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149 Motega Dr
D+ Composite 48.64
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +9.1/15.0
  • DSCR +4.5/10.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +3.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$270,000

149 Motega Dr · Tunkhannock, PA 18210
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,388 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 89 Days on market
Built 1992 $195/sqft · 20% above area Est $280k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Enjoy the best of the Pocono Mountains while staying within reach of NEW YORK and NEW JERSEY. This cozy home in the Indian Mountain Lake community offers a peaceful setting surrounded by natural beauty. Great for a young family with kids or anyone looking for a peaceful place to call home.

Key facts

  • Parking
  • Built 1992
  • Listed 88 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $270k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $78 ($932/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $237k (12.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $237k (12.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 5.1% in Tunkhannock — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#371 in PA, #3,219 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, health & safety A-; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Pocono Mountain SD (rural): math 37% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #245 of 539 in PA (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 453 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 278 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (52 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-2.9%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Monroe County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 89 days — a 6% lower offer ($254k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $190k; 42% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Recommended offer $236,698 (12.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 89 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.88%
Cap rate
6.64%
Cash-on-cash
1.23%
DSCR
1.05
GRM
9.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$279,678
List price
$270,000
Delta
-3.46%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
104 Tall Oak Rd 0.17mi 3/1.0 1,372 (-1%) 19mo $241,000 $176 74
349 Mountain Rd 0.23mi 3/1.5 1,421 (+2%) 21mo $268,000 $189 66
20 Lakeview Dr 0.46mi 3/2.0 1,480 (+7%) 8mo $332,000 $224 57
483 Mountain Rd 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,456 (+5%) 11mo $295,000 $203 48
100 Clearbrook Dr 0.55mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,248 (-10%) 6mo $200,000 $160 48
283 Brittany Dr 0.69mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,361 (-2%) 14mo $309,920 $228 46
67 Twin Lake Rd 0.59mi 3/1.0 1,188 (-14%) 4mo $225,000 $189 46
64 Beaver Dr 0.71mi 3/1.5 1,548 (+12%) 1mo $339,900 $220 45
144 N Shore Dr 0.70mi 3/1.0 1,316 (-5%) 16mo $180,000 $137 45
477 N Shore Dr 0.67mi 3/1.0 1,440 (+4%) 24mo $220,000 $153 43
54 Skyline Dr 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,220 (-12%) 9mo $300,000 $246 34
39 Quincy Ln 0.72mi 3/2.0 1,248 (-10%) 22mo $192,500 $154 27

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-2.89% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.7%
Equity multiple
0.50×
Total profit
$-37,533
Equity at exit
$41,619
10-year hold
IRR
-5.0%
Equity multiple
0.67×
Total profit
$-25,260
Equity at exit
$25,689

Cash invested: $75,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18210

Home prices YoY
-1.4%
Active inventory
453
Price-to-rent
9.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,367 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,416
Tax from tax record
$264 /mo · $3,166/yr
Insurance
$112
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$497
Net cashflow
$78

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,269
Max offer price $270,000
Occupancy floor 92%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$67,500
Closing costs
$8,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
182 Mountain Rd Albrightsville, PA 3.0 1.0 960 $2,100 $2.19 3d 1 0.83mi
147 Winding Way Albrightsville, PA 4.0 2.0 1800 $2,500 $1.39 23d 1 0.99mi
35 Grouse Trl Albrightsville, PA 3.0 2.0 1399 $2,500 $1.79 14d 1 1.12mi

Listing history 28 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $270,000 Active 89 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $270,000 Active 88 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $270,000 Active 87 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $270,000 Active 86 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $270,000 Active 84 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $270,000 Active 83 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $270,000 Active 81 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $270,000 Active 79 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $270,000 Active 78 DOM
  10. 2026-06-02
    days on market $270,000 Active 73 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $270,000 Active 72 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $270,000 Active 71 DOM
  13. 2026-05-30
    days on market $270,000 Active 70 DOM
  14. 2026-03-13
    price $270,000 290-char remark
    Show marketing remark (290 chars)

    Enjoy the best of the Pocono Mountains while staying within reach of NEW YORK and NEW JERSEY. This cozy home in the Indian Mountain Lake community offers a peaceful setting surrounded by natural beauty. Great for a young family with kids or anyone looking for a peaceful place to call home.

