2226 State St · Saginaw, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.2/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.1/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Family-friendly home on a desirable corner city lot! This move-in-ready 3-bedroom, 1-bath property offers a convenient first-floor washer and dryer, a formal dining room perfect for family meals, and a spacious two-car garage. The first-floor bedroom with a separate entrance is ideal for guests, a home office, or multigenerational living. Extra off-street parking adds convenience, and the home is close to the highway for easy commuting while still offering neighborhood comfort. A great opportunity for families looking for space, flexibility, and accessibility.
Key facts
- Separate entrance
- Formal dining room
- Corner city lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Residential property; Above-grade finished area about 1,328 square feet
- HOA & community: Homeowners association present
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; Approximately 2.5 garage spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Two levels
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Wood siding
- Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot roughly 50 x 116
Interior
- Kitchen: Oven; Range
- Flooring: Hardwood
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating; No cooling
- Interior features: Disposal; 6 total rooms; Crawl space basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $314 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $79k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.5% vs local median 8.3% in Saginaw — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#521 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Saginaw School District (urban): math 20% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #444 of 540 in MI (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+4.0%/yr); 250 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 154 units permitted in Saginaw County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($47k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Saginaw County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 161 days — a 12% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 23y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $31k; list at $90k implies a 190% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1874 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 161 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1874 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.31% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.48%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.96%
- DSCR
- 1.67
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $50,464
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2408 State St | 0.10mi | 3/1.0 | 1,362 (+3%) | 1mo | $40,000 | $29 | 91 |
| 1819 Delaware St | 0.41mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,334 (+0%) | 3mo | $93,000 | $70 | 73 |
| 1920 W Genesee St | 0.21mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,391 (+5%) | 3mo | $53,500 | $38 | 71 |
| 2844 Schemm St | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 | 1,336 (+1%) | 3mo | $40,000 | $30 | 71 |
| 1923 N Oakley St | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,343 (+1%) | 4mo | $20,000 | $15 | 63 |
| 1724 State St | 0.31mi | 3/1.0 | 1,144 (-14%) | 2mo | $75,000 | $66 | 61 |
| 2338 N Bond St | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,302 (-2%) | 1mo | $77,000 | $59 | 60 |
| 1610 Cleveland St | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 | 1,279 (-4%) | 4mo | $45,000 | $35 | 57 |
| 2505 Blake St | 0.34mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,480 (+11%) | 4mo | $70,000 | $47 | 56 |
| 623 N Woodbridge St | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,217 (-8%) | 1mo | $42,500 | $35 | 48 |
| 1407 Bay St | 0.65mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,464 (+10%) | 2mo | $142,900 | $98 | 44 |
| 2454 Durand St | 0.62mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,142 (-14%) | 1mo | $33,500 | $29 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.98% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.26×
- Total profit
- $6,610
- Equity at exit
- $13,404
- IRR
- 16.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.45×
- Total profit
- $36,464
- Equity at exit
- $7,773
Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48602
- Home prices YoY
- -19.7%
- Rents YoY
- 4.0%
- Active inventory
- 250
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,178 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$471
- Tax from tax record
- −$107 /mo · $1,290/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$247
- Net cashflow
- $314
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,475
- Closing costs
- $2,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4156 Ann St Saginaw, MI | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1387 | $1,225 | $0.88 | 43d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 37 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $89,900 Active 161 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $89,900 Active 160 DOM
-
2026-06-17price $89,900 Active 159 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $94,900 Active 159 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $94,900 Active 158 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $94,900 Active 157 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $94,900 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $94,900 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $94,900 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $94,900 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $94,900 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-06-05pricedays on market $94,900 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $99,900 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $99,900 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,900 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,900 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $99,900 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-05-08price $99,900 566-char remark
Show marketing remark (566 chars)
Family-friendly home on a desirable corner city lot! This move-in-ready 3-bedroom, 1-bath property offers a convenient first-floor washer and dryer, a formal dining room perfect for family meals, and a spacious two-car garage. The first-floor bedroom with a separate entrance is ideal for guests, a home office, or multigenerational living. Extra off-street parking adds convenience, and the home is close to the highway for easy commuting while still offering neighborhood comfort. A great opportunity for families looking for space, flexibility, and accessibility.
-
2026-05-07price $99,900
-
2026-04-07price $104,900 566-char remark
Show marketing remark (566 chars)
Family-friendly home on a desirable corner city lot! This move-in-ready 3-bedroom, 1-bath property offers a convenient first-floor washer and dryer, a formal dining room perfect for family meals, and a spacious two-car garage. The first-floor bedroom with a separate entrance is ideal for guests, a home office, or multigenerational living. Extra off-street parking adds convenience, and the home is close to the highway for easy commuting while still offering neighborhood comfort. A great opportunity for families looking for space, flexibility, and accessibility.
