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3912 Coakley Ave
C- Composite 50.06
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$134,000

3912 Coakley Ave · Albany, GA 31721
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 2,133 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 117 Days on market
Built 1968 1.35 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Over 2100 sqft brick home- very private, beautiful country setting on just under 1.5 acres out in the county. This 5-bedroom home features-a large eat-in kitchen that opens to the huge bonus/sunroom, a super spacious family room with built-ins & beautiful stone fireplace w/ mantle, 2019 HVAC, Septic tank & drain field 2019. There are two outbuildings with electricity and property is fenced all around. Super convenient location, just a short drive to town, MCLB, P & G, schools, medical facilities, etc. If you are looking for a spacious home at a great price- this one is for you!

Key facts

  • Outdoor recreation
  • Generous lot
  • Detached carports

Tags

FUNCTIONAL LAYOUTSPACIOUS LIVING AREASNATURAL LIGHTGENEROUS LOTDETACHED CARPORTSOUTDOOR RECREATION

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Listing offered As-Is; Financing accepted: Cash, Conventional, FHA, VA
  • HOA & community: No HOA

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached carport; 2 parking spaces
  • Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Other utilities
  • Home design: Single-family residential house; Resale property; One story
  • Construction: Built in 1968; Brick and wood siding exterior; Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Level lot; Other lot features; Sidewalks

Interior

  • Kitchen: Disposal
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the main level)
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom (total 1.5 bathrooms)
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air; Ceiling fan(s)
  • Interior features: Walk-in closet(s); Other interior features; One-level living; Gas log fireplace (1)
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry closet

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $134k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $190 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $134k).
  • Recommended offer: $122k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 5.0% in Albany — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#371 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-, health & safety B+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Dougherty County (urban): math 12% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #163 of 174 in GA (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Alice Coachman Elementary School (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #1,204 of 1,228 statewide, top 100%, 419 students, 100% FRL); Robert A. Cross Middle Magnet (math 47% / reading 72%, grade B, #42 of 470 statewide, top 9%, 529 students, 100% FRL); Monroe High School (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #421 of 424 statewide, top 100%, 1,078 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 79% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 188 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 45 units permitted in Dougherty County in 2024 (20 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $926 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Dougherty County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 117 days — a 9% lower offer ($122k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $104k; 29% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 98% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $121,940 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 117 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.07%
Cap rate
8.00%
Cash-on-cash
6.09%
DSCR
1.27
GRM
7.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.9%
Equity multiple
0.75×
Total profit
$-9,561
Equity at exit
$19,980
10-year hold
IRR
2.7%
Equity multiple
1.20×
Total profit
$7,404
Equity at exit
$11,586

Cash invested: $37,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31721

Active inventory
188
Price-to-rent
7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,429 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$703
Tax from tax record
$180 /mo · $2,159/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$300
Net cashflow
$190

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,188
Max offer price $134,000
Occupancy floor 82%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $266 -5% $228 +0% $190 +5% $152 +10% $114
Rent -10% $77 -5% $134 +0% $190 +5% $247 +10% $303
Rate -1.0pp $258 -0.5pp $224 base $190 +0.5pp $156 +1.0pp $120

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,500
Closing costs
$4,020
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $134,000 Active 117 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $134,000 Active 115 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $134,000 Active 114 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $134,000 Active 113 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $134,000 Active 112 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $134,000 Active 111 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $134,000 Active 109 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $134,000 Active 108 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $134,000 Active 106 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $134,000 Active 105 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $134,000 Active 104 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $134,000 Active 103 DOM
  13. 2026-06-05
    days on market $134,000 Active 100 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $134,000 Active 98 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $134,000 Active 97 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $134,000 Active 96 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $134,000 Active 95 DOM
  18. 2026-02-24
    listed $134,000 New
  19. 2022-12-02
    soldstatus $104,200 602-char remark
    Show marketing remark (602 chars)

    Over 2100 sqft brick home- very private, beautiful country setting on just under 1.5 acres out in the county. This 5-bedroom home features-a large eat-in kitchen that opens to the huge bonus/sunroom, a super spacious family room with built-ins & beautiful stone fireplace w/ mantle, 2019 HVAC, Septic tank & drain field 2019. There are two outbuildings with electricity and property is fenced all around. Super convenient location, just a short drive to town, MCLB, P & G, schools, medical facilities, etc. If you are looking for a spacious home at a great price- this one is for you!

  20. 2022-08-11
    listed $99,900 602-char remark
    Show marketing remark (602 chars)

    Over 2100 sqft brick home- very private, beautiful country setting on just under 1.5 acres out in the county. This 5-bedroom home features-a large eat-in kitchen that opens to the huge bonus/sunroom, a super spacious family room with built-ins & beautiful stone fireplace w/ mantle, 2019 HVAC, Septic tank & drain field 2019. There are two outbuildings with electricity and property is fenced all around. Super convenient location, just a short drive to town, MCLB, P & G, schools, medical facilities, etc. If you are looking for a spacious home at a great price- this one is for you!

  21. 2020-10-01
    soldstatus $82,900
  22. 2017-11-14
    soldstatus $62,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,159 · $180/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,159 · $180/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 98% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,147
− Mortgage interest
−$7,506
− Property taxes
−$2,159
− Insurance
−$670
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,372
− Management
−$1,372
− Depreciation
−$3,898
Taxable income
$170
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$41
After-tax cash flow
$2,243/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Dougherty County
NCES district ID
1301830
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$33,105
Composite
11.31/100
National rank
#9716
State rank
#163 of 174 in GA

Livability — Albany

Score
60/100
State rank
#371
US rank
#18903

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A- Health & safety B+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Dougherty County · 89,040 people
City population
89,040
Metro
Albany, GA
Population (ZIP)
19,435
Household income
$77,177
Rent vs Own
30.6% rent · 69.4% own
Severe rent burden
358.0

Population outlook (Dougherty County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
84,551 people
By 2030
80,637 · -4.6%
By 2040
72,090 · -14.7%
By 2050
64,056 · -24.2%
By 2075
46,332 · -45.2%
By 2100
33,127 · -60.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (60%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 60% White 36% Two or more races 2% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Hispanic 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, China
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Dougherty

2024 margin
Solid D (+41.1) · D 70.4% · R 29.3%
2008→2024 swing
+6.2pp toward D · 2008: 35.0pp · 2024: 41.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+41.1 2020: D+40.0 2016: D+38.3 2012: D+39.0 2008: D+35.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -132.15%
Current HPI
174.0379
Rent YoY
Metro
Albany, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+116.1% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-24 Listed $134,000 GAMLS
  • 2022-12-02 Sold (MLS) $104,200 TBOR
  • 2022-08-11 Listed $99,900 TBOR
  • 2020-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $82,900 Public Records
  • 2017-11-14 Sold (Public Records) $62,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,159 · +6.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…