96 Notre Dame Ave · Dayton, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.8/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$74,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Beautiful 3 bedroom, 1.5 bath North Dayton home. Inside this 1500+ sq ft like New Construction home relax and enjoy elegant living. New kitchen features chandeliers and french doors accessing family room. New baths, 1/2 bath on main level. Lovely rod iron spinals on stairwell with wide banister. First floor laundry room off kitchen. New windows, doors, light fixtures, hardware. New Laminate flooring throughout upstairs and down. Much, much more. Vinyl fence around entire lot. Total renovation 2018. New insulation and drywall throughout. Full Basement. Quality craftsmanship, Must see. Schedule your showing today
Key facts
- Major routes
- Convenient half bath
- Functional layout
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $352 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
- Recommended offer: $73k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.9% vs local median 7.4% in Dayton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#716 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: schools C-, amenities C-, crime F.
- Dayton City (urban): math 12% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #641 of 656 in OH (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 66 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 907 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (416 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($39k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $518 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Montgomery County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (35%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $54k; 40% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1905 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1905 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.48% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.93%
- Cash-on-cash
- 20.13%
- DSCR
- 1.90
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $147,658
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 77 Baltimore St | 0.05mi | 3/1.0 | 1,319 (-5%) | 2mo | $111,900 | $85 | 87 |
| 1815 Warner Ave | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 | 1,458 (+5%) | 4mo | $43,000 | $29 | 81 |
| 129 Rita St | 0.24mi | 3/1.5 | 1,355 (-3%) | 2mo | $165,000 | $122 | 81 |
| 165 Rita St | 0.26mi | 3/1.0 | 1,360 (-2%) | 5mo | $60,000 | $44 | 80 |
| 1322 Schaeffer St | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,384 (-1%) | 4mo | $40,000 | $29 | 76 |
| 310 Brandt St | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 | 1,389 (-0%) | 0mo | $147,000 | $106 | 72 |
| 1044 Dodgson Ct | 0.36mi | 3/2.5 | 1,432 (+3%) | 2mo | $150,000 | $105 | 71 |
| 70 Baltimore St | 0.07mi | 3/2.5 | 1,540 (+11%) | 3mo | $170,000 | $110 | 71 |
| 1030 Dodgson Ct | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,472 (+6%) | 2mo | $165,500 | $112 | 69 |
| 905 Troy St | 0.25mi | 3/3.0 | 1,342 (-4%) | 8mo | $186,200 | $139 | 68 |
| 718 Taylor St | 0.61mi | 3/1.5 | 1,404 (+1%) | 4mo | $156,500 | $111 | 64 |
| 1531 Chapel St | 0.22mi | 3/2.5 | 1,216 (-13%) | 6mo | $126,500 | $104 | 58 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 12.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.49×
- Total profit
- $10,291
- Equity at exit
- $11,168
- IRR
- 21.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.81×
- Total profit
- $37,902
- Equity at exit
- $6,476
Cash invested: $20,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45404
- Home prices YoY
- -24.2%
- Active inventory
- 66
- Price-to-rent
- 5.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,111 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax from tax record
- −$102 /mo · $1,226/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$233
- Net cashflow
- $352
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,725
- Closing costs
- $2,247
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 21 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 78 Notre Dame Ave Unit A Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1015 | $1,025 | $1.01 | 43d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 163 Grove Ave Unit 163 Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $950 | $0.95 | 43d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 155 Grove Ave Unit 155 Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $950 | $0.83 | 43d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 1517 Chapel St Unit 1521 Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1239 | $1,000 | $0.81 | 3d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 200 Hart St Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1304 | $1,250 | $0.96 | 23d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 321 Deeds Ave Unit 319 Dayton, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1794 | $1,100 | $0.61 | 43d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 224 Deeds Ave Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1124 | $950 | $0.85 | 23d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 2034 Leo St Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 888 | $1,100 | $1.24 | 21d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 2119 Bellefontaine Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1500 | $1,400 | $0.93 | 2d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 451 Hunter Ave Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 974 | $800 | $0.82 | 23d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 821 Herman Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1456 | $1,100 | $0.76 | 21d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 29 N Garfield St Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $1,000 | $0.92 | 23d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 204 Sears St Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1124 | $2,793 | $2.48 | 2d | 10 | 1.13mi |
| 112 Webster St Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 802 | $2,198 | $2.74 | 2d | 63 | 1.15mi |
| 101 N Irwin St Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,100 | $1.22 | 3d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 2200 E 5th St Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $825 | $0.82 | 23d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 15 John St Unit 15 Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $800 | $0.67 | 23d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 140 E Monument Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1048 | $2,344 | $2.24 | 2d | 11 | 1.36mi |
