1154 Lansdowne Ave · Camden, NJ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.1/30.0
- DSCR +8.8/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.0/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
INVESTOR SPECIAL STRICLY AS IS ALL REPAIRS AND CO WILL BE RESPONSIBILTY OF BUYER CAN BE PURCHASED INDIVIDUALLY OR AS PART OF A BUNDLE OF 5 TOTAL PROPERTIES-CALL AGENT FOR BUNDLE PRICING NJCD2009472 NJCD2009476 NJCD2008474 NJCD2009470
Key facts
- Built 1913
- Listed 50 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $376 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $146k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 7.1% in Camden — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#262 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Camden City School District (urban): math 3% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #472 of 472 in NJ (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 86% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 95 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,018 units permitted in Camden County in 2024 (509 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Camden County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $67k; list at $150k implies a 125% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1913 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1913 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.30%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.73%
- DSCR
- 1.48
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $70,645
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1218 Atlantic Ave | 0.12mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 910 (-8%) | 10mo | $60,000 | $66 | 67 |
| 1738 Tioga St | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 | 980 (-2%) | 19mo | $70,000 | $71 | 62 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.99×
- Total profit
- $-420
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- 9.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.72×
- Total profit
- $30,279
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08104
- Active inventory
- 95
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,652 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$80 /mo · $966/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$347
- Net cashflow
- $376
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 18 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1502 S 9th St Camden, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,475 | $1.40 | 19d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 1364 Kaighn Ave Camden, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,485 | $1.63 | 3d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 1055 Kenwood Ave Camden, NJ | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1088 | $1,875 | $1.72 | 24d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 1509 Park Blvd Camden, NJ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 1075 | $1,650 | $1.53 | 24d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 1538 Bradley Ave Unit B Camden, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 670 | $1,195 | $1.78 | 24d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 1566 Bradley Ave Unit A Camden, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 640 | $1,495 | $2.34 | 24d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 708 Royden St Camden, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1113 | $1,595 | $1.43 | 17d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 537 Newton Ave Camden, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $1,500 | $1.37 | 18d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 537 Newton Ave Camden, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $1,500 | $1.37 | 13d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 727 Berkley St Camden, NJ | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1008 | $1,660 | $1.65 | 24d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 141 Cooper Ave Oaklyn, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,725 | $2.03 | 24d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 145 Cooper Ave Unit 1N Woodlynne, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,725 | $2.03 | 18d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 1759 S 4th St Unit B Camden, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,500 | $1.88 | 24d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 225 Haddon Ave Collingswood, NJ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1211 | $3,372 | $2.78 | 1d | 6 | 1.35mi |
| 301 Champion Ave Oaklyn, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 661 | $1,770 | $2.68 | 4d | 3 | 1.36mi |
| 132 E Franklin Ave Unit A Collingswood, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,400 | $2.40 | 24d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 2829 Idaho Rd Camden, NJ | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1048 | $1,700 | $1.62 | 24d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 527 Penn St Unit 1A Camden, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,500 | $1.88 | 18d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-04-14status Pending
-
2026-02-23$150,000 Active
-
2022-07-19soldstatus $66,525
-
2022-06-15soldstatus $66,525 Closed 235-char remark
Show marketing remark (235 chars)
INVESTOR SPECIAL STRICLY AS IS ALL REPAIRS AND CO WILL BE RESPONSIBILTY OF BUYER CAN BE PURCHASED INDIVIDUALLY OR AS PART OF A BUNDLE OF 5 TOTAL PROPERTIES-CALL AGENT FOR BUNDLE PRICING NJCD2009472 NJCD2009476 NJCD2008474 NJCD2009470
-
2022-05-10status Pending 235-char remark
Show marketing remark (235 chars)
INVESTOR SPECIAL STRICLY AS IS ALL REPAIRS AND CO WILL BE RESPONSIBILTY OF BUYER CAN BE PURCHASED INDIVIDUALLY OR AS PART OF A BUNDLE OF 5 TOTAL PROPERTIES-CALL AGENT FOR BUNDLE PRICING NJCD2009472 NJCD2009476 NJCD2008474 NJCD2009470
-
2022-05-02status Active 235-char remark
