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4430 Bowes Ave
B Composite 72.76
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$80,000

4430 Bowes Ave · West Mifflin, PA 15122
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 672 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 44 Days on market
Built 1930 5,353 sqft lot $119/sqft · 9% below area Est $88k · 9% under ↓ 20% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Newly Updated Ranch Home! New Luxury Vinyl Plank Flooring Throughout! Large Updated Eat In Kitchen with Stainless Steel Appliances, Custom Countertops, Under Cabinet Lighting, Recessed Lighting, and Tile Backsplash! Living Room Features Custom Accent Wall with Electric Fireplace and Recessed Lighting! Master Bedroom has Custom Closet and Recessed Lighting! Large Laundry Room off the Master Bedroom with Separate Entrance! Updated Main Bath with Tub/Shower, New Vanity, and New Fixtures! Ally Access to 2 Car Detached Garage! New Concrete Walk Ways! New Electrical Service! Great Location Minutes to Waterfront Shopping, Dining, and Entertainment, 376, and Downtown Pittsburgh! Large Open Basement Ready to be Finished!

Key facts

  • Generous lot
  • Conveniently located
  • Detached garage

Tags

GENEROUS LOTDETACHED GARAGEVALUE-ADD OPPORTUNITYCONVENIENTLY LOCATED

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage; 2 parking spaces (total)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-story home; Resale property
  • Construction: Asphalt roof
  • Exterior features: Public transportation nearby; Lot dimensions approximately 35 x 26 x 80 x 60 x 102

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Stove; Some electric appliances
  • Bedrooms: Total of 5 rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Electric baseboard heating
  • Interior features: Full walk-out basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $409 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
  • Recommended offer: $78k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.4% vs local median 5.2% in West Mifflin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#539 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, schools B+; Watch: health & safety D, crime D-, amenities F.
  • West Mifflin Area SD (suburban): math 19% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #443 of 539 in PA (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 58 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,996 units permitted in Allegheny County in 2024 (1,588 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $77,600 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.59%
Cap rate
12.43%
Cash-on-cash
21.92%
DSCR
1.98
GRM
5.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$87,870
List price
$80,000
Delta
-8.96%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
14 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4317 Home St 0.14mi 1/1.0 (-1) 663 (-1%) 0mo $89,900 $136 86
628 Hazel St 0.19mi 2/1.0 706 (+5%) 1mo $140,000 $198 82
620 Glencairn St 0.23mi 2/1.0 696 (+4%) 6mo $42,000 $60 78
4632 Greensprings Ave 0.14mi 2/1.0 752 (+12%) 8mo $80,000 $106 67
501 Division St 0.55mi 2/1.0 700 (+4%) 7mo $155,000 $221 61
509 Oak St 0.74mi 1/1.0 (-1) 754 (+12%) 12mo $37,000 $49 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
14.6%
Equity multiple
1.59×
Total profit
$13,139
Equity at exit
$11,928
10-year hold
IRR
23.4%
Equity multiple
3.02×
Total profit
$45,180
Equity at exit
$6,917

Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15122

Home prices YoY
-30.4%
Active inventory
58
Price-to-rent
5.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,273 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$420
Tax from tax record
$144 /mo · $1,728/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$267
Net cashflow
$409

Break-even live

Break-even rent $756
Max offer price $80,000
Occupancy floor 63%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$20,000
Closing costs
$2,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4 St Therese Ct Munhall, PA 1.0 1.0 620 $1,275 $2.06 44d 1 1.02mi
4511 Main St Unit B Munhall, PA 1.0 1.0 700 $1,100 $1.57 44d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $80,000 Active 44 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $80,000 Active 43 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $80,000 Active 42 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $80,000 Active 41 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $80,000 Active 39 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $80,000 Active 35 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $80,000 Active 34 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $80,000 Active 33 DOM
  9. 2026-06-03
    days on market $80,000 Active 29 DOM
  10. 2026-06-02
    days on market $80,000 Active 28 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $80,000 Active 27 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $80,000 Active 26 DOM
  13. 2026-05-05
    listed $90,000 Active 613-char remark
  14. 2025-12-04
    historical Expired 721-char remark
    Show marketing remark (721 chars)

    Newly Updated Ranch Home! New Luxury Vinyl Plank Flooring Throughout! Large Updated Eat In Kitchen with Stainless Steel Appliances, Custom Countertops, Under Cabinet Lighting, Recessed Lighting, and Tile Backsplash! Living Room Features Custom Accent Wall with Electric Fireplace and Recessed Lighting! Master Bedroom has Custom Closet and Recessed Lighting! Large Laundry Room off the Master Bedroom with Separate Entrance! Updated Main Bath with Tub/Shower, New Vanity, and New Fixtures! Ally Access to 2 Car Detached Garage! New Concrete Walk Ways! New Electrical Service! Great Location Minutes to Waterfront Shopping, Dining, and Entertainment, 376, and Downtown Pittsburgh! Large Open Basement Ready to be Finished!

