19 N East Ave · Baltimore, MD
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.73%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.3/30.0
- ARV discount +13.3/15.0
- 1% rule +5.1/10.0
- DSCR +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$200,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Renovated from top to bottom, this is a must see. Beautiful hardwoods, high ceilings and spaciousness welcome you on the main level. Enjoy a large kitchen with room enough for an island or bistro table. Natural light fills this home with many windows and hallway skylight. Take entertaining outdoors to your private fenced back yard. Move right in and take advantage of all the city has to offer!
Key facts
- Walk out patio
- High ceilings
- Built 1920
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Pets allowed on a case-by-case basis
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Interior townhouse/rowhouse; Fee simple ownership; Effective renovations completed in 2007
- Construction: Brick construction; Brick/mortar foundation; Built year recorded by assessor
- Exterior features: Rear fencing; Above-grade and below-grade structures referenced
Interior
- Kitchen: Built-in microwave; Dishwasher; Disposal; Gas oven/range; Refrigerator; Water heater
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the first upper level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the upper level; One half bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Basement present (other type); Street lights and sidewalks nearby
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath townhouse listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $74 ($892/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $200k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
- Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 391 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.74%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.59%
- DSCR
- 1.07
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $229,632
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 122 Ellwood Ave | 0.09mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,200 (+0%) | 0mo | $235,000 | $196 | 90 |
| 149 N Highland Ave | 0.19mi | 2/1.0 | 1,170 (-2%) | 1mo | $75,000 | $64 | 85 |
| 134 N Curley St | 0.20mi | 2/2.0 | 1,170 (-2%) | 1mo | $270,000 | $231 | 84 |
| 14 S Curley St | 0.21mi | 2/1.0 | 1,092 (-9%) | 1mo | $269,000 | $246 | 73 |
| 280 S Robinson St | 0.32mi | 2/1.0 | 1,282 (+7%) | 1mo | $294,000 | $229 | 71 |
| 3420 Leverton Ave | 0.22mi | 2/2.0 | 1,340 (+12%) | 1mo | $115,000 | $86 | 67 |
| 629 N Kenwood Ave | 0.48mi | 2/1.5 | 1,100 (-8%) | 1mo | $76,500 | $70 | 64 |
| 410 N Patterson Park Ave | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,180 (-1%) | 0mo | $180,000 | $153 | 57 |
| 2435 Jefferson St | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,260 (+5%) | 1mo | $140,000 | $111 | 55 |
| 145 N Milton Ave | 0.52mi | 2/2.0 | 1,353 (+13%) | 1mo | $260,000 | $192 | 51 |
| 309 S Fagley St | 0.53mi | 2/2.0 | 1,030 (-14%) | 1mo | $225,000 | $218 | 50 |
| 220 N Luzerne Ave | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,372 (+15%) | 1mo | $120,000 | $87 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.31% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.45×
- Total profit
- $-30,928
- Equity at exit
- $29,821
- IRR
- -10.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.40×
- Total profit
- $-33,729
- Equity at exit
- $17,292
Cash invested: $56,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Baltimore
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
ZIP-level market 21224
- Rents YoY
- 1.3%
- Active inventory
- 391
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,013 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,049
- Tax from tax record
- −$384 /mo · $4,606/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$423
- Net cashflow
- $74
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $50,000
- Closing costs
- $6,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 N East Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1326 | $2,550 | $1.92 | 24d | 1 | 0.01mi |
| 29 N Ellwood Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $2,395 | $2.18 | 24d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 3205 Esther Pl Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,850 | $1.93 | 24d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 113 N Clinton St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,995 | $1.53 | 44d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 106 S Bouldin St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1134 | $2,100 | $1.85 | 20d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 203 N Ellwood Ave Unit Main Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 880 | $2,200 | $2.50 | 24d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 127 S Robinson St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1400 | $2,000 | $1.43 | 44d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 3430 E Baltimore St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1316 | $2,250 | $1.71 | 24d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 3413 Leverton Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 832 | $1,000 | $1.20 | 24d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 150 N Curley St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1266 | $1,850 | $1.46 | 18d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 3436 Leverton Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1500 | $2,350 | $1.57 | 24d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 404 N Robinson St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1320 | $2,100 | $1.59 | 16d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 404 N Robinson St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1320 | $2,200 | $1.67 | 24d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 102 S Curley St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,800 | $1.50 | 4d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 34 N Linwood Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1288 | $2,400 | $1.86 | 24d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 10 N Streeper St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1440 | $2,500 | $1.74 | 24d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 235 S Highland Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1222 | $2,000 | $1.64 | 24d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 2815 Orleans St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1204 | $1,600 | $1.33 | 2d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 520 N Decker Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,650 | $1.65 | 44d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 201 S Conkling St Baltimore, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 740 | $1,500 | $2.03 | 2d | 2 | 0.34mi |
