427 Maclay St · Harrisburg, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 5.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.2/10.0
- 1% rule +6.4/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
DON'T MISS THIS ADORABLE 3BR 1.5BA WELL MAINTAINED CITIFIED HOME! THIS HOME IS CITI WITH CHARM , ADORNED BY A CHARMING PRIVATE OUTSIDE BACK PATIO SPACE . .. .. TRULY A MUST SEE FOR THE PRICE!!!NO PARKING PERMIT REQUIRED! JUST BLOCKS AWAY FROM OUR NEW CAPITAL LOCATION!!!! UNDER 100,000 ! WHY RENT!!!!
Key facts
- Built 1891
- Listed 7 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service (200+ amp); Natural gas for heating and hot water
- Home design: Interior townhouse/rowhouse; Fee simple ownership
- Construction: Brick construction; Stone foundation; Rubber and metal roofs; Built year per assessor
- Exterior features: Decorative, fully privacy wood fencing at rear; Patio(s); Porch(es); Sidewalks
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven/range; Garbage disposal
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the first upper level; One bedroom on the second upper level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (upper levels); One half bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Ceiling fans; Window air conditioning units; 200+ amp electrical service; Natural gas hot water
- Interior features: Level entry to main level; Enclosed patio and porches; Sidewalks; Full unfinished basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer in unit (located on upper floor)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $328 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 6.6% in Harrisburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#107 in PA, #826 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, crime F.
- Harrisburg City SD (urban): math 6% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #535 of 539 in PA (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Harrisburg Hs (math 24% / reading 10%, grade F, #399 of 437 statewide, top 92%, 1,230 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 82% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 170 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 52% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 540 units permitted in Dauphin County in 2024 (194 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $60k; list at $150k implies a 150% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1891 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1891 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.14% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.91%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.36%
- DSCR
- 1.42
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $216,342
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 320 Maclay St | 0.10mi | 3/2.5 | 2,273 (+6%) | 4mo | $170,000 | $75 | 80 |
| 2008 Green St | 0.25mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,124 (-1%) | 1mo | $295,000 | $139 | 79 |
| 2010 Green St | 0.25mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 2,124 (-1%) | 6mo | $206,000 | $97 | 75 |
| 261 Peffer St | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 2,009 (-6%) | 6mo | $100,000 | $50 | 74 |
| 1824 Green St | 0.31mi | 3/1.0 | 2,196 (+2%) | 8mo | $185,000 | $84 | 71 |
| 1730 Green St | 0.37mi | 3/2.5 | 2,288 (+7%) | 0mo | $309,000 | $135 | 69 |
| 1931 Green St | 0.25mi | 2/3.0 (-1) | 2,310 (+8%) | 0mo | $265,000 | $115 | 66 |
| 1500 N 6th St #502 | 0.53mi | 2/3.0 (-1) | 2,135 (-0%) | 2mo | $585,000 | $274 | 64 |
| 2439 N 2nd St | 0.55mi | 3/2.5 | 1,990 (-7%) | 2mo | $267,000 | $134 | 59 |
| 2224 Green St | 0.31mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,824 (-15%) | 4mo | $177,550 | $97 | 52 |
| 2446 Reel St | 0.44mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,885 (-12%) | 7mo | $150,000 | $80 | 47 |
| 1330 Susquehanna St | 0.67mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,872 (-13%) | 1mo | $190,000 | $101 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.55% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.86×
- Total profit
- $-5,882
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- 4.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.29×
- Total profit
- $12,027
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17110
- Rents YoY
- 1.6%
- Active inventory
- 170
- Price-to-rent
- 7.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,706 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$171 /mo · $2,054/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$358
- Net cashflow
- $328
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 23 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 320 Maclay St Harrisburg, PA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2237 | $1,750 | $0.78 | 14d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 325 Woodbine St Harrisburg, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1706 | $1,350 | $0.79 | 23d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 2235 Logan St Harrisburg, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1406 | $1,495 | $1.06 | 43d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 2032 Susquehanna St Harrisburg, PA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1600 | $1,595 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 339 Emerald St Harrisburg, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1420 | $1,650 | $1.16 | 14d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 2153 Penn St Harrisburg, PA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1620 | $1,995 | $1.23 | 43d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 1834 Green St Harrisburg, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1792 | $1,495 | $0.83 | 23d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 1716 N 6th St Unit NA Harrisburg, PA | 4.0 | 4.0 | 2400 | $2,000 | $0.83 | 23d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 1716 N 6th St Harrisburg, PA | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2400 | $2,200 | $0.92 | 43d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 2406 Reel St Harrisburg, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,395 | $0.93 | 43d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 514 Radnor St Harrisburg, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1498 | $1,600 | $1.07 | 43d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 2615 Waldo St Harrisburg, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,095 | $0.78 | 43d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 1330 Susquehanna St Harrisburg, PA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 2280 | $1,895 | $0.83 | 23d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 2715 N 6th St Harrisburg, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1620 | $1,650 | $1.02 | 14d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 2728 N 6th St Harrisburg, PA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1786 | $1,750 | $0.98 | 14d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 1202 Penn St Harrisburg, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1706 | $1,495 | $0.88 | 43d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 1008 N 2nd St Unit 2 Harrisburg, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1410 | $1,295 | $0.92 | 43d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 919 Penn St Harrisburg, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1458 | $1,795 | $1.23 | 23d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 711 N 2nd St Apt 2 Harrisburg, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,595 | $1.14 | 43d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 321 N Front St Unit 102 Harrisburg, PA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1562 | $2,395 | $1.53 | 43d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 3216 Green St Harrisburg, PA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1550 | $2,200 | $1.42 | 14d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 616 N Front St Lemoyne, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1408 | $1,650 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 52 Balm St Harrisburg, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1950 | $1,495 | $0.77 | 21d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $150,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $150,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $150,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $150,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $150,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $150,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $150,000 Coming Soon 6 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $150,000 Coming Soon 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $150,000 Coming Soon 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 687-char remark
-
2026-06-07$150,000 Coming Soon 3 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,054 · $171/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,212 · $184/mo
- Expected delta
- +$158/yr (+$13/mo · 7.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,473
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$2,054
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,638
- − Management
- −$1,638
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable income
- $1,628
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$391
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,540/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Harrisburg City SD
- NCES district ID
- 4211580
- Math proficiency
- 6% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 13% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,432
- Composite
- 7.6/100
- National rank
- #9945
- State rank
- #535 of 539 in PA
Livability — Harrisburg
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #107
- US rank
- #826
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Harrisburg, PA
- County
- Dauphin County · 247,857 people
- City population
- 184,296
- Metro
- Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,364
- Household income
- $80,699
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1037.0
Population outlook (Dauphin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 281,628 people
- By 2030
- 283,549 · +0.7%
- By 2040
- 285,385 · +1.3%
- By 2050
- 286,188 · +1.6%
- By 2075
- 291,053 · +3.3%
- By 2100
- 282,374 · +0.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 47% Black 32% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 7% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 6% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Romanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, India, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 2% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Dauphin
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.9) · D 52.4% · R 46.5% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.1pp toward R · 2008: 9.1pp · 2024: 5.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.9 2020: D+8.5 2016: D+2.8 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+9.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -144.07%
- Current HPI
- 257.826
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- Metro
- Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+213.2% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-04 Coming Soon $150,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2018-10-23 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
- 2018-10-19 Sold (MLS) $60,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2018-09-09 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2018-08-13 Listed $74,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 1993-08-03 Sold (Public Records) $47,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.0%/yrLatest (2026): $2,054 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…