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2995 Chesilhurst Ct
D- Composite 39.82
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +11.7/15.0
  • Cash flow +9.9/30.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.9/10.0
  • DSCR +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$299,900

2995 Chesilhurst Ct · Powder Springs, GA 30127
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,985 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 45 Days on market
Built 1993 8,629 sqft lot $151/sqft · 9% below area Est $331k · 9% under $7/mo HOA

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming split-level home tucked away on a peaceful cul-de-sac in the desirable Melrose Square community. Step inside to a vaulted great room with a cozy brick fireplace, a formal dining area, and a bright kitchen with ample cabinet space, perfect for everyday living and entertaining. The lower level offers a versatile bonus room with additional living space, while the back deck provides a great spot to relax or host gatherings overlooking the backyard. Upstairs features a spacious primary suite with a large bath, along with two generously sized secondary bedrooms. With solid bones and plenty of potential, this home is ideal for buyers looking to add their personal touch. Being sold as-is, it presents a fantastic opportunity to customize or invest in a rapidly growing area just minutes from shopping, dining, and everything Cobb County has to offer.

Key facts

  • Bright kitchen
  • Vaulted great room
  • Brick fireplace

Tags

SPLIT-LEVEL HOMECUL-DE-SACVAULTED GREAT ROOMBRICK FIREPLACEFORMAL DINING AREABRIGHT KITCHEN

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $300k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-188 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $267k (11.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $236k (21.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $236k (21.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 3.7% in Powder Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#79 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A, employment B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Cobb County (suburban): math 39% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #25 of 174 in GA (top 14%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 650 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,625 units permitted in Cobb County in 2024 (389 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cobb County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($291k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 9 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $107k; list at $300k implies a 181% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $235,898 (21.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.79%
Cap rate
5.54%
Cash-on-cash
-2.68%
DSCR
0.88
GRM
10.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$331,096
List price
$299,900
Delta
-9.42%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5069 Glendora Dr 0.06mi 3/2.0 1,998 (+1%) 6mo $340,000 $170 92
5212 Glendora Ct 0.17mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,792 (-10%) 6mo $300,000 $167 66
3168 Hopeland Ct 0.36mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,140 (+8%) 3mo $377,000 $176 61
2981 Elberta Ter 0.30mi 3/3.0 1,730 (-13%) 2mo $350,000 $202 59
5050 Hopeland Dr 0.40mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,826 (-8%) 6mo $345,000 $189 56
3311 Hillside Dr 0.74mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,040 (+3%) 0mo $340,000 $167 56
2619 Restoration Dr 0.47mi 3/2.0 2,267 (+14%) 0mo $495,000 $218 54
3109 Nectar Dr 0.30mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,215 (+12%) 5mo $385,000 $174 54
4801 Deer Chase 0.52mi 3/2.5 1,734 (-13%) 4mo $335,000 $193 50
4808 Winding Ln 0.61mi 3/2.5 1,740 (-12%) 1mo $352,500 $203 48
3383 Lochness Ln 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,746 (-12%) 8mo $300,000 $172 39
4537 Rushing Wind Ct 0.66mi 3/2.5 1,711 (-14%) 7mo $323,100 $189 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.74% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-23.3%
Equity multiple
0.22×
Total profit
$-65,766
Equity at exit
$44,716
10-year hold
IRR
-25.2%
Equity multiple
-0.11×
Total profit
$-93,132
Equity at exit
$25,930

Cash invested: $83,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30127

Rents YoY
0.7%
Active inventory
650
Price-to-rent
10.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,359 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,573
Tax from tax record
$346 /mo · $4,158/yr
Insurance
$125
HOA
$7
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$495
Net cashflow
$-188

