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256-258-258 Sinnickson St
C+ Composite 64.27
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +9.2/15.0
  • DSCR +8.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0

$182,500

256-258-258 Sinnickson St · Salem, NJ 08079
6 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,898 sqft · Townhouse public records · 43 Days on market
Built 1920 2,613 sqft lot Est $190k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Prime investment opportunity in the heart of Salem! This side-by-side duplex at 256–258 Sinnickson St offers two generously sized units, each with strong income potential and versatility for both investors and owner-occupants alike. Recently renovated throughout, both units showcase modern upgrades, updated finishes, and are completely move-in ready. Each side features a practical layout with its own private entrance, providing the perfect setup to generate rental income or occupy one unit while leasing the other. Conveniently situated near schools, shopping, public transportation, and major highways, the location supports steady rental demand and future appreciation. Whether you&rsqu

Key facts

  • Move-in ready
  • Side-by-side duplex
  • Updated finishes

Tags

INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITYSIDE-BY-SIDE DUPLEXSTRONG INCOME POTENTIALPRIVATE ENTRANCEUPDATED FINISHESMOVE-IN READY

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Finished above-grade area approximately 1,898
  • Financial info: Fee simple ownership

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Natural gas heating and hot water; Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Semi-detached property; Estimated year built
  • Construction: Wood siding; Other type foundation; Above-grade and below-grade structures
  • Exterior features: Sidewalks

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level; Three bedrooms on the first upper level
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms total (one full on main level, one full on first upper level)
  • Heating & cooling: 90% forced air heating; Natural gas hot water
  • Interior features: Full basement; Living area per assessor

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 6-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $182k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $417 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $182k).
  • Recommended offer: $177k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#462 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Salem City School District (town): math 6% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #464 of 472 in NJ (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 85% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: John Fenwick Academy (411 students, 77% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 100 active listings in the ZIP; 95 units permitted in Salem County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,250/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($55k/yr) (locally 663% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $568 of equity ($1k loan paydown + $-694 appreciation (-0.4% local appreciation)).
  • Salem County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-0.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $51k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($177k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $110k; list at $182k implies a 66% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $177,025 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.23%
Cap rate
9.03%
Cash-on-cash
9.79%
DSCR
1.44
GRM
6.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$189,800
Comps found
4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
64 Eighth St 0.56mi 5/1.5 (-1) 1,894 (-0%) 11mo $190,000 $100 58
15 Oak St 0.45mi 5/2.0 (-1) 2,014 (+6%) 23mo $130,000 $65 44
120 8th St 0.42mi 5/1.5 (-1) 1,660 (-12%) 11mo $160,000 $96 43
62 8th St 0.56mi 5/1.5 (-1) 1,797 (-5%) 20mo $190,000 $106 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.38% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
7.6%
Equity multiple
1.35×
Total profit
$18,070
Equity at exit
$49,549
10-year hold
IRR
13.1%
Equity multiple
2.38×
Total profit
$70,657
Equity at exit
$56,878

Cash invested: $51,100 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 08079

Home prices YoY
-0.1%
Active inventory
100
Price-to-rent
6.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,250 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$957
Tax from tax record
$328 /mo · $3,934/yr
Insurance
$76
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$473
Net cashflow
$417

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,723
Max offer price $182,500
Occupancy floor 76%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $520 -5% $469 +0% $417 +5% $365 +10% $314
Rent -10% $239 -5% $328 +0% $417 +5% $506 +10% $595
Rate -1.0pp $509 -0.5pp $463 base $417 +0.5pp $370 +1.0pp $321

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$45,625
Closing costs
$5,475
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 30 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $182,500 Active 43 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $182,500 Active 42 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $182,500 Active 41 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    price $182,500 Active 40 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $185,000 Active 40 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $185,000 Active 38 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $185,000 Active 37 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $185,000 Active 34 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $185,000 Active 33 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $185,000 Active 32 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $185,000 Active 29 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $185,000 Active 28 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $185,000 Active 27 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $185,000 Active 26 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $185,000 Active 25 DOM
  16. 2026-05-06
    listed $185,000 Active
  17. 2026-04-25
    historical
  18. 2026-04-24
    listed $190,000 Active
  19. 2016-10-15
    historical
  20. 2016-07-07
    listed $9,200
  21. 2016-06-01
    historical
  22. 2016-03-01
    listed $10,200
  23. 2015-12-21
    historical
  24. 2015-09-22
    listed $10,200
  25. 2013-12-31
    historical
  26. 2013-03-25
    listed $25,000
  27. 2012-06-13
    historical
  28. 2011-11-12
    listed $29,900
  29. 2008-01-18
    soldstatus $110,000
  30. 2004-11-17
    soldstatus $25,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,934 · $328/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,239 · $353/mo
Expected delta
+$305/yr (+$25/mo · 7.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 56% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,005
− Mortgage interest
−$10,223
− Property taxes
−$3,934
− Insurance
−$912
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,160
− Management
−$2,160
− Depreciation
−$5,309
Taxable income
$2,305
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$553
After-tax cash flow
$4,449/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Salem City School District
NCES district ID
3414550
Math proficiency
6% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$27,118
Composite
11.51/100
National rank
#9702
State rank
#464 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Salem

Score
61/100
State rank
#462
US rank
#17533

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment F Housing F Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Salem, NJ
County
Salem County · 24,175 people
City population
10,762
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
Population (ZIP)
10,762
Household income
$54,641
Rent vs Own
42.5% rent · 57.5% own
Severe rent burden
663.0

Population outlook (Salem County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
59,905 people
By 2030
57,351 · -4.3%
By 2040
51,837 · -13.5%
By 2050
46,356 · -22.6%
By 2075
36,452 · -39.2%
By 2100
28,907 · -51.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
Race & ethnicity
White 59% Black 31% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 4% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Salem

2024 margin
R (+19.2) · D 39.6% · R 58.8% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-23.1pp toward R · 2008: 3.9pp · 2024: -19.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.2 2020: R+12.8 2016: R+15.4 2012: D+0.8 2008: D+3.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -0.38%
Current HPI
258.0047
Rent YoY
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+640.0% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-06 Listed $185,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-25 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-24 Listed $190,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2016-10-15 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2016-07-07 Listed $9,200 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2016-06-01 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2016-03-01 Listed $10,200 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2015-12-21 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2015-09-22 Listed $10,200 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2013-12-31 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2013-03-25 Listed $25,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2012-06-13 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2011-11-12 Listed $29,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2008-01-18 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records
  • 2004-11-17 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,934 · +4.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…