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15335 Martin Luther King Jr Dr #21
B- Composite 69.3
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.9/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$89,900

15335 Martin Luther King Jr Dr #21 · Dolton, IL 60419
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 939 sqft · Condo · 5 Days on market
Built 1980 $200/mo HOA · 13% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to this spacious end unit condo located in the heart of Dolton. The inviting entry opens to a bright, open concept living and dining area featuring brand new carpet throughout the entire home. The updated kitchen offers generous cabinet storage, a large window that brings in natural light, and modern appliances, making meal prep a breeze. At the end of the day, unwind in the comfortable primary bedroom complete with a large closet. A second spacious bedroom and a full bath provide flexibility for guests or a home office. Step outside to the private third floor balcony and take in the expansive views, perfect for relaxing or enjoying your morning coffee. This home is ideally situated

Key facts

  • Expansive views
  • Open concept living
  • Updated kitchen

Tags

END UNIT CONDOOPEN CONCEPT LIVINGUPDATED KITCHENLARGE WINDOWPRIVATE THIRD FLOOR BALCONYEXPANSIVE VIEWS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Living area listed as approximately 939 total sq ft (estimated)
  • Financial info: Special service area: No; Homeowner tax exemption
  • HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $200 (includes water); Manager off-site; Pets allowed (cats and dogs permitted, max pet weight 99 lbs)

Exterior

  • Parking: Assigned off-street parking (asphalt); Off-alley parking; Guest parking; Owned parking, 1 space total
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric with circuit breakers
  • Home design: Attached single condo (end unit); Entry level: 3; End unit; Condo ownership; Rehab completed in 2016
  • Construction: Brick construction; Asphalt roof; Building approximately 41–50 years old; Building contains 21 units
  • Exterior features: Balcony; Common lot/dimensions

Interior

  • Kitchen: Updated kitchen on main level (approx. 9 x 8); Range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom on main level (approx. 15 x 12) with carpet; Second bedroom on main level (approx. 12 x 10) with carpet; Two additional bedrooms listed (no details provided)
  • Flooring: Carpet in living areas and most bedrooms; Wood laminate in kitchen
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: 5 total rooms; Interstate access
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room; Ceiling fan(s)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $382 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
  • Cap rate 11.4% vs local median 9.3% in Dolton — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#263 in IL, #4,883 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety C-, crime D-.
  • Thornton Twp Hsd 205 (suburban): math 7% / reading 8% proficiency, ranked #594 of 620 in IL (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Thornridge High School (math 8% / reading 8%, grade F, #589 of 693 statewide, top 86%, 1,057 students, 0% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.7%/yr); 129 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $60k; 50% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Recommended offer $89,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.76%
Cap rate
11.39%
Cash-on-cash
18.19%
DSCR
1.81
GRM
4.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
16.7%
Equity multiple
1.73×
Total profit
$18,284
Equity at exit
$13,404
10-year hold
IRR
29.4%
Equity multiple
4.42×
Total profit
$86,047
Equity at exit
$7,773

Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60419

Home prices YoY
-25.7%
Rents YoY
9.7%
Active inventory
129
Price-to-rent
4.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,585 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$471
Tax from tax record
$161 /mo · $1,937/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$200
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$333
Net cashflow
$382

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,102
Max offer price $89,900
Occupancy floor 71%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $432 -5% $407 +0% $382 +5% $356 +10% $331
Rent -10% $256 -5% $319 +0% $382 +5% $444 +10% $507
Rate -1.0pp $427 -0.5pp $404 base $382 +0.5pp $358 +1.0pp $335

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,475
Closing costs
$2,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
15324 Doctor Martin Luther King Junior Dr Unit 1B Dolton, IL 1.0 1.0 725 $985 $1.36 19d 1 0.04mi
15238 Doctor Martin Luther King Junior Dr Unit 2W Dolton, IL 2.0 1.0 800 $1,500 $1.88 11d 1 0.12mi
14817 Champlain Ave Dolton, IL 2.0 1.0 980 $2,430 $2.48 23d 1 0.72mi
14502 Cottage Grove Ave Unit 1S Dolton, IL 1.0 1.0 900 $1,425 $1.58 8d 1 1.19mi
14500 Cottage Grove Ave Unit 3 Dolton, IL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,475 $1.48 25d 1 1.20mi
1450 E 154th Pl Dolton, IL 1.0 1.0 800 $1,250 $1.56 25d 1 1.30mi
14305 Irving Ave Unit 2 Dolton, IL 3.0 1.0 1100 $2,200 $2.00 25d 1 1.33mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$200 · $2,400/yr
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $89,900 Active 5 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $89,900 Active 2 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    statusdays on marketlisting id $89,900 Active 1 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    statusdays on market $89,900 Pending 8 DOM
  5. 2026-06-09
    days on market $89,900 Active 5 DOM
  6. 2026-06-08
    days on market $89,900 Active 4 DOM
  7. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on marketlisting id $89,900 Active 3 DOM
  8. 2026-06-04
    days on market $95,000 Active 22 DOM
  9. 2026-06-03
    days on market $95,000 Active 21 DOM
  10. 2026-06-02
    days on market $95,000 Active 20 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $95,000 Active 19 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $95,000 Active 18 DOM
  13. 2026-05-13
    listed $95,000 Active
  14. 2026-05-13
    historical
  15. 2026-04-30
    listed Active
  16. 2026-04-09
    historical
  17. 2002-02-13
    soldstatus $60,000
  18. 1996-11-22
    soldstatus $53,000
  19. 1994-12-21
    soldstatus $49,000
  20. 1994-12-21
    soldstatus $49,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,937 · $161/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,989 · $166/mo
Expected delta
+$52/yr (+$4/mo · 2.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,015
− Mortgage interest
−$5,036
− Property taxes
−$1,937
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,521
− Management
−$1,521
− HOA
−$2,400
− Depreciation
−$2,615
Taxable income