140 Division St · River Rouge, MI
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.5/10.0
$50,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
THIS IS A GREAT OPPORTUNITY TO OWN A GREAT INVESTMENT PROPERTY OR LARGE HOME IN A GREAT AREA IN WALKING DISTANCE TO SCHOOLS AND WITH FREEWAYS CLOSE BY. THIS HOME CAN BE A 2 UNIT INVESTMENT PROPERTY WITH 3 BEDROOMS AND 1 BATHROOM IN EACH UNIT. THERE IS A FULL BASEMENT AND A 2 CAR GARAGE. ALL BUYERS SHALL BE WITH A REALTOR LICENSED IN MICHIGAN WHEN VIEWING PROPERTY.
Key facts
- 4,356 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1905
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 6-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $883 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $50k).
- Recommended offer: $44k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 28.8% vs local median 8.1% in River Rouge — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#454 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: health & safety D, schools F, crime F.
- River Rouge School District (suburban): math 3% / reading 12% proficiency, ranked #535 of 540 in MI (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 89% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 58 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($346 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 159 days — a 12% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $60k (55%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $10k; list at $50k implies a 400% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1905 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 159 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1905 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.33% ✓
- Cap rate
- 28.82%
- Cash-on-cash
- 80.45%
- DSCR
- 4.58
- GRM
- 2.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $178,524
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 110 Pine St | 0.55mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 1,590 (+3%) | 9mo | $184,800 | $116 | 56 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 86.1%
- Equity multiple
- 6.97×
- Total profit
- $83,553
- Equity at exit
- $45,044
- IRR
- 80.7%
- Equity multiple
- 15.43×
- Total profit
- $201,977
- Equity at exit
- $97,139
Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48218
- Home prices YoY
- 28.4%
- Active inventory
- 58
- Price-to-rent
- 2.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,665 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax from tax record
- −$94 /mo · $1,124/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$350
- Net cashflow
- $883
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,500
- Closing costs
- $1,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3804 18th St Unit F2 Ecorse, MI | 5.0 | 1.0 | 2160 | $1,665 | $0.77 | 3d | 1 | 1.38mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2025-05-18status Pending 366-char remark
Show marketing remark (366 chars)
THIS IS A GREAT OPPORTUNITY TO OWN A GREAT INVESTMENT PROPERTY OR LARGE HOME IN A GREAT AREA IN WALKING DISTANCE TO SCHOOLS AND WITH FREEWAYS CLOSE BY. THIS HOME CAN BE A 2 UNIT INVESTMENT PROPERTY WITH 3 BEDROOMS AND 1 BATHROOM IN EACH UNIT. THERE IS A FULL BASEMENT AND A 2 CAR GARAGE. ALL BUYERS SHALL BE WITH A REALTOR LICENSED IN MICHIGAN WHEN VIEWING PROPERTY.
-
2025-05-18status Pending
Show marketing remark (366 chars)
THIS IS A GREAT OPPORTUNITY TO OWN A GREAT INVESTMENT PROPERTY OR LARGE HOME IN A GREAT AREA IN WALKING DISTANCE TO SCHOOLS AND WITH FREEWAYS CLOSE BY. THIS HOME CAN BE A 2 UNIT INVESTMENT PROPERTY WITH 3 BEDROOMS AND 1 BATHROOM IN EACH UNIT. THERE IS A FULL BASEMENT AND A 2 CAR GARAGE. ALL BUYERS SHALL BE WITH A REALTOR LICENSED IN MICHIGAN WHEN VIEWING PROPERTY.
-
2025-04-02price $50,000 366-char remark
Show marketing remark (366 chars)
THIS IS A GREAT OPPORTUNITY TO OWN A GREAT INVESTMENT PROPERTY OR LARGE HOME IN A GREAT AREA IN WALKING DISTANCE TO SCHOOLS AND WITH FREEWAYS CLOSE BY. THIS HOME CAN BE A 2 UNIT INVESTMENT PROPERTY WITH 3 BEDROOMS AND 1 BATHROOM IN EACH UNIT. THERE IS A FULL BASEMENT AND A 2 CAR GARAGE. ALL BUYERS SHALL BE WITH A REALTOR LICENSED IN MICHIGAN WHEN VIEWING PROPERTY.