| 500 E 3rd St Dayton, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 935 | $1,660 | $1.78 | 3d | 16 | 1.40mi |
| 120 S Monmouth St Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $950 | $0.95 | 43d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 100 N Jefferson St Dayton, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 800 | $1,532 | $1.92 | 3d | 11 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-03-27status Pending
-
2026-03-06price $74,900
-
2026-02-24price $89,900
-
2026-02-12price $94,900
-
2026-02-10$114,900 Active
-
2025-12-15price $94,900
-
2025-11-17price $104,900
-
2025-09-17price $114,900
-
2019-03-26soldstatus $53,500
-
2019-02-27soldstatus $53,500 Closed 618-char remark
Show marketing remark (618 chars)
Beautiful 3 bedroom, 1.5 bath North Dayton home. Inside this 1500+ sq ft like New Construction home relax and enjoy elegant living. New kitchen features chandeliers and french doors accessing family room. New baths, 1/2 bath on main level. Lovely rod iron spinals on stairwell with wide banister. First floor laundry room off kitchen. New windows, doors, light fixtures, hardware. New Laminate flooring throughout upstairs and down. Much, much more. Vinyl fence around entire lot. Total renovation 2018. New insulation and drywall throughout. Full Basement. Quality craftsmanship, Must see. Schedule your showing today
-
2019-02-27soldstatus $53,500 Sold 618-char remark
Show marketing remark (618 chars)
Beautiful 3 bedroom, 1.5 bath North Dayton home. Inside this 1500+ sq ft like New Construction home relax and enjoy elegant living. New kitchen features chandeliers and french doors accessing family room. New baths, 1/2 bath on main level. Lovely rod iron spinals on stairwell with wide banister. First floor laundry room off kitchen. New windows, doors, light fixtures, hardware. New Laminate flooring throughout upstairs and down. Much, much more. Vinyl fence around entire lot. Total renovation 2018. New insulation and drywall throughout. Full Basement. Quality craftsmanship, Must see. Schedule your showing today
-
2019-02-19historical Active/Pending 618-char remark
Show marketing remark (618 chars)
Beautiful 3 bedroom, 1.5 bath North Dayton home. Inside this 1500+ sq ft like New Construction home relax and enjoy elegant living. New kitchen features chandeliers and french doors accessing family room. New baths, 1/2 bath on main level. Lovely rod iron spinals on stairwell with wide banister. First floor laundry room off kitchen. New windows, doors, light fixtures, hardware. New Laminate flooring throughout upstairs and down. Much, much more. Vinyl fence around entire lot. Total renovation 2018. New insulation and drywall throughout. Full Basement. Quality craftsmanship, Must see. Schedule your showing today
-
2019-02-13$59,900 Active 618-char remark
Show marketing remark (618 chars)
Beautiful 3 bedroom, 1.5 bath North Dayton home. Inside this 1500+ sq ft like New Construction home relax and enjoy elegant living. New kitchen features chandeliers and french doors accessing family room. New baths, 1/2 bath on main level. Lovely rod iron spinals on stairwell with wide banister. First floor laundry room off kitchen. New windows, doors, light fixtures, hardware. New Laminate flooring throughout upstairs and down. Much, much more. Vinyl fence around entire lot. Total renovation 2018. New insulation and drywall throughout. Full Basement. Quality craftsmanship, Must see. Schedule your showing today
-
2016-05-04historical
-
2016-05-03$12,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,226 · $102/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,226 · $102/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,336
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,196
- − Property taxes
- −$1,226
- − Insurance
- −$374
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,067
- − Management
- −$1,067
- − Depreciation
- −$2,179
- Taxable income
- $3,227
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$775
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,447/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Dayton City
- NCES district ID
- 3904384
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 21% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $28,688
- Composite
- 12.94/100
- National rank
- #9579
- State rank
- #641 of 656 in OH
Livability — Dayton
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #716
- US rank
- #12895
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dayton, OH
- County
- Montgomery County · 459,541 people
- City population
- 164,387
- Metro
- Dayton-Kettering, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,826
- Household income
- $38,874
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 702.0
Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 523,241 people
- By 2030
- 514,948 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 493,378 · -5.7%
- By 2050
- 469,639 · -10.2%
- By 2075
- 418,360 · -20.0%
- By 2100
- 353,315 · -32.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Black 19% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 3% Slovak 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 4% Arabic 4% Other Asian/Pacific 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.8% · R 49.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.8pp toward R · 2008: 6.2pp · 2024: 0.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+1.2 2012: D+3.1 2008: D+6.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -67.48%
- Current HPI
- 210.9571
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Dayton-Kettering, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+524.2% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-27 Pending — Dayton MLS
- 2026-03-06 Price Changed $74,900 Dayton MLS
- 2026-02-24 Price Changed $89,900 Dayton MLS
- 2026-02-12 Price Changed $94,900 Dayton MLS
- 2026-02-10 Listed $114,900 Dayton MLS
- 2025-12-15 Price Changed $94,900 Dayton MLS
- 2025-11-17 Price Changed $104,900 Dayton MLS
- 2025-09-17 Price Changed $114,900 Dayton MLS
- 2019-03-26 Sold (Public Records) $53,500 Public Records
- 2019-02-27 Sold (MLS) $53,500 Dayton MLS
- 2019-02-27 Sold (MLS) $53,500 Dayton MLS
- 2019-02-19 Contingent — Dayton MLS
- 2019-02-13 Listed $59,900 Dayton MLS
- 2016-05-04 Listing Removed — Dayton MLS
- 2016-05-03 Listed $12,000 Dayton MLS
Property tax history
+8.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,226 · -0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…