610 Vaughan Ln · Lebanon, OR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $498 – $926
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 11 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Condition / age +1.0/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$107,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Discover comfortable living in this modern 3-bedroom, 2-bath home. Built in 2020, this house offers 1550 sqft of well-designed space featuring an open floor plan, large kitchen island, ample cabinetry, and built-in media storage. Each bedroom boasts walk-in closets, enhancing storage options. Enjoy outdoor activities on a spacious, concrete patio within a fenced backyard. The large two-car garage includes additional storage space. Park rent is 995 and does not include utilities.
Key facts
- New flooring
- New paint
- New kitchen cabinets
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $108k. Condition is rated poor.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $659 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $108k).
- Recommended offer: $104k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.7% vs local median 2.9% in Lebanon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#126 in OR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime A, cost of living A; Watch: schools C-, health & safety C-, amenities D+.
- Lebanon Community SD 9 (town): math 27% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #26 of 58 in OR (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.5%/yr); 246 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 311 units permitted in Linn County in 2024 (60 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($69k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $743 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Linn County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.5% rent growth), your $30k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($104k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.65% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.65%
- Cash-on-cash
- 26.28%
- DSCR
- 2.17
- GRM
- 5.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $202,905
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 610 Vaughan Ln #49 | 0.01mi | 3/2.0 | 1,188 (-2%) | 3mo | $91,000 | $77 | 93 |
| 610 Vaughan Ln #11 | 0.01mi | 3/2.0 | 1,296 (+7%) | 4mo | $107,500 | $83 | 85 |
| 615 Vaughan Ln | 0.17mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,200 (-1%) | 2mo | $297,000 | $248 | 83 |
| 820 Mazama Ave | 0.17mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,188 (-2%) | 10mo | $275,000 | $231 | 75 |
| 2796 S Main Rd #95 | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,248 (+3%) | 9mo | $42,000 | $34 | 69 |
| 3393 Snow Peak Pl | 0.19mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,344 (+11%) | 1mo | $225,000 | $167 | 67 |
| 3245 S 8th St | 0.15mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,344 (+11%) | 8mo | $230,000 | $171 | 63 |
| 2681 Birch St | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,100 (-10%) | 2mo | $335,000 | $305 | 61 |
| 917 Mazama Ave | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,056 (-13%) | 8mo | $292,000 | $277 | 61 |
| 200 Market St #289 | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,296 (+7%) | 3mo | $140,000 | $108 | 56 |
| 200 Market St #221 | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,296 (+7%) | 7mo | $154,000 | $119 | 54 |
| 200 Market St #227 | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,296 (+7%) | 11mo | $156,000 | $120 | 54 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.55% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.91×
- Total profit
- $27,404
- Equity at exit
- $16,029
- IRR
- 30.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.99×
- Total profit
- $89,940
- Equity at exit
- $9,295
Cash invested: $30,100 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Oregon
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 97355
- Rents YoY
- 4.5%
- Active inventory
- 246
- Price-to-rent
- 5.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,775 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$564
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$134 /mo · $1,612/yr
- Insurance
- −$45
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$373
- Net cashflow
- $659
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,875
- Closing costs
- $3,225
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 300 Sand Ridge Ct Lebanon, OR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 944 | $1,525 | $1.61 | 43d | 6 | 0.30mi |
| 1096 Fuji Ln Lebanon, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $2,395 | $1.84 | 43d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 86 Weldwood Dr Lebanon, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1222 | $1,650 | $1.35 | 43d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 2656 S Main Rd #107 Lebanon, OR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1402 | $1,950 | $1.39 | 43d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 929 Wassom St Unit 929 Lebanon, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1202 | $1,800 | $1.50 | 43d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 975 Wassom St Lebanon, OR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 928 | $1,525 | $1.64 | 43d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 2400 12th St Lebanon, OR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 926 | $1,600 | $1.73 | 43d | 6 | 0.79mi |
