103 Mountain Laurel Rd · Pine Level, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 76.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.7/30.0
- ARV discount +5.2/15.0
- DSCR +4.1/10.0
- 1% rule +3.8/10.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$215,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This newly completed home is ready for an owner! The covered front stoop leads into a hard tiled entryway and a spacious family room with soaring ceilings. The kitchen offers brand new appliances to include a refrigerator. It also has a closet style pantry. The breakfast room is nice sized and is filled with natural light from windows overlooking the backyard. Both the kitchen and breakfast room have neutral colored hard tile. The Master suite also has a soaring ceiling. It boasts not one, but TWO walk-in closets! The bathroom has a double sink vanity and hard tile flooring. A transom window above the shower provides additional light. Both guest bedrooms are spacious and offer walk-in closets. A hall bath with hard tile flooring is convenient to both the guest bedrooms and the living areas. The laundry room has shelving above the washer/dryer space and a door leading to a very nice back deck. The backyard offers plenty of space for playing or gardening. A long driveway and double space parking pad offer plenty of parking space. Laurel Hills offers quiet, peaceful living in a country setting with city conveniences just minutes away. This home is just seconds from Interstate 65, allowing an easy commute to Montgomery. The shopping and eating establishment of Prattville East are less than 10 minutes away. It's also just a few minutes away from the popular Pine Level Elementary School and the new Marbury High.
Key facts
- Dbl basin vanity
- Walk-in closets
- Backyard space
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $215k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $17 ($200/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $190k (11.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $190k (11.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 2.8% in Pine Level — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#246 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Autauga County (rural): math 23% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #34 of 129 in AL (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Pine Level Elementary School (math 34% / reading 53%, grade F, #202 of 627 statewide, top 32%, 972 students, 55% FRL); Marbury Middle School (math 9% / reading 42%, grade F, #158 of 257 statewide, top 63%, 456 students, 56% FRL); Marbury High School (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #118 of 305 statewide, top 45%, 559 students, 55% FRL) — zoned schools average 55% FRL vs 39% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.9%/yr); 239 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 221 units permitted in Autauga County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Autauga County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 27y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $60k (22%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $110k; list at $215k implies a 95% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 76% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.88% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.39%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.33%
- DSCR
- 1.01
- GRM
- 9.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $204,600
- Comps found
- 11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 176 Laurel Hill Dr | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,315 (-0%) | 5mo | $215,000 | $163 | 81 |
| 104 Mountain Laurel Rd | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 | 1,280 (-3%) | 9mo | $208,000 | $163 | 81 |
| 165 Laurel Hill Dr | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,306 (-1%) | 5mo | $215,000 | $165 | 76 |
| 156 Laurel Hill Dr | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,324 (+0%) | 9mo | $205,000 | $155 | 71 |
| 185 Laurel Hill Dr | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,268 (-4%) | 14mo | $200,000 | $158 | 69 |
| 105 Mountain Laurel Rd | 0.02mi | 3/2.0 | 1,389 (+5%) | 22mo | $205,000 | $148 | 68 |
| 104 Laurel Hill Dr | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,164 (-12%) | 2mo | $158,000 | $136 | 63 |
| 173 Laurel Hill Dr | 0.30mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,516 (+15%) | 3mo | $232,500 | $153 | 50 |
| 135 Laurel Hill Dr | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 1,243 (-6%) | 22mo | $217,000 | $175 | 49 |
| 112 Laurel Hill Dr | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,164 (-12%) | 22mo | $180,000 | $155 | 44 |
| 1809 County Road 107 | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,511 (+14%) | 19mo | $172,000 | $114 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.86% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.43×
- Total profit
- $-34,017
- Equity at exit
- $32,057
- IRR
- -7.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.51×
- Total profit
- $-29,234
- Equity at exit
- $18,589
Cash invested: $60,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36066
- Home prices YoY
- -13.4%
- Rents YoY
- 2.9%
- Active inventory
- 239
- Price-to-rent
- 9.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,902 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,127
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$269 /mo · $3,225/yr
- Insurance
- −$90
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$399
- Net cashflow
- $17
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $165 | -5% $91 | +0% $17 | +5% $-58 | +10% $-132 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-134 | -5% $-58 | +0% $17 | +5% $92 | +10% $167 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $125 | -0.5pp $71 | base $17 | +0.5pp $-39 | +1.0pp $-96 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $53,750
- Closing costs
- $6,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $215,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $215,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $215,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $215,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $215,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 385-char remark
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $215,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $275,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $275,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $275,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 86-char remark
-
2026-06-07$275,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 76% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,822
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,043
- − Property taxes
- −$3,225
- − Insurance
- −$1,075
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,826
- − Management
- −$1,826
- − Depreciation
- −$6,255
- Taxable loss
- −$3,427
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$823
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,022/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Autauga County
- NCES district ID
- 0100240
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -31.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,974
- Composite
- 31.77/100
- National rank
- #5892
- State rank
- #34 of 129 in AL
Livability — Pine Level
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #246
- US rank
- #17675
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pine Level, AL
- County
- Autauga County · 50,925 people
- Metro
- Montgomery, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,632
- Household income
- $86,278
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 683.0
Population outlook (Autauga County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 55,958 people
- By 2030
- 55,810 · -0.3%
- By 2040
- 54,892 · -1.9%
- By 2050
- 53,062 · -5.2%
- By 2075
- 49,425 · -11.7%
- By 2100
- 45,110 · -19.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Black 21% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Autauga
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+46.3) · D 26.4% · R 72.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.6pp toward D · 2008: -47.8pp · 2024: -46.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+46.3 2020: R+44.4 2016: R+49.5 2012: R+46.0 2008: R+47.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -30.80%
- Current HPI
- 198.2636
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.86%
- Metro
- Montgomery, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
+223.9% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-06 Listed $275,000 FSBO.com
- 2015-04-27 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records
- 2015-04-27 Sold (MLS) $110,000 MAAR
- 2015-03-26 Listed $119,900 MAAR
- 1999-11-16 Sold (MLS) $84,900 MAAR
- 1999-11-12 Sold (Public Records) $84,900 Public Records
- 1999-06-08 Listed $84,900 MAAR
Property tax history
+1.5%/yrLatest (2025): $370 · +8.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…