  15. 2026-03-01
    price $275,000 290-char remark
    Show marketing remark (290 chars)

    Enjoy the best of the Pocono Mountains while staying within reach of NEW YORK and NEW JERSEY. This cozy home in the Indian Mountain Lake community offers a peaceful setting surrounded by natural beauty. Great for a young family with kids or anyone looking for a peaceful place to call home.

  16. 2026-01-22
    listed $270,000 Active 223-char remark
    Show marketing remark (223 chars)

    Enjoy the best Pocono Mountains while staying within reach of New York and New Jersey. This cozy home in the Indian Mountain Lake Community offers a peaceful setting surrounded by natural beauty. Great for family with kids.

  17. 2026-01-21
    listed $289,900 Active 290-char remark
    Show marketing remark (290 chars)

    Enjoy the best of the Pocono Mountains while staying within reach of NEW YORK and NEW JERSEY. This cozy home in the Indian Mountain Lake community offers a peaceful setting surrounded by natural beauty. Great for a young family with kids or anyone looking for a peaceful place to call home.

  18. 2025-08-14
    historical
  19. 2025-08-14
    price $289,900
  20. 2025-08-07
    price $289,900
  21. 2025-03-25
    listed $299,800 Active
  22. 2021-08-16
    soldstatus $190,000
  23. 2021-08-12
    soldstatus $190,000
  24. 2021-08-12
    soldstatus $190,000
  25. 2021-06-18
    listed $189,900
  26. 2021-06-18
    listed $189,900
  27. 2004-05-19
    soldstatus $90,000
  28. 1998-08-10
    soldstatus $65,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,166 · $264/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,716 · $310/mo
Expected delta
+$550/yr (+$46/mo · 17.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 9% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,404
− Mortgage interest
−$15,124
− Property taxes
−$3,166
− Insurance
−$1,350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,272
− Management
−$2,272
− Depreciation
−$7,855
Taxable loss
−$3,635
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$872
After-tax cash flow
$1,805/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pocono Mountain SD
NCES district ID
4219500
Math proficiency
37% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$55,317
Composite
39.91/100
National rank
#3856
State rank
#245 of 539 in PA

Livability — Tunkhannock

Score
77/100
State rank
#371
US rank
#3219

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment D+ Housing A Health & safety A- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Indian Mountain Lake, PA
Population (ZIP)
7,879

Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
164,099 people
By 2030
161,412 · -1.6%
By 2040
154,616 · -5.8%
By 2050
146,710 · -10.6%
By 2075
140,830 · -14.2%
By 2100
138,472 · -15.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (69%)
Race & ethnicity
White 69% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 11% Black 6% Native American 1% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 12% Cuban 2% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 8% Russian 4% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 10% Russian/Polish/Slavic 7% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Monroe

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.1% · R 49.9%
2008→2024 swing
-17.1pp toward R · 2008: 16.3pp · 2024: -0.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+0.8 2020: D+6.4 2016: D+0.3 2012: D+14.0 2008: D+16.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -2.89%
Current HPI
203.8099
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+315.4% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-13 Price Changed $270,000 LCAR
  • 2026-03-01 Price Changed $275,000 LCAR
  • 2026-01-22 Listed $270,000 GLVRMLS
  • 2026-01-21 Listed $289,900 LCAR
  • 2025-08-14 Listing Removed GLVRMLS
  • 2025-08-14 Price Changed $289,900 GLVRMLS
  • 2025-08-07 Price Changed $289,900 LCAR
  • 2025-03-25 Listed $299,800 GLVRMLS
  • 2021-08-16 Sold (Public Records) $190,000 Public Records
  • 2021-08-12 Sold (MLS) $190,000 GLVRMLS
  • 2021-08-12 Sold (MLS) $190,000 PMAR
  • 2021-06-18 Listed $189,900 GLVRMLS
  • 2021-06-18 Listed $189,900 PMAR
  • 2004-05-19 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records
  • 1998-08-10 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.1%/yr

Latest (2026): $3,166 · +14.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…