-
2025-04-02price $50,000
Show marketing remark (366 chars)
THIS IS A GREAT OPPORTUNITY TO OWN A GREAT INVESTMENT PROPERTY OR LARGE HOME IN A GREAT AREA IN WALKING DISTANCE TO SCHOOLS AND WITH FREEWAYS CLOSE BY. THIS HOME CAN BE A 2 UNIT INVESTMENT PROPERTY WITH 3 BEDROOMS AND 1 BATHROOM IN EACH UNIT. THERE IS A FULL BASEMENT AND A 2 CAR GARAGE. ALL BUYERS SHALL BE WITH A REALTOR LICENSED IN MICHIGAN WHEN VIEWING PROPERTY.
-
2025-02-20price $69,000 366-char remark
Show marketing remark (366 chars)
THIS IS A GREAT OPPORTUNITY TO OWN A GREAT INVESTMENT PROPERTY OR LARGE HOME IN A GREAT AREA IN WALKING DISTANCE TO SCHOOLS AND WITH FREEWAYS CLOSE BY. THIS HOME CAN BE A 2 UNIT INVESTMENT PROPERTY WITH 3 BEDROOMS AND 1 BATHROOM IN EACH UNIT. THERE IS A FULL BASEMENT AND A 2 CAR GARAGE. ALL BUYERS SHALL BE WITH A REALTOR LICENSED IN MICHIGAN WHEN VIEWING PROPERTY.
-
2025-02-19price $69,000
-
2025-01-07price $79,000 366-char remark
Show marketing remark (366 chars)
THIS IS A GREAT OPPORTUNITY TO OWN A GREAT INVESTMENT PROPERTY OR LARGE HOME IN A GREAT AREA IN WALKING DISTANCE TO SCHOOLS AND WITH FREEWAYS CLOSE BY. THIS HOME CAN BE A 2 UNIT INVESTMENT PROPERTY WITH 3 BEDROOMS AND 1 BATHROOM IN EACH UNIT. THERE IS A FULL BASEMENT AND A 2 CAR GARAGE. ALL BUYERS SHALL BE WITH A REALTOR LICENSED IN MICHIGAN WHEN VIEWING PROPERTY.
-
2025-01-07price $79,000
Show marketing remark (366 chars)
THIS IS A GREAT OPPORTUNITY TO OWN A GREAT INVESTMENT PROPERTY OR LARGE HOME IN A GREAT AREA IN WALKING DISTANCE TO SCHOOLS AND WITH FREEWAYS CLOSE BY. THIS HOME CAN BE A 2 UNIT INVESTMENT PROPERTY WITH 3 BEDROOMS AND 1 BATHROOM IN EACH UNIT. THERE IS A FULL BASEMENT AND A 2 CAR GARAGE. ALL BUYERS SHALL BE WITH A REALTOR LICENSED IN MICHIGAN WHEN VIEWING PROPERTY.
-
2024-12-20price $89,000 366-char remark
Show marketing remark (366 chars)
THIS IS A GREAT OPPORTUNITY TO OWN A GREAT INVESTMENT PROPERTY OR LARGE HOME IN A GREAT AREA IN WALKING DISTANCE TO SCHOOLS AND WITH FREEWAYS CLOSE BY. THIS HOME CAN BE A 2 UNIT INVESTMENT PROPERTY WITH 3 BEDROOMS AND 1 BATHROOM IN EACH UNIT. THERE IS A FULL BASEMENT AND A 2 CAR GARAGE. ALL BUYERS SHALL BE WITH A REALTOR LICENSED IN MICHIGAN WHEN VIEWING PROPERTY.
