6303 Hyde Park Hvn · Jacksonville, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 7 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$114,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Owner/Agents offering this Westside pool home with updated electrical, newer HVAC, and totally modern kitchen with all appliances. Home features hardwood floors, brick fireplace, & a large family room. The private backyard features a 17 x 34 oval inground pool with a cool deck, large trees, & professional landscaping. *SEE ADDITIONAL PICTURES* Make this your happy home!
Key facts
- Separate dining room
- Owner's suite
- Private ensuite bath
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Not a senior community
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage
- Utilities: Septic tank sewer; Electricity connected; Water available
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential use
- Construction: Concrete and stucco construction; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Back yard fenced with wood fencing; City street frontage; Asphalt road surface
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring; Wood flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Electric heating; Central air conditioning; Electric cooling
- Interior features: Wood-burning fireplace; Dishwasher
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup (in garage)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $502 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $115k).
- Cap rate 11.5% vs local median 4.0% in Jacksonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#50 in FL, #911 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
- Duval (urban): math 46% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #48 of 73 in FL (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.1%/yr); 441 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,503 units permitted in Duval County in 2024 (1,131 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $794 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Duval County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.1% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.36% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.53%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.71%
- DSCR
- 1.83
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $245,520
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2318 Barlad Dr | 0.40mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,318 (-3%) | 2mo | $250,000 | $190 | 69 |
| 2036 Bunting Dr | 0.41mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,409 (+3%) | 5mo | $194,900 | $138 | 66 |
| 6649 Pinnochio Dr | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,305 (-4%) | 3mo | $199,990 | $153 | 64 |
| 2114 Hugh Edwards Dr | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 | 1,188 (-13%) | 2mo | $244,000 | $205 | 61 |
| 5578 Shorewood Rd | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 | 1,264 (-7%) | 2mo | $215,000 | $170 | 56 |
| 6039 Hyde Park Cir | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 1,318 (-3%) | 5mo | $295,000 | $224 | 55 |
| 5358 Camille Ave | 0.57mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,420 (+4%) | 4mo | $205,000 | $144 | 54 |
| 2253 Barlad Dr | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,568 (+15%) | 5mo | $282,000 | $180 | 52 |
| 2528 Hyde Park Rd | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,457 (+7%) | 6mo | $180,000 | $124 | 51 |
| 2418 Lane Ave S | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 | 1,245 (-9%) | 4mo | $224,900 | $181 | 48 |
| 5321 Fremont St | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 | 1,166 (-14%) | 1mo | $231,000 | $198 | 46 |
| 6523 Cooper Ln | 0.70mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,562 (+14%) | 6mo | $160,000 | $102 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.11% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.37×
- Total profit
- $11,924
- Equity at exit
- $17,132
- IRR
- 17.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.43×
- Total profit
- $45,867
- Equity at exit
- $9,934
Cash invested: $32,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32210
- Rents YoY
- 2.1%
- Active inventory
- 441
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,563 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$83 /mo · $998/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$328
- Net cashflow
- $502
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,725
- Closing costs
- $3,447
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5821 San Juan Ave Jacksonville, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1056 | $1,330 | $1.26 | 3d | 7 | 0.17mi |
| 2039 Niblick Dr Jacksonville, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 847 | $1,275 | $1.51 | 3d | 10 | 0.18mi |
| 5615 San Juan Ave #208 Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1115 | $1,200 | $1.08 | 23d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 6595 San Juan Ave Jacksonville, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 846 | $1,250 | $1.48 | 19d | 4 | 0.42mi |
| 5324 Fremont St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1550 | $1,495 | $0.96 | 3d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 6650 Pinnochio Dr Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1665 | $2,250 | $1.35 | 21d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 5253 Janice Cir S Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1614 | $1,471 | $0.91 | 21d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 6746 Jack Horner Ln Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $1,450 | $1.49 | 23d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 1756 Lane Ave S Unit 1 Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1254 | $1,399 | $1.12 | 7d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 6822 McMullin St Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1760 | $1,950 | $1.11 | 14d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 1591 Lane Ave S Jacksonville, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 954 | $1,485 | $1.56 | 23d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 6119 Wilson Blvd Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1302 | $1,395 | $1.07 | 23d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 2640 Hugh Edwards Dr Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1816 | $1,495 | $0.82 | 23d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 6066 Wilson Blvd Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1097 | $1,800 | $1.64 | 23d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 6809 Miss Muffet Ln S Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1095 | $1,475 | $1.35 | 4d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 3607 Colebrooke Dr Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1360 | $1,590 | $1.17 | 3d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 3434 Blanding Blvd Jacksonville, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1101 | $1,800 | $1.63 | 3d | 2 | 0.82mi |
