1904 12th Ave · Altoona, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.0/30.0
- DSCR +9.4/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.1/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$92,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This beautifully updated Three-bedroom, one-full-bath home offers a perfect blend of modern comfort and charming space. Step inside to discover a large, inviting living room, ideal for relaxation and entertaining, which flows seamlessly into the bright, eat-in kitchen. Beyond the main level, a finished attic provides valuable extra space perfect for a home office, or an extra bedroom. This is a must see. Schedule your tour.
Key facts
- Finished attic
- 3,049 sq ft lot
- Built 1890
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $92k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $259 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $92k).
- Recommended offer: $81k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 5.8% in Altoona — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#237 in PA, #2,060 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D, amenities F.
- Altoona Area SD (urban): math 30% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #406 of 539 in PA (top 75%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 186 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 99 units permitted in Blair County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $636 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Blair County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $26k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 185 days — a 12% lower offer ($81k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 185 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.21% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.67%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.05%
- DSCR
- 1.54
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $53,627
- List price
- $92,000
- Delta
- 71.56%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 Pine Ave | 0.22mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,740 (-0%) | 1mo | $48,000 | $28 | 83 |
| 2018 15th Ave | 0.21mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,674 (-4%) | 6mo | $135,000 | $81 | 71 |
| 1329-31 21st Ave | 0.56mi | 3/1.5 | 1,786 (+2%) | 3mo | $195,000 | $109 | 66 |
| 1605 22nd Ave | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 | 1,621 (-7%) | 1mo | $139,900 | $86 | 64 |
| 891 27th St | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 1,721 (-2%) | 2mo | $91,000 | $53 | 64 |
| 1419 21st Ave | 0.52mi | 3/1.5 | 1,862 (+7%) | 3mo | $116,250 | $62 | 60 |
| 1611 21st Ave | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,944 (+11%) | 3mo | $83,000 | $43 | 54 |
| 1225 19th Ave | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,600 (-8%) | 2mo | $138,500 | $87 | 53 |
| 2306 5th Ave | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 | 1,602 (-8%) | 3mo | $122,900 | $77 | 50 |
| 1406 20th Ave | 0.52mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,558 (-11%) | 4mo | $27,000 | $17 | 50 |
| 2115 5th Ave | 0.69mi | 3/2.5 | 1,862 (+7%) | 6mo | $78,000 | $42 | 46 |
| 1315 21st Ave | 0.59mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,968 (+13%) | 2mo | $160,000 | $81 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.06×
- Total profit
- $1,568
- Equity at exit
- $13,717
- IRR
- 11.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.88×
- Total profit
- $22,598
- Equity at exit
- $7,954
Cash invested: $25,760 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 16601
- Home prices YoY
- -24.9%
- Active inventory
- 186
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,111 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$482
- Tax from tax record
- −$98 /mo · $1,177/yr
- Insurance
- −$38
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$233
- Net cashflow
- $259
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,000
- Closing costs
- $2,760
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 12th Ave Altoona, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1600 | $1,200 | $0.75 | 43d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 1489 Washington Ave Altoona, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1050 | $850 | $0.81 | 43d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 1326 14th Ave Altoona, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1600 | $1,150 | $0.72 | 43d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 1102 17th Ave Altoona, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1430 | $899 | $0.63 | 43d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 201 2nd Ave Unit 2nd Fl Altoona, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1244 | $790 | $0.64 | 43d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $92,000 Active 185 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $92,000 Active 184 DOM
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2026-06-17price $92,000 Active 183 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $95,000 Active 183 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $95,000 Active 182 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $95,000 Active 181 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $95,000 Active 180 DOM
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2025-12-01$95,000 Active 427-char remark
Show marketing remark (427 chars)
This beautifully updated Three-bedroom, one-full-bath home offers a perfect blend of modern comfort and charming space. Step inside to discover a large, inviting living room, ideal for relaxation and entertaining, which flows seamlessly into the bright, eat-in kitchen. Beyond the main level, a finished attic provides valuable extra space perfect for a home office, or an extra bedroom. This is a must see. Schedule your tour.
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2025-03-19historical $1,150
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2025-02-08$1,150
-
2025-01-07soldstatus $89,900
-
2025-01-02soldstatus $89,900 Closed 390-char remark
Show marketing remark (390 chars)
Welcome to this beautifully updated 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom home, featuring fresh paint and brand new carpeting throughout. The spacious living areas provide plenty of room for relaxation and entertainment, while the newly renovated bathroom adds a touch of modern elegance. The finished attic offers even more possibilities—perfect for an office, playroom, or additional storage space.
-
2024-11-28status Pending 390-char remark
Show marketing remark (390 chars)
Welcome to this beautifully updated 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom home, featuring fresh paint and brand new carpeting throughout. The spacious living areas provide plenty of room for relaxation and entertainment, while the newly renovated bathroom adds a touch of modern elegance. The finished attic offers even more possibilities—perfect for an office, playroom, or additional storage space.
-
2024-11-15$89,900 Active 390-char remark
Show marketing remark (390 chars)
Welcome to this beautifully updated 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom home, featuring fresh paint and brand new carpeting throughout. The spacious living areas provide plenty of room for relaxation and entertainment, while the newly renovated bathroom adds a touch of modern elegance. The finished attic offers even more possibilities—perfect for an office, playroom, or additional storage space.
-
2009-06-03soldstatus $25,000
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2008-12-23$32,900
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1988-07-01soldstatus $8,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,177 · $98/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,315 · $110/mo
- Expected delta
- +$139/yr (+$12/mo · 11.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,328
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,153
- − Property taxes
- −$1,177
- − Insurance
- −$460
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,066
- − Management
- −$1,066
- − Depreciation
- −$2,676
- Taxable income
- $1,729
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$415
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,688/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Altoona Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4202340
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -15.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,465
- Composite
- 30.85/100
- National rank
- #6130
- State rank
- #406 of 539 in PA
Livability — Altoona
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #237
- US rank
- #2060
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Altoona, PA
- County
- Blair County · 59,867 people
- City population
- 59,867
- Metro
- Altoona, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,515
- Household income
- $58,070
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 715.0
Population outlook (Blair County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 121,571 people
- By 2030
- 117,966 · -3.0%
- By 2040
- 109,174 · -10.2%
- By 2050
- 99,542 · -18.1%
- By 2075
- 76,775 · -36.8%
- By 2100
- 54,326 · -55.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 5% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Blair
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+43.5) · D 27.9% · R 71.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -19.2pp toward R · 2008: -24.3pp · 2024: -43.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+43.5 2020: R+43.5 2016: R+46.4 2012: R+33.5 2008: R+24.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -60.97%
- Current HPI
- 183.9907
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Altoona, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+1087.5% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2025-12-01 Listed $95,000 AHARMLS
- 2025-03-19 Rental Removed $1,150 RENTEC
- 2025-02-08 Listed for Rent $1,150 RENTEC
- 2025-01-07 Sold (Public Records) $89,900 Public Records
- 2025-01-02 Sold (MLS) $89,900 AHARMLS
- 2024-11-28 Pending — AHARMLS
- 2024-11-15 Listed $89,900 AHARMLS
- 2009-06-03 Sold (MLS) $25,000 AHARMLS
- 2008-12-23 Listed $32,900 AHARMLS
- 1988-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $8,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-4.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,177 · +13.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…