203 50th Avenue Plz E · South Bradenton, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.7/30.0
- DSCR +7.3/10.0
- 1% rule +5.2/10.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- ARV discount +3.5/15.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$175,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Motivated Seller – Priced to Sell! Exceptional Value at $175,500 Bring your offer! This well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home delivers comfort, flexibility, and outstanding value with a low $75/month HOA. A 1-year home warranty is included for added peace of mind, and financing options through a preferred lender make this opportunity even more accessible. With 1,344 sq ft per county records plus an additional ~190 sq ft enclosed bonus space, this home offers versatility for a home office, hobby room, or extra living area. The functional layout features a welcoming kitchen that flows into the dining and living spaces, a private primary suite, and two additional bedrooms for guests or
Key facts
- Fenced yard
- Covered carport
- Double-wide driveway
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot about 0.11 acre (approximately 0 to less than 1/4 acre); Asphalt road access
- Financial info: Total monthly fees $75; total annual fees $900
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $75 (PMI/Tampa); Association approval required; Pets allowed: cats and dogs
Exterior
- Parking: Carport with 1 space
- Utilities: Public water; Private sewer; Broadband/high-speed internet available; Cable available; Electricity connected; Phone available
- Home design: Residential double-wide mobile home; One story; Faces south; Homestead exempt
- Construction: Vinyl siding and frame construction; Membrane roof; Crawlspace foundation; Built as a double wide
- Exterior features: Storage
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans
- Laundry & utility: Laundry inside
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $176k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $301 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $176k).
- Recommended offer: $154k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 4.1% in South Bradenton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in FL, #3,092 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime D+, commute F.
- Manatee (suburban): math 54% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #26 of 73 in FL (top 36%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Oneco Elementary School (math 49% / reading 27%, grade F, #1,587 of 2,144 statewide, top 74%, 596 students, 79% FRL); Southeast High School (math 25% / reading 34%, grade F, #447 of 667 statewide, top 68%, 1,716 students, 66% FRL) — zoned schools average 72% FRL vs 51% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 34% at this address vs 52% district-wide (-18 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Manatee average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.0%/yr); 384 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 7,472 units permitted in Manatee County in 2024 (1,782 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($71k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Manatee County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 126 days — a 12% lower offer ($154k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 126 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.35%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.34%
- DSCR
- 1.33
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $161,280
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5003 4th St W | 0.32mi | 2/2.0 | 1,320 (-2%) | 3mo | $120,000 | $91 | 80 |
| 4904 4th C St E | 0.22mi | 2/2.0 | 1,414 (+5%) | 4mo | $195,000 | $138 | 78 |
| 4908 6th B St E | 0.28mi | 2/2.0 | 1,261 (-6%) | 0mo | $130,000 | $103 | 76 |
| 304 50th Avenue Ter W | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,485 (+10%) | 2mo | $202,500 | $136 | 65 |
| 808 53rd Ave E Unit 184J | 0.65mi | 2/2.0 | 1,324 (-2%) | 3mo | $110,000 | $83 | 65 |
| 209 E 52nd Avenue Plz E | 0.25mi | 2/2.0 | 1,152 (-14%) | 1mo | $165,500 | $144 | 63 |
| 808 53rd Ave E #75 | 0.57mi | 2/2.0 | 1,266 (-6%) | 2mo | $149,000 | $118 | 62 |
| 5512 Colleen Dr | 0.74mi | 2/2.0 | 1,368 (+2%) | 4mo | $85,000 | $62 | 60 |
| 808 53rd Ave E #117 | 0.64mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (+7%) | 1mo | $190,000 | $132 | 58 |
| 808 53rd Ave E #273 | 0.74mi | 2/2.0 | 1,288 (-4%) | 4mo | $154,000 | $120 | 55 |
| 1007 50th Ave W | 0.67mi | 2/2.0 | 1,232 (-8%) | 0mo | $150,000 | $122 | 55 |
| 808 53rd Ave E #108 | 0.49mi | 2/2.0 | 1,152 (-14%) | 4mo | $135,000 | $117 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.70×
- Total profit
- $-14,566
- Equity at exit
- $26,168
- IRR
- -2.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.83×
- Total profit
- $-8,433
- Equity at exit
- $15,174
Cash invested: $49,140 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34203
- Home prices YoY
- -24.5%
- Rents YoY
- -1.0%
- Active inventory
- 384
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,790 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$920
- Tax from tax record
- −$45 /mo · $536/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$75
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$376
- Net cashflow
- $301
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,875
- Closing costs
- $5,265
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 503 51st Ave W Unit 503 Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 882 | $1,275 | $1.45 | 24d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 503 51st Ave W Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 882 | $1,075 | $1.22 | 12d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 202 46th Avenue Ter W #409 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1086 | $1,995 | $1.84 | 24d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 203 46th Avenue Ter W Bradenton, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $1,099 | $1.25 | 3d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 4630 5th St W Ste 6 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,600 | $1.60 | 12d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 907 Fruitland Ave Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1677 | $2,450 | $1.46 | 24d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 5323 11th Street Cir E Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1303 | $1,900 | $1.46 | 24d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 723 44th Ave E Unit 5 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1350 | $1,650 | $1.22 | 16d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 5502 8th Street Ct W Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 896 | $1,595 | $1.78 | 24d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 808 53rd Ave E #203 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1208 | $1,450 | $1.20 | 16d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 5580 Fountain Lake Cir Bradenton, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1052 | $1,908 | $1.81 | 2d | 38 | 0.84mi |
| 1345 301 Blvd E Bradenton, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 872 | $1,320 | $1.51 | 24d | 9 | 0.89mi |
| 409 57th Avenue Dr E Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1209 | $1,375 | $1.14 | 10d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 5613 8th St Ct E Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,700 | $1.70 | 24d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 304 57th Avenue Dr E Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1209 | $1,362 | $1.13 | 3d | 5 | 0.91mi |
| 304 57th Avenue Dr E Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1209 | $1,445 | $1.20 | 24d | 3 | 0.91mi |
| 312 57th Avenue Dr E Unit B Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1209 | $1,350 | $1.12 | 3d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 308 57th Avenue Dr E Unit B Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1209 | $1,350 | $1.12 | 3d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 716 56th Avenue Dr E Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,700 | $1.70 | 3d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 408 57th Avenue Dr E Apt E Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1209 | $1,375 | $1.14 | 12d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 408 57th Avenue Dr E Unit A Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1209 | $1,350 | $1.12 | 10d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 1167 42nd Ter E Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1274 | $2,025 | $1.59 | 20d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 5828 3rd St E Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1036 | $1,995 | $1.93 | 24d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 1007 57th Ave W Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 967 | $1,495 | $1.55 | 10d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 350 34th Avenue Dr E Bradenton, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 893 | $1,335 | $1.49 | 2d | 6 | 1.08mi |
| 1011 57th Avenue Ter E Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1872 | $2,195 | $1.17 | 12d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 4916 18th St W Unit B Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1170 | $1,650 | $1.41 | 24d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 2004 49th Ave W Unit 2002 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1021 | $1,950 | $1.91 | 24d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 390 301 Blvd W Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1125 | $1,495 | $1.33 | 24d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 5719 14th St E Bradenton, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 978 | $1,425 | $1.46 | 3d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 4906 21st St W Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 918 | $1,700 | $1.85 | 16d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 5513 18th St W Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,499 | $1.50 | 24d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 4607 21st St W Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1133 | $2,500 | $2.21 | 24d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 907 34th Ave W Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 985 | $1,599 | $1.62 | 20d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 907 34th Ave W Unit B Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,795 | $1.79 | 24d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 919 34th Ave W Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,599 | $1.68 | 12d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 3124 Lake Bayshore Dr Unit 219 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1144 | $2,300 | $2.01 | 24d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 3064 Lake Bayshore Dr Unit 115 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1144 | $1,250 | $1.09 | 24d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 1109 59th Avenue Cir E Unit 1109 Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 945 | $1,795 | $1.90 | 24d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 505 30th Ave W Unit E406 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1001 | $1,450 | $1.45 | 24d | 1 | 1.37mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $75 · $900/yr
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $175,500 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $175,500 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $175,500 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $175,500 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $175,500 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $175,500 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $175,500 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $175,500 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $175,500 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $175,500 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $175,500 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $175,500 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $175,500 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $175,500 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-04-21price $175,500
-
2026-03-16price $185,500
-
2026-02-12price $195,900
-
2026-02-12$195,999 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $536 · $45/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,457 · $121/mo
- Expected delta
- +$920/yr (+$77/mo · 171.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥107°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,476
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,831
- − Property taxes
- −$536
- − Insurance
- −$878
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,718
- − Management
- −$1,718
- − HOA
- −$900
- − Depreciation
- −$5,105
- Taxable income
- $790
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$190
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,419/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Manatee
- NCES district ID
- 1201230
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,607
- Composite
- 44.43/100
- National rank
- #2806
- State rank
- #26 of 73 in FL
Livability — South Bradenton
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #195
- US rank
- #3092
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Manatee County · 416,364 people
- Metro
- North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,618
- Household income
- $70,761
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1469.0
Population outlook (Manatee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 447,342 people
- By 2030
- 488,911 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 567,934 · +27.0%
- By 2050
- 637,995 · +42.6%
- By 2075
- 781,970 · +74.8%
- By 2100
- 848,272 · +89.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 12% Black 9% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 2% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Romanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada, Vietnam, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 76% English-only · Spanish 16% Vietnamese 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Manatee
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.5) · D 37.9% · R 61.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.5pp toward R · 2008: -7.0pp · 2024: -23.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.5 2020: R+16.1 2016: R+17.1 2012: R+12.5 2008: R+7.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -95.87%
- Current HPI
- 295.8871
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.97%
- Metro
- North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
-10.5% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-21 Price Changed $175,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-16 Price Changed $185,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-12 Price Changed $195,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-12 Listed $195,999 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
-0.0%/yrLatest (2025): $536 · +6.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…