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2903 Woodwinds Ct
D Composite 41.85
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.1/30.0
  • 1% rule +8.5/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$59,900

2903 Woodwinds Ct · Kirksville, MO 63501
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 768 sqft · Condo public records · 698 Days on market
Built 1984 $78/sqft · 24% above area Est $48k · 24% over $220/mo HOA · 27% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY! 2 bedroom, 1 bath GROUND FLOOR condo with excellent rental history! Well cared for units that are rented through 2025 and include all appliances, including washer & dryer. Purchase to owner-occupy after the lease expires or add to your portfolio. Multiple units available from this owner. Call Megan Roof 660-988-2050 for more info! Visit Remax.com for a virtual tour.

Key facts

  • Ground floor condo
  • Pool
  • Built 1984

Tags

GROUND FLOOR CONDOEXCELLENT RENTAL HISTORYALL APPLIANCES INCLUDED

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $60k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $31 ($374/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($811 rent vs $60k).
  • Recommended offer: $53k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 5.2% in Kirksville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#211 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, health & safety B+; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Kirksville R-III (town): math 31% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #194 of 324 in MO (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Kirksville Primary (703 students, 49% FRL); William Matthew Middle School (math 27% / reading 39%, grade F, #265 of 391 statewide, top 69%, 493 students, 44% FRL); Kirksville Sr. High (math 27% / reading 57%, grade F, #218 of 521 statewide, top 45%, 808 students, 34% FRL) — zoned schools at 42% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 234 active listings in the ZIP; 18 units permitted in Adair County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 16% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $414 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 698 days — a 12% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $50k; 20% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 27% of rent.
Recommended offer $52,712 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 698 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.35%
Cap rate
6.92%
Cash-on-cash
2.23%
DSCR
1.10
GRM
6.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$48,300
List price
$59,900
Delta
24.02%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
3 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.82% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.8%
Equity multiple
0.54×
Total profit
$-7,737
Equity at exit
$8,931
10-year hold
IRR
-3.8%
Equity multiple
0.75×
Total profit
$-4,244
Equity at exit
$5,179

Cash invested: $16,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63501

Home prices YoY
-31.5%
Rents YoY
2.8%
Active inventory
234
Price-to-rent
6.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$811 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$314
Tax from tax record
$51 /mo · $607/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$220
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$170
Net cashflow
$31

Break-even live

Break-even rent $772
Max offer price $59,900
Occupancy floor 91%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $65 -5% $48 +0% $31 +5% $14 +10% $-3
Rent -10% $-33 -5% $-1 +0% $31 +5% $63 +10% $95
Rate -1.0pp $61 -0.5pp $46 base $31 +0.5pp $16 +1.0pp $0

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,975
Closing costs
$1,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$220 · $2,640/yr
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $59,900 Active 698 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $59,900 Active 697 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $59,900 Active 696 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $59,900 Active 695 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $59,900 Active 694 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $59,900 Active 692 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $59,900 Active 691 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $59,900 Active 688 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $59,900 Active 687 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $59,900 Active 686 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $59,900 Active 685 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $59,900 Active 682 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $59,900 Active 681 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $59,900 Active 680 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $59,900 Active 679 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $59,900 Active 678 DOM
  17. 2026-01-08
    status Active 398-char remark
    Show marketing remark (362 chars)

    INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY! 2 bedroom, 1 bath GROUND FLOOR condo with excellent rental history! Well cared for units with good rental history and include all appliances, including washer & dryer. Available to owner occupy on ground floor! Multiple units available from this owner. Call Megan Roof 660-988-2050 for more info! Visit Remax.com for a virtual tour.

  18. 2026-01-08
    status Active 362-char remark
    Show marketing remark (362 chars)

    INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY! 2 bedroom, 1 bath GROUND FLOOR condo with excellent rental history! Well cared for units with good rental history and include all appliances, including washer & dryer. Available to owner occupy on ground floor! Multiple units available from this owner. Call Megan Roof 660-988-2050 for more info! Visit Remax.com for a virtual tour.

  19. 2024-07-11
    listed $59,900 Active 398-char remark
    Show marketing remark (398 chars)

    INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY! 2 bedroom, 1 bath GROUND FLOOR condo with excellent rental history! Well cared for units that are rented through 2025 and include all appliances, including washer & dryer. Purchase to owner-occupy after the lease expires or add to your portfolio. Multiple units available from this owner. Call Megan Roof 660-988-2050 for more info! Visit Remax.com for a virtual tour.

  20. 2024-07-03
    listed $59,900 Active 362-char remark
    Show marketing remark (362 chars)

    INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY! 2 bedroom, 1 bath GROUND FLOOR condo with excellent rental history! Well cared for units with good rental history and include all appliances, including washer & dryer. Available to owner occupy on ground floor! Multiple units available from this owner. Call Megan Roof 660-988-2050 for more info! Visit Remax.com for a virtual tour.

  21. 2011-07-15
    soldstatus $50,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$607 · $51/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$607 · $51/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$9,734
− Mortgage interest
−$3,355
− Property taxes
−$607
− Insurance
−$300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$779
− Management
−$779
− HOA
−$2,640
− Depreciation
−$1,743
Taxable loss
−$468
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$112
After-tax cash flow
$486/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Kirksville R-III
NCES district ID
2916740
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$33,570
Composite
31.21/100
National rank
#6037
State rank
#194 of 324 in MO

Livability — Kirksville

Score
67/100
State rank
#211
US rank
#10590

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment F Housing A Health & safety B+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Kirksville, MO
County
Adair County · 21,218 people
City population
21,218
Metro
Kirksville, MO
Population (ZIP)
21,218
Household income
$60,729
Rent vs Own
44.1% rent · 55.9% own
Severe rent burden
702.0

Population outlook (Adair County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
25,570 people
By 2030
25,728 · +0.6%
By 2040
25,556 · -0.1%
By 2050
25,811 · +0.9%
By 2075
29,164 · +14.1%
By 2100
31,846 · +24.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Black 5% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Jamaica, South Korea
Languages at home
94% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Adair

2024 margin
Solid R (+33.6) · D 32.6% · R 66.2% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-32.3pp toward R · 2008: -1.3pp · 2024: -33.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+33.6 2020: R+26.2 2016: R+24.9 2012: R+14.1 2008: R+1.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -77.58%
Current HPI
168.7332
Rent YoY
▲ 2.82%
Metro
Kirksville, MO
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+19.8% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-08 Relisted NECAR
  • 2026-01-08 Relisted NECAR
  • 2024-07-11 Listed $59,900 NECAR
  • 2024-07-03 Listed $59,900 NECAR
  • 2011-07-15 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.9%/yr

Latest (2024): $607 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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