13070 Highway 36 · Comanche, TX
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.67%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.6/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.5/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Perfect location, doublewide on almost 3 acres 8 mins from town. this property is a fixer upper has a large detached carport and a 3 bedroom 2 bath double wide that needs work. Property is on septic and well.
Key facts
- Septic
- Almost 3 acres
- Well
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Approximately 2.47-acre lot; Will not subdivide; Directions: on Highway 36 towards Gustine about 6 miles from town
- Financial info: Treat as clear loan type; No second mortgage
- HOA & community: No homeowners association
Exterior
- Parking: Detached carport; 3 covered/carport spaces
- Utilities: Well water; Septic system; Not in a municipal utility district
- Home design: Single family residence; Residential property; One story; Subdivision: Southfork Sub
- Construction: Composition roof; Pillar/Post/Pier foundation; Built in 1998
- Exterior features: Cross-fenced lot; Covered patio/porch; Cleared lot
Interior
- Kitchen: No appliances listed
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (primary bedroom on level 1)
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: No heating; No cooling
- Interior features: Single-story home; One living area and one dining area; Other interior features
- Laundry & utility: No laundry appliances listed
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $397 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $108k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.6% vs local median 1.9% in Comanche — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#763 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, health & safety D+, amenities F.
- Comanche ISD (town): math 39% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #484 of 826 in TX (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Comanche El (math 44% / reading 37%, grade F, #1,490 of 4,322 statewide, top 35%, 639 students, 65% FRL) — zoned schools at 65% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 172 active listings in the ZIP; 4 units permitted in Comanche County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Comanche County population projected at -29% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($108k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.35% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.62%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.47%
- DSCR
- 1.69
- GRM
- 6.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.24×
- Total profit
- $7,488
- Equity at exit
- $16,401
- IRR
- 15.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.27×
- Total profit
- $39,203
- Equity at exit
- $9,511
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76442
- Home prices YoY
- -15.9%
- Active inventory
- 172
- Price-to-rent
- 6.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,484 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax from tax record
- −$152 /mo · $1,828/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$312
- Net cashflow
- $397
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $459 | -5% $428 | +0% $397 | +5% $366 | +10% $335 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $280 | -5% $338 | +0% $397 | +5% $456 | +10% $514 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $452 | -0.5pp $425 | base $397 | +0.5pp $368 | +1.0pp $339 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $110,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $110,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-17price $110,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $120,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $120,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $120,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $120,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $120,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $120,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $120,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $120,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $120,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $120,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $120,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $120,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $120,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-05-22$120,000 Active
-
2020-10-14soldstatus
-
2009-06-01soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,828 · $152/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,013 · $168/mo
- Expected delta
- +$185/yr (+$15/mo · 10.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major 67% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,802
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$1,828
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,424
- − Management
- −$1,424
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable income
- $3,214
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$771
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,992/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Comanche ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4814760
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,766
- Composite
- 31.27/100
- National rank
- #6024
- State rank
- #484 of 826 in TX
Livability — Comanche
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #763
- US rank
- #13962
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 7,082
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,082
Population outlook (Comanche County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 12,214 people
- By 2030
- 11,531 · -5.6%
- By 2040
- 10,132 · -17.0%
- By 2050
- 8,724 · -28.6%
- By 2075
- 5,684 · -53.5%
- By 2100
- 3,649 · -70.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (60%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 60% Hispanic / Latino 35% Two or more races 25% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 33%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 5% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 76% English-only · Spanish 23% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Comanche
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+74.0) · D 12.7% · R 86.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.5pp toward R · 2008: -47.5pp · 2024: -74.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+74.0 2020: R+71.0 2016: R+67.4 2012: R+62.3 2008: R+47.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -41.00%
- Current HPI
- 216.9759
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Listed $120,000 NTREIS
- 2020-10-14 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2009-06-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+7.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,828 · +1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…