1409 Taylor Ave · Clanton, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 66.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$87,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
2 bedroom, 1 bath home offering a strong investment opportunity with value-add potential. The property features a functional layout and primarily cosmetic updates, allowing for a straightforward renovation. Great for a quick resale or as a rental with built-in equity, this home provides flexibility for investors seeking a flip or long-term hold. Conveniently located with solid upside and potential for increased value with improvements. This is an equitable interest listing where seller is selling only an option contract or assigning an interest in a contract, such as a purchase and sale agreement or a contract for deed. In this situation, the seller does not have legal title to the property
Key facts
- Functional layout
- Cosmetic updates
- 0.31 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $87k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $534 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $87k).
- Cap rate 13.7% vs local median 3.4% in Clanton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#259 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D-, crime D-, amenities F.
- Chilton County (rural): math 15% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #94 of 129 in AL (top 73%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 125 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 25 units permitted in Chilton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $601 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Chilton County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 66% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.52% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.65%
- Cash-on-cash
- 26.29%
- DSCR
- 2.17
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $171,174
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1409 Taylor Ave | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 1,214 (0%) | 1mo | $60,000 | $49 | 100 |
| 1409 4th Ave N | 0.18mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,160 (-4%) | 10mo | $185,000 | $159 | 70 |
| 223 Louise St | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,208 (-0%) | 2mo | $208,900 | $173 | 66 |
| 1304 2nd Ave N | 0.14mi | 2/1.0 | 1,088 (-10%) | 13mo | $98,000 | $90 | 65 |
| 1693 4th Ave N | 0.37mi | 2/2.0 | 1,152 (-5%) | 11mo | $175,000 | $152 | 60 |
| 1006 2nd Ave N | 0.42mi | 2/2.0 | 1,358 (+12%) | 0mo | $165,000 | $122 | 56 |
| 1003 2nd Ave N | 0.46mi | 2/1.0 | 1,073 (-12%) | 9mo | $165,500 | $154 | 52 |
| 1405 2nd Ave N | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,372 (+13%) | 17mo | $165,250 | $120 | 51 |
| 401 17th St N | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,076 (-11%) | 12mo | $50,000 | $46 | 47 |
| 1804 4th Ave N | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,326 (+9%) | 18mo | $186,500 | $141 | 36 |
| 107 Hinkle Rd | 0.59mi | 2/2.0 | 1,100 (-9%) | 21mo | $165,000 | $150 | 35 |
| 1001 Rollan St | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,092 (-10%) | 15mo | $150,000 | $137 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.81×
- Total profit
- $19,852
- Equity at exit
- $12,972
- IRR
- 28.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.50×
- Total profit
- $60,906
- Equity at exit
- $7,522
Cash invested: $24,360 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35045
- Home prices YoY
- -25.8%
- Active inventory
- 125
- Price-to-rent
- 5.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,323 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$456
- Tax from tax record
- −$19 /mo · $233/yr
- Insurance
- −$36
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$278
- Net cashflow
- $534
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,750
- Closing costs
- $2,610
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 57 Park Dr S Clanton, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1192 | $1,200 | $1.01 | 43d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 85 Park Dr S Clanton, AL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1204 | $1,395 | $1.16 | 23d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 87 Park Dr S Clanton, AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1344 | $1,495 | $1.11 | 23d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 89 Park Dr S Clanton, AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1344 | $1,495 | $1.11 | 23d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 91 Park Dr S Clanton, AL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1204 | $1,395 | $1.16 | 23d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-04-27status Pending
-
2026-04-23$87,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $233 · $19/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $357 · $30/mo
- Expected delta
- +$124/yr (+$10/mo · 53.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 66% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,881
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,873
- − Property taxes
- −$233
- − Insurance
- −$435
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,270
- − Management
- −$1,270
- − Depreciation
- −$2,531
- Taxable income
- $5,268
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,264
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,139/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Chilton County
- NCES district ID
- 0100660
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -26.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,269
- Composite
- 20.73/100
- National rank
- #8520
- State rank
- #94 of 129 in AL
Livability — Clanton
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #259
- US rank
- #18072
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Clanton, AL
- County
- Chilton County · 15,324 people
- City population
- 15,324
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,324
- Household income
- $65,907
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 326.0
Population outlook (Chilton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 44,064 people
- By 2030
- 43,694 · -0.8%
- By 2040
- 42,168 · -4.3%
- By 2050
- 39,667 · -10.0%
- By 2075
- 31,397 · -28.7%
- By 2100
- 21,319 · -51.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Black 9% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 4% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Serbian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Chilton
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+72.1) · D 13.7% · R 85.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.3pp toward R · 2008: -57.8pp · 2024: -72.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+72.1 2020: R+67.4 2016: R+66.6 2012: R+60.3 2008: R+57.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -65.21%
- Current HPI
- 187.6339
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-27 Pending — MAAR
- 2026-04-23 Listed $87,000 MAAR
Property tax history
+5.8%/yrLatest (2025): $233 · +2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…