8 Glen Ln · Glenwood Landing, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 59.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +10.4/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Schools +7.9/10.0
- Cash flow +4.3/30.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +0.0/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
$999,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This meticulously maintained private North Shore gem is the epitome of move-in ready, reflecting the pride of an owner who has obsessively cared for every detail. From the brand-new ventilated roof, vinyl siding, and energy-efficient windows to the top-tier mechanical upgrades—including a new 200-amp electric panel, ductless HVAC, and a high-efficiency gas boiler with classic cast iron radiators—no expense has been spared in its modernization. The interior shines with a beautifully updated kitchen featuring granite countertops and stainless appliances, quartz-clad bathrooms, and flawlessly refinished hardwood floors. Perfectly situated just moments from the sparkling waters of H
Key facts
- 8,465 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1962
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with garage door opener; 2-car garage; No carport
- Utilities: Cesspool sewer; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Public trash collection; Water connected
- Home design: Single family residence; Updated/remodeled; Two levels
- Construction: Frame construction
- Exterior features: Back yard; Shed(s); Patio
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Refrigerator; Stainless steel appliances; Granite and quartz/quartzite counters
- Bedrooms: Bedroom on first floor
- Flooring: Hardwood floors
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Hot water heating (natural gas); Ductless cooling
- Interior features: First-floor bedroom; First-floor full bath; Cathedral ceilings; Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Entrance foyer; Formal dining room; Granite counters; Quartz/Quartzite counters; High-speed internet; Primary bathroom; Master suite on main floor; Storage; Patio
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room; Washer; Dryer; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $1000k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-3k ($-32k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $526k (47.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $500k (50.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $500k (50.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#456 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F, health & safety F.
- North Shore Central School District (suburban): math 88% / reading 84% proficiency, ranked #24 of 590 in NY (top 4%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 5% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Glenwood Landing Elementary School (math 87% / reading 82%, grade A+, #93 of 2,108 statewide, top 6%, 427 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools at 0% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 17 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 824 units permitted in Nassau County in 2024 (153 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $107k of equity ($7k loan paydown + $100k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Nassau County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$172k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($970k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $228k; list at $1000k implies a 340% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 59% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 50% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.50% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.07%
- Cash-on-cash
- -11.51%
- DSCR
- 0.49
- GRM
- 16.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $1,068,378
- List price
- $999,999
- Delta
- -6.40%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43 Scudders Ln | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,793 (+0%) | 10mo | $985,000 | $549 | 60 |
| 98 Glenwood Rd | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,959 (+9%) | 18mo | $820,000 | $419 | 58 |
| 34 Sylvia St | 0.42mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,703 (-5%) | 16mo | $850,000 | $499 | 54 |
| 1 William St | 0.53mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,036 (+14%) | 5mo | $875,000 | $430 | 43 |
| 20 Waverly St | 0.45mi | 3/1.5 | 2,012 (+12%) | 16mo | $1,170,000 | $582 | 43 |
| 15 Smith St | 0.68mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,873 (+4%) | 19mo | $969,000 | $517 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.33×
- Total profit
- $373,496
- Equity at exit
- $900,878
- IRR
- 15.6%
- Equity multiple
- 5.41×
- Total profit
- $1,234,202
- Equity at exit
- $1,942,778
Cash invested: $280,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 11547
- Home prices YoY
- 3.8%
- Active inventory
- 17
- Price-to-rent
- 16.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $5,001 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$5,244
- Tax from tax record
- −$976 /mo · $11,709/yr
- Insurance
- −$417
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,050
- Net cashflow
- $-2,685
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-2,119 | -5% $-2,402 | +0% $-2,685 | +5% $-2,968 | +10% $-3,252 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-3,081 | -5% $-2,883 | +0% $-2,685 | +5% $-2,488 | +10% $-2,290 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-2,182 | -0.5pp $-2,431 | base $-2,685 | +0.5pp $-2,945 | +1.0pp $-3,208 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $250,000
- Closing costs
- $30,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36 Coolidge Ave Glen Head, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1410 | $4,600 | $3.26 | 24d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 14 Harbor Ln Glen Head, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2115 | $7,100 | $3.36 | 2d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 20 Alex Ln Unit 1 Glen Cove, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1369 | $4,500 | $3.29 | 44d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 20 Alex Ln Unit 2 Glen Cove, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1407 | $4,000 | $2.84 | 44d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 65 Summit Ave Unit 1 Sea Cliff, NY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1650 | $3,950 | $2.39 | 44d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-15status $999,999 Pending 47 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $999,999 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $999,999 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $999,999 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $999,999 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $999,999 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $999,999 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $999,999 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $999,999 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $999,999 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $999,999 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $999,999 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-04-30$999,999 Active 1099-char remark
-
1998-06-04soldstatus $227,500
-
1993-07-28soldstatus $220,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $11,709 · $976/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $14,304 · $1,192/mo
- Expected delta
- +$2,596/yr (+$216/mo · 22.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 59% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $60,016
- − Mortgage interest
- −$56,015
- − Property taxes
- −$11,709
- − Insurance
- −$5,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,801
- − Management
- −$4,801
- − Depreciation
- −$29,091
- Taxable loss
- −$51,402
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$12,336
- After-tax cash flow
- $-19,889/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- North Shore Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3626370
- Math proficiency
- 88% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 84% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $113,973
- Composite
- 78.77/100
- National rank
- #69
- State rank
- #24 of 590 in NY
Livability — Glenwood Landing
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #456
- US rank
- #7971
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Glenwood Landing, NY
- City population
- 788
- Population (ZIP)
- 788
Population outlook (Nassau County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,409,302 people
- By 2030
- 1,431,482 · +1.6%
- By 2040
- 1,471,607 · +4.4%
- By 2050
- 1,502,845 · +6.6%
- By 2075
- 1,575,403 · +11.8%
- By 2100
- 1,554,356 · +10.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Asian 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · China
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · German/W. Germanic 5% Other Indo-European 4% Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Nassau
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.9% · R 52.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.6pp toward R · 2008: 8.4pp · 2024: -4.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+4.2 2020: D+9.5 2016: D+5.3 2012: D+6.7 2008: D+8.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 12.03%
- Current HPI
- 329.8977
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+354.5% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-15 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-30 Listed $999,999 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1998-06-04 Sold (Public Records) $227,500 Public Records
- 1993-07-28 Sold (Public Records) $220,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+36.0%/yrLatest (2024): $11,709 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…