103 Saint Bernadette Dr · Lafayette, LA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.7/30.0
- ARV discount +13.3/15.0
- DSCR +8.0/10.0
- 1% rule +5.8/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$185,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
The possibilities are endless here! Just off I-10 and Louisiana Avenue, this home is near a large sports complex and only 1/2 mile from the site of the future Buc-ee's! This one-owner home has 4 bedrooms, 3 baths, a large kitchen w/dining area and a living room. The kitchen (with cooktop plumbed for both gas and electric!), dining and bathrooms all feature original terrazzo floors while carpet runs throughout the bedrooms and living room. A double-wide driveway runs from the front property line on St. Bernadette Drive all the way to Beth Drive, the back property line. The double carport, additional parking pad/ storage area and covered patio offer various opportunities for your vehicles, hobbies, sports, outdoor entertaining, etc. Direct entrance to a storage area/full bath/laundry room in the home can be accessed directly from the carport. Come see this wonderful opportunity!
Key facts
- Double-wide driveway
- Double carport
- Covered patio
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $185k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $385 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $185k).
- Recommended offer: $179k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 4.7% in Lafayette — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#63 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, employment C-, crime F.
- Lafayette Parish (urban): math 38% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #19 of 98 in LA (top 19%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 324 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 83% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,585 units permitted in Lafayette Parish in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lafayette County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($179k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.79%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.92%
- DSCR
- 1.40
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $212,575
- List price
- $185,000
- Delta
- -12.97%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 507 Kevin Dr | 0.25mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,378 (+1%) | 2mo | $170,000 | $71 | 79 |
| 302 Summit Dr | 0.18mi | 4/2.0 | 2,150 (-9%) | 17mo | $230,000 | $107 | 58 |
| 100 Oak Haven Dr | 0.54mi | 4/3.0 | 2,072 (-12%) | 9mo | $269,735 | $130 | 47 |
| 139 Oak Haven Dr | 0.69mi | 4/3.0 | 2,072 (-12%) | 10mo | $263,000 | $127 | 39 |
| 106 Lita Dr | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,137 (-9%) | 9mo | $225,000 | $105 | 37 |
| 205 Park Haven Dr | 0.70mi | 4/2.5 | 2,011 (-15%) | 6mo | $273,795 | $136 | 36 |
| 416 Maryview Farm Rd | 0.43mi | 4/3.5 | 2,700 (+14%) | 23mo | $399,000 | $148 | 34 |
| 105 Oak Haven Dr | 0.54mi | 4/2.5 | 2,011 (-15%) | 21mo | $269,975 | $134 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.89×
- Total profit
- $-5,468
- Equity at exit
- $27,584
- IRR
- 6.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.52×
- Total profit
- $26,737
- Equity at exit
- $15,995
Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70507
- Home prices YoY
- -20.6%
- Active inventory
- 324
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,997 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$970
- Tax from tax record
- −$145 /mo · $1,743/yr
- Insurance
- −$77
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$419
- Net cashflow
- $385
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $490 | -5% $438 | +0% $385 | +5% $333 | +10% $280 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $227 | -5% $306 | +0% $385 | +5% $464 | +10% $543 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $478 | -0.5pp $432 | base $385 | +0.5pp $337 | +1.0pp $288 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $46,250
- Closing costs
- $5,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 202 Teddy Ln Lafayette, LA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1788 | $1,945 | $1.09 | 21d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 206 Teddy Ln Lafayette, LA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1788 | $1,945 | $1.09 | 44d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 111 Salvat Dr Lafayette, LA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1788 | $1,945 | $1.09 | 44d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 105 Salvat Dr Lafayette, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1593 | $1,740 | $1.09 | 44d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 301 Nottingham Cir Lafayette, LA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1833 | $1,600 | $0.87 | 44d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 206 Chestnut Oak Dr Lafayette, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1836 | $2,000 | $1.09 | 44d | 1 | 1.27mi |
Listing history 1 events
-
2026-04-07$185,000 Active 891-char remark
Show marketing remark (891 chars)
The possibilities are endless here! Just off I-10 and Louisiana Avenue, this home is near a large sports complex and only 1/2 mile from the site of the future Buc-ee's! This one-owner home has 4 bedrooms, 3 baths, a large kitchen w/dining area and a living room. The kitchen (with cooktop plumbed for both gas and electric!), dining and bathrooms all feature original terrazzo floors while carpet runs throughout the bedrooms and living room. A double-wide driveway runs from the front property line on St. Bernadette Drive all the way to Beth Drive, the back property line. The double carport, additional parking pad/ storage area and covered patio offer various opportunities for your vehicles, hobbies, sports, outdoor entertaining, etc. Direct entrance to a storage area/full bath/laundry room in the home can be accessed directly from the carport. Come see this wonderful opportunity!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,743 · $145/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,743 · $145/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,965
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,363
- − Property taxes
- −$1,743
- − Insurance
- −$925
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,917
- − Management
- −$1,917
- − Depreciation
- −$5,382
- Taxable income
- $1,718
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$412
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,210/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lafayette Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200870
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -32.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -24.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,238
- Composite
- 36.15/100
- National rank
- #4741
- State rank
- #19 of 98 in LA
Livability — Lafayette
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #63
- US rank
- #8133
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lafayette, LA
- County
- Lafayette Parish · 207,544 people
- City population
- 158,114
- Metro
- Lafayette, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,096
- Household income
- $64,049
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 503.0
Population outlook (Lafayette County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 280,930 people
- By 2030
- 301,092 · +7.2%
- By 2040
- 339,456 · +20.8%
- By 2050
- 375,156 · +33.5%
- By 2075
- 451,672 · +60.8%
- By 2100
- 497,203 · +77.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 47% White 45% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 15%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 4% Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Lafayette
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.4) · D 33.5% · R 64.8% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.1pp no change · 2008: -31.3pp · 2024: -31.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.4 2020: R+28.7 2016: R+33.6 2012: R+33.7 2008: R+31.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -40.84%
- Current HPI
- 156.889
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Lafayette, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-07 Listed $185,000 AcadianaMLS
Property tax history
+33.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,743 · -1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…