-
2024-12-19price $89,000
-
2024-12-10$110,000 Active 366-char remark
Show marketing remark (366 chars)
THIS IS A GREAT OPPORTUNITY TO OWN A GREAT INVESTMENT PROPERTY OR LARGE HOME IN A GREAT AREA IN WALKING DISTANCE TO SCHOOLS AND WITH FREEWAYS CLOSE BY. THIS HOME CAN BE A 2 UNIT INVESTMENT PROPERTY WITH 3 BEDROOMS AND 1 BATHROOM IN EACH UNIT. THERE IS A FULL BASEMENT AND A 2 CAR GARAGE. ALL BUYERS SHALL BE WITH A REALTOR LICENSED IN MICHIGAN WHEN VIEWING PROPERTY.
-
2024-12-10$110,000 Active
Show marketing remark (366 chars)
THIS IS A GREAT OPPORTUNITY TO OWN A GREAT INVESTMENT PROPERTY OR LARGE HOME IN A GREAT AREA IN WALKING DISTANCE TO SCHOOLS AND WITH FREEWAYS CLOSE BY. THIS HOME CAN BE A 2 UNIT INVESTMENT PROPERTY WITH 3 BEDROOMS AND 1 BATHROOM IN EACH UNIT. THERE IS A FULL BASEMENT AND A 2 CAR GARAGE. ALL BUYERS SHALL BE WITH A REALTOR LICENSED IN MICHIGAN WHEN VIEWING PROPERTY.
-
2015-05-13soldstatus $10,000 Sold 8-char remark
Show marketing remark (8 chars)
HUD HOME
-
2015-05-13soldstatus $10,000
Show marketing remark (8 chars)
HUD HOME
-
2015-04-16historical 8-char remark
Show marketing remark (8 chars)
HUD HOME
-
2015-04-15historical
-
2015-04-10status Active 8-char remark
Show marketing remark (8 chars)
HUD HOME
-
2015-04-03historical 8-char remark
Show marketing remark (8 chars)
HUD HOME
-
2015-03-27$10,000 Active 8-char remark
Show marketing remark (8 chars)
HUD HOME
-
2015-03-26$10,000
-
2001-04-13soldstatus $60,420
-
2001-04-13soldstatus $35,000
-
1998-08-20soldstatus $29,700
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,124 · $94/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,124 · $94/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,980
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,801
- − Property taxes
- −$1,124
- − Insurance
- −$916
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,598
- − Management
- −$1,598
- − Depreciation
- −$1,455
- Taxable income
- $10,487
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,517
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,080/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- River Rouge School District
- NCES district ID
- 2629760
- Math proficiency
- 3% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 12% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $26,664
- Composite
- 5.29/100
- National rank
- #10033
- State rank
- #535 of 540 in MI
Livability — River Rouge
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #454
- US rank
- #12700
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- River Rouge, MI
- City population
- 7,096
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,096
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 45% White 34% Two or more races 16% Hispanic / Latino 16%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9% Puerto Rican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 11% Arabic 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 77.93%
- Current HPI
- 352.3551
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+68.4% since first listed23 events — show timeline
- 2025-05-18 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-05-18 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2025-04-02 Price Changed $50,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-04-02 Price Changed $50,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-02-20 Price Changed $69,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-02-19 Price Changed $69,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-01-07 Price Changed $79,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-01-07 Price Changed $79,000 REALCOMP
- 2024-12-20 Price Changed $89,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-12-19 Price Changed $89,000 REALCOMP
- 2024-12-10 Listed $110,000 REALCOMP
- 2024-12-10 Listed $110,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2015-05-13 Sold (MLS) $10,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2015-05-13 Sold (MLS) $10,000 REALCOMP
- 2015-04-16 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2015-04-15 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2015-04-10 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2015-04-03 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2015-03-27 Listed $10,000 REALCOMP
- 2015-03-26 Listed $10,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2001-04-13 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
- 2001-04-13 Sold (Public Records) $60,420 Public Records
- 1998-08-20 Sold (Public Records) $29,700 Public Records
Property tax history
-6.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,124 · -43.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…