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216 North St
B Composite 70.34
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.6/10.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$105,000

216 North St · Millersburg, PA 17061
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,273 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 115 Days on market
Built 1900 1,254 sqft lot $82/sqft · 15% below area Est $128k · 18% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Tenant occupied investment! Come view this well- kept, semi-detached home in the heart of Millersburg! The main floor has living room, dining room, and kitchen. Full bath on the second floor, a walkthrough bonus room off one of the 2 bedrooms. Schedule a showing today!

Key facts

  • Built 1900
  • Listed 115 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $105k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $193 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $105k).
  • Recommended offer: $96k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#480 in PA, #4,444 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Millersburg Area SD (town): math 36% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #288 of 539 in PA (top 53%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Lenkerville El Sch (math 52% / reading 57%, grade C, #504 of 1,518 statewide, top 37%, 313 students, 49% FRL); Millersburg Area Ms (math 17% / reading 47%, grade F, #362 of 512 statewide, top 71%, 157 students, 39% FRL); Millersburg Area Shs (math 64%, 229 students, 42% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 32 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 540 units permitted in Dauphin County in 2024 (194 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($726 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (1.2% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (1.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 115 days — a 9% lower offer ($96k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $95,550 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 115 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.15%
Cap rate
8.50%
Cash-on-cash
7.87%
DSCR
1.35
GRM
7.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$128,268
List price
$105,000
Delta
-18.14%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
711 Railroad St 0.30mi 3/2.0 1,120 (-12%) 7mo $74,900 $67 56
410 Chestnut St 0.46mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,356 (+6%) 23mo $134,900 $99 43
795 State St 0.53mi 3/1.5 1,462 (+15%) 6mo $196,000 $134 43
320 Berrysburg Rd 0.56mi 3/1.0 1,394 (+10%) 19mo $205,000 $147 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.2% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
10.1%
Equity multiple
1.52×
Total profit
$15,328
Equity at exit
$36,965
10-year hold
IRR
13.8%
Equity multiple
2.71×
Total profit
$50,333
Equity at exit
$50,002

Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17061

Home prices YoY
0.4%
Active inventory
32
Price-to-rent
7.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,205 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$551
Tax from tax record
$165 /mo · $1,974/yr
Insurance
$44
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$253
Net cashflow
$193

Break-even live

Break-even rent $961
Max offer price $105,000
Occupancy floor 79%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $252 -5% $222 +0% $193 +5% $163 +10% $133
Rent -10% $98 -5% $145 +0% $193 +5% $240 +10% $288
Rate -1.0pp $246 -0.5pp $219 base $193 +0.5pp $165 +1.0pp $138

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$26,250
Closing costs
$3,150
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
161 Hillside Hts Millersburg, PA 2.0 1.0 1000 $959 $0.96 25d 1 0.60mi
123 Natures Trl Millersburg, PA 2.0 3.0 1440 $1,625 $1.13 25d 1 1.16mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $105,000 Pending 115 DOM
  2. 2026-06-04
    days on market $105,000 Active 114 DOM
  3. 2026-06-02
    days on market $105,000 Active 113 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    days on market $105,000 Active 112 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $105,000 Active 111 DOM
  6. 2026-03-17
    price $105,000 270-char remark
    Show marketing remark (270 chars)

    Tenant occupied investment! Come view this well- kept, semi-detached home in the heart of Millersburg! The main floor has living room, dining room, and kitchen. Full bath on the second floor, a walkthrough bonus room off one of the 2 bedrooms. Schedule a showing today!

  7. 2026-02-09
    listed $109,000 Active 270-char remark
    Show marketing remark (270 chars)

    Tenant occupied investment! Come view this well- kept, semi-detached home in the heart of Millersburg! The main floor has living room, dining room, and kitchen. Full bath on the second floor, a walkthrough bonus room off one of the 2 bedrooms. Schedule a showing today!

  8. 2026-02-09
    historical $109,000 270-char remark
    Show marketing remark (270 chars)

    Tenant occupied investment! Come view this well- kept, semi-detached home in the heart of Millersburg! The main floor has living room, dining room, and kitchen. Full bath on the second floor, a walkthrough bonus room off one of the 2 bedrooms. Schedule a showing today!

  9. 2021-11-01
    historical
  10. 2021-10-15
    price $82,000
  11. 2021-09-25
    listed $85,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,974 · $165/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,974 · $165/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,455
− Mortgage interest
−$5,882
− Property taxes
−$1,974
− Insurance
−$525
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,156
− Management
−$1,156
− Depreciation
−$3,055
Taxable income
$706
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$170
After-tax cash flow
$2,143/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Millersburg Area SD
NCES district ID
4215360
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -14.00%
Median HH income
$50,625
Composite
37.4/100
National rank
#4426
State rank
#288 of 539 in PA

Livability — Millersburg

Score
74/100
State rank
#480
US rank
#4444

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Millersburg, PA
Population (ZIP)
6,825

Population outlook (Dauphin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
281,628 people
By 2030
283,549 · +0.7%
By 2040
285,385 · +1.3%
By 2050
286,188 · +1.6%
By 2075
291,053 · +3.3%
By 2100
282,374 · +0.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Polish 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
1% · China
Languages at home
94% English-only · German/W. Germanic 4% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Dauphin

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.9) · D 52.4% · R 46.5% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-3.1pp toward R · 2008: 9.1pp · 2024: 5.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.9 2020: D+8.5 2016: D+2.8 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+9.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.20%
Current HPI
271.943
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+23.5% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-17 Price Changed $105,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-02-09 Listed $109,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-02-09 Coming Soon $109,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2021-11-01 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2021-10-15 Price Changed $82,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2021-09-25 Listed $85,000 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+4.2%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,974 · +11.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…