-
2026-04-07price $104,900
Show marketing remark (566 chars)
Family-friendly home on a desirable corner city lot! This move-in-ready 3-bedroom, 1-bath property offers a convenient first-floor washer and dryer, a formal dining room perfect for family meals, and a spacious two-car garage. The first-floor bedroom with a separate entrance is ideal for guests, a home office, or multigenerational living. Extra off-street parking adds convenience, and the home is close to the highway for easy commuting while still offering neighborhood comfort. A great opportunity for families looking for space, flexibility, and accessibility.
-
2026-01-10$109,900 Active
-
2026-01-09$109,900 Active 566-char remark
Show marketing remark (566 chars)
Family-friendly home on a desirable corner city lot! This move-in-ready 3-bedroom, 1-bath property offers a convenient first-floor washer and dryer, a formal dining room perfect for family meals, and a spacious two-car garage. The first-floor bedroom with a separate entrance is ideal for guests, a home office, or multigenerational living. Extra off-street parking adds convenience, and the home is close to the highway for easy commuting while still offering neighborhood comfort. A great opportunity for families looking for space, flexibility, and accessibility.
-
2006-07-18soldstatus $31,000 195-char remark
Show marketing remark (195 chars)
Bank Foreclosure. To be sold "as is". 3 car garage, new furnace in Jan. 2006. Newer roof, vinyl siding & steel entry doors. Oak floors in dining and living rooms. Good Condition.
-
2006-07-18soldstatus $31,000
Show marketing remark (195 chars)
Bank Foreclosure. To be sold "as is". 3 car garage, new furnace in Jan. 2006. Newer roof, vinyl siding & steel entry doors. Oak floors in dining and living rooms. Good Condition.
-
2006-01-23historical 195-char remark
Show marketing remark (195 chars)
Bank Foreclosure. To be sold "as is". 3 car garage, new furnace in Jan. 2006. Newer roof, vinyl siding & steel entry doors. Oak floors in dining and living rooms. Good Condition.
-
2006-01-19$37,500 195-char remark
Show marketing remark (195 chars)
Bank Foreclosure. To be sold "as is". 3 car garage, new furnace in Jan. 2006. Newer roof, vinyl siding & steel entry doors. Oak floors in dining and living rooms. Good Condition.
-
2006-01-19$37,500
Show marketing remark (195 chars)
Bank Foreclosure. To be sold "as is". 3 car garage, new furnace in Jan. 2006. Newer roof, vinyl siding & steel entry doors. Oak floors in dining and living rooms. Good Condition.
-
2004-07-23soldstatus $65,000
-
2004-05-23historical
-
2004-05-23historical
-
2004-02-09$59,900
-
2004-02-09$59,900
-
2003-11-28historical
-
2003-11-28historical
-
2003-08-19$59,900
-
2003-08-19$59,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,290 · $107/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,337 · $111/mo
- Expected delta
- +$47/yr (+$4/mo · 3.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,130
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,036
- − Property taxes
- −$1,290
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,130
- − Management
- −$1,130
- − Depreciation
- −$2,615
- Taxable income
- $2,479
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$595
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,171/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Saginaw School District
- NCES district ID
- 2630390
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $28,940
- Composite
- 19.6/100
- National rank
- #8755
- State rank
- #444 of 540 in MI
Livability — Saginaw
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #521
- US rank
- #15424
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Saginaw, MI
- County
- Saginaw County · 54,884 people
- City population
- 54,884
- Metro
- Saginaw, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,127
- Household income
- $46,984
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1416.0
Population outlook (Saginaw County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 180,568 people
- By 2030
- 172,302 · -4.6%
- By 2040
- 153,919 · -14.8%
- By 2050
- 135,519 · -24.9%
- By 2075
- 97,199 · -46.2%
- By 2100
- 65,037 · -64.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 50% Black 27% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 12%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 14% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Saginaw
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.0% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.6pp toward R · 2008: 17.3pp · 2024: -3.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.3 2020: D+0.3 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+11.9 2008: D+17.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -39.15%
- Current HPI
- 159.8807
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.98%
- Metro
- Saginaw, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
||
Price history
+66.8% since first listed20 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Price Changed $99,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-07 Price Changed $99,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-07 Price Changed $104,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-07 Price Changed $104,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-01-10 Listed $109,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-01-09 Listed $109,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2006-07-18 Sold (MLS) $31,000 REALCOMP
- 2006-07-18 Sold (MLS) $31,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2006-01-23 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2006-01-19 Listed $37,500 REALCOMP
- 2006-01-19 Listed $37,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2004-07-23 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
- 2004-05-23 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2004-05-23 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2004-02-09 Listed $59,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2004-02-09 Listed $59,900 REALCOMP
- 2003-11-28 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2003-11-28 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2003-08-19 Listed $59,900 REALCOMP
- 2003-08-19 Listed $59,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
+2.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,290 · -24.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…