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133 Ridge Rd
D+ Composite 45.74
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$249,500

133 Ridge Rd · Newport, NC 28570
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,450 sqft · Other public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1986 0.39 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Don't wait, this one won't last long. Good bones & a clean slate is the best way to describe this well cared for single-family home located minutes from Havelock a Morehead City and less than 15 minute drive to Atlantic Beach. This brick ranch with metal roof and covered carport offers endless possibilities. Three bedrooms with two full bathrooms, a large family room with an oversized kitchen and dining area allow room for all kinds of family gatherings. All of the bedrooms are oversized with spacious closets. There is a walk-in laundry room off from the kitchen. Both of the full bathrooms are spacious with tub shower combination. The kitchen has cabinets galore with plenty of counte

Key facts

  • Metal roof
  • Covered carport
  • Large yard

Tags

BRICK RANCHMETAL ROOFCOVERED CARPORTWALK-IN LAUNDRY ROOMKITCHEN HAS CABINETS GALORELARGE YARD

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Has carport (1 space); Paved parking
  • Security: Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Cable available
  • Home design: Single family residence; One story; Entry level: 1; Residential zoning
  • Construction: Brick and frame construction; Metal roof; Crawl space / no basement
  • Exterior features: Covered porch; Porch; Chain link fencing; Shed(s); Property has a view; No additional exterior features listed

Interior

  • Kitchen: Built-in electric oven; Cooktop; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 6 total rooms (bedroom count not specified)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Electric heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Entrance foyer; Ceiling fan(s); Built-in features; Eat-in kitchen
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $250k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $8k ($102k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($13k rent vs $250k).
  • Cap rate 47.0% vs local median 31.4% in Newport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#385 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Carteret County Public Schools (rural): math 59% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #31 of 178 in NC (top 17%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Newport Elementary (math 48% / reading 45%, grade D-, #542 of 1,410 statewide, top 39%, 645 students, 100% FRL); Newport Middle (math 39% / reading 56%, grade C-, #140 of 475 statewide, top 30%, 378 students, 98% FRL); West Carteret High (math 82% / reading 71%, grade A-, #89 of 535 statewide, top 16%, 1,146 students, 40% FRL) — zoned schools average 79% FRL vs 39% district-wide (40 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 216 active listings in the ZIP; 935 units permitted in Carteret County in 2024 (360 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $12,595/mo this rent would consume 215% of the median local household income ($70k/yr) (locally 461% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Carteret County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $70k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $249,500

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
5.05%
Cap rate
47.00%
Cash-on-cash
145.40%
DSCR
7.47
GRM
1.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
8.14×
Total profit
$498,717
Equity at exit
$37,201
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
17.16×
Total profit
$1,128,632
Equity at exit
$21,572

Cash invested: $69,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28570

Home prices YoY
-16.2%
Active inventory
216
Price-to-rent
1.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$12,595 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,308
Tax from tax record
$73 /mo · $874/yr
Insurance
$104
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$2,645
Net cashflow
$8,464

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,880
Max offer price $249,500
Occupancy floor 28%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$62,375
Closing costs
$7,485
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $249,500 Active 7 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $249,500 Active 6 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $249,500 Active 5 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $249,500 Active 4 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $249,500 Active 3 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    remarks 695-char remark
  7. 2026-06-12
    listed $249,500 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$874 · $73/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,046 · $170/mo
Expected delta
+$1,171/yr (+$98/mo · 134.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$151,134
− Mortgage interest
−$13,976
− Property taxes
−$874
− Insurance
−$1,248
− Repairs & maintenance
−$12,091
− Management
−$12,091
− Depreciation
−$7,258
Taxable income
$103,597
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$24,863
After-tax cash flow
$76,710/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Carteret County Public Schools
NCES district ID
3700630
Math proficiency
59% ▲ 5.00%
Reading proficiency
61% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$48,330
Composite
50.92/100
National rank
#1786
State rank
#31 of 178 in NC

Livability — Newport

Score
63/100
State rank
#385
US rank
#15094

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Carteret County · 52,389 people
City population
22,197
Metro
Morehead City, NC
Population (ZIP)
22,197
Household income
$70,229
Rent vs Own
22.7% rent · 77.3% own
Severe rent burden
461.0

Population outlook (Carteret County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
73,443 people
By 2030
75,344 · +2.6%
By 2040
78,142 · +6.4%
By 2050
80,091 · +9.1%
By 2075
86,120 · +17.3%
By 2100
89,408 · +21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Black 3% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 6% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Carteret

2024 margin
Solid R (+43.1) · D 28.0% · R 71.1%
2008→2024 swing
-8.4pp toward R · 2008: -34.7pp · 2024: -43.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+43.1 2020: R+42.0 2016: R+44.5 2012: R+41.0 2008: R+34.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -53.54%
Current HPI
276.6589
Rent YoY
Metro
Morehead City, NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+16.1% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Listed $249,500 Hive MLS
  • 2022-08-14 Price Changed $199,900 Hive MLS
  • 2022-07-11 Listed $214,900 Hive MLS

Property tax history

+0.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $874 · +29.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…