| 6026 Wilson Blvd Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1380 | $700 | $0.51 | 23d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 5140 Janice Cir S Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1215 | $1,335 | $1.10 | 21d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 3434 Blanding Blvd #201 Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1253 | $1,800 | $1.44 | 17d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 5139 Camille Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,625 | $1.48 | 1d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 6863 Jack Horner Ln Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $1,095 | $1.12 | 7d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 3668 Jammes Rd Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1227 | $1,540 | $1.26 | 4d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 6819 Lake Mist Ln Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1344 | $1,745 | $1.30 | 23d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 5032 San Juan Ave Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1760 | $1,789 | $1.02 | 23d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 1540 Lake Shore Blvd Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1180 | $1,495 | $1.27 | 7d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 6851 Lake Mist Ln Unit A Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1350 | $1,745 | $1.29 | 23d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 6171 Cedar Hills Blvd Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1560 | $1,550 | $0.99 | 7d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 6161 Park St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1209 | $1,473 | $1.22 | 16d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 3740 Ballejo Ct W Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1590 | $1,599 | $1.01 | 23d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 1570 Lane Ave S Jacksonville, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 862 | $1,425 | $1.65 | 2d | 10 | 1.00mi |
| 4128 Arcot Cir Unit NA Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1640 | $1,800 | $1.10 | 23d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 6037 Marsha Dr Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1296 | $1,250 | $0.96 | 14d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 4020 Angol Pl Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1266 | $1,845 | $1.46 | 17d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 2327 Looking Glass Ln Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1325 | $1,495 | $1.13 | 1d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 4102 Angol Pl Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1470 | $1,650 | $1.12 | 4d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 1465 Manotak Point Dr #105 Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 940 | $1,295 | $1.38 | 17d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 1406 Ellis Trace Dr W Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1028 | $1,200 | $1.17 | 16d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 1374 Lake Shore Blvd Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1456 | $2,150 | $1.48 | 7d | 2 | 1.11mi |
| 7076 Queen of Hearts Ct Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1131 | $1,500 | $1.33 | 14d | 1 | 1.11mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $114,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $114,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $114,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $114,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $114,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $114,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $114,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $114,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-07$114,900 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $998 · $83/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $998 · $83/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,762
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,436
- − Property taxes
- −$998
- − Insurance
- −$574
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,501
- − Management
- −$1,501
- − Depreciation
- −$3,343
- Taxable income
- $4,408
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,058
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,961/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Duval
- NCES district ID
- 1200480
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,987
- Composite
- 38.97/100
- National rank
- #4076
- State rank
- #48 of 73 in FL
Livability — Jacksonville
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #50
- US rank
- #911
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jacksonville, FL
- County
- Duval County · 1,015,274 people
- City population
- 979,034
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 65,729
- Household income
- $61,050
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3605.0
Population outlook (Duval County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,013,010 people
- By 2030
- 1,059,228 · +4.6%
- By 2040
- 1,141,439 · +12.7%
- By 2050
- 1,205,258 · +19.0%
- By 2075
- 1,324,282 · +30.7%
- By 2100
- 1,319,620 · +30.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 43% Black 38% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 7% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Hispanic 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 7% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Duval
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.1% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.4pp no change · 2008: -1.9pp · 2024: -1.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.5 2020: D+3.8 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.6 2008: R+1.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -314.81%
- Current HPI
- 281.2688
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.11%
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+128.0% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-04 Listed $114,900 realMLS
- 2005-08-08 Sold (Public Records) $128,500 Public Records
- 2005-08-02 Sold (MLS) $128,500 realMLS
- 2005-06-28 Listed $124,500 realMLS
- 2005-05-02 Listing Removed — realMLS
- 2005-04-24 Sold (MLS) $89,000 realMLS
- 2005-02-16 Listed $87,500 realMLS
- 2004-11-05 Listing Removed — realMLS
- 2004-05-07 Listed $103,000 realMLS
- 1998-09-18 Sold (Public Records) $71,500 Public Records
- 1983-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $50,400 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.9%/yrLatest (2025): $998 · +23.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…