307 S Hawaii St · Alton, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 112°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 98.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +6.6/10.0
- DSCR +6.6/10.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
$97,690
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Reduced $10,000!!! Investor special in the heart of Alton! Located at 307 S. Hawaii St., this property is packed with potential and priced to sell. Whether you are looking for your next flip, a starter home project, or a great opportunity to create a cash-flowing rental, this is one you do not want to miss. With strong upside and plenty of possibilities, this property is perfect for investors ready to add value and maximize returns. Motivated seller is ready to make a deal—bring your offers before this opportunity is gone!
Key facts
- 6,499 sq ft lot
- Built 2015
- Listed 64 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $98k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $132 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $98k).
- Recommended offer: $92k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 2.6% in Alton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#1,230 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Mission CISD (urban): math 15% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #775 of 826 in TX (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 78% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.5%/yr); 623 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 7,378 units permitted in Hidalgo County in 2024 (641 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $10k of equity ($676 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Hidalgo County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 2.5% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 64 days — a 6% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 98% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 64 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.16% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.91%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.78%
- DSCR
- 1.26
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $182,285
- List price
- $97,690
- Delta
- -46.41%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1003 W Garfield Ave | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,199 (+3%) | 3mo | $175,000 | $146 | 67 |
| 617 W Garfield Ave | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,272 (+10%) | 1mo | $234,900 | $185 | 61 |
| 310 Adams Ave | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,196 (+3%) | 3mo | $225,000 | $188 | 61 |
| 909 W Sycamore Ave | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,283 (+10%) | 4mo | $212,000 | $165 | 58 |
| 322 E Adams Ave | 0.63mi | 3/1.5 | 1,256 (+8%) | 0mo | $129,016 | $103 | 55 |
| 1021 W Dukakis Ave | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,259 (+8%) | 20mo | $199,999 | $159 | 52 |
| 1205 Combes Ave | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,187 (+2%) | 16mo | $199,000 | $168 | 52 |
| 127 Minnesota St | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,187 (+2%) | 23mo | $199,000 | $168 | 50 |
| 1105 W Eisenhower Ave | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,311 (+13%) | 8mo | $197,500 | $151 | 50 |
| 418 S Kentucky St | 0.18mi | 3/2.5 | 1,308 (+13%) | 18mo | $189,900 | $145 | 49 |
| 209 N Minnesota St | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,322 (+14%) | 7mo | $219,000 | $166 | 41 |
| 419 W Bella Vista Ln | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,043 (-10%) | 22mo | $115,000 | $110 | 27 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 2.45% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 28.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.23×
- Total profit
- $61,041
- Equity at exit
- $88,007
- IRR
- 24.5%
- Equity multiple
- 7.29×
- Total profit
- $172,063
- Equity at exit
- $189,790
Cash invested: $27,353 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78573
- Home prices YoY
- 8.0%
- Rents YoY
- 2.5%
- Active inventory
- 623
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,132 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$512
- Tax from tax record
- −$209 /mo · $2,513/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$238
- Net cashflow
- $132
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,422
- Closing costs
- $2,931
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 312 W Campeche Ave Unit 1 Alton, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,065 | $1.06 | 23d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 308 W Campeche Ave Unit 1 Alton, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 916 | $1,000 | $1.09 | 44d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 312 W Campeche Ave Unit 4 Alton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,165 | $1.17 | 23d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 308 W Campeche Ave Unit 2 Alton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1184 | $1,165 | $0.98 | 44d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 307 W Campeche Ave Unit 4 Alton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1148 | $1,300 | $1.13 | 23d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 307 W Campeche Ave Unit 3 Alton, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 980 | $1,100 | $1.12 | 23d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 116 W Campeche Ave Unit 3 Alton, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,100 | $1.22 | 44d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 116 W Campeche Ave Unit 4 Alton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1175 | $1,200 | $1.02 | 44d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 120 W Diamond Ave Unit 3 Alton, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 958 | $1,100 | $1.15 | 23d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 310 E Adams Ave Alton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1196 | $1,400 | $1.17 | 44d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 809 S Michigan St Unit 4 Alton, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $875 | $0.88 | 44d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 909 W Kohala Ave Unit 1 Alton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,050 | $0.95 | 14d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 1309 W Garfield Ave Unit 3 Alton, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 957 | $900 | $0.94 | 23d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 1327 W Garfield Ave Unit 3 Alton, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 995 | $925 | $0.93 | 23d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 1327 W Garfield Ave Unit 2 Alton, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,000 | $1.11 | 14d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 904 W Mahala Ave Unit 3 Alton, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $925 | $1.03 | 23d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 908 W Kohala Ave Unit 1 Alton, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $950 | $1.06 | 14d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 713 N Maryland St Unit 4 Alton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,100 | $1.10 | 23d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 1302 W Harrison Ave Unit 1 Alton, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $890 | $0.85 | 44d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 810 S Missouri St Apt 2 Alton, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 990 | $925 | $0.93 | 21d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 1310 W Harrison Ave Unit 2 Alton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,325 | $1.26 | 