2457 Westside Dr · Churchville, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +6.1/10.0
- DSCR +5.6/10.0
- Schools +4.8/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$149,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Step into this solid, cute & cozy ranch home! This home features 2 br plus an office "nook", large liv rm area, eat in oak kitchen & a finished front porch, that can double as a family room. There's a bonus finished attic space you can access by pull down stairs. The exterior is low maintenance w/ vinyl siding & updated architectural roof. The shed and exceptional wooded lot round out the package. This home had been owned by the same family for 73 yrs! There's a lot of original finishes here, so bring your toolbox and a little love too. Home to be sold "as is".
Key facts
- New water tank
- Fresh paint
- New gutter guards
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with garage door opener (1-car)
- Utilities: Electricity connected (circuit breakers); Photovoltaic panels on-grid; Public water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Single-story home; Existing construction; Block foundation
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Copper plumbing; Asphalt roof
- Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Enclosed porch; Open porch; Shed(s)/storage; Wooded, rectangular residential lot; Main thoroughfare and city street frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Freezer
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Hardwood; Laminate; Tile; Varied flooring
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating; Window cooling unit(s)
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Separate/formal living room; Home office; Partially furnished; Natural woodwork; Window treatments; Programmable thermostat; Drapes
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer; Laundry located in basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $123 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#412 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime A, schools B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
- Churchville-Chili Central School District (rural): math 53% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #291 of 590 in NY (top 49%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 11 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,169 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (591 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Monroe County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $105k; 43% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price; built in 1941 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1941 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.28%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.52%
- DSCR
- 1.16
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $280,549
- List price
- $149,900
- Delta
- -46.57%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 15 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3040 S Union St | 0.43mi | 2/2.0 | 1,057 (+11%) | 2mo | $199,900 | $189 | 56 |
| 5 Ivamae Dr | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,022 (+8%) | 11mo | $240,000 | $235 | 53 |
| 5 Slate Dr | 0.48mi | 2/2.0 | 1,066 (+12%) | 12mo | $255,000 | $239 | 43 |
| 9 David Dr | 0.35mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,080 (+14%) | 14mo | $279,000 | $258 | 43 |
| 19 Hilltop Dr | 0.44mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,072 (+13%) | 22mo | $229,000 | $214 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.61×
- Total profit
- $-16,332
- Equity at exit
- $22,351
- IRR
- -1.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.91×
- Total profit
- $-3,634
- Equity at exit
- $12,961
Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14514
- Home prices YoY
- -12.2%
- Active inventory
- 11
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,668 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$786
- Tax from tax record
- −$346 /mo · $4,157/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$350
- Net cashflow
- $123
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $208 | -5% $165 | +0% $123 | +5% $81 | +10% $38 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-9 | -5% $57 | +0% $123 | +5% $189 | +10% $255 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $199 | -0.5pp $161 | base $123 | +0.5pp $84 | +1.0pp $45 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,475
- Closing costs
- $4,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2431 Westside Dr North Chili, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 882 | $1,600 | $1.81 | 3d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 6 Goldenroot Ln North Chili, NY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1060 | $2,170 | $2.05 | 3d | 29 | 1.05mi |
| 1 Meadow Farm N North Chili, NY | 3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1047 | $1,750 | $1.67 | 3d | 1 | 1.33mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-05-05status Pending 956-char remark
-
2026-04-27$149,900 Active 956-char remark
-
2021-02-17soldstatus $105,000 Closed Sale or Rented 606-char remark
Show marketing remark (606 chars)
Step into this solid, cute & cozy ranch home! This home features 2 br plus an office "nook", large liv rm area, eat in oak kitchen & a finished front porch, that can double as a family room. There's a bonus finished attic space you can access by pull down stairs. The exterior is low maintenance w/ vinyl siding & updated architectural roof. The shed and exceptional wooded lot round out the package. This home had been owned by the same family for 73 yrs! There's a lot of original finishes here, so bring your toolbox and a little love too. Home to be sold "as is".
-
2021-01-14status Pending Sale 606-char remark
Show marketing remark (606 chars)
Step into this solid, cute & cozy ranch home! This home features 2 br plus an office "nook", large liv rm area, eat in oak kitchen & a finished front porch, that can double as a family room. There's a bonus finished attic space you can access by pull down stairs. The exterior is low maintenance w/ vinyl siding & updated architectural roof. The shed and exceptional wooded lot round out the package. This home had been owned by the same family for 73 yrs! There's a lot of original finishes here, so bring your toolbox and a little love too. Home to be sold "as is".
-
2021-01-09historical Continue to Show- Under Contract 606-char remark
Show marketing remark (606 chars)
Step into this solid, cute & cozy ranch home! This home features 2 br plus an office "nook", large liv rm area, eat in oak kitchen & a finished front porch, that can double as a family room. There's a bonus finished attic space you can access by pull down stairs. The exterior is low maintenance w/ vinyl siding & updated architectural roof. The shed and exceptional wooded lot round out the package. This home had been owned by the same family for 73 yrs! There's a lot of original finishes here, so bring your toolbox and a little love too. Home to be sold "as is".
-
2021-01-05$99,900 Active 606-char remark
Show marketing remark (606 chars)
Step into this solid, cute & cozy ranch home! This home features 2 br plus an office "nook", large liv rm area, eat in oak kitchen & a finished front porch, that can double as a family room. There's a bonus finished attic space you can access by pull down stairs. The exterior is low maintenance w/ vinyl siding & updated architectural roof. The shed and exceptional wooded lot round out the package. This home had been owned by the same family for 73 yrs! There's a lot of original finishes here, so bring your toolbox and a little love too. Home to be sold "as is".
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,157 · $346/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,157 · $346/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,020
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,397
- − Property taxes
- −$4,157
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,602
- − Management
- −$1,602
- − Depreciation
- −$4,361
- Taxable loss
- −$847
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$203
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,680/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Churchville-Chili Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3607530
- Math proficiency
- 53% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $61,997
- Composite
- 48.07/100
- National rank
- #2191
- State rank
- #291 of 590 in NY
Livability — Churchville
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #412
- US rank
- #7142
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,979
Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 759,460 people
- By 2030
- 757,154 · -0.3%
- By 2040
- 740,644 · -2.5%
- By 2050
- 714,443 · -5.9%
- By 2075
- 645,883 · -15.0%
- By 2100
- 547,084 · -28.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Black 6% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1% Korean 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Monroe
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.1) · D 59.5% · R 40.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.4pp toward D · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 19.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.1 2020: D+21.0 2016: D+14.1 2012: D+17.4 2008: D+17.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -35.84%
- Current HPI
- 256.8081
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+50.1% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2026-04-27 Listed $149,900 UNYREIS
- 2021-02-17 Sold (MLS) $105,000 UNYREIS
- 2021-01-14 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2021-01-09 Contingent — UNYREIS
- 2021-01-05 Listed $99,900 UNYREIS
Property tax history
+6.6%/yrLatest (2025): $4,157 · -1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…