| 1956 S Second St Lebanon, OR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 840 | $1,445 | $1.72 | 43d | 7 | 0.80mi |
| 1900 S 2nd St Unit A304 Lebanon, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1177 | $1,700 | $1.44 | 43d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 1900 S Second St Unit A103 Lebanon, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 858 | $1,350 | $1.57 | 43d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 1900 S Second St Unit A201 Lebanon, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1078 | $1,450 | $1.35 | 43d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| E Airport Rd Lebanon, OR | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 993 | $1,995 | $2.01 | 43d | 14 | 1.02mi |
| 2180 Franklin St Lebanon, OR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 862 | $1,695 | $1.97 | 43d | 6 | 1.06mi |
| 640 F St Lebanon, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 980 | $1,435 | $1.46 | 43d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 45 Cox St Lebanon, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 760 | $1,395 | $1.84 | 43d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 865 E St Unit 865 Lebanon, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 819 | $1,500 | $1.83 | 43d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 198 E Milton St Unit 1 Lebanon, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,350 | $1.69 | 43d | 1 | 1.34mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $107,500 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $107,500 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $107,500 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $107,500 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $107,500 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $107,500 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $107,500 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $107,500 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $107,500 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $107,500 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $107,500 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $107,500 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $107,500 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $107,500 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $107,500 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $107,500 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-13$107,500 Active 141-char remark
-
2024-11-26soldstatus $180,000 Closed 483-char remark
Show marketing remark (483 chars)
Discover comfortable living in this modern 3-bedroom, 2-bath home. Built in 2020, this house offers 1550 sqft of well-designed space featuring an open floor plan, large kitchen island, ample cabinetry, and built-in media storage. Each bedroom boasts walk-in closets, enhancing storage options. Enjoy outdoor activities on a spacious, concrete patio within a fenced backyard. The large two-car garage includes additional storage space. Park rent is 995 and does not include utilities.
-
2024-11-18status Pending 483-char remark
Show marketing remark (483 chars)
Discover comfortable living in this modern 3-bedroom, 2-bath home. Built in 2020, this house offers 1550 sqft of well-designed space featuring an open floor plan, large kitchen island, ample cabinetry, and built-in media storage. Each bedroom boasts walk-in closets, enhancing storage options. Enjoy outdoor activities on a spacious, concrete patio within a fenced backyard. The large two-car garage includes additional storage space. Park rent is 995 and does not include utilities.
-
2024-10-23$199,900 Active 483-char remark
Show marketing remark (483 chars)
Discover comfortable living in this modern 3-bedroom, 2-bath home. Built in 2020, this house offers 1550 sqft of well-designed space featuring an open floor plan, large kitchen island, ample cabinetry, and built-in media storage. Each bedroom boasts walk-in closets, enhancing storage options. Enjoy outdoor activities on a spacious, concrete patio within a fenced backyard. The large two-car garage includes additional storage space. Park rent is 995 and does not include utilities.
-
2019-09-12soldstatus $134,750 Sold
Show marketing remark (520 chars)
You'll be thrilled with the Impeccable condition & perfect location of this lovely spacious home. Enclosed front entry leads into the bright interior w/unique architecture details. Cozy breakfast nook in the Kitchen pops with pure white abundant cabinetry. Master bdrm has walk in closet w/built-ins. Spacious Den & formal dining. Private fenced backyard w/delightful concrete patio flows onto a huge trek deck perfect for outdoor entertaining. Extra deep 2 car garage. An amazing home for the discerning buyer.
-
2019-08-16historical Active under Contract
Show marketing remark (520 chars)
You'll be thrilled with the Impeccable condition & perfect location of this lovely spacious home. Enclosed front entry leads into the bright interior w/unique architecture details. Cozy breakfast nook in the Kitchen pops with pure white abundant cabinetry. Master bdrm has walk in closet w/built-ins. Spacious Den & formal dining. Private fenced backyard w/delightful concrete patio flows onto a huge trek deck perfect for outdoor entertaining. Extra deep 2 car garage. An amazing home for the discerning buyer.
