3305 Willowridge Rd · Marion, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.5/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +6.6/10.0
- DSCR +5.1/10.0
- Rent growth +4.6/5.0
- 1% rule +4.5/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$192,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome home & acirc; & euro; & rdquo; this is the modern, fully updated condo you & acirc; & euro; & trade; ve been waiting for, featuring impressive 13-foot ceilings that give the entire space an open, loft-like feel. Every detail has been refreshed since 2024: a redesigned kitchen with new cabinetry, countertops, and appliances; new flooring, doors, trim, and lighting throughout; and stylishly remodeled bathrooms. The large master bedroom includes a generous walk-in closet and ensuite bathroom. The home also includes a beautiful, bright four-season room with a cozy gas fireplace. Major mechanicals have been replaced as well, including the furnace, water heater, an
Key facts
- New flooring
- New appliances
- New cabinetry
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $193k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $114 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $183k (5.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $183k (5.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 2.7% in Marion — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#19 in IA, #633 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities D-, commute F.
- Linn-Mar Community School District (suburban): math 75% / reading 76% proficiency, ranked #44 of 289 in IA (top 15%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 16% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.4%/yr); 455 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,023 units permitted in Linn County in 2024 (456 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Linn County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $54k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.95% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.00%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.52%
- DSCR
- 1.11
- GRM
- 8.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.73×
- Total profit
- $-14,321
- Equity at exit
- $28,762
- IRR
- 8.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.76×
- Total profit
- $40,999
- Equity at exit
- $16,678
Cash invested: $54,012 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 52302
- Rents YoY
- 8.4%
- Active inventory
- 455
- Price-to-rent
- 8.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,831 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,012
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$241 /mo · $2,894/yr
- Insurance
- −$80
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$385
- Net cashflow
- $114
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $48,225
- Closing costs
- $5,787
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3040 3rd Ave Marion, IA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,450 | $0.97 | 21d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 2799 29th Ave Marion, IA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1394 | $1,995 | $1.43 | 43d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 1330 Brockman Ave Marion, IA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1590 | $2,400 | $1.51 | 13d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 1975 49th St Marion, IA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1449 | $2,175 | $1.50 | 13d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 2785 Ridgeview Way Marion, IA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2015 | $1,650 | $0.82 | 13d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $192,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $192,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $192,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $192,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $192,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $192,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $192,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $192,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $192,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $192,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 675-char remark
-
2026-06-07$192,900 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,974
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,805
- − Property taxes
- −$2,894
- − Insurance
- −$964
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,758
- − Management
- −$1,758
- − Depreciation
- −$5,612
- Taxable loss
- −$1,817
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$436
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,799/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos
This fully updated condo is in excellent condition with no visible repairs needed. It offers a modern, open floor plan and has been refreshed since 2024, making it a great investment for both resale and rental.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both Landscaping the front yard — Improves curb appeal and rental value
- Both Updating the flooring in the living room — Enhances the open, loft-like feel and rental value
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting the exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Landscaping the front yard — Improves curb appeal and rental value ↑
- Both Updating the flooring in the living room — Enhances the open, loft-like feel and rental value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Linn-Mar Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1917220
- Math proficiency
- 75% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 76% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $72,473
- Composite
- 66.08/100
- National rank
- #440
- State rank
- #44 of 289 in IA
Livability — Marion
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #19
- US rank
- #633
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Marion, IA
- County
- Linn County · 179,860 people
- City population
- 42,706
- Metro
- Cedar Rapids, IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,706
- Household income
- $87,983
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 940.0
Population outlook (Linn County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 239,589 people
- By 2030
- 248,587 · +3.8%
- By 2040
- 264,817 · +10.5%
- By 2050
- 278,685 · +16.3%
- By 2075
- 311,754 · +30.1%
- By 2100
- 336,773 · +40.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 3% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 6% Iranian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Linn
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.9) · D 54.2% · R 44.3% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.6pp toward R · 2008: 21.5pp · 2024: 9.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.9 2020: D+13.7 2016: D+9.0 2012: D+17.6 2008: D+21.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -144.98%
- Current HPI
- 199.2949
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.37%
- Metro
- Cedar Rapids, IA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-06 Listed $192,900 FSBO.com
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…