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,596
Max offer price $266,767
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$74,975
Closing costs
$8,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4860 Country Cove Way Powder Springs, GA 3.0 2.0 1370 $1,999 $1.46 2d 1 0.22mi
3111 Nectar Dr Powder Springs, GA 3.0 2.0 1585 $2,500 $1.58 43d 1 0.32mi
5306 Yoshino Ter Powder Springs, GA 4.0 2.5 2356 $2,800 $1.19 24d 1 0.46mi
5259 Springtide Ln Powder Springs, GA 3.0 3.0 1700 $1,895 $1.11 22d 1 0.60mi
1199 Paddocks Way Powder Springs, GA 3.0 2.5 1505 $1,661 $1.10 5d 1 0.65mi
1422 Gentry Ct Powder Springs, GA 3.0 2.0 1624 $2,299 $1.42 43d 1 0.95mi
1440 Paddocks Ct Powder Springs, GA 4.0 3.0 1920 $2,400 $1.25 24d 1 1.04mi
4306 Jones Ct Powder Springs, GA 3.0 2.0 1776 $1,980 $1.11 24d 1 1.22mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$7 · $84/yr

Listing history 42 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $299,900 Pending 45 DOM
  2. 2026-06-04
    days on market $299,900 Active 44 DOM
  3. 2026-06-03
    days on market $299,900 Active 43 DOM
  4. 2026-06-02
    days on market $299,900 Active 42 DOM
  5. 2026-06-01
    days on market $299,900 Active 41 DOM
  6. 2026-05-31
    days on market $299,900 Active 40 DOM
  7. 2026-04-22
    listed $310,000 New 861-char remark
    Show marketing remark (861 chars)

    Charming split-level home tucked away on a peaceful cul-de-sac in the desirable Melrose Square community. Step inside to a vaulted great room with a cozy brick fireplace, a formal dining area, and a bright kitchen with ample cabinet space, perfect for everyday living and entertaining. The lower level offers a versatile bonus room with additional living space, while the back deck provides a great spot to relax or host gatherings overlooking the backyard. Upstairs features a spacious primary suite with a large bath, along with two generously sized secondary bedrooms. With solid bones and plenty of potential, this home is ideal for buyers looking to add their personal touch. Being sold as-is, it presents a fantastic opportunity to customize or invest in a rapidly growing area just minutes from shopping, dining, and everything Cobb County has to offer.

  8. 2026-04-20
    listed $310,000 Active 861-char remark
    Show marketing remark (861 chars)

    Charming split-level home tucked away on a peaceful cul-de-sac in the desirable Melrose Square community. Step inside to a vaulted great room with a cozy brick fireplace, a formal dining area, and a bright kitchen with ample cabinet space, perfect for everyday living and entertaining. The lower level offers a versatile bonus room with additional living space, while the back deck provides a great spot to relax or host gatherings overlooking the backyard. Upstairs features a spacious primary suite with a large bath, along with two generously sized secondary bedrooms. With solid bones and plenty of potential, this home is ideal for buyers looking to add their personal touch. Being sold as-is, it presents a fantastic opportunity to customize or invest in a rapidly growing area just minutes from shopping, dining, and everything Cobb County has to offer.

  9. 2026-04-05
    historical $1,999
  10. 2026-03-19
    listed $1,999
  11. 2014-12-23
    price $106,900
  12. 2014-12-23
    soldstatus $106,900
  13. 2014-12-18
    price $106,900
  14. 2014-12-16
    historical
  15. 2014-12-08
    historical
  16. 2014-12-05
    soldstatus $106,900 Sold
  17. 2014-12-05
    price $125,000
  18. 2014-12-05
    soldstatus $106,900 Sold
  19. 2014-12-02
    status Pending
  20. 2014-11-24
    status Under Contract
  21. 2014-11-24
    historical Contingent - Due Diligence
  22. 2014-11-24
    price $125,000
  23. 2014-11-17
    status Back On Market
  24. 2014-11-17
    status Active
  25. 2014-11-08
    price $59,000
  26. 2014-11-04
    status Under Contract
  27. 2014-11-03
    status Pending Offer Approval
  28. 2014-10-31
    listed $125,000 New
  29. 2014-10-31
    listed $125,000 Active
  30. 2013-08-27
    soldstatus $65,000
  31. 2012-02-21
    historical
  32. 2012-02-16
    soldstatus $59,000 Sold
  33. 2012-02-16
    soldstatus $59,000 Sold
  34. 2012-01-23
    historical
  35. 2012-01-13
    status Under Contract
  36. 2012-01-11
    status Pending
  37. 2012-01-05
    price $59,900
  38. 2011-12-30
    listed $59,900 New
  39. 2011-12-28
    listed $59,900 Active
  40. 2010-09-14
    price $135,000 Reduced
  41. 1995-08-02
    soldstatus $94,500
  42. 1992-09-09
    soldstatus $84,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,158 · $346/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,158 · $346/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 21% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,308
− Mortgage interest
−$16,799
− Property taxes
−$4,158
− Insurance
−$1,500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,265
− Management
−$2,265
− HOA
−$84
− Depreciation
−$8,724
Taxable loss
−$7,486
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,797
After-tax cash flow
$-454/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cobb County
NCES district ID
1301290
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$68,845
Composite
37.93/100
National rank
#4308
State rank
#25 of 174 in GA

