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427 Maclay St
C+ Composite 64.9
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.4/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$150,000

427 Maclay St · Harrisburg, PA 17110
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,142 sqft · Townhouse public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1891 1,307 sqft lot Est $216k · 31% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

DON'T MISS THIS ADORABLE 3BR 1.5BA WELL MAINTAINED CITIFIED HOME! THIS HOME IS CITI WITH CHARM , ADORNED BY A CHARMING PRIVATE OUTSIDE BACK PATIO SPACE . .. .. TRULY A MUST SEE FOR THE PRICE!!!NO PARKING PERMIT REQUIRED! JUST BLOCKS AWAY FROM OUR NEW CAPITAL LOCATION!!!! UNDER 100,000 ! WHY RENT!!!!

Key facts

  • Built 1891
  • Listed 7 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service (200+ amp); Natural gas for heating and hot water
  • Home design: Interior townhouse/rowhouse; Fee simple ownership
  • Construction: Brick construction; Stone foundation; Rubber and metal roofs; Built year per assessor
  • Exterior features: Decorative, fully privacy wood fencing at rear; Patio(s); Porch(es); Sidewalks

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric oven/range; Garbage disposal
  • Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the first upper level; One bedroom on the second upper level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom (upper levels); One half bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Ceiling fans; Window air conditioning units; 200+ amp electrical service; Natural gas hot water
  • Interior features: Level entry to main level; Enclosed patio and porches; Sidewalks; Full unfinished basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer in unit (located on upper floor)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $328 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
  • Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 6.6% in Harrisburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 84/100 on livability (#107 in PA, #826 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, crime F.
  • Harrisburg City SD (urban): math 6% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #535 of 539 in PA (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Harrisburg Hs (math 24% / reading 10%, grade F, #399 of 437 statewide, top 92%, 1,230 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 82% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 170 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 52% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 540 units permitted in Dauphin County in 2024 (194 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $60k; list at $150k implies a 150% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1891 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $150,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1891 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.14%
Cap rate
8.91%
Cash-on-cash
9.36%
DSCR
1.42
GRM
7.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$216,342
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
320 Maclay St 0.10mi 3/2.5 2,273 (+6%) 4mo $170,000 $75 80
2008 Green St 0.25mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,124 (-1%) 1mo $295,000 $139 79
2010 Green St 0.25mi 4/1.5 (+1) 2,124 (-1%) 6mo $206,000 $97 75
261 Peffer St 0.22mi 3/2.0 2,009 (-6%) 6mo $100,000 $50 74
1824 Green St 0.31mi 3/1.0 2,196 (+2%) 8mo $185,000 $84 71
1730 Green St 0.37mi 3/2.5 2,288 (+7%) 0mo $309,000 $135 69
1931 Green St 0.25mi 2/3.0 (-1) 2,310 (+8%) 0mo $265,000 $115 66
1500 N 6th St #502 0.53mi 2/3.0 (-1) 2,135 (-0%) 2mo $585,000 $274 64
2439 N 2nd St 0.55mi 3/2.5 1,990 (-7%) 2mo $267,000 $134 59
2224 Green St 0.31mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,824 (-15%) 4mo $177,550 $97 52
2446 Reel St 0.44mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,885 (-12%) 7mo $150,000 $80 47
1330 Susquehanna St 0.67mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,872 (-13%) 1mo $190,000 $101 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.55% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-3.8%
Equity multiple
0.86×
Total profit
$-5,882
Equity at exit
$22,365
10-year hold
IRR
4.2%
Equity multiple
1.29×
Total profit
$12,027
Equity at exit
$12,969

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17110

Rents YoY
1.6%
Active inventory
170
Price-to-rent
7.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,706 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$787
Tax from tax record
$171 /mo · $2,054/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$358
Net cashflow
$328