  15. 2024-12-05
    listed $160,000 Active 721-char remark
    Show marketing remark (721 chars)

    Newly Updated Ranch Home! New Luxury Vinyl Plank Flooring Throughout! Large Updated Eat In Kitchen with Stainless Steel Appliances, Custom Countertops, Under Cabinet Lighting, Recessed Lighting, and Tile Backsplash! Living Room Features Custom Accent Wall with Electric Fireplace and Recessed Lighting! Master Bedroom has Custom Closet and Recessed Lighting! Large Laundry Room off the Master Bedroom with Separate Entrance! Updated Main Bath with Tub/Shower, New Vanity, and New Fixtures! Ally Access to 2 Car Detached Garage! New Concrete Walk Ways! New Electrical Service! Great Location Minutes to Waterfront Shopping, Dining, and Entertainment, 376, and Downtown Pittsburgh! Large Open Basement Ready to be Finished!

  16. 2023-06-23
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (225 chars)

    Cute bungalow on a large lot with a 2 car detached garage just waiting for you to put your finishing touches on. Close to The Waterfront, shops, and bus line. Sold "As-Is". Great investment property or starter home.

  17. 2023-06-23
    soldstatus $70,000 Closed
    Show marketing remark (225 chars)

    Cute bungalow on a large lot with a 2 car detached garage just waiting for you to put your finishing touches on. Close to The Waterfront, shops, and bus line. Sold "As-Is". Great investment property or starter home.

  18. 2023-05-15
    historical Contingent
    Show marketing remark (225 chars)

    Cute bungalow on a large lot with a 2 car detached garage just waiting for you to put your finishing touches on. Close to The Waterfront, shops, and bus line. Sold "As-Is". Great investment property or starter home.

  19. 2023-04-26
    price $77,500
    Show marketing remark (225 chars)

    Cute bungalow on a large lot with a 2 car detached garage just waiting for you to put your finishing touches on. Close to The Waterfront, shops, and bus line. Sold "As-Is". Great investment property or starter home.

  20. 2023-04-10
    listed $80,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (225 chars)

    Cute bungalow on a large lot with a 2 car detached garage just waiting for you to put your finishing touches on. Close to The Waterfront, shops, and bus line. Sold "As-Is". Great investment property or starter home.

  21. 2006-10-24
    soldstatus $22,000
  22. 2006-10-19
    soldstatus $22,000
  23. 2005-10-06
    listed $30,000
  24. 1995-07-01
    soldstatus $100,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,728 · $144/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,728 · $144/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,281
− Mortgage interest
−$4,481
− Property taxes
−$1,728
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,222
− Management
−$1,222
− Depreciation
−$2,327
Taxable income
$3,899
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$936
After-tax cash flow
$3,973/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
West Mifflin Area SD
NCES district ID
4225680
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -19.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -14.00%
Median HH income
$46,532
Composite
25.78/100
National rank
#7371
State rank
#443 of 539 in PA

Livability — West Mifflin

Score
73/100
State rank
#539
US rank
#5042

Category grades

Amenities F Commute B Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
West Mifflin, PA
County
Allegheny County · 1,022,028 people
City population
18,816
Metro
Pittsburgh, PA
Population (ZIP)
18,816
Household income
$72,485
Rent vs Own
21.6% rent · 78.4% own
Severe rent burden
334.0

Population outlook (Allegheny County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,250,282 people
By 2030
1,256,482 · +0.5%
By 2040
1,256,318 · +0.5%
By 2050
1,244,169 · -0.5%
By 2075
1,197,693 · -4.2%
By 2100
1,093,187 · -12.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (81%)
Race & ethnicity
White 81% Black 9% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 9% Slovak 1% Scotch-Irish 1%
Foreign-born
1% · South Korea
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Allegheny

2024 margin
Strong D (+20.3) · D 59.7% · R 39.4%
2008→2024 swing
+4.8pp toward D · 2008: 15.5pp · 2024: 20.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+20.3 2020: D+20.4 2016: D+16.4 2012: D+14.4 2008: D+15.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -107.69%
Current HPI
246.2486
Rent YoY
Metro
Pittsburgh, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-20.0% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Price Changed $80,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2026-05-05 Listed $90,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2025-12-04 Delisted West Penn MLS
  • 2024-12-05 Listed $160,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2023-06-23 Pending West Penn MLS
  • 2023-06-23 Sold (MLS) $70,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2023-05-15 Contingent West Penn MLS
  • 2023-04-26 Price Changed $77,500 West Penn MLS
  • 2023-04-10 Listed $80,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2006-10-24 Sold (Public Records) $22,000 Public Records
  • 2006-10-19 Sold (MLS) $22,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2005-10-06 Listed $30,000 West Penn MLS
  • 1995-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.4%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,728 · +3.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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