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909 Vireo Dr
B Composite 70.44
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$79,900

909 Vireo Dr · Micco, FL 32976
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 828 sqft · Manufactured public records · 10 Days on market
Built 1977 5,227 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Investor Opportunity -- Barefoot Bay, Brevard County, FL 2BR/2BA manufactured home, 828 SF, on an OWNED 5,227 SF lot -- no lot rent (just $62/mo HOA). Built 1977, metal roof, central HVAC, carport, screened patio. Established Barefoot Bay community near the Sebastian/Micco line, minutes from the Indian River Lagoon and a short drive to Vero/Melbourne beaches. Light-rehab project priced for investors. Home is dated and needs a full cosmetic + systems reno. Recent inspection available: roof at end of life, Federal Pacific (Stab-Lok) panel, polybutylene plumbing, HVAC at end of life, water heater corrosion, flooring/interior, and siding/skirting. Utilities were off at inspection -- budget mec

Key facts

  • Central hvac
  • Screened patio
  • Metal roof

Tags

OWNED LOTMETAL ROOFCENTRAL HVACSCREENED PATIOESTABLISHED COMMUNITYNEAR INDIAN RIVER LAGOON

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Additional parking; Guest parking; 1-car carport
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Cable available; Electricity available; Sewer connected; Water connected
  • Home design: Manufactured home; Faces north; Single-level
  • Construction: Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Zero lot line

Interior

  • Kitchen: Convection oven; Dishwasher; Electric cooktop; Electric oven; Gas cooktop; Gas range; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning; Has heating and cooling
  • Interior features: Partially furnished; Convection oven; Dishwasher; Dryer; Electric cooktop; Electric oven; Electric water heater; Gas cooktop; Gas range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Washer
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $575 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $80k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#633 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Brevard (suburban): math 53% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #19 of 73 in FL (top 26%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Sunrise Elementary School (math 52% / reading 57%, grade C, #892 of 2,144 statewide, top 44%, 759 students, 58% FRL); Southwest Middle School (math 40% / reading 39%, grade F, #373 of 571 statewide, top 66%, 920 students, 58% FRL); Bayside High School (math 27% / reading 40%, grade F, #400 of 667 statewide, top 61%, 1,854 students, 51% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 42% at this address vs 55% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Brevard average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: 185 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,602 units permitted in Brevard County in 2024 (702 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Brevard County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $35k; list at $80k implies a 128% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $79,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.92%
Cap rate
14.93%
Cash-on-cash
30.84%
DSCR
2.37
GRM
4.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
25.6%
Equity multiple
2.06×
Total profit
$23,748
Equity at exit
$11,913
10-year hold
IRR
33.4%
Equity multiple
4.05×
Total profit
$68,142
Equity at exit
$6,908

Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32976

Home prices YoY
-18.6%
Active inventory
185
Price-to-rent
4.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,536 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$419
Tax from tax record
$186 /mo · $2,232/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$323
Net cashflow
$575

Break-even live

Break-even rent $808
Max offer price $79,900
Occupancy floor 58%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,975
Closing costs
$2,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
629 W Marlin Cir Unit NA Sebastian, FL 2.0 2.0 1104 $1,400 $1.27 14d 1 0.21mi
914 Pecan Cir Sebastian, FL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,600 $1.60 23d 1 0.41mi
410 Osprey Dr Sebastian, FL 2.0 1.5 672 $1,350 $2.01 23d 1 0.67mi
7629 Chasta Rd Sebastian, FL 2.0 2.0 958 $1,600 $1.67 23d 1 0.74mi
7597 Cedar Bark Rd Sebastian, FL 2.0 2.0 902 $1,700 $1.88 23d 1 0.78mi
1207 Marigold Dr Sebastian, FL 2.0 2.0 1104 $1,500 $1.36 23d 1 0.79mi
706 Hyacinth Cir Sebastian, FL 2.0 2.0 1062 $1,750 $1.65 23d 1 0.86mi
8520 US Highway 1 #10 Sebastian, FL 2.0 2.0 1091 $1,800 $1.65 23d 1 1.26mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $79,900 Active 10 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    price $79,900 Active 9 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $84,900 Active 9 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $84,900 Active 8 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $84,900 Active 7 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $84,900 Active 5 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $84,900 Active 2 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    remarks 699-char remark
  9. 2026-06-09
    listed $84,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,232 · $186/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,232 · $186/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,429
− Mortgage interest
−$4,476
− Property taxes
−$2,232
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,474
− Management
−$1,474
− Depreciation
−$2,324
Taxable income
$6,049
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,452
After-tax cash flow
$5,448/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Brevard
NCES district ID
1200150
Math proficiency
53% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
57% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$49,426
Composite
46.86/100
National rank
#2370
State rank
#19 of 73 in FL

Livability — Micco

Score
65/100
State rank
#633
US rank
#12408

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Micco, FL
Population (ZIP)
9,237

Population outlook (Brevard County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
623,254 people
By 2030
648,420 · +4.0%
By 2040
690,009 · +10.7%
By 2050
715,669 · +14.8%
By 2075
775,744 · +24.5%
By 2100
776,687 · +24.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 1% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 5% Romanian 4% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Brevard

2024 margin
Strong R (+20.8) · D 39.1% · R 59.9% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-10.4pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -20.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+20.8 2020: R+16.4 2016: R+19.8 2012: R+12.7 2008: R+10.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -73.57%
Current HPI
321.5196
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+196.9% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-08 Listed $84,900 SCMLS
  • 1997-10-03 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
  • 1994-01-20 Sold (Public Records) $38,000 Public Records
  • 1977-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $28,600 Public Records

Property tax history

+12.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,232 · -0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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