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,291
Max offer price $150,000
Occupancy floor 76%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,500
Closing costs
$4,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 23 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
320 Maclay St Harrisburg, PA 3.0 2.5 2237 $1,750 $0.78 14d 1 0.10mi
325 Woodbine St Harrisburg, PA 2.0 1.0 1706 $1,350 $0.79 23d 1 0.13mi
2235 Logan St Harrisburg, PA 3.0 1.0 1406 $1,495 $1.06 43d 1 0.20mi
2032 Susquehanna St Harrisburg, PA 4.0 1.5 1600 $1,595 $1.00 43d 1 0.21mi
339 Emerald St Harrisburg, PA 3.0 1.5 1420 $1,650 $1.16 14d 1 0.22mi
2153 Penn St Harrisburg, PA 4.0 2.0 1620 $1,995 $1.23 43d 1 0.28mi
1834 Green St Harrisburg, PA 4.0 1.0 1792 $1,495 $0.83 23d 1 0.32mi
1716 N 6th St Unit NA Harrisburg, PA 4.0 4.0 2400 $2,000 $0.83 23d 1 0.36mi
1716 N 6th St Harrisburg, PA 4.0 3.5 2400 $2,200 $0.92 43d 1 0.36mi
2406 Reel St Harrisburg, PA 4.0 1.0 1500 $1,395 $0.93 43d 1 0.36mi
514 Radnor St Harrisburg, PA 4.0 1.0 1498 $1,600 $1.07 43d 1 0.59mi
2615 Waldo St Harrisburg, PA 3.0 1.0 1400 $1,095 $0.78 43d 1 0.67mi
1330 Susquehanna St Harrisburg, PA 4.0 1.5 2280 $1,895 $0.83 23d 1 0.70mi
2715 N 6th St Harrisburg, PA 4.0 1.0 1620 $1,650 $1.02 14d 1 0.74mi
2728 N 6th St Harrisburg, PA 4.0 2.0 1786 $1,750 $0.98 14d 1 0.77mi
1202 Penn St Harrisburg, PA 4.0 1.0 1706 $1,495 $0.88 43d 1 0.83mi
1008 N 2nd St Unit 2 Harrisburg, PA 2.0 1.0 1410 $1,295 $0.92 43d 1 0.94mi
919 Penn St Harrisburg, PA 3.0 2.0 1458 $1,795 $1.23 23d 1 0.98mi
711 N 2nd St Apt 2 Harrisburg, PA 2.0 1.0 1400 $1,595 $1.14 43d 1 1.10mi
321 N Front St Unit 102 Harrisburg, PA 2.0 2.5 1562 $2,395 $1.53 43d 1 1.30mi
3216 Green St Harrisburg, PA 4.0 2.0 1550 $2,200 $1.42 14d 1 1.38mi
616 N Front St Lemoyne, PA 3.0 1.0 1408 $1,650 $1.17 43d 1 1.42mi
52 Balm St Harrisburg, PA 3.0 1.0 1950 $1,495 $0.77 21d 1 1.42mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $150,000 Active 7 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $150,000 Active 6 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $150,000 Active 5 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $150,000 Active 4 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $150,000 Active 2 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    statusdays on market $150,000 Active 1 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $150,000 Coming Soon 6 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $150,000 Coming Soon 5 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $150,000 Coming Soon 4 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    remarks 687-char remark
  11. 2026-06-07
    listed $150,000 Coming Soon 3 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,054 · $171/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,212 · $184/mo
Expected delta
+$158/yr (+$13/mo · 7.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,473
− Mortgage interest
−$8,402
− Property taxes
−$2,054
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,638
− Management
−$1,638
− Depreciation
−$4,364
Taxable income
$1,628
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$391
After-tax cash flow
$3,540/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Harrisburg City SD
NCES district ID
4211580
Math proficiency
6% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
13% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$33,432
Composite
7.6/100
National rank
#9945
State rank
#535 of 539 in PA

Livability — Harrisburg

Score
84/100
State rank
#107
US rank
#826

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Harrisburg, PA
County
Dauphin County · 247,857 people
City population
184,296
Metro
Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
Population (ZIP)
27,364
Household income
$80,699
Rent vs Own
41.6% rent · 58.4% own
Severe rent burden
1037.0

Population outlook (Dauphin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
281,628 people
By 2030
283,549 · +0.7%
By 2040
285,385 · +1.3%
By 2050
286,188 · +1.6%
By 2075
291,053 · +3.3%
By 2100
282,374 · +0.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
Race & ethnicity
White 47% Black 32% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 7% Two or more races 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 6% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Romanian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, India, Vietnam
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 2% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Dauphin

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.9) · D 52.4% · R 46.5% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-3.1pp toward R · 2008: 9.1pp · 2024: 5.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.9 2020: D+8.5 2016: D+2.8 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+9.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -144.07%
Current HPI
257.826
Rent YoY
▲ 1.55%
Metro
Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+213.2% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Coming Soon $150,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2018-10-23 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
  • 2018-10-19 Sold (MLS) $60,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2018-09-09 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2018-08-13 Listed $74,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 1993-08-03 Sold (Public Records) $47,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.0%/yr

Latest (2026): $2,054 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…