-
2019-08-05$137,900 Active
Show marketing remark (520 chars)
You'll be thrilled with the Impeccable condition & perfect location of this lovely spacious home. Enclosed front entry leads into the bright interior w/unique architecture details. Cozy breakfast nook in the Kitchen pops with pure white abundant cabinetry. Master bdrm has walk in closet w/built-ins. Spacious Den & formal dining. Private fenced backyard w/delightful concrete patio flows onto a huge trek deck perfect for outdoor entertaining. Extra deep 2 car garage. An amazing home for the discerning buyer.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 11 unhealthy d/yr today · 13 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,298
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,022
- − Property taxes
- −$1,612
- − Insurance
- −$538
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,704
- − Management
- −$1,704
- − Depreciation
- −$3,127
- Taxable income
- $6,592
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,582
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,329/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This manufactured home requires extensive repairs and updates to its exterior, interior, and HVAC systems, significantly impacting its value. Immediate action is needed to address these issues before it can be considered for resale or rental.
Repairs flagged
- Major exterior siding — Significant wear and tear
- Major roof — No visible damage, but photos don't show
- Major interior walls/paint — No visible interior, but photos don't show
- Major windows — No visible windows, but photos don't show
- Major foundation/structure — No visible foundation, but photos don't show
- Major HVAC/mechanicals — No visible HVAC, but photos don't show
- Major landscaping/curb appeal — No visible landscaping, but photos don't show
Value-add opportunities
- Both exterior siding repair — Improves curb appeal and structural integrity
- Both roof repair — Essential for structural integrity and water resistance
- Both interior paint and repairs — Enhances interior aesthetics and value
- Both window replacement — Improves energy efficiency and curb appeal
- Both HVAC system replacement — Enhances comfort and energy efficiency
- Both landscaping and curb appeal — Enhances curb appeal and property value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| exterior siding · Significant wear and tear | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| roof · No visible damage, but photos don't show | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| interior walls/paint · No visible interior, but photos don't show | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| windows · No visible windows, but photos don't show | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| foundation/structure · No visible foundation, but photos don't show | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| HVAC/mechanicals · No visible HVAC, but photos don't show | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| landscaping/curb appeal · No visible landscaping, but photos don't show | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 7 items | $105,000–350,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both exterior siding repair — Improves curb appeal and structural integrity ↑
- Both roof repair — Essential for structural integrity and water resistance ↑
- Both interior paint and repairs — Enhances interior aesthetics and value ↑
- Both window replacement — Improves energy efficiency and curb appeal ↑
- Both HVAC system replacement — Enhances comfort and energy efficiency ↑
- Both landscaping and curb appeal — Enhances curb appeal and property value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lebanon Community SD 9
- NCES district ID
- 4107380
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,264
- Composite
- 29.83/100
- National rank
- #6418
- State rank
- #26 of 58 in OR
Livability — Lebanon
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #126
- US rank
- #7209
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lebanon, OR
- County
- Linn County · 70,700 people
- City population
- 34,292
- Metro
- Albany-Lebanon, OR
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,292
- Household income
- $68,595
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1051.0
Population outlook (Linn County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 127,026 people
- By 2030
- 129,540 · +2.0%
- By 2040
- 132,780 · +4.5%
- By 2050
- 133,614 · +5.2%
- By 2075
- 129,061 · +1.6%
- By 2100
- 112,224 · -11.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 5% Slovak 3% Portuguese 3%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Linn
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.4) · D 36.2% · R 60.6% · Other 3.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.0pp toward R · 2008: -11.4pp · 2024: -24.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.4 2020: R+23.4 2016: R+27.8 2012: R+17.2 2008: R+11.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -528.42%
- Current HPI
- 221.8977
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.55%
- Metro
- Albany-Lebanon, OR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $51B |
|
||
Price history
-22.0% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Listed $107,500 FSBO.com
- 2024-11-26 Sold (MLS) $180,000 RMLS
- 2024-11-18 Pending — RMLS
- 2024-10-23 Listed $199,900 RMLS
- 2019-09-12 Sold (MLS) $134,750 WVMLS
- 2019-08-16 Contingent — WVMLS
- 2019-08-05 Listed $137,900 WVMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…