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231 Allen St 🏷️ Likely Rental
B+ Composite 78.13
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$164,900

231 Allen St · Syracuse, NY 13210
6 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,832 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 54 Days on market
Built 1920 Est $246k · 33% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Excellent opportunity to earn some cashflow from this well Maintained 2 unit property. $1,100 & $1,200 monthly rent. Very close to Syracuse University, shopping, numerous parks and bus lines, this conveniently located property contains (2) apartments with separate utilities meters.

Key facts

  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1920
  • Listed 54 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $164,900 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$246,384) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $165k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($23k/yr) — positive. Per door: $977/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $165k).
  • Recommended offer: $160k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 20.5% vs local median 8.2% in Syracuse — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#187 in NY, #2,869 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment D-.
  • Syracuse City School District (urban): math 18% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #590 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+11.2%/yr); 58 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 616 units permitted in Onondaga County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,792/mo this rent would consume 109% of the median local household income ($42k/yr) (locally 2307% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Onondaga County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $46k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 54 days — a 3% lower offer ($160k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $159,953 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 54 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.30%
Cap rate
20.51%
Cash-on-cash
50.77%
DSCR
3.26
GRM
3.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$246,384
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
522 Westmoreland Ave #24 0.21mi 6/2.0 2,872 (+1%) 7mo $250,000 $87 82
283 Genesee Park Dr 0.41mi 6/2.0 2,860 (+1%) 6mo $210,250 $74 74
452 Ellis St #54 0.19mi 6/2.0 2,560 (-10%) 2mo $155,000 $61 74
616 Beattie St #18 0.43mi 6/2.0 2,912 (+3%) 7mo $210,500 $72 69
136 Cumberland Ave 0.29mi 6/2.0 2,784 (-2%) 19mo $166,000 $60 68
125 Cumberland Ave 0.29mi 6/2.0 2,664 (-6%) 15mo $210,000 $79 64
133 Cumberland Ave #2 0.30mi 6/2.0 2,624 (-7%) 16mo $125,000 $48 60
519 Clarendon St #21 0.68mi 6/2.0 2,744 (-3%) 6mo $286,000 $104 58
704-06 Allen St 0.60mi 6/2.0 2,620 (-8%) 14mo $380,000 $145 48
245 Fellows Ave 0.49mi 6/6.0 2,764 (-2%) 18mo $450,000 $163 42
115 Genesee Park Dr 0.42mi 6/2.0 2,408 (-15%) 19mo $215,000 $89 40
539 Clarendon St 0.66mi 6/2.0 3,253 (+15%) 21mo $390,000 $120 27

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
54.0%
Equity multiple
3.55×
Total profit
$117,731
Equity at exit
$24,587
10-year hold
IRR
61.0%
Equity multiple
8.67×
Total profit
$353,921
Equity at exit
$14,258

Cash invested: $46,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13210

Home prices YoY
-9.0%
Rents YoY
11.2%
Active inventory
58
Price-to-rent
7.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,792 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$865
Tax from tax record
$109 /mo · $1,306/yr
Insurance
$69
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$796
Net cashflow
$1,953

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,319
Max offer price $164,900
Occupancy floor 43%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $3,792

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$41,225
Closing costs
$4,947
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
750 Euclid Ave Syracuse, NY 5.0 2.0 2736 $4,100 $1.50 43d 1 0.76mi
365 Green St Syracuse, NY 5.0 3.5 2263 $3,300 $1.46 21d 1 1.12mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-03-04
    status Pending
  2. 2026-01-22
    historical Active Under Contract
  3. 2026-01-09
    listed $164,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,306 · $109/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,046 · $171/mo
Expected delta
+$741/yr (+$62/mo · 56.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$45,504
− Mortgage interest
−$9,237
− Property taxes
−$1,306
− Insurance
−$824
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,640
− Management
−$3,640
− Depreciation
−$4,797
Taxable income
$22,059
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$5,294
After-tax cash flow
$18,147/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Syracuse City School District
NCES district ID
3628590
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$32,097
Composite
17.83/100
National rank
#9007
State rank
#590 of 590 in NY

Livability — Syracuse

Score
77/100
State rank
#187
US rank
#2869

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Syracuse, NY
County
Onondaga County · 247,257 people
City population
152,627
Metro
Syracuse, NY
Population (ZIP)
19,803
Household income
$41,738
Rent vs Own
70.6% rent · 29.4% own
Severe rent burden
2307.0

Population outlook (Onondaga County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
467,894 people
By 2030
463,381 · -1.0%
By 2040
447,697 · -4.3%
By 2050
426,399 · -8.9%
By 2075
373,661 · -20.1%
By 2100
307,967 · -34.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
White 58% Black 18% Asian 9% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
18% · China, Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
78% English-only · Chinese 5% Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Onondaga

2024 margin
D (+17.3) · D 58.6% · R 41.4%
2008→2024 swing
-3.0pp toward R · 2008: 20.3pp · 2024: 17.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+17.3 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+12.8 2012: D+21.1 2008: D+20.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -37.59%
Current HPI
378.0277
Rent YoY
▲ 11.18%
Metro
Syracuse, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-04 Pending CNYIS
  • 2026-01-22 Contingent CNYIS
  • 2026-01-09 Listed $164,900 CNYIS

Property tax history

+0.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,306 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…