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418 Roberts St
B+ Composite 76.2
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.6/10.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,900

418 Roberts St · Rome, NY 13440
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,630 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 180 Days on market
Built 1879 4,356 sqft lot $61/sqft · 26% below area Est $136k · 26% under ↓ 37% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Calling all investors and entrepreneurs! Now offered at a newly reduced price of $99,900, this property presents an outstanding opportunity for those looking to create value—whether as a business venture or an income-generating investment. With a brand-new roof installed in 2024, you’ll have peace of mind as you bring your renovation vision to life. The first floor offers a practical layout with two bedrooms, a den, and a full bathroom—ready for updates and modernization. Upstairs features a spacious additional living area along with a second bathroom, opening the door for expanded rental potential or a flexible multi-level setup. With strong upside and versatile possibilities, this property is perfectly suited for investors seeking to build equity or establish a business presence in a growing Rome neighborhood. Taxes include water, sewer, and trash pickup—adding even more value to this already compelling opportunity.

Key facts

  • Brand-new roof
  • Functional layout
  • 4,356 sq ft lot

Tags

BRAND-NEW ROOFADDITIONAL LIVING SPACEFUNCTIONAL LAYOUT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $492 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.2% vs local median 5.6% in Rome — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#722 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
  • Rome City School District (town): math 35% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #516 of 590 in NY (top 88%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 272 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 204 units permitted in Oneida County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Oneida County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 180 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1879 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $87,912 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 180 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1879 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.46%
Cap rate
12.20%
Cash-on-cash
21.11%
DSCR
1.94
GRM
5.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$135,543
List price
$99,900
Delta
-26.30%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
117 E Embargo St 0.08mi 3/2.0 1,458 (-11%) 1mo $70,000 $48 74
715 Floyd Ave 0.44mi 3/1.5 1,623 (-0%) 5mo $200,000 $123 72
204 Pleasant Ave 0.24mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,708 (+5%) 2mo $256,500 $150 68
517 Roberts St 0.09mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,421 (-13%) 6mo $95,000 $67 60
319 Mohawk St 0.41mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,551 (-5%) 5mo $159,900 $103 59
638 Chatham St 0.30mi 3/2.0 1,449 (-11%) 8mo $180,094 $124 57
402 N Jay St 0.60mi 3/1.5 1,737 (+7%) 3mo $149,900 $86 56
805 Valentine Ave 0.53mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,564 (-4%) 6mo $235,000 $150 54
617 N Jay St 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,681 (+3%) 8mo $180,000 $107 52
114 Balsam St 0.46mi 3/1.0 1,400 (-14%) 8mo $185,000 $132 49
304 Mohawk St 0.41mi 3/2.5 1,402 (-14%) 5mo $50,000 $36 47
811 Harding Blvd 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,470 (-10%) 8mo $212,000 $144 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
13.6%
Equity multiple
1.54×
Total profit
$15,159
Equity at exit
$14,895
10-year hold
IRR
22.4%
Equity multiple
2.92×
Total profit
$53,567
Equity at exit
$8,638

Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13440

Home prices YoY
-8.0%
Active inventory
272
Price-to-rent
5.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,454 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$91 /mo · $1,089/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$305
Net cashflow
$492

Break-even live

Break-even rent $831
Max offer price $99,900
Occupancy floor 61%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,975
Closing costs
$2,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
149 River St Unit 2 Rome, NY 3.0 1.0 1160 $1,500 $1.29 44d 1 0.16mi
218 N George St Rome, NY 2.0 1.0 2200 $1,200 $0.55 43d 1 0.38mi
1611 Craig St Rome, NY 3.0 1.0 1250 $2,000 $1.60 43d 1 1.44mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-04
    days on market $99,900 Active 180 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $99,900 Active 179 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,900 Active 178 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,900 Active 177 DOM
  5. 2026-05-04
    price $99,900 955-char remark
    Show marketing remark (955 chars)

    Calling all investors and entrepreneurs! Now offered at a newly reduced price of $99,900, this property presents an outstanding opportunity for those looking to create value—whether as a business venture or an income-generating investment. With a brand-new roof installed in 2024, you’ll have peace of mind as you bring your renovation vision to life. The first floor offers a practical layout with two bedrooms, a den, and a full bathroom—ready for updates and modernization. Upstairs features a spacious additional living area along with a second bathroom, opening the door for expanded rental potential or a flexible multi-level setup. With strong upside and versatile possibilities, this property is perfectly suited for investors seeking to build equity or establish a business presence in a growing Rome neighborhood. Taxes include water, sewer, and trash pickup—adding even more value to this already compelling opportunity.

  6. 2025-12-05
    listed $159,000 Active 955-char remark
    Show marketing remark (955 chars)

    Calling all investors and entrepreneurs! Now offered at a newly reduced price of $99,900, this property presents an outstanding opportunity for those looking to create value—whether as a business venture or an income-generating investment. With a brand-new roof installed in 2024, you’ll have peace of mind as you bring your renovation vision to life. The first floor offers a practical layout with two bedrooms, a den, and a full bathroom—ready for updates and modernization. Upstairs features a spacious additional living area along with a second bathroom, opening the door for expanded rental potential or a flexible multi-level setup. With strong upside and versatile possibilities, this property is perfectly suited for investors seeking to build equity or establish a business presence in a growing Rome neighborhood. Taxes include water, sewer, and trash pickup—adding even more value to this already compelling opportunity.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,089 · $91/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,389 · $116/mo
Expected delta
+$300/yr (+$25/mo · 27.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,444
− Mortgage interest
−$5,596
− Property taxes
−$1,089
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,396
− Management
−$1,396
− Depreciation
−$2,906
Taxable income
$4,563
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,095
After-tax cash flow
$4,811/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rome City School District
NCES district ID
3624900
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▲ 10.00%
Median HH income
$46,406
Composite
34.52/100
National rank
#5178
State rank
#516 of 590 in NY

Livability — Rome

Score
64/100
State rank
#722
US rank
#13676

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Rome, NY
City population
41,418
Population (ZIP)
41,273

Population outlook (Oneida County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
225,223 people
By 2030
220,384 · -2.1%
By 2040
209,071 · -7.2%
By 2050
197,920 · -12.1%
By 2075
175,541 · -22.1%
By 2100
148,491 · -34.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Black 4% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 9% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, China
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Oneida

2024 margin
Strong R (+21.3) · D 39.4% · R 60.6%
2008→2024 swing
-15.2pp toward R · 2008: -6.1pp · 2024: -21.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+21.3 2020: R+15.5 2016: R+21.1 2012: R+5.3 2008: R+6.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -29.58%
Current HPI
339.3589
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-37.2% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Price Changed $99,900 CNYIS
  • 2025-12-05 Listed $159,000 CNYIS

Property tax history

+4.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,089 · +587.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…