2903 Woodwinds Ct · Kirksville, MO
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.1/30.0
- 1% rule +8.5/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$59,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY! 2 bedroom, 1 bath GROUND FLOOR condo with excellent rental history! Well cared for units that are rented through 2025 and include all appliances, including washer & dryer. Purchase to owner-occupy after the lease expires or add to your portfolio. Multiple units available from this owner. Call Megan Roof 660-988-2050 for more info! Visit Remax.com for a virtual tour.
Key facts
- Ground floor condo
- Pool
- Built 1984
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $60k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $31 ($374/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($811 rent vs $60k).
- Recommended offer: $53k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 5.2% in Kirksville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#211 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, health & safety B+; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
- Kirksville R-III (town): math 31% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #194 of 324 in MO (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Kirksville Primary (703 students, 49% FRL); William Matthew Middle School (math 27% / reading 39%, grade F, #265 of 391 statewide, top 69%, 493 students, 44% FRL); Kirksville Sr. High (math 27% / reading 57%, grade F, #218 of 521 statewide, top 45%, 808 students, 34% FRL) — zoned schools at 42% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 234 active listings in the ZIP; 18 units permitted in Adair County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 16% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $414 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 698 days — a 12% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $50k; 20% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 27% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 698 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.35% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.92%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.23%
- DSCR
- 1.10
- GRM
- 6.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $48,300
- List price
- $59,900
- Delta
- 24.02%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.82% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.54×
- Total profit
- $-7,737
- Equity at exit
- $8,931
- IRR
- -3.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.75×
- Total profit
- $-4,244
- Equity at exit
- $5,179
Cash invested: $16,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63501
- Home prices YoY
- -31.5%
- Rents YoY
- 2.8%
- Active inventory
- 234
- Price-to-rent
- 6.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $811 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$314
- Tax from tax record
- −$51 /mo · $607/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$220
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$170
- Net cashflow
- $31
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $65 | -5% $48 | +0% $31 | +5% $14 | +10% $-3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-33 | -5% $-1 | +0% $31 | +5% $63 | +10% $95 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $61 | -0.5pp $46 | base $31 | +0.5pp $16 | +1.0pp $0 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,975
- Closing costs
- $1,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $220 · $2,640/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 21 events
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2026-06-19days on market $59,900 Active 698 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $59,900 Active 697 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $59,900 Active 696 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $59,900 Active 695 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $59,900 Active 694 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $59,900 Active 692 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $59,900 Active 691 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $59,900 Active 688 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $59,900 Active 687 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $59,900 Active 686 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $59,900 Active 685 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $59,900 Active 682 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $59,900 Active 681 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $59,900 Active 680 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $59,900 Active 679 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $59,900 Active 678 DOM
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2026-01-08status Active 398-char remark
Show marketing remark (362 chars)
INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY! 2 bedroom, 1 bath GROUND FLOOR condo with excellent rental history! Well cared for units with good rental history and include all appliances, including washer & dryer. Available to owner occupy on ground floor! Multiple units available from this owner. Call Megan Roof 660-988-2050 for more info! Visit Remax.com for a virtual tour.
-
2026-01-08status Active 362-char remark
Show marketing remark (362 chars)
INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY! 2 bedroom, 1 bath GROUND FLOOR condo with excellent rental history! Well cared for units with good rental history and include all appliances, including washer & dryer. Available to owner occupy on ground floor! Multiple units available from this owner. Call Megan Roof 660-988-2050 for more info! Visit Remax.com for a virtual tour.
-
2024-07-11$59,900 Active 398-char remark
Show marketing remark (398 chars)
INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY! 2 bedroom, 1 bath GROUND FLOOR condo with excellent rental history! Well cared for units that are rented through 2025 and include all appliances, including washer & dryer. Purchase to owner-occupy after the lease expires or add to your portfolio. Multiple units available from this owner. Call Megan Roof 660-988-2050 for more info! Visit Remax.com for a virtual tour.
-
2024-07-03$59,900 Active 362-char remark
Show marketing remark (362 chars)
INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY! 2 bedroom, 1 bath GROUND FLOOR condo with excellent rental history! Well cared for units with good rental history and include all appliances, including washer & dryer. Available to owner occupy on ground floor! Multiple units available from this owner. Call Megan Roof 660-988-2050 for more info! Visit Remax.com for a virtual tour.
-
2011-07-15soldstatus $50,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $607 · $51/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $607 · $51/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $9,734
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,355
- − Property taxes
- −$607
- − Insurance
- −$300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$779
- − Management
- −$779
- − HOA
- −$2,640
- − Depreciation
- −$1,743
- Taxable loss
- −$468
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$112
- After-tax cash flow
- $486/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Kirksville R-III
- NCES district ID
- 2916740
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,570
- Composite
- 31.21/100
- National rank
- #6037
- State rank
- #194 of 324 in MO
Livability — Kirksville
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #211
- US rank
- #10590
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Kirksville, MO
- County
- Adair County · 21,218 people
- City population
- 21,218
- Metro
- Kirksville, MO
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,218
- Household income
- $60,729
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 702.0
Population outlook (Adair County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 25,570 people
- By 2030
- 25,728 · +0.6%
- By 2040
- 25,556 · -0.1%
- By 2050
- 25,811 · +0.9%
- By 2075
- 29,164 · +14.1%
- By 2100
- 31,846 · +24.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Black 5% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Jamaica, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Adair
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+33.6) · D 32.6% · R 66.2% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.3pp toward R · 2008: -1.3pp · 2024: -33.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+33.6 2020: R+26.2 2016: R+24.9 2012: R+14.1 2008: R+1.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -77.58%
- Current HPI
- 168.7332
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.82%
- Metro
- Kirksville, MO
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
+19.8% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-08 Relisted — NECAR
- 2026-01-08 Relisted — NECAR
- 2024-07-11 Listed $59,900 NECAR
- 2024-07-03 Listed $59,900 NECAR
- 2011-07-15 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.9%/yrLatest (2024): $607 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…