Fourplex
5200-5206 W Craw St · Lincoln, NE
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,161 – $2,155
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +6.4/15.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$259,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Calling all investors - opportunity to expand your portfolio knocks! A solid duplex, with strong rent potential, each unit features over 900 sq ft, 2 bedrooms, 1 bath and an attached single-stall garage. Efficient floor plans, private entrances and garage access for each side provide convenience and long-term appeal for tenants or owner occupants.
Key facts
- 0.49 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1955
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage; Two covered parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Duplex residential property; Property attached; Built in 1955; Single-level living (main floor bedrooms and baths)
- Construction: Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Lot about 0.49 acre (approx. 140 x 140); Lot included in price
Interior
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom on main floor; Additional bedrooms on main floor
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms, both on the main floor
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: No basement; No fireplaces
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $259k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($24k/yr) — positive. Per door: $503/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $259k).
- Recommended offer: $251k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.6% vs local median 3.0% in Lincoln — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 85/100 on livability (#5 in NE, #545 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+.
- Lincoln Public Schools (urban): math 50% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #59 of 111 in NE (top 53%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 29 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,940 units permitted in Lancaster County in 2024 (895 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lancaster County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $73k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($251k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.83% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.61%
- Cash-on-cash
- 33.27%
- DSCR
- 2.48
- GRM
- 4.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $252,547
- List price
- $259,000
- Delta
- 2.56%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 4 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4911-4917 W Zeamer St | 0.26mi | 4/2.0 | 1,950 (0%) | 20mo | $220,000 | $113 | 71 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 28.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.19×
- Total profit
- $86,126
- Equity at exit
- $38,618
- IRR
- 35.9%
- Equity multiple
- 4.31×
- Total profit
- $240,051
- Equity at exit
- $22,394
Cash invested: $72,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Nebraska
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 68524
- Home prices YoY
- -26.2%
- Active inventory
- 29
- Price-to-rent
- 18.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,746 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,358
- Tax from tax record
- −$273 /mo · $3,271/yr
- Insurance
- −$108
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$997
- Net cashflow
- $2,011
Break-even live
4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4× units | 2 | 1 | $4,744 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,186 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,186 |
| #3 | 2 | 1 | $1,186 |
| #4 | 2 | 1 | $1,186 |
| Total (4 units) | $4,746 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $64,750
- Closing costs
- $7,770
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5300 W Zeamer St Lincoln, NE | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,678 | $1.12 | 13d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 5321 Michael Cir Lincoln, NE | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1915 | $1,750 | $0.91 | 43d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 3718 NW 51st St Unit 3712 Lincoln, NE | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1470 | $1,595 | $1.09 | 13d | 1 | 0.35mi |
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-10days on market $259,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $259,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $259,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $259,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $259,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $259,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $259,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $259,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $259,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $259,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-05-01$259,000 New 350-char remark
-
2026-05-01historical
-
2026-04-10$279,000 New
-
2026-04-10historical
-
2026-03-20$299,500 New
-
2026-03-20historical
-
2026-03-09$321,500 New
-
2026-03-09historical
-
2026-01-16price $331,500
-
2026-01-14$325,000 New
-
2024-04-10historical $1,375
-
2024-03-30price $1,375
-
2023-12-20$1,400
-
2023-06-22historical
-
2023-04-26$2,835,000 New
-
2022-03-08soldstatus $470,000
-
2016-05-05soldstatus $175,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NE · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,271 · $273/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,481 · $373/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,209/yr (+$101/mo · 37.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $56,952
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,508
- − Property taxes
- −$3,271
- − Insurance
- −$1,295
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,556
- − Management
- −$4,556
- − Depreciation
- −$7,535
- Taxable income
- $21,231
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$5,095
- After-tax cash flow
- $19,032/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lincoln Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3172840
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,273
- Composite
- 44.05/100
- National rank
- #2880
- State rank
- #59 of 111 in NE
Livability — Lincoln
- Score
- 85/100
- State rank
- #5
- US rank
- #545
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lincoln, NE
- City population
- 291,509
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,049
Population outlook (Lancaster County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 352,806 people
- By 2030
- 377,899 · +7.1%
- By 2040
- 428,582 · +21.5%
- By 2050
- 483,103 · +36.9%
- By 2075
- 632,390 · +79.2%
- By 2100
- 759,513 · +115.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Hispanic / Latino 21% Two or more races 12% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11%
- Common ancestry
- Subsaharan African 8% Romanian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Spanish 11% Russian/Polish/Slavic 9% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lancaster
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.1% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.7pp no change · 2008: 5.0pp · 2024: 4.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.3 2020: D+7.8 2016: D+0.1 2012: R+1.0 2008: D+5.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -87.68%
- Current HPI
- 247.2683
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 0.68%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NE)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Conglomerate | 1 | $371B |
|
||
Price history
+48.0% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-10 Listing Removed — GPRMLS
- 2026-05-01 Listing Removed — GPRMLS
- 2026-05-01 Listed $259,000 GPRMLS
- 2026-04-10 Listing Removed — GPRMLS
- 2026-04-10 Listed $279,000 GPRMLS
- 2026-03-20 Listing Removed — GPRMLS
- 2026-03-20 Listed $299,500 GPRMLS
- 2026-03-09 Listing Removed — GPRMLS
- 2026-03-09 Listed $321,500 GPRMLS
- 2026-01-16 Price Changed $331,500 GPRMLS
- 2026-01-14 Listed $325,000 GPRMLS
- 2024-04-10 Rental Removed $1,375 APPFOLIO
- 2024-03-30 Price Changed $1,375 APPFOLIO
- 2023-12-20 Listed for Rent $1,400 APPFOLIO
- 2023-06-22 Listing Removed — GPRMLS
- 2023-04-26 Listed $2,835,000 GPRMLS
- 2022-03-08 Sold (Public Records) $470,000 Public Records
- 2016-05-05 Sold (Public Records) $175,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.2%/yrLatest (2025): $3,271 · +13.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…