17736 NW Shady Fir Loop · Beaverton, OR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $498 – $926
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 8/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 11 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 11 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.3/30.0
- Schools +6.3/10.0
- DSCR +5.4/10.0
- 1% rule +4.7/10.0
- Livability +4.4/5.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.1/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$223,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
1993 Golden West Manufactured Home location: Beaverton "Springwood Estates. " List Price $223,000. 3 Bedroom 2 bath, 1404 sqft. Vaulted ceilings a great floor plan, including glass sliding door from the dinning room leading to a large deck that over looks one of the largest yards in this park "Great for entertaining. " Spacious kitchen with lots of cupboard space and cabinets plus a breakfast nook that face the front yard so you can enjoy your coffee or tea in the mornings with a beautiful view of the outdoors. Primary bedroom includes walk-in closet, connecting bathroom with soaking tub and walk-in shower. The laundry room area is next to the entrance to the garage. Out
Key facts
- Walk-in closet
- Soaking tub
- Spacious kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $223k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $165 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $216k (3.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $216k (3.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 2.2% in Beaverton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 88/100 on livability (#10 in OR, #251 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime D, cost of living F.
- Beaverton SD 48J (urban): math 68% / reading 76% proficiency, ranked #3 of 58 in OR (top 5%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Zoned schools: Elmonica Elementary School (math 64% / reading 84%, grade A, #23 of 412 statewide, top 7%, 413 students, 41% FRL); Five Oaks Middle School (math 44% / reading 74%, grade B, #17 of 128 statewide, top 14%, 781 students, 49% FRL); Westview High School (math 75% / reading 75%, grade A-, #2 of 143 statewide, top 6%, 2,442 students, 29% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.6%/yr); 245 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,224 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (242 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Washington County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($216k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.97% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.18%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.16%
- DSCR
- 1.14
- GRM
- 8.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $160,056
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17736 NW Shady Fir Loop | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,404 (0%) | 1mo | $220,000 | $157 | 99 |
| 17660 SW Bunker Oak Rd | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 1,380 (-2%) | 2mo | $165,600 | $120 | 77 |
| 874 SW Liberty Bell Dr | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 | 1,448 (+3%) | 10mo | $165,000 | $114 | 74 |
| 17436 NW Shady Fir Loop | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (-4%) | 19mo | $200,000 | $149 | 74 |
| 17730 SW Independence Way #253 | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,488 (+6%) | 10mo | $130,000 | $87 | 69 |
| 17500 NW Shady Fir Loop | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,536 (+9%) | 12mo | $241,000 | $157 | 68 |
| 905 SW Liberty Bell Dr | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,447 (+3%) | 19mo | $130,000 | $90 | 66 |
| 17643 NW Shady Fir Loop | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 | 1,530 (+9%) | 19mo | $174,900 | $114 | 65 |
| 520 SW Georgetown Way | 0.53mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,344 (-4%) | 2mo | $75,000 | $56 | 62 |
| 375 SW Liberty Bell Dr | 0.38mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,311 (-7%) | 15mo | $90,000 | $69 | 54 |
| 17614 SW Richmond Way | 0.42mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,512 (+8%) | 16mo | $93,000 | $62 | 49 |
| 17620 SW Richmond Way | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,200 (-14%) | 9mo | $125,500 | $105 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.49×
- Total profit
- $-31,943
- Equity at exit
- $33,250
- IRR
- -12.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.38×
- Total profit
- $-38,632
- Equity at exit
- $19,281
Cash invested: $62,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Oregon
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 97006
- Rents YoY
- -1.6%
- Active inventory
- 245
- Price-to-rent
- 8.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,159 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,169
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$279 /mo · $3,345/yr
- Insurance
- −$93
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$453
- Net cashflow
- $165
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $319 | -5% $242 | +0% $165 | +5% $88 | +10% $11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-6 | -5% $79 | +0% $165 | +5% $250 | +10% $335 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $277 | -0.5pp $221 | base $165 | +0.5pp $107 | +1.0pp $48 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $55,750
- Closing costs
- $6,690
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17565 NW Woodmere Ct Beaverton, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1519 | $2,500 | $1.65 | 45d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 18300 NW Walker Rd Beaverton, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 958 | $1,949 | $2.03 | 3d | 5 | 0.51mi |
| 908 SW 175th Ter Beaverton, OR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1307 | $2,295 | $1.76 | 25d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 17152 SW Whitley Way Beaverton, OR | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1260 | $2,275 | $1.81 | 17d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 10667 NE Heritage Pkwy Hillsboro, OR | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 914 | $2,332 | $2.55 | 3d | 13 | 0.58mi |
| 760 NW 185th Ave #207 Beaverton, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1007 | $1,850 | $1.84 | 45d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 760 NW 185th Ave #207 Beaverton, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1007 | $1,850 | $1.84 | 25d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 900 SW 179th Ave Beaverton, OR | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1356 | $2,450 | $1.81 | 9d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 17040 SW Whitley Way #203 Beaverton, OR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,695 | $1.41 | 45d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 10834 NE Holly St Hillsboro, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 966 | $1,995 | $2.07 | 13d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 16201 NW Schendel Ave Beaverton, OR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 830 | $1,815 | $2.19 | 3d | 9 | 0.61mi |
