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B+ Composite 76.28
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.5/10.0

$50,000

140 Division St · River Rouge, MI 48218
6 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,539 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 159 Days on market
Built 1905 4,356 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

THIS IS A GREAT OPPORTUNITY TO OWN A GREAT INVESTMENT PROPERTY OR LARGE HOME IN A GREAT AREA IN WALKING DISTANCE TO SCHOOLS AND WITH FREEWAYS CLOSE BY. THIS HOME CAN BE A 2 UNIT INVESTMENT PROPERTY WITH 3 BEDROOMS AND 1 BATHROOM IN EACH UNIT. THERE IS A FULL BASEMENT AND A 2 CAR GARAGE. ALL BUYERS SHALL BE WITH A REALTOR LICENSED IN MICHIGAN WHEN VIEWING PROPERTY.

Key facts

  • 4,356 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1905

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 6-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $883 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $50k).
  • Recommended offer: $44k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 28.8% vs local median 8.1% in River Rouge — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#454 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: health & safety D, schools F, crime F.
  • River Rouge School District (suburban): math 3% / reading 12% proficiency, ranked #535 of 540 in MI (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 89% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 58 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($346 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 159 days — a 12% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $60k (55%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $10k; list at $50k implies a 400% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1905 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $44,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 159 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1905 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.33%
Cap rate
28.82%
Cash-on-cash
80.45%
DSCR
4.58
GRM
2.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$178,524
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
110 Pine St 0.55mi 5/2.0 (-1) 1,590 (+3%) 9mo $184,800 $116 56

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
86.1%
Equity multiple
6.97×
Total profit
$83,553
Equity at exit
$45,044
10-year hold
IRR
80.7%
Equity multiple
15.43×
Total profit
$201,977
Equity at exit
$97,139

Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48218

Home prices YoY
28.4%
Active inventory
58
Price-to-rent
2.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,665 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$262
Tax from tax record
$94 /mo · $1,124/yr
Insurance
$21
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$350
Net cashflow
$883

Break-even live

Break-even rent $547
Max offer price $50,000
Occupancy floor 42%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,500
Closing costs
$1,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3804 18th St Unit F2 Ecorse, MI 5.0 1.0 2160 $1,665 $0.77 3d 1 1.38mi

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2025-05-18
    status Pending 366-char remark
    Show marketing remark (366 chars)

    THIS IS A GREAT OPPORTUNITY TO OWN A GREAT INVESTMENT PROPERTY OR LARGE HOME IN A GREAT AREA IN WALKING DISTANCE TO SCHOOLS AND WITH FREEWAYS CLOSE BY. THIS HOME CAN BE A 2 UNIT INVESTMENT PROPERTY WITH 3 BEDROOMS AND 1 BATHROOM IN EACH UNIT. THERE IS A FULL BASEMENT AND A 2 CAR GARAGE. ALL BUYERS SHALL BE WITH A REALTOR LICENSED IN MICHIGAN WHEN VIEWING PROPERTY.

  2. 2025-05-18
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (366 chars)

    THIS IS A GREAT OPPORTUNITY TO OWN A GREAT INVESTMENT PROPERTY OR LARGE HOME IN A GREAT AREA IN WALKING DISTANCE TO SCHOOLS AND WITH FREEWAYS CLOSE BY. THIS HOME CAN BE A 2 UNIT INVESTMENT PROPERTY WITH 3 BEDROOMS AND 1 BATHROOM IN EACH UNIT. THERE IS A FULL BASEMENT AND A 2 CAR GARAGE. ALL BUYERS SHALL BE WITH A REALTOR LICENSED IN MICHIGAN WHEN VIEWING PROPERTY.

  3. 2025-04-02
    price $50,000 366-char remark
    Show marketing remark (366 chars)

    THIS IS A GREAT OPPORTUNITY TO OWN A GREAT INVESTMENT PROPERTY OR LARGE HOME IN A GREAT AREA IN WALKING DISTANCE TO SCHOOLS AND WITH FREEWAYS CLOSE BY. THIS HOME CAN BE A 2 UNIT INVESTMENT PROPERTY WITH 3 BEDROOMS AND 1 BATHROOM IN EACH UNIT. THERE IS A FULL BASEMENT AND A 2 CAR GARAGE. ALL BUYERS SHALL BE WITH A REALTOR LICENSED IN MICHIGAN WHEN VIEWING PROPERTY.

