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979 Newton St
B+ Composite 76.34
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$138,000

979 Newton St · Prattville, AL 36066
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,791 sqft · SingleFamily public records
Built 1955 10,497 sqft lot Est $204k · 32% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

under contract prior to putting in MLS.

Key facts

  • 0.24 acre lot
  • Built 1955

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $138k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $622 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $138k).
  • Cap rate 11.7% vs local median 4.2% in Prattville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#11 in AL, #3,273 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B+; Watch: amenities D, commute F.
  • Autauga County (rural): math 23% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #34 of 129 in AL (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.9%/yr); 235 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 53% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 221 units permitted in Autauga County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $954 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Autauga County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.9% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $138,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.36%
Cap rate
11.70%
Cash-on-cash
19.31%
DSCR
1.86
GRM
6.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$204,174
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
973 Newton St 0.01mi 4/1.0 1,651 (-8%) 8mo $165,800 $100 80
802 Gillespie St 0.34mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,831 (+2%) 1mo $212,500 $116 71
639 Cardinal Ln 0.54mi 4/2.0 1,786 (-0%) 7mo $177,000 $99 64
1300 Cooper Ave 0.46mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,801 (+1%) 6mo $200,000 $111 64
107 S Nichols St 0.22mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,650 (-8%) 8mo $195,000 $118 63
102 Till St 0.34mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,966 (+10%) 2mo $225,000 $114 58
598 Partridge Ln 0.62mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,755 (-2%) 1mo $240,000 $137 57
708 Wetumpka St 0.43mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,673 (-7%) 4mo $150,000 $90 57
634 Cardinal Ln 0.60mi 4/2.0 1,704 (-5%) 8mo $194,000 $114 53
311 Poplar St 0.64mi 4/2.0 1,998 (+12%) 1mo $305,000 $153 46
558 Cardinal Ln 0.65mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,938 (+8%) 2mo $180,000 $93 46
311 Walker St 0.60mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,645 (-8%) 9mo $229,000 $139 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.86% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
11.1%
Equity multiple
1.44×
Total profit
$16,941
Equity at exit
$20,576
10-year hold
IRR
20.0%
Equity multiple
2.67×
Total profit
$64,547
Equity at exit
$11,932

Cash invested: $38,640 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 36066

Home prices YoY
-13.4%
Rents YoY
2.9%
Active inventory
235
Price-to-rent
6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,883 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$724
Tax from tax record
$85 /mo · $1,017/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$395
Net cashflow
$622

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,096
Max offer price $138,000
Occupancy floor 62%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $700 -5% $661 +0% $622 +5% $583 +10% $544
Rent -10% $473 -5% $547 +0% $622 +5% $696 +10% $770
Rate -1.0pp $691 -0.5pp $657 base $622 +0.5pp $586 +1.0pp $550

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,500
Closing costs
$4,140
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 17 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1117 Newton St Prattville, AL 3.0 1.5 1422 $1,400 $0.98 44d 1 0.16mi
113 Tew St Prattville, AL 4.0 2.0 1563 $1,731 $1.11 14d 1 0.33mi
1122 Oates Rd Prattville, AL 3.0 2.0 1707 $1,656 $0.97 44d 1 0.49mi
1291 Huie St Prattville, AL 3.0 2.0 1528 $1,761 $1.15 44d 1 0.60mi
107 Richmond Way Prattville, AL 3.0 2.0 1232 $1,400 $1.14 14d 1 0.67mi
109 Woodley Ave Prattville, AL 3.0 2.0 1612 $1,531 $0.95 14d 1 0.72mi
130 Graylynn Dr Prattville, AL 3.0 2.0 1281 $1,300 $1.01 14d 1 0.80mi
1214 Camellia Woods Ct Prattville, AL 3.0 2.0 1236 $1,475 $1.19 44d 1 0.95mi
928 Running Brook Dr Prattville, AL 4.0 2.0 2048 $2,000 $0.98 14d 1 0.96mi
710 Summer Ln Prattville, AL 3.0 2.0 1539 $1,600 $1.04 44d 1 1.22mi
348 Bent Tree Dr Prattville, AL 3.0 2.0 1323 $1,595 $1.21 44d 1 1.24mi
498 Greystone Way Prattville, AL 3.0 2.0 1873 $1,750 $0.93 14d 1 1.31mi
745 Park Ln Prattville, AL 4.0 2.0 1857 $2,250 $1.21 44d 1 1.35mi
525 Breckinridge Ln Prattville, AL 3.0 2.0 1560 $1,700 $1.09 44d 1 1.43mi
732 Mimosa Rd Prattville, AL 4.0 2.0 1795 $1,731 $0.96 14d 1 1.46mi
108 Deer Trce Prattville, AL 4.0 2.0 1708 $1,600 $0.94 14d 1 1.47mi
113 Lori St Prattville, AL 4.0 2.0 1489 $1,700 $1.14 44d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-02
    remarks 39-char remark
  2. 2026-06-02
    listed $138,000 Pending

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,017 · $85/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,017 · $85/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,597
− Mortgage interest
−$7,730
− Property taxes
−$1,017
− Insurance
−$690
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,808
− Management
−$1,808
− Depreciation
−$4,015
Taxable income
$5,529
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,327
After-tax cash flow
$6,133/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Autauga County
NCES district ID
0100240
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -31.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$52,974
Composite
31.77/100
National rank
#5892
State rank
#34 of 129 in AL

Livability — Prattville

Score
76/100
State rank
#11
US rank
#3273

Category grades

Amenities D Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Prattville, AL
County
Autauga County · 50,925 people
City population
50,925
Metro
Montgomery, AL
Population (ZIP)
22,632
Household income
$86,278
Rent vs Own
36.6% rent · 63.4% own
Severe rent burden
683.0

Population outlook (Autauga County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
55,958 people
By 2030
55,810 · -0.3%
By 2040
54,892 · -1.9%
By 2050
53,062 · -5.2%
By 2075
49,425 · -11.7%
By 2100
45,110 · -19.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (69%)
Race & ethnicity
White 69% Black 21% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, China
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Autauga

2024 margin
Solid R (+46.3) · D 26.4% · R 72.7%
2008→2024 swing
+1.6pp toward D · 2008: -47.8pp · 2024: -46.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+46.3 2020: R+44.4 2016: R+49.5 2012: R+46.0 2008: R+47.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -30.80%
Current HPI
198.2636
Rent YoY
▲ 2.86%
Metro
Montgomery, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-01 Delisted MAAR
  • 2026-06-01 Listed $138,000 MAAR

Property tax history

+4.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,017 · +4.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…