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7649/7671 Moncove Lake Rd
B- Composite 65.29
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.6/30.0
  • DSCR +8.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +6.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$117,500

7649/7671 Moncove Lake Rd · White Sulphur Springs, WV 24941
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 3,538 sqft · SingleFamily · 6 Days on market
Built 1978

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Gap Mills, WV: Looking for acreage, space, or multigenerational living? This property offers two homes and 9.5 acres — perfect for anyone with vision and a handyman's touch. The front home features 4 bedrooms and 2 baths. The rear home adds 4 bedrooms, 3 baths, a large living room, and a huge family room. Enjoy 91 feet of covered decking for outdoor living and entertaining. Both homes have character, with some remodeling started but not finished — a chance to customize your way. The gentle, open yard is ideal for gardening, pets, or a future garage, with plenty of wooded acreage to explore, hunt, etc. Close to Moncove Lake State Park and its amenities and approximately 8 miles t

Key facts

  • 9.5 acres
  • Gentle open yard
  • Wooded acreage

Tags

9.5 ACRES91 FEET OF COVERED DECKINGGENTLE OPEN YARDWOODED ACREAGE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $118k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $279 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $118k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#175 in WV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Monroe County Schools (rural): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #29 of 55 in WV (top 53%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($812 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (2.3% local appreciation)).
  • Monroe County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (2.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $117,500

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.17%
Cap rate
9.14%
Cash-on-cash
10.16%
DSCR
1.45
GRM
7.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.32% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
15.3%
Equity multiple
1.84×
Total profit
$27,744
Equity at exit
$48,393
10-year hold
IRR
17.6%
Equity multiple
3.41×
Total profit
$79,287
Equity at exit
$71,296

Cash invested: $32,900 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State West Virginia
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Landlord-favorable; preempted; minimal protections.

ZIP-level market 24941

Home prices YoY
1.4%
Active inventory
13
Price-to-rent
7.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,380 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$616
Tax est. 1.5%
$147 /mo · $1,762/yr
Insurance
$49
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$290
Net cashflow
$279

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,028
Max offer price $117,500
Occupancy floor 75%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,375
Closing costs
$3,525
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-02-22
    status Pending
  2. 2026-02-16
    listed $117,500 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,566
− Mortgage interest
−$6,582
− Property taxes
−$1,762
− Insurance
−$588
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,325
− Management
−$1,325
− Depreciation
−$3,418
Taxable income
$1,565
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$376
After-tax cash flow
$2,967/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Monroe County Schools
NCES district ID
5400960
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$37,855
Composite
25.85/100
National rank
#7351
State rank
#29 of 55 in WV

Livability — White Sulphur Springs

Score
63/100
State rank
#175
US rank
#16012

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
1,077

Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
13,411 people
By 2030
13,266 · -1.1%
By 2040
12,829 · -4.3%
By 2050
12,174 · -9.2%
By 2075
10,395 · -22.5%
By 2100
7,805 · -41.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Black 8% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Scotch-Irish 1%
Foreign-born
0%

Political lean MEDSL · Monroe

2024 margin
Solid R (+61.8) · D 18.1% · R 79.9% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-37.0pp toward R · 2008: -24.8pp · 2024: -61.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+61.8 2020: R+57.4 2016: R+57.3 2012: R+41.3 2008: R+24.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.32%
Current HPI
168.7832
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-22 Pending GVBOR
  • 2026-02-16 Listed $117,500 GVBOR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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