 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-06-14 Price Changed $235,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-02-01 Listed $245,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid