Duplex
511 N Flower St · Anchorage, AK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.8/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$190,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Spacious duplex with fenced and groomed yard. Great location. Library, School, Shopping, Church, and Restaurants all within walking distance.
Key facts
- Fenced yard
- Groomed yard
- 6,250 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $190k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $873 ($10k/yr) — positive. Per door: $437/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $190k).
- Recommended offer: $167k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.8% vs local median 3.8% in Anchorage — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#6 in AK, #2,553 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Anchorage School District (urban): math 37% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #6 of 21 in AK (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 147 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 306 units permitted in Anchorage Municipality in 2024 (90 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($79k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Anchorage County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.9% rent growth), your $53k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 189 days — a 12% lower offer ($167k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 189 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.48% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.81%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.70%
- DSCR
- 1.88
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $296,126
- List price
- $190,000
- Delta
- -35.84%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.88% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.57×
- Total profit
- $30,307
- Equity at exit
- $28,330
- IRR
- 24.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.28×
- Total profit
- $121,347
- Equity at exit
- $16,428
Cash invested: $53,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 80 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alaska
- 80 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 99508
- Rents YoY
- 4.9%
- Active inventory
- 147
- Price-to-rent
- 11.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,809 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$996
- Tax from tax record
- −$270 /mo · $3,243/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$590
- Net cashflow
- $873
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 2 | $2,808 |
| #1 | 2 | 2 | $1,404 |
| #2 | 2 | 2 | $1,404 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,809 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,500
- Closing costs
- $5,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 26 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 524 N Klevin St Unit B Anchorage, AK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,700 | $1.57 | 43d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 617 N Flower St Anchorage, AK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 920 | $1,750 | $1.90 | 43d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 404 N Klevin St Unit 2 Anchorage, AK | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,095 | $1.46 | 43d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 415 N Bragaw St #18 Anchorage, AK | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,400 | $2.00 | 43d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 415 N Bragaw St Anchorage, AK | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,500 | $2.14 | 13d | 3 | 0.09mi |
| 541 Irwin St Unit 4 Anchorage, AK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,350 | $1.69 | 13d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 138 N Klevin St Unit 2 Anchorage, AK | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,250 | $1.56 | 23d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 325 N Hoyt St Unit C Anchorage, AK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,300 | $1.62 | 43d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 225 N Park St Unit 11 Anchorage, AK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 710 | $1,200 | $1.69 | 43d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 225 N Park St Apt 3 Anchorage, AK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,250 | $1.56 | 21d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 225 N Park St Apt 4 Anchorage, AK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 805 | $1,250 | $1.55 | 43d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 816 N Bragaw St Unit 1 Anchorage, AK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,650 | $1.74 | 43d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 821 N Hoyt St Unit 06 Anchorage, AK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $1,250 | $1.52 | 13d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 814 N Bunn St Unit 4 Anchorage, AK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,400 | $1.27 | 13d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 423 N Lane St #4 Anchorage, AK | 3.0 | 1.0 | 980 | $2,050 | $2.09 | 23d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 423 N Lane St Apt 1 Anchorage, AK | 3.0 | 1.0 | 980 | $2,000 | $2.04 | 23d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 3926 E 3rd Ave #6 Anchorage, AK | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $2,000 | $1.67 | 43d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 330 S Flower St Unit 01 Anchorage, AK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,300 | $1.86 | 43d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 218 McCarrey St Anchorage, AK | 3.0 | 1.0 | 640 | $1,510 | $2.36 | 21d | 9 | 0.60mi |
| 5201 Chena Ave #1 Anchorage, AK | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,350 | $1.23 | 43d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 4413 E 8th Ave Unit B Anchorage, AK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,400 | $1.46 | 43d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 5310 Lionheart Dr Unit 15 Anchorage, AK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 820 | $1,695 | $2.07 | 13d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 3925 E 9th Ave Unit 5 Anchorage, AK | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,750 | $1.46 | 43d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 5326 Lionheart Dr Unit 12 Anchorage, AK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 820 | $1,650 | $2.01 | 23d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 5741 Rocky Mountain Ct Unit D Anchorage, AK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,475 | $1.64 | 23d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 5901 E 6th Ave Anchorage, AK | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 907 | $1,999 | $2.20 | 13d | 7 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-08status $190,000 Pending 189 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $190,000 Active 189 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $190,000 Active 185 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $190,000 Active 184 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $190,000 Active 183 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $190,000 Active 182 DOM
-
2026-04-10price $190,000 141-char remark
Show marketing remark (141 chars)
Spacious duplex with fenced and groomed yard. Great location. Library, School, Shopping, Church, and Restaurants all within walking distance.
-
2026-02-04price $200,000 141-char remark
Show marketing remark (141 chars)
Spacious duplex with fenced and groomed yard. Great location. Library, School, Shopping, Church, and Restaurants all within walking distance.
-
2026-01-14price $225,000 141-char remark
Show marketing remark (141 chars)
Spacious duplex with fenced and groomed yard. Great location. Library, School, Shopping, Church, and Restaurants all within walking distance.
-
2025-11-29$250,000 Active 141-char remark
Show marketing remark (141 chars)
Spacious duplex with fenced and groomed yard. Great location. Library, School, Shopping, Church, and Restaurants all within walking distance.
-
1985-02-19soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AK · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,243 · $270/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,243 · $270/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $33,708
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,643
- − Property taxes
- −$3,243
- − Insurance
- −$950
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,697
- − Management
- −$2,697
- − Depreciation
- −$5,527
- Taxable income
- $7,951
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,908
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,571/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Anchorage School District
- NCES district ID
- 0200180
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $76,447
- Composite
- 37.0/100
- National rank
- #4523
- State rank
- #6 of 21 in AK
Livability — Anchorage
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #6
- US rank
- #2553
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Anchorage, AK
- County
- Anchorage Borough · 246,594 people
- City population
- 218,117
- Metro
- Anchorage, AK
- Population (ZIP)
- 36,458
- Household income
- $79,314
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1248.0
Population outlook (Anchorage County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 314,993 people
- By 2030
- 321,771 · +2.2%
- By 2040
- 335,493 · +6.5%
- By 2050
- 352,799 · +12.0%
- By 2075
- 414,771 · +31.7%
- By 2100
- 474,485 · +50.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.82)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 38% Two or more races 14% Asian 13% Hispanic / Latino 13% Native American 10% Pacific Islander 8% Black 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 1% Dominican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 3% Iranian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada, Jamaica, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 72% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 11% Spanish 8% Tagalog/Filipino 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Anchorage
- 2024 margin
- D (+12.7) · D 56.3% · R 43.7%
- 2016→2024 swing
- +27.9pp toward D · 2016: -15.2pp · 2024: 12.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+12.7 2016: R+15.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -203.51%
- Current HPI
- 257.8807
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.88%
- Metro
- Anchorage, AK
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-24.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-10 Price Changed $190,000 AKMLS
- 2026-02-04 Price Changed $200,000 AKMLS
- 2026-01-14 Price Changed $225,000 AKMLS
- 2025-11-29 Listed $250,000 AKMLS
- 1985-02-19 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+2.2%/yrLatest (2025): $3,243 · +4.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…