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140 Shannon
B- Composite 67.88
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +6.0/15.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$235,000

140 Shannon · Pittsburg, CA 94565
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,440 sqft · Manufactured · 19 Days on market
Built 1978 Good condition Est $228k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Beautifully upgraded 4 bedroom, 2-bath home featuring numerous improvements! Located on a corner lot in The Meadows family park, this light-filled residence offers a spacious living area that flows seamlessly into the adjoining kitchen. The kitchen boasts abundant granite counter space and ample storage, including a separate walk-in pantry, along with a full suite of appliances—dishwasher, microwave, and refrigerator included. The guest bathroom has been updated with a new vanity and features a shower over the tub. Both secondary bedrooms are generously sized and include mirrored closet doors. The expansive primary bedroom also features mirrored closet doors, while the ensuite bathroo

Key facts

  • Spacious living area
  • Corner lot
  • 2 garage spots

Tags

CORNER LOTSPACIOUS LIVING AREAABUNDANT GRANITE COUNTER SPACESEPARATE WALK-IN PANTRYFULL SUITE OF APPLIANCESUPDATED GUEST BATHROOM

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Pets allowed upon approval; Community amenities include clubhouse, pool, and greenbelt; Located in THE MEADOWS park

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 garage spaces; Carport for 2 or more vehicles (covered)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Manufactured home located in a park; Double wide model (Biltmore)
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Crawl space foundation
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Corner lot; Community pool; Community clubhouse; Greenbelt

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen island; Stone counters; Breakfast bar; Dishwasher; Disposal; Gas range / cooktop; Free‑standing range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Pantry; Range/oven (free standing)
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (street level)
  • Flooring: Tile flooring; Vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Primary bath with stall shower and sunken tub; Other bath(s) with shower over tub
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Breakfast bar; Pantry; Mirrored closet doors; No additional rooms listed
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room with washer and dryer; Cabinets in laundry area; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $235k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $235k).
  • Recommended offer: $231k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.6% vs local median 3.4% in Pittsburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 58/100 on livability (#687 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime D-, amenities F.
  • Pittsburg Unified (suburban): math 21% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #1,069 of 1,400 in CA (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.1%/yr); 271 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,169 units permitted in Contra Costa County in 2024 (896 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($96k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Contra Costa County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.1% rent growth), your $66k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($231k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $231,475 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.44%
Cap rate
11.63%
Cash-on-cash
19.07%
DSCR
1.85
GRM
5.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$227,520
Comps found
6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
140 Shannon 0.00mi 4/2.0 1,440 (0%) 0mo $228,000 $158 100
285 Auburn 0.18mi 4/2.0 1,488 (+3%) 5mo $225,000 $151 82
364 Stonyford Dr 0.16mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,536 (+7%) 8mo $165,000 $107 70
308 Jacinto 0.12mi 4/2.0 1,306 (-9%) 12mo $265,000 $203 69
352 Blackleaf #352 0.15mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,440 (0%) 23mo $225,000 $156 67
131 Klamath 0.06mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,224 (-15%) 10mo $196,000 $160 59

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.11% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
8.8%
Equity multiple
1.34×
Total profit
$22,256
Equity at exit
$35,039
10-year hold
IRR
16.4%
Equity multiple
2.22×
Total profit
$80,417
Equity at exit
$20,319

Cash invested: $65,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 94565

Rents YoY
1.1%
Active inventory
271
Price-to-rent
5.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,379 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,232
Tax est. 1.5%
$294 /mo · $3,525/yr
Insurance
$98
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$710
Net cashflow
$1,046

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,056
Max offer price $235,000
Occupancy floor 64%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,208 -5% $1,127 +0% $1,046 +5% $964 +10% $883
Rent -10% $779 -5% $912 +0% $1,046 +5% $1,179 +10% $1,313
Rate -1.0pp $1,164 -0.5pp $1,105 base $1,046 +0.5pp $985 +1.0pp $923

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$58,750
Closing costs
$7,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1093 Mayport Dr Pittsburg, CA 4.0 2.5 1865 $3,500 $1.88 14d 1 0.34mi
332 Riptide Ct Pittsburg, CA 3.0 2.0 1167 $2,795 $2.40 14d 1 0.44mi
244 Balsam St Pittsburg, CA 4.0 2.5 1699 $3,600 $2.12 45d 1 0.72mi
61 Cassia St Pittsburg, CA 4.0 2.5 1699 $3,400 $2.00 14d 1 0.85mi
135 Poinsettia Ave Bay Point, CA 3.0 1.0 1169 $2,700 $2.31 0d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-05-14
    status Pending
  2. 2026-05-09
    status Active
  3. 2026-04-12
    status Pending
  4. 2026-03-29
    listed $235,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 8/10 Severe 14 unhealthy d/yr today · 14 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$40,551
− Mortgage interest
−$13,164
− Property taxes
−$3,525
− Insurance
−$1,175
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,244
− Management
−$3,244
− Depreciation
−$6,836
Taxable income
$9,363
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,247
After-tax cash flow
$10,300/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This well-maintained, upgraded mobile home is move-in ready with good condition and potential for further value through exterior painting and landscaping improvements.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both paint exterior — enhances curb appeal and resale value
  • Both trim landscaping — improves curb appeal and rental appeal

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both paint exterior — enhances curb appeal and resale value
  • Both trim landscaping — improves curb appeal and rental appeal

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pittsburg Unified
NCES district ID
0630600
Math proficiency
21% ▲ 1.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$55,872
Composite
27.99/100
National rank
#12238
State rank
#1069 of 1400 in CA

Livability — Pittsburg

Score
58/100
State rank
#687
US rank
#20922

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime D- Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Pittsburg, CA
County
Contra Costa County · 1,059,880 people
City population
100,488
Metro
San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
Population (ZIP)
100,488
Household income
$95,556
Rent vs Own
39.1% rent · 60.9% own
Severe rent burden
3942.0

Population outlook (Contra Costa County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,287,720 people
By 2030
1,364,937 · +6.0%
By 2040
1,506,209 · +17.0%
By 2050
1,624,373 · +26.1%
By 2075
1,853,193 · +43.9%
By 2100
1,901,231 · +47.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 48% Two or more races 19% Asian 17% White 16% Black 13% Pacific Islander 1% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 38% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Russian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
34% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
47% English-only · Spanish 37% Tagalog/Filipino 6% Other Indo-European 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Contra Costa

2024 margin
Solid D (+38.0) · D 67.3% · R 29.4% · Other 3.3%
2008→2024 swing
+0.2pp no change · 2008: 37.8pp · 2024: 38.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+38.0 2020: D+45.3 2016: D+43.5 2012: D+33.7 2008: D+37.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -478.40%
Current HPI
376.2576
Rent YoY
▲ 1.11%
Metro
San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Pending bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
  • 2026-05-09 Relisted bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
  • 2026-04-12 Pending bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
  • 2026-03-29 Listed $235,000 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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