Show marketing remark (235 chars)
INVESTOR SPECIAL STRICLY AS IS ALL REPAIRS AND CO WILL BE RESPONSIBILTY OF BUYER CAN BE PURCHASED INDIVIDUALLY OR AS PART OF A BUNDLE OF 5 TOTAL PROPERTIES-CALL AGENT FOR BUNDLE PRICING NJCD2009472 NJCD2009476 NJCD2008474 NJCD2009470
-
2022-04-30historical 235-char remark
Show marketing remark (235 chars)
INVESTOR SPECIAL STRICLY AS IS ALL REPAIRS AND CO WILL BE RESPONSIBILTY OF BUYER CAN BE PURCHASED INDIVIDUALLY OR AS PART OF A BUNDLE OF 5 TOTAL PROPERTIES-CALL AGENT FOR BUNDLE PRICING NJCD2009472 NJCD2009476 NJCD2008474 NJCD2009470
-
2022-04-19status Active 235-char remark
Show marketing remark (235 chars)
INVESTOR SPECIAL STRICLY AS IS ALL REPAIRS AND CO WILL BE RESPONSIBILTY OF BUYER CAN BE PURCHASED INDIVIDUALLY OR AS PART OF A BUNDLE OF 5 TOTAL PROPERTIES-CALL AGENT FOR BUNDLE PRICING NJCD2009472 NJCD2009476 NJCD2008474 NJCD2009470
-
2021-12-01status Pending 235-char remark
Show marketing remark (235 chars)
INVESTOR SPECIAL STRICLY AS IS ALL REPAIRS AND CO WILL BE RESPONSIBILTY OF BUYER CAN BE PURCHASED INDIVIDUALLY OR AS PART OF A BUNDLE OF 5 TOTAL PROPERTIES-CALL AGENT FOR BUNDLE PRICING NJCD2009472 NJCD2009476 NJCD2008474 NJCD2009470
-
2021-11-27historical Active Under Contract 235-char remark
Show marketing remark (235 chars)
INVESTOR SPECIAL STRICLY AS IS ALL REPAIRS AND CO WILL BE RESPONSIBILTY OF BUYER CAN BE PURCHASED INDIVIDUALLY OR AS PART OF A BUNDLE OF 5 TOTAL PROPERTIES-CALL AGENT FOR BUNDLE PRICING NJCD2009472 NJCD2009476 NJCD2008474 NJCD2009470
-
2021-11-07$72,900 Active 235-char remark
Show marketing remark (235 chars)
INVESTOR SPECIAL STRICLY AS IS ALL REPAIRS AND CO WILL BE RESPONSIBILTY OF BUYER CAN BE PURCHASED INDIVIDUALLY OR AS PART OF A BUNDLE OF 5 TOTAL PROPERTIES-CALL AGENT FOR BUNDLE PRICING NJCD2009472 NJCD2009476 NJCD2008474 NJCD2009470
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2011-04-25historical
-
2010-10-25$59,900
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2010-07-10historical
-
2010-01-10$62,000
-
2007-06-20soldstatus $30,400
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2007-05-30historical
-
2007-04-26$30,400
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2002-04-09soldstatus $45,000
-
1989-02-02soldstatus $17,100
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $966 · $80/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,350 · $196/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,385/yr (+$115/mo · 143.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,827
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$966
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,586
- − Management
- −$1,586
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable income
- $2,173
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$522
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,987/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Camden City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3402640
- Math proficiency
- 3% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,845
- Composite
- 6.85/100
- National rank
- #9981
- State rank
- #472 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Camden
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #262
- US rank
- #7721
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Camden, NJ
- City population
- 20,865
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,508
Population outlook (Camden County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 507,964 people
- By 2030
- 502,182 · -1.1%
- By 2040
- 485,602 · -4.4%
- By 2050
- 465,630 · -8.3%
- By 2075
- 419,986 · -17.3%
- By 2100
- 369,492 · -27.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 53% Hispanic / Latino 40% Two or more races 9% White 2% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 22% Cuban 2% Dominican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 69% English-only · Spanish 29% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Camden
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+27.4) · D 63.0% · R 35.5% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.8pp toward R · 2008: 36.2pp · 2024: 27.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+27.4 2020: D+33.5 2016: D+32.4 2012: D+36.6 2008: D+36.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -123.43%
- Current HPI
- 209.3596
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
|
||
| Technology | 2 | $21B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
|
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Price history
+777.2% since first listed20 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-14 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-02-23 Listed $150,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-07-19 Sold (Public Records) $66,525 Public Records
- 2022-06-15 Sold (MLS) $66,525 BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-05-10 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-05-02 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-04-30 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-04-19 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2021-12-01 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2021-11-27 Contingent — BRIGHT MLS
- 2021-11-07 Listed $72,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2011-04-25 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2010-10-25 Listed $59,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2010-07-10 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2010-01-10 Listed $62,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2007-06-20 Sold (MLS) $30,400 BRIGHT MLS
- 2007-05-30 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2007-04-26 Listed $30,400 BRIGHT MLS
- 2002-04-09 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
- 1989-02-02 Sold (Public Records) $17,100 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.3%/yrLatest (2025): $966 · +4.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…