216 North St · Millersburg, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.5/10.0
- 1% rule +6.5/10.0
- Appreciation +5.6/10.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$105,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Tenant occupied investment! Come view this well- kept, semi-detached home in the heart of Millersburg! The main floor has living room, dining room, and kitchen. Full bath on the second floor, a walkthrough bonus room off one of the 2 bedrooms. Schedule a showing today!
Key facts
- Built 1900
- Listed 115 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $105k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $193 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $105k).
- Recommended offer: $96k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#480 in PA, #4,444 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Millersburg Area SD (town): math 36% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #288 of 539 in PA (top 53%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Lenkerville El Sch (math 52% / reading 57%, grade C, #504 of 1,518 statewide, top 37%, 313 students, 49% FRL); Millersburg Area Ms (math 17% / reading 47%, grade F, #362 of 512 statewide, top 71%, 157 students, 39% FRL); Millersburg Area Shs (math 64%, 229 students, 42% FRL).
- Market conditions: 32 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 540 units permitted in Dauphin County in 2024 (194 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($726 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (1.2% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (1.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 115 days — a 9% lower offer ($96k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 115 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.15% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.50%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.87%
- DSCR
- 1.35
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $128,268
- List price
- $105,000
- Delta
- -18.14%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 711 Railroad St | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,120 (-12%) | 7mo | $74,900 | $67 | 56 |
| 410 Chestnut St | 0.46mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,356 (+6%) | 23mo | $134,900 | $99 | 43 |
| 795 State St | 0.53mi | 3/1.5 | 1,462 (+15%) | 6mo | $196,000 | $134 | 43 |
| 320 Berrysburg Rd | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 | 1,394 (+10%) | 19mo | $205,000 | $147 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.2% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 10.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.52×
- Total profit
- $15,328
- Equity at exit
- $36,965
- IRR
- 13.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.71×
- Total profit
- $50,333
- Equity at exit
- $50,002
Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17061
- Home prices YoY
- 0.4%
- Active inventory
- 32
- Price-to-rent
- 7.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,205 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$551
- Tax from tax record
- −$165 /mo · $1,974/yr
- Insurance
- −$44
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$253
- Net cashflow
- $193
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $252 | -5% $222 | +0% $193 | +5% $163 | +10% $133 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $98 | -5% $145 | +0% $193 | +5% $240 | +10% $288 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $246 | -0.5pp $219 | base $193 | +0.5pp $165 | +1.0pp $138 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,250
- Closing costs
- $3,150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 161 Hillside Hts Millersburg, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $959 | $0.96 | 25d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 123 Natures Trl Millersburg, PA | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1440 | $1,625 | $1.13 | 25d | 1 | 1.16mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $105,000 Pending 115 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $105,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $105,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $105,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $105,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-03-17price $105,000 270-char remark
Show marketing remark (270 chars)
Tenant occupied investment! Come view this well- kept, semi-detached home in the heart of Millersburg! The main floor has living room, dining room, and kitchen. Full bath on the second floor, a walkthrough bonus room off one of the 2 bedrooms. Schedule a showing today!
-
2026-02-09$109,000 Active 270-char remark
Show marketing remark (270 chars)
Tenant occupied investment! Come view this well- kept, semi-detached home in the heart of Millersburg! The main floor has living room, dining room, and kitchen. Full bath on the second floor, a walkthrough bonus room off one of the 2 bedrooms. Schedule a showing today!
-
2026-02-09historical $109,000 270-char remark
Show marketing remark (270 chars)
Tenant occupied investment! Come view this well- kept, semi-detached home in the heart of Millersburg! The main floor has living room, dining room, and kitchen. Full bath on the second floor, a walkthrough bonus room off one of the 2 bedrooms. Schedule a showing today!
-
2021-11-01historical
-
2021-10-15price $82,000
-
2021-09-25$85,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,974 · $165/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,974 · $165/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,455
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,882
- − Property taxes
- −$1,974
- − Insurance
- −$525
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,156
- − Management
- −$1,156
- − Depreciation
- −$3,055
- Taxable income
- $706
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$170
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,143/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Millersburg Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4215360
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,625
- Composite
- 37.4/100
- National rank
- #4426
- State rank
- #288 of 539 in PA
Livability — Millersburg
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #480
- US rank
- #4444
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Millersburg, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,825
Population outlook (Dauphin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 281,628 people
- By 2030
- 283,549 · +0.7%
- By 2040
- 285,385 · +1.3%
- By 2050
- 286,188 · +1.6%
- By 2075
- 291,053 · +3.3%
- By 2100
- 282,374 · +0.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Polish 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · China
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · German/W. Germanic 4% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Dauphin
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.9) · D 52.4% · R 46.5% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.1pp toward R · 2008: 9.1pp · 2024: 5.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.9 2020: D+8.5 2016: D+2.8 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+9.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.20%
- Current HPI
- 271.943
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+23.5% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-17 Price Changed $105,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-02-09 Listed $109,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-02-09 Coming Soon $109,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2021-11-01 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2021-10-15 Price Changed $82,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2021-09-25 Listed $85,000 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+4.2%/yrLatest (2026): $1,974 · +11.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…