979 Newton St · Prattville, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.6/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$138,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
under contract prior to putting in MLS.
Key facts
- 0.24 acre lot
- Built 1955
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $138k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $622 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $138k).
- Cap rate 11.7% vs local median 4.2% in Prattville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#11 in AL, #3,273 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B+; Watch: amenities D, commute F.
- Autauga County (rural): math 23% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #34 of 129 in AL (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.9%/yr); 235 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 53% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 221 units permitted in Autauga County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $954 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Autauga County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.9% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.36% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.70%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.31%
- DSCR
- 1.86
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $204,174
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 973 Newton St | 0.01mi | 4/1.0 | 1,651 (-8%) | 8mo | $165,800 | $100 | 80 |
| 802 Gillespie St | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,831 (+2%) | 1mo | $212,500 | $116 | 71 |
| 639 Cardinal Ln | 0.54mi | 4/2.0 | 1,786 (-0%) | 7mo | $177,000 | $99 | 64 |
| 1300 Cooper Ave | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,801 (+1%) | 6mo | $200,000 | $111 | 64 |
| 107 S Nichols St | 0.22mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,650 (-8%) | 8mo | $195,000 | $118 | 63 |
| 102 Till St | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,966 (+10%) | 2mo | $225,000 | $114 | 58 |
| 598 Partridge Ln | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,755 (-2%) | 1mo | $240,000 | $137 | 57 |
| 708 Wetumpka St | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,673 (-7%) | 4mo | $150,000 | $90 | 57 |
| 634 Cardinal Ln | 0.60mi | 4/2.0 | 1,704 (-5%) | 8mo | $194,000 | $114 | 53 |
| 311 Poplar St | 0.64mi | 4/2.0 | 1,998 (+12%) | 1mo | $305,000 | $153 | 46 |
| 558 Cardinal Ln | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,938 (+8%) | 2mo | $180,000 | $93 | 46 |
| 311 Walker St | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,645 (-8%) | 9mo | $229,000 | $139 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.86% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.44×
- Total profit
- $16,941
- Equity at exit
- $20,576
- IRR
- 20.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.67×
- Total profit
- $64,547
- Equity at exit
- $11,932
Cash invested: $38,640 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36066
- Home prices YoY
- -13.4%
- Rents YoY
- 2.9%
- Active inventory
- 235
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,883 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$724
- Tax from tax record
- −$85 /mo · $1,017/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$395
- Net cashflow
- $622
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $700 | -5% $661 | +0% $622 | +5% $583 | +10% $544 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $473 | -5% $547 | +0% $622 | +5% $696 | +10% $770 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $691 | -0.5pp $657 | base $622 | +0.5pp $586 | +1.0pp $550 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,500
- Closing costs
- $4,140
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1117 Newton St Prattville, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1422 | $1,400 | $0.98 | 44d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 113 Tew St Prattville, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1563 | $1,731 | $1.11 | 14d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 1122 Oates Rd Prattville, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1707 | $1,656 | $0.97 | 44d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 1291 Huie St Prattville, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1528 | $1,761 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 107 Richmond Way Prattville, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1232 | $1,400 | $1.14 | 14d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 109 Woodley Ave Prattville, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1612 | $1,531 | $0.95 | 14d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 130 Graylynn Dr Prattville, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1281 | $1,300 | $1.01 | 14d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 1214 Camellia Woods Ct Prattville, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1236 | $1,475 | $1.19 | 44d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 928 Running Brook Dr Prattville, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2048 | $2,000 | $0.98 | 14d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 710 Summer Ln Prattville, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1539 | $1,600 | $1.04 | 44d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 348 Bent Tree Dr Prattville, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1323 | $1,595 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 498 Greystone Way Prattville, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1873 | $1,750 | $0.93 | 14d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 745 Park Ln Prattville, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1857 | $2,250 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 525 Breckinridge Ln Prattville, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1560 | $1,700 | $1.09 | 44d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 732 Mimosa Rd Prattville, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1795 | $1,731 | $0.96 | 14d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 108 Deer Trce Prattville, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1708 | $1,600 | $0.94 | 14d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 113 Lori St Prattville, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1489 | $1,700 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-02remarks 39-char remark
-
2026-06-02$138,000 Pending
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,017 · $85/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,017 · $85/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,597
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,730
- − Property taxes
- −$1,017
- − Insurance
- −$690
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,808
- − Management
- −$1,808
- − Depreciation
- −$4,015
- Taxable income
- $5,529
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,327
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,133/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Autauga County
- NCES district ID
- 0100240
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -31.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,974
- Composite
- 31.77/100
- National rank
- #5892
- State rank
- #34 of 129 in AL
Livability — Prattville
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #11
- US rank
- #3273
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Prattville, AL
- County
- Autauga County · 50,925 people
- City population
- 50,925
- Metro
- Montgomery, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,632
- Household income
- $86,278
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 683.0
Population outlook (Autauga County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 55,958 people
- By 2030
- 55,810 · -0.3%
- By 2040
- 54,892 · -1.9%
- By 2050
- 53,062 · -5.2%
- By 2075
- 49,425 · -11.7%
- By 2100
- 45,110 · -19.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Black 21% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Autauga
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+46.3) · D 26.4% · R 72.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.6pp toward D · 2008: -47.8pp · 2024: -46.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+46.3 2020: R+44.4 2016: R+49.5 2012: R+46.0 2008: R+47.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -30.80%
- Current HPI
- 198.2636
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.86%
- Metro
- Montgomery, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Delisted — MAAR
- 2026-06-01 Listed $138,000 MAAR
Property tax history
+4.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,017 · +4.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…