  4. 2025-04-02
    price $50,000
    Show marketing remark (366 chars)

    THIS IS A GREAT OPPORTUNITY TO OWN A GREAT INVESTMENT PROPERTY OR LARGE HOME IN A GREAT AREA IN WALKING DISTANCE TO SCHOOLS AND WITH FREEWAYS CLOSE BY. THIS HOME CAN BE A 2 UNIT INVESTMENT PROPERTY WITH 3 BEDROOMS AND 1 BATHROOM IN EACH UNIT. THERE IS A FULL BASEMENT AND A 2 CAR GARAGE. ALL BUYERS SHALL BE WITH A REALTOR LICENSED IN MICHIGAN WHEN VIEWING PROPERTY.

  5. 2025-02-20
    price $69,000 366-char remark
    Show marketing remark (366 chars)

    THIS IS A GREAT OPPORTUNITY TO OWN A GREAT INVESTMENT PROPERTY OR LARGE HOME IN A GREAT AREA IN WALKING DISTANCE TO SCHOOLS AND WITH FREEWAYS CLOSE BY. THIS HOME CAN BE A 2 UNIT INVESTMENT PROPERTY WITH 3 BEDROOMS AND 1 BATHROOM IN EACH UNIT. THERE IS A FULL BASEMENT AND A 2 CAR GARAGE. ALL BUYERS SHALL BE WITH A REALTOR LICENSED IN MICHIGAN WHEN VIEWING PROPERTY.

  6. 2025-02-19
    price $69,000
  7. 2025-01-07
    price $79,000 366-char remark
    Show marketing remark (366 chars)

    THIS IS A GREAT OPPORTUNITY TO OWN A GREAT INVESTMENT PROPERTY OR LARGE HOME IN A GREAT AREA IN WALKING DISTANCE TO SCHOOLS AND WITH FREEWAYS CLOSE BY. THIS HOME CAN BE A 2 UNIT INVESTMENT PROPERTY WITH 3 BEDROOMS AND 1 BATHROOM IN EACH UNIT. THERE IS A FULL BASEMENT AND A 2 CAR GARAGE. ALL BUYERS SHALL BE WITH A REALTOR LICENSED IN MICHIGAN WHEN VIEWING PROPERTY.

  8. 2025-01-07
    price $79,000
    Show marketing remark (366 chars)

    THIS IS A GREAT OPPORTUNITY TO OWN A GREAT INVESTMENT PROPERTY OR LARGE HOME IN A GREAT AREA IN WALKING DISTANCE TO SCHOOLS AND WITH FREEWAYS CLOSE BY. THIS HOME CAN BE A 2 UNIT INVESTMENT PROPERTY WITH 3 BEDROOMS AND 1 BATHROOM IN EACH UNIT. THERE IS A FULL BASEMENT AND A 2 CAR GARAGE. ALL BUYERS SHALL BE WITH A REALTOR LICENSED IN MICHIGAN WHEN VIEWING PROPERTY.

  9. 2024-12-20
    price $89,000 366-char remark
    Show marketing remark (366 chars)

    THIS IS A GREAT OPPORTUNITY TO OWN A GREAT INVESTMENT PROPERTY OR LARGE HOME IN A GREAT AREA IN WALKING DISTANCE TO SCHOOLS AND WITH FREEWAYS CLOSE BY. THIS HOME CAN BE A 2 UNIT INVESTMENT PROPERTY WITH 3 BEDROOMS AND 1 BATHROOM IN EACH UNIT. THERE IS A FULL BASEMENT AND A 2 CAR GARAGE. ALL BUYERS SHALL BE WITH A REALTOR LICENSED IN MICHIGAN WHEN VIEWING PROPERTY.

