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1221 Anderson
B+ Composite 79.69
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.9/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$91,000

1221 Anderson · Leesville, LA 71446
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,740 sqft · SingleFamily · 63 Days on market
8,712 sqft lot $52/sqft · 43% below area Est $161k · 43% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Investment property located on dead end of street. This home offers 3 bedrooms with 2 full bathrooms and fenced in back yard. Close to all the shopping and restaurants. 15 minutes to Fort Polk.

Key facts

  • Close to restaurants
  • Investment property
  • Dead end of street

Tags

FENCED IN BACK YARDCLOSE TO SHOPPINGCLOSE TO RESTAURANTSINVESTMENT PROPERTYDEAD END OF STREET

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $91k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $627 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $91k).
  • Recommended offer: $86k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 14.6% vs local median 7.3% in Leesville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#30 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Vernon Parish (rural): math 35% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #18 of 98 in LA (top 18%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.6%/yr); 210 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 26 units permitted in Vernon Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($56k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $629 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Vernon County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 63 days — a 6% lower offer ($86k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $62k; 47% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 97% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $85,540 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 63 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.67%
Cap rate
14.56%
Cash-on-cash
29.51%
DSCR
2.31
GRM
5.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$160,566
List price
$91,000
Delta
-43.33%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2004 Columbus Cir 0.47mi 3/2.0 1,731 (-0%) 1mo $192,000 $111 76
1908 Circles End 0.53mi 3/2.0 1,836 (+6%) 4mo $233,000 $127 63
1002 Aaron Ave 0.18mi 3/2.0 1,600 (-8%) 20mo $185,000 $116 62
2001 Ginger St 0.37mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,560 (-10%) 1mo $175,000 $112 60
2026 Ruth St 0.26mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,649 (-5%) 16mo $139,900 $85 59
802 Dennis Ave 0.73mi 3/4.0 1,725 (-1%) 2mo $140,000 $81 55
2005 Columbus Cir 0.52mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,850 (+6%) 8mo $175,000 $95 53
1032 Hood Ln 0.51mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,660 (-5%) 15mo $75,000 $45 50
2005 Allison St 0.58mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,795 (+3%) 15mo $164,000 $91 46
913 Dennis Ave 0.51mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,557 (-10%) 22mo $157,500 $101 35
2006 Allison St 0.56mi 3/1.0 1,495 (-14%) 14mo $120,000 $80 35
2000 Allison St 0.53mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,509 (-13%) 23mo $117,000 $78 27

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
29.3%
Equity multiple
2.30×
Total profit
$33,165
Equity at exit
$13,568
10-year hold
IRR
39.3%
Equity multiple
5.58×
Total profit
$116,696
Equity at exit
$7,868

Cash invested: $25,480 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 71446

Home prices YoY
-32.1%
Rents YoY
9.6%
Active inventory
210
Price-to-rent
5.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,517 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$477
Tax from tax record
$56 /mo · $676/yr
Insurance
$38
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$318
Net cashflow
$627

Break-even live

Break-even rent $723
Max offer price $91,000
Occupancy floor 54%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,750
Closing costs
$2,730
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1219 Port Arthur Ter Leesville, LA 3.0 2.0 1800 $1,400 $0.78 43d 1 0.92mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $91,000 Active 63 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $91,000 Active 62 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $91,000 Active 61 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $91,000 Active 60 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $91,000 Active 59 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $91,000 Active 57 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $91,000 Active 56 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $91,000 Active 53 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $91,000 Active 52 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $91,000 Active 51 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $91,000 Active 50 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $91,000 Active 47 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $91,000 Active 46 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $91,000 Active 45 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $91,000 Active 44 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $91,000 Active 43 DOM
  17. 2026-04-17
    listed $91,000 Active 193-char remark
    Show marketing remark (193 chars)

    Investment property located on dead end of street. This home offers 3 bedrooms with 2 full bathrooms and fenced in back yard. Close to all the shopping and restaurants. 15 minutes to Fort Polk.

  18. 2018-02-07
    soldstatus $62,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$676 · $56/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$676 · $56/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 97% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,199
− Mortgage interest
−$5,097
− Property taxes
−$676
− Insurance
−$455
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,456
− Management
−$1,456
− Depreciation
−$2,647
Taxable income
$6,411
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,539
After-tax cash flow
$5,981/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Vernon Parish
NCES district ID
2201830
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -42.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -32.00%
Median HH income
$44,822
Composite
36.42/100
National rank
#4674
State rank
#18 of 98 in LA

Livability — Leesville

Score
73/100
State rank
#30
US rank
#5046

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Leesville, LA
County
Vernon Parish · 21,275 people
City population
21,275
Metro
Fort Polk South, LA
Population (ZIP)
21,275
Household income
$55,925
Rent vs Own
37.0% rent · 63.0% own
Severe rent burden
659.0

Population outlook (Vernon County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
45,401 people
By 2030
43,015 · -5.3%
By 2040
38,171 · -15.9%
By 2050
34,087 · -24.9%
By 2075
28,267 · -37.7%
By 2100
25,486 · -43.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (72%)
Race & ethnicity
White 72% Black 16% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Asian 2% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Slovak 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Vernon

2024 margin
Solid R (+67.9) · D 15.6% · R 83.4% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-14.5pp toward R · 2008: -53.4pp · 2024: -67.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+67.9 2020: R+64.9 2016: R+65.0 2012: R+57.5 2008: R+53.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -61.06%
Current HPI
128.8849
Rent YoY
▲ 9.60%
Metro
Fort Polk South, LA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+46.8% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-17 Listed $91,000 GFPAR
  • 2018-02-07 Sold (Public Records) $62,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $676 · -0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…