| 3710 E Pratt St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 3.5 | 1230 | $1,900 | $1.54 | 24d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 2800 Orleans St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1404 | $1,600 | $1.14 | 18d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 2800 Orleans St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1404 | $1,600 | $1.14 | 15d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 3304 McElderry St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1413 | $1,900 | $1.34 | 44d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 115 S Eaton St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1393 | $1,800 | $1.29 | 16d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 400 S Highland Ave Unit 402 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,700 | $1.89 | 44d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 415 N Belnord Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,300 | $1.29 | 24d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 127 N Glover St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1110 | $2,100 | $1.89 | 3d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 3232 Eastern Ave Baltimore, MD | 1.0 | 1.5 | 874 | $2,260 | $2.59 | 2d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 9 N Luzerne Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1380 | $2,450 | $1.78 | 4d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 2608 E Fayette St Unit 1 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,700 | $1.89 | 15d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 400 S Conkling St Unit 3 Baltimore, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,700 | $2.43 | 44d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 218 N Glover St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1360 | $1,750 | $1.29 | 44d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 2934 E Monument St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,499 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 225 N Luzerne Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1198 | $1,350 | $1.13 | 19d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 531 N Belnord Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,700 | $1.55 | 24d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 415 N Glover St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1092 | $1,600 | $1.47 | 24d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 104 N Rose St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 936 | $2,500 | $2.67 | 44d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 223 Grundy St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,450 | $1.68 | 24d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 718 N Curley St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1500 | $2,000 | $1.33 | 4d | 1 | 0.51mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $200,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $200,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $200,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $200,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 581-char remark
-
2026-06-13$200,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,606 · $384/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,606 · $384/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 73% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,157
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,203
- − Property taxes
- −$4,606
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,933
- − Management
- −$1,933
- − Depreciation
- −$5,818
- Taxable loss
- −$2,335
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$561
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,453/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Baltimore City Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400090
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,108
- Composite
- 10.08/100
- National rank
- #9805
- State rank
- #24 of 24 in MD
Livability — Baltimore
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #90
- US rank
- #3396
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Baltimore, MD
- County
- Baltimore City · 558,601 people
- City population
- 59,407
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 47,465
- Household income
- $89,017
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1786.0
Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 624,249 people
- By 2030
- 621,541 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 609,756 · -2.3%
- By 2050
- 597,249 · -4.3%
- By 2075
- 552,236 · -11.5%
- By 2100
- 513,934 · -17.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 55% Hispanic / Latino 21% Black 16% Two or more races 7% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 76% English-only · Spanish 18% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -332.23%
- Current HPI
- 241.284
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.31%
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
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| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+2.6% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Listed $200,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2014-09-18 Sold (Public Records) $174,500 Public Records
- 2014-09-12 Sold (MLS) $174,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 2014-09-12 Sold (MLS) $174,500 MRIS
- 2014-07-22 Pending — MRIS
- 2014-07-22 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2014-06-05 Price Changed $179,000 MRIS
- 2014-05-07 Price Changed $184,900 MRIS
- 2014-04-18 Listed $188,000 MRIS
- 2014-04-18 Listed $179,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2014-04-10 Delisted — MRIS
- 2014-04-10 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2014-03-17 Price Changed — MRIS
- 2014-02-17 Price Changed — MRIS
- 2014-01-29 Price Changed — MRIS
- 2014-01-16 Listed — MRIS
- 2014-01-16 Listed $195,000 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+0.9%/yrLatest (2025): $4,606 · +2.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…