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2717 Gibson St
C+ Composite 62.3
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$54,900

2717 Gibson St · Flint, MI 48503
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 687 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 19 Days on market
Built 1950 3,920 sqft lot Est $40k · 38% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming, totally remodeled 2-bedroom home with a full basement and garage with a brand new metal roof. All priced to sell at this reasonable price. Just turn the key and move in. Down payment assistance can easily be obtained on this home.

Key facts

  • 3,920 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1950

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Ground-level entry with steps
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot approximately 40 x 100 (0.09 acres)

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Total of 4 rooms (bedrooms included)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central cooling
  • Interior features: Unfinished basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $55k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $346 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($926 rent vs $55k).
  • Recommended offer: $54k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.9% vs local median 11.5% in Flint — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#196 in MI, #4,946 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
  • Flint School District (urban): math 7% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #714 of 760 in MI (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Holmes Stem Middle School Academy (math 10% / reading 30%, grade F, #420 of 493 statewide, top 86%, 324 students, 90% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+12.3%/yr); 137 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($54k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $22k; list at $55k implies a 144% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $54,076 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.69%
Cap rate
13.85%
Cash-on-cash
27.00%
DSCR
2.20
GRM
4.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$39,846
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2717 Gibson St 0.00mi 2/1.0 687 (0%) 1mo $50,000 $73 99
2805 Reynolds St 0.05mi 2/1.0 704 (+2%) 3mo $35,000 $50 91
2913 Gibson St 0.11mi 2/1.0 680 (-1%) 6mo $45,000 $66 88
2710 Reynolds St 0.03mi 2/1.0 751 (+9%) 5mo $56,500 $75 78
3310 Larchmont St 0.56mi 2/1.0 688 (+0%) 2mo $18,000 $26 72
916 Mann St 0.35mi 2/1.0 647 (-6%) 3mo $35,000 $54 71
2641 Brown St 0.21mi 2/1.0 783 (+14%) 2mo $36,500 $47 65
3214 Clairmont St 0.50mi 2/1.0 720 (+5%) 4mo $30,500 $42 65
3317 Arlene Ave 0.46mi 2/1.0 600 (-13%) 1mo $34,500 $58 57
3305 Larchmont St 0.59mi 2/1.0 736 (+7%) 5mo $45,000 $61 56
3609 Larchmont St 0.69mi 2/1.0 650 (-5%) 7mo $60,000 $92 53
959 Tacken St 0.70mi 2/1.0 748 (+9%) 4mo $24,900 $33 49

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
26.5%
Equity multiple
2.17×
Total profit
$18,048
Equity at exit
$8,186
10-year hold
IRR
37.1%
Equity multiple
5.32×
Total profit
$66,436
Equity at exit
$4,747

Cash invested: $15,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48503

Home prices YoY
-27.7%
Rents YoY
12.3%
Active inventory
137
Price-to-rent
4.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$926 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$288
Tax from tax record
$75 /mo · $901/yr
Insurance
$23
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$195
Net cashflow
$346

Break-even live

Break-even rent $488
Max offer price $54,900
Occupancy floor 58%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $377 -5% $361 +0% $346 +5% $330 +10% $315
Rent -10% $273 -5% $309 +0% $346 +5% $382 +10% $419
Rate -1.0pp $374 -0.5pp $360 base $346 +0.5pp $332 +1.0pp $317

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$13,725
Closing costs
$1,647
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
352 Bradley Ave Unit 343 Sheffield Ave-Apt C Flint, MI 1.0 1.0 564 $900 $1.60 23d 1 0.49mi
343 Sheffield Apt. C Ave heuristic Flint, MI 1.0 1.0 564 $900 $1.60 27d 1 0.53mi

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-05-08
    listed $54,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (240 chars)

    Charming, totally remodeled 2-bedroom home with a full basement and garage with a brand new metal roof. All priced to sell at this reasonable price. Just turn the key and move in. Down payment assistance can easily be obtained on this home.

  2. 2026-05-08
    listed $54,900 Active 240-char remark
    Show marketing remark (240 chars)

    Charming, totally remodeled 2-bedroom home with a full basement and garage with a brand new metal roof. All priced to sell at this reasonable price. Just turn the key and move in. Down payment assistance can easily be obtained on this home.

  3. 2024-01-09
    historical $800
  4. 2023-12-05
    listed $800
  5. 2013-06-20
    soldstatus $22,500 25-char remark
    Show marketing remark (25 chars)

    Great investment property

  6. 2013-06-20
    soldstatus $22,500
    Show marketing remark (25 chars)

    Great investment property

  7. 2013-06-17
    listed $22,500 25-char remark
    Show marketing remark (25 chars)

    Great investment property

  8. 2013-06-17
    historical
    Show marketing remark (25 chars)

    Great investment property

  9. 2013-06-17
    listed $22,500
    Show marketing remark (25 chars)

    Great investment property

  10. 2013-05-09
    soldstatus $7,171
  11. 2013-05-09
    soldstatus $7,171
  12. 2013-03-27
    historical
  13. 2013-03-22
    listed $6,000
  14. 2013-03-22
    listed $6,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$901 · $75/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$901 · $75/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,115
− Mortgage interest
−$3,075
− Property taxes
−$901
− Insurance
−$274
− Repairs & maintenance
−$889
− Management
−$889
− Depreciation
−$1,597
Taxable income
$3,489
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$837
After-tax cash flow
$3,313/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Flint School District
NCES district ID
2614520
Math proficiency
7% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
13% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$25,954
Composite
10.97/100
National rank
#14642
State rank
#714 of 760 in MI

Livability — Flint

Score
74/100
State rank
#196
US rank
#4946

Category grades

Amenities A- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Flint, MI
County
Genesee County · 221,329 people
City population
93,814
Metro
Flint, MI
Population (ZIP)
22,347
Household income
$44,411
Rent vs Own
49.3% rent · 50.7% own
Severe rent burden
1293.0

Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
381,312 people
By 2030
362,731 · -4.9%
By 2040
321,550 · -15.7%
By 2050
279,212 · -26.8%
By 2075
193,336 · -49.3%
By 2100
128,118 · -66.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
Black 55% White 36% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
5% · China, Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Arabic 4% Spanish 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Genesee

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -49.84%
Current HPI
130.1152
Rent YoY
▲ 12.35%
Metro
Flint, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+815.0% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-08 Listed $54,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-08 Listed $54,900 REALCOMP
  • 2024-01-09 Rental Removed $800 REALSOURCE
  • 2023-12-05 Listed for Rent $800 REALSOURCE
  • 2013-06-20 Sold (MLS) $22,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2013-06-20 Sold (MLS) $22,500 REALCOMP
  • 2013-06-17 Listed $22,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2013-06-17 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2013-06-17 Listed $22,500 REALCOMP
  • 2013-05-09 Sold (MLS) $7,171 REALCOMP
  • 2013-05-09 Sold (MLS) $7,171 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2013-03-27 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2013-03-22 Listed $6,000 REALCOMP
  • 2013-03-22 Listed $6,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

+4.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $901 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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