7649/7671 Moncove Lake Rd · White Sulphur Springs, WV
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $787 – $1,461
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.6/30.0
- DSCR +8.5/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.7/10.0
- Appreciation +6.2/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$117,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Gap Mills, WV: Looking for acreage, space, or multigenerational living? This property offers two homes and 9.5 acres — perfect for anyone with vision and a handyman's touch. The front home features 4 bedrooms and 2 baths. The rear home adds 4 bedrooms, 3 baths, a large living room, and a huge family room. Enjoy 91 feet of covered decking for outdoor living and entertaining. Both homes have character, with some remodeling started but not finished — a chance to customize your way. The gentle, open yard is ideal for gardening, pets, or a future garage, with plenty of wooded acreage to explore, hunt, etc. Close to Moncove Lake State Park and its amenities and approximately 8 miles t
Key facts
- 9.5 acres
- Gentle open yard
- Wooded acreage
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $118k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $279 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $118k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#175 in WV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Monroe County Schools (rural): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #29 of 55 in WV (top 53%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($812 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (2.3% local appreciation)).
- Monroe County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (2.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.14%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.16%
- DSCR
- 1.45
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.32% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.84×
- Total profit
- $27,744
- Equity at exit
- $48,393
- IRR
- 17.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.41×
- Total profit
- $79,287
- Equity at exit
- $71,296
Cash invested: $32,900 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State West Virginia
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 24941
- Home prices YoY
- 1.4%
- Active inventory
- 13
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,380 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$616
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$147 /mo · $1,762/yr
- Insurance
- −$49
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$290
- Net cashflow
- $279
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,375
- Closing costs
- $3,525
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-02-22status Pending
-
2026-02-16$117,500 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,566
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,582
- − Property taxes
- −$1,762
- − Insurance
- −$588
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,325
- − Management
- −$1,325
- − Depreciation
- −$3,418
- Taxable income
- $1,565
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$376
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,967/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Monroe County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 5400960
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,855
- Composite
- 25.85/100
- National rank
- #7351
- State rank
- #29 of 55 in WV
Livability — White Sulphur Springs
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #175
- US rank
- #16012
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,077
Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 13,411 people
- By 2030
- 13,266 · -1.1%
- By 2040
- 12,829 · -4.3%
- By 2050
- 12,174 · -9.2%
- By 2075
- 10,395 · -22.5%
- By 2100
- 7,805 · -41.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Black 8% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Scotch-Irish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Monroe
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+61.8) · D 18.1% · R 79.9% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -37.0pp toward R · 2008: -24.8pp · 2024: -61.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+61.8 2020: R+57.4 2016: R+57.3 2012: R+41.3 2008: R+24.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.32%
- Current HPI
- 168.7832
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-22 Pending — GVBOR
- 2026-02-16 Listed $117,500 GVBOR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…