232 Stonegate Dr · Leitchfield, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.6/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +3.7/10.0
- 1% rule +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Appreciation +3.1/10.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Condition / age +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
$174,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 0.33 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 2000
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Directions: Hwy 259 to Anneta Rd to Ambassador Shores Dr
- HOA & community: No association fee
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Electricity connected
- Home design: Single-family ranch-style home; One story
- Construction: Built in 2000; Vinyl siding; Metal roof; Approximately 1,440 above-grade finished living area
- Exterior features: Corner lot; Located in the Ambassador Shores subdivision; Lot approximately 0.33 acres
Interior
- Kitchen: First-floor kitchen
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms, all on the first floor; Primary bedroom is on the first floor
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms, both on the first floor
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating with heat pump; Central air conditioning; One HVAC unit
- Interior features: Nine total rooms; No basement; Sun room / Florida room
- Laundry & utility: First-floor laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $175k. Condition is rated average.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-23 ($-281/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $172k (1.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $150k (14.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $150k (14.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 3.8% in Leitchfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#144 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
- Edmonson County (rural): math 31% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #53 of 165 in KY (top 32%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Kyrock Elementary School (math 62% / reading 57%, grade B-, #35 of 676 statewide, top 6%, 299 students, 54% FRL); Edmonson County Middle School (math 33% / reading 41%, grade F, #80 of 217 statewide, top 41%, 280 students, 48% FRL); Edmonson County High School (math 22% / reading 42%, grade F, #97 of 254 statewide, top 46%, 592 students, 54% FRL) — zoned schools at 52% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 186 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Edmonson County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 72 days — a 6% lower offer ($164k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 72 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.86% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.13%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.57%
- DSCR
- 0.97
- GRM
- 9.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $374,400
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 101 White Oak Ln | 0.65mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,652 (+15%) | 18mo | $430,000 | $260 | 25 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.39×
- Total profit
- $-29,808
- Equity at exit
- $26,078
- IRR
- -9.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.43×
- Total profit
- $-27,781
- Equity at exit
- $15,122
Cash invested: $48,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 42754
- Home prices YoY
- -1.3%
- Active inventory
- 186
- Price-to-rent
- 9.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,500 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$917
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$219 /mo · $2,624/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$315
- Net cashflow
- $-23
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $97 | -5% $37 | +0% $-23 | +5% $-84 | +10% $-144 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-142 | -5% $-83 | +0% $-23 | +5% $36 | +10% $95 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $65 | -0.5pp $21 | base $-23 | +0.5pp $-69 | +1.0pp $-115 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,725
- Closing costs
- $5,247
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $174,900 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $174,900 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $174,900 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $174,900 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $174,900 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $174,900 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $174,900 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $174,900 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $174,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $174,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $174,900 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $174,900 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $174,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $174,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $174,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $174,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $174,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $174,900 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-05-20price $174,900
-
2026-04-10$184,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,005
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,797
- − Property taxes
- −$2,624
- − Insurance
- −$874
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,440
- − Management
- −$1,440
- − Depreciation
- −$5,088
- Taxable loss
- −$3,259
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$782
- After-tax cash flow
- $502/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
The home requires moderate repairs and maintenance, including painting and updating the exterior and interior. These improvements would significantly enhance its resale and rental value.
Repairs flagged
- Major Paint — Peeling paint on interior walls
- Major Flooring — Worn hardwood floors
- Major Exterior paint — Faded paint on exterior
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting and updating the exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both Floor refinishing — Improves the look and functionality of the home
- Both Painting interior walls — Enhances the overall appearance and value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Paint · Peeling paint on interior walls | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Flooring · Worn hardwood floors | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Exterior paint · Faded paint on exterior | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $45,000–150,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting and updating the exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Floor refinishing — Improves the look and functionality of the home ↑
- Both Painting interior walls — Enhances the overall appearance and value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Edmonson County
- NCES district ID
- 2101620
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -26.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -18.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,615
- Composite
- 30.88/100
- National rank
- #6119
- State rank
- #53 of 165 in KY
Livability — Leitchfield
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #144
- US rank
- #6810
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 15,817
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,817
Population outlook (Edmonson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 12,032 people
- By 2030
- 11,768 · -2.2%
- By 2040
- 11,038 · -8.3%
- By 2050
- 10,147 · -15.7%
- By 2075
- 8,085 · -32.8%
- By 2100
- 6,540 · -45.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Two or more races 3% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Edmonson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+62.9) · D 17.9% · R 80.8% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.7pp toward R · 2008: -36.2pp · 2024: -62.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+62.9 2020: R+58.7 2016: R+60.2 2012: R+39.8 2008: R+36.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -3.82%
- Current HPI
- 283.0264
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
-5.4% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Price Changed $174,900 Metro Search MLS
- 2026-04-10 Listed $184,900 Metro Search MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…