44d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 1310 W Harrison Ave Unit 3 Alton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,325 | $1.26 | 23d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 818 S Missouri St Unit 2 Alton, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 869 | $960 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 825 S Mississippi St Unit C Alton, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 912 | $800 | $0.88 | 19d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 805 N Maryland St Unit 3 Mission, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 893 | $1,115 | $1.25 | 21d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 908 Kentucky St Unit 3 Alton, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 928 | $1,075 | $1.16 | 23d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 1005 W La Pointe Ave Unit 3 Alton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,175 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 1005 W La Pointe Ave Unit 3 Alton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,175 | $1.07 | 23d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 912 Kentucky St #3 Alton, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $1,100 | $1.16 | 14d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 1421 W Harrison Ave Alton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1008 | $750 | $0.74 | 19d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 1421 W Harrison Ave Alton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1008 | $925 | $0.92 | 44d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 805 W Sunset Valley St Unit 3 Alton, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 928 | $1,050 | $1.13 | 23d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 1412 W Harrison Ave Unit 3 Alton, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1200 | $975 | $0.81 | 21d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 1421 W Harrison Ave Unit 6 Alton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1008 | $750 | $0.74 | 23d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 1000 Kentucky St Unit 1 Alton, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 928 | $1,075 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 913 W Sunset Valley St Mission, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1040 | $1,300 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 1001 W Sunset Valley St Alton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,200 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 1001 W Sunset Valley St Unit 4 Alton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1092 | $1,100 | $1.01 | 44d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 1001 W Sunset Valley St Unit 4 Alton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1092 | $1,100 | $1.01 | 23d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 1428 W Harrison Ave Unit 3 Alton, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $975 | $0.97 | 23d | 1 | 0.77mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $97,690 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $97,690 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-16pricedays on market $97,690 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $101,760 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $101,760 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-10pricedays on market $101,760 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $106,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $106,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $106,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $106,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-03price $106,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $110,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $110,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $110,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $110,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-05-07price $110,000 534-char remark
Show marketing remark (534 chars)
Reduced $10,000!!! Investor special in the heart of Alton! Located at 307 S. Hawaii St., this property is packed with potential and priced to sell. Whether you are looking for your next flip, a starter home project, or a great opportunity to create a cash-flowing rental, this is one you do not want to miss. With strong upside and plenty of possibilities, this property is perfect for investors ready to add value and maximize returns. Motivated seller is ready to make a deal—bring your offers before this opportunity is gone!
-
2026-04-15$120,000 Active 534-char remark
Show marketing remark (534 chars)
Reduced $10,000!!! Investor special in the heart of Alton! Located at 307 S. Hawaii St., this property is packed with potential and priced to sell. Whether you are looking for your next flip, a starter home project, or a great opportunity to create a cash-flowing rental, this is one you do not want to miss. With strong upside and plenty of possibilities, this property is perfect for investors ready to add value and maximize returns. Motivated seller is ready to make a deal—bring your offers before this opportunity is gone!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,513 · $209/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,513 · $209/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 98% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,582
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,472
- − Property taxes
- −$2,513
- − Insurance
- −$488
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,087
- − Management
- −$1,087
- − Depreciation
- −$2,842
- Taxable income
- $93
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$22
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,558/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mission CISD
- NCES district ID
- 4831040
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -35.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -15.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,855
- Composite
- 17.47/100
- National rank
- #9061
- State rank
- #775 of 826 in TX
Livability — Alton
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #1230
- US rank
- #21479
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Alton, TX
- County
- Hidalgo County · 623,128 people
- City population
- 44,809
- Metro
- McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 44,809
- Household income
- $55,000
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 855.0
Population outlook (Hidalgo County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 955,232 people
- By 2030
- 1,009,774 · +5.7%
- By 2040
- 1,120,332 · +17.3%
- By 2050
- 1,225,036 · +28.2%
- By 2075
- 1,439,189 · +50.7%
- By 2100
- 1,533,429 · +60.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 96% Two or more races 63% White 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 94%
- Foreign-born
- 28% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 12% English-only · Spanish 88%
Political lean MEDSL · Hidalgo
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.1% · R 51.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -41.6pp toward R · 2008: 38.7pp · 2024: -2.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+2.9 2020: D+17.1 2016: D+40.5 2012: D+41.8 2008: D+38.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 17.95%
- Current HPI
- 242.0711
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.45%
- Metro
- McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
-8.3% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Price Changed $110,000 MCALLENMLS
- 2026-04-15 Listed $120,000 MCALLENMLS
Property tax history
+16.2%/yrLatest (2025): $2,513 · +20.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…