  10. 2024-12-19
    price $89,000
  11. 2024-12-10
    listed $110,000 Active 366-char remark
    Show marketing remark (366 chars)

    THIS IS A GREAT OPPORTUNITY TO OWN A GREAT INVESTMENT PROPERTY OR LARGE HOME IN A GREAT AREA IN WALKING DISTANCE TO SCHOOLS AND WITH FREEWAYS CLOSE BY. THIS HOME CAN BE A 2 UNIT INVESTMENT PROPERTY WITH 3 BEDROOMS AND 1 BATHROOM IN EACH UNIT. THERE IS A FULL BASEMENT AND A 2 CAR GARAGE. ALL BUYERS SHALL BE WITH A REALTOR LICENSED IN MICHIGAN WHEN VIEWING PROPERTY.

  12. 2024-12-10
    listed $110,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (366 chars)

    THIS IS A GREAT OPPORTUNITY TO OWN A GREAT INVESTMENT PROPERTY OR LARGE HOME IN A GREAT AREA IN WALKING DISTANCE TO SCHOOLS AND WITH FREEWAYS CLOSE BY. THIS HOME CAN BE A 2 UNIT INVESTMENT PROPERTY WITH 3 BEDROOMS AND 1 BATHROOM IN EACH UNIT. THERE IS A FULL BASEMENT AND A 2 CAR GARAGE. ALL BUYERS SHALL BE WITH A REALTOR LICENSED IN MICHIGAN WHEN VIEWING PROPERTY.

  13. 2015-05-13
    soldstatus $10,000 Sold 8-char remark
    Show marketing remark (8 chars)

    HUD HOME

  14. 2015-05-13
    soldstatus $10,000
    Show marketing remark (8 chars)

    HUD HOME

  15. 2015-04-16
    historical 8-char remark
    Show marketing remark (8 chars)

    HUD HOME

  16. 2015-04-15
    historical
  17. 2015-04-10
    status Active 8-char remark
    Show marketing remark (8 chars)

    HUD HOME

  18. 2015-04-03
    historical 8-char remark
    Show marketing remark (8 chars)

    HUD HOME

  19. 2015-03-27
    listed $10,000 Active 8-char remark
    Show marketing remark (8 chars)

    HUD HOME

  20. 2015-03-26
    listed $10,000
  21. 2001-04-13
    soldstatus $60,420
  22. 2001-04-13
    soldstatus $35,000
  23. 1998-08-20
    soldstatus $29,700

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,124 · $94/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,124 · $94/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,980
− Mortgage interest
−$2,801
− Property taxes
−$1,124
− Insurance
−$916
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,598
− Management
−$1,598
− Depreciation
−$1,455
Taxable income
$10,487
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,517
After-tax cash flow
$8,080/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
River Rouge School District
NCES district ID
2629760
Math proficiency
3% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
12% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$26,664
Composite
5.29/100
National rank
#10033
State rank
#535 of 540 in MI

Livability — River Rouge

Score
65/100
State rank
#454
US rank
#12700

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety D User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
River Rouge, MI
City population
7,096
Population (ZIP)
7,096

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
Race & ethnicity
Black 45% White 34% Two or more races 16% Hispanic / Latino 16%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 9% Puerto Rican 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 11% Arabic 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 77.93%
Current HPI
352.3551
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+68.4% since first listed
23 events — show timeline
  • 2025-05-18 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-05-18 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2025-04-02 Price Changed $50,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-04-02 Price Changed $50,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-02-20 Price Changed $69,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-02-19 Price Changed $69,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-01-07 Price Changed $79,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-01-07 Price Changed $79,000 REALCOMP
  • 2024-12-20 Price Changed $89,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-12-19 Price Changed $89,000 REALCOMP
  • 2024-12-10 Listed $110,000 REALCOMP
  • 2024-12-10 Listed $110,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2015-05-13 Sold (MLS) $10,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2015-05-13 Sold (MLS) $10,000 REALCOMP
  • 2015-04-16 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2015-04-15 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2015-04-10 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2015-04-03 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2015-03-27 Listed $10,000 REALCOMP
  • 2015-03-26 Listed $10,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2001-04-13 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
  • 2001-04-13 Sold (Public Records) $60,420 Public Records
  • 1998-08-20 Sold (Public Records) $29,700 Public Records

Property tax history

-6.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,124 · -43.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…