| 10664 NE Holly St Hillsboro, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $2,000 | $2.08 | 25d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 17030 SW Baseline Rd Beaverton, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 680 | $1,671 | $2.46 | 13d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 1050 SW 170th Ave #201 Beaverton, OR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1524 | $2,395 | $1.57 | 19d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 18405 SW Stepping Stone Dr #43 Beaverton, OR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1553 | $2,275 | $1.46 | 18d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 1145 SW 170th Ave Beaverton, OR | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 835 | $3,426 | $4.10 | 3d | 221 | 0.67mi |
| 314 NE Edgeway Dr Beaverton, OR | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1300 | $2,395 | $1.84 | 25d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 10795 NE Gateway Pl Beaverton, OR | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1104 | $2,099 | $1.90 | 25d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 16715 SW Baseline Rd Beaverton, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1436 | $2,200 | $1.53 | 45d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 1285 NW 183rd Ave Beaverton, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 888 | $1,670 | $1.88 | 3d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 1285 NW 183rd Ave Unit 39 Beaverton, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 893 | $1,695 | $1.90 | 19d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 477 NE Edgeway Dr Beaverton, OR | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1600 | $2,300 | $1.44 | 4d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 17634 SW September Ln Beaverton, OR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1582 | $2,345 | $1.48 | 19d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 1255 NW 183rd Ave Unit 23 Beaverton, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 883 | $1,645 | $1.86 | 21d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 17472 SW Jay St Beaverton, OR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1537 | $2,300 | $1.50 | 45d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 1345 SW 172nd Ter Beaverton, OR | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 970 | $2,482 | $2.56 | 3d | 20 | 0.75mi |
| 915 SW 163rd Ave Beaverton, OR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 786 | $1,810 | $2.30 | 45d | 12 | 0.75mi |
| 1333 SW 178th Ave Beaverton, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1310 | $2,395 | $1.83 | 25d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 1815 NW 173rd Ave Beaverton, OR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 768 | $2,068 | $2.69 | 3d | 13 | 0.80mi |
| 915 SW 163rd Ave Unit 718 Beaverton, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 913 | $1,675 | $1.83 | 9d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 915 SW 163rd Ave Unit 527 Beaverton, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 913 | $1,625 | $1.78 | 9d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 915 SW 163rd Ave Unit 2314 Beaverton, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 913 | $1,725 | $1.89 | 3d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 915 SW 163rd Ave Unit 132 Beaverton, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 913 | $1,635 | $1.79 | 25d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 17461 SW Rose Petal Ln Beaverton, OR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1504 | $2,295 | $1.53 | 45d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 600 NW Island Ter Beaverton, OR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 828 | $2,318 | $2.80 | 4d | 11 | 0.81mi |
| 903 SW 185th Ave Hillsboro, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 985 | $1,622 | $1.65 | 9d | 6 | 0.81mi |
| 1563 SW 172nd Ter Beaverton, OR | 3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 730 | $2,290 | $3.14 | 3d | 26 | 0.85mi |
| 16250 SW Jenkins Rd Beaverton, OR | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1007 | $1,790 | $1.78 | 45d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 16275 SW Gage Ln Beaverton, OR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1505 | $2,550 | $1.69 | 17d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 1614 SW 172nd Ter Beaverton, OR | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1498 | $2,195 | $1.47 | 45d | 1 | 0.90mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-04-01status Pending
-
2026-03-19historical Active with Bumpable Contingency
-
2026-02-21$223,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 8/10 Severe 11 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,911
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,491
- − Property taxes
- −$3,345
- − Insurance
- −$1,115
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,073
- − Management
- −$2,073
- − Depreciation
- −$6,487
- Taxable loss
- −$1,674
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$402
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,378/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This home is in good condition with a good roof and exterior. It has a good kitchen and bathrooms, and the interior walls and paint are in good condition. The flooring and systems are also in good condition. The home has a good curb appeal and is move-in ready.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both Replace worn-out flooring — Improves aesthetics and functionality
- Both Update kitchen cabinets — Modernizes the space and adds value
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Replace worn-out flooring — Improves aesthetics and functionality ↑
- Both Update kitchen cabinets — Modernizes the space and adds value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Beaverton SD 48J
- NCES district ID
- 4101920
- Math proficiency
- 68% ▲ 14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 76% ▲ 11.00%
- Median HH income
- $67,966
- Composite
- 62.72/100
- National rank
- #672
- State rank
- #3 of 58 in OR
Livability — Beaverton
- Score
- 88/100
- State rank
- #10
- US rank
- #251
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Washington County · 583,254 people
- City population
- 204,753
- Metro
- Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 46,463
- Household income
- $104,790
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2200.0
Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 674,042 people
- By 2030
- 721,804 · +7.1%
- By 2040
- 812,732 · +20.6%
- By 2050
- 895,143 · +32.8%
- By 2075
- 1,058,806 · +57.1%
- By 2100
- 1,131,692 · +67.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 52% Asian 21% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 12% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 12%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Portuguese 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 22% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 71% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Asian/Pacific 6% Other Indo-European 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Washington
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+34.0) · D 65.3% · R 31.3% · Other 3.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +11.8pp toward D · 2008: 22.1pp · 2024: 34.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+34.0 2020: D+34.6 2016: D+26.7 2012: D+17.5 2008: D+22.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -344.27%
- Current HPI
- 304.041
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.58%
- Metro
- Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $51B |
|
||
Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-01 Pending — RMLS
- 2026-03-19 Contingent — RMLS
- 2026-02-21 Listed $223,000 RMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…