Livability — Powder Springs

Score
71/100
State rank
#79
US rank
#6846

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A Crime B- Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Cobb County · 777,758 people
City population
71,626
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
Population (ZIP)
71,626
Household income
$110,904
Rent vs Own
14.6% rent · 85.4% own
Severe rent burden
912.0

Population outlook (Cobb County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
868,385 people
By 2030
929,614 · +7.1%
By 2040
1,047,533 · +20.6%
By 2050
1,155,537 · +33.1%
By 2075
1,405,030 · +61.8%
By 2100
1,555,058 · +79.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
Black 45% White 37% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 7% Asian 1% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 2% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
85% English-only · Spanish 8% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cobb

2024 margin
D (+14.9) · D 56.9% · R 42.0% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+24.3pp toward D · 2008: -9.4pp · 2024: 14.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+14.9 2020: D+14.3 2016: D+2.1 2012: R+12.6 2008: R+9.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -161.28%
Current HPI
222.6123
Rent YoY
▲ 0.74%
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+265.1% since first listed
36 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-22 Listed $310,000 GAMLS
  • 2026-04-20 Listed $310,000 FMLS
  • 2026-04-05 Rental Removed $1,999 Tricon
  • 2026-03-19 Listed for Rent $1,999 Tricon
  • 2014-12-23 Price Changed $106,900 GAMLS
  • 2014-12-23 Sold (Public Records) $106,900 Public Records
  • 2014-12-18 Price Changed $106,900 FMLS
  • 2014-12-16 Listing Removed FMLS
  • 2014-12-08 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2014-12-05 Sold (MLS) $106,900 GAMLS
  • 2014-12-05 Sold (MLS) $106,900 FMLS
  • 2014-12-05 Price Changed $125,000 FMLS
  • 2014-12-02 Pending FMLS
  • 2014-11-24 Pending GAMLS
  • 2014-11-24 Contingent FMLS
  • 2014-11-24 Price Changed $125,000 GAMLS
  • 2014-11-17 Relisted GAMLS
  • 2014-11-17 Relisted FMLS
  • 2014-11-08 Price Changed $59,000 GAMLS
  • 2014-11-04 Pending GAMLS
  • 2014-11-03 Pending FMLS
  • 2014-10-31 Listed $125,000 GAMLS
  • 2014-10-31 Listed $125,000 FMLS
  • 2013-08-27 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
  • 2012-02-21 Listing Removed FMLS
  • 2012-02-16 Sold (MLS) $59,000 GAMLS
  • 2012-02-16 Sold (MLS) $59,000 FMLS
  • 2012-01-23 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2012-01-13 Pending GAMLS
  • 2012-01-11 Pending FMLS
  • 2012-01-05 Price Changed $59,900 GAMLS
  • 2011-12-30 Listed $59,900 GAMLS
  • 2011-12-28 Listed $59,900 FMLS
  • 2010-09-14 Price Changed $135,000 GAMLS
  • 1995-08-02 Sold (Public Records) $94,500 Public Records
  • 1992-09-09 Sold (Public Records) $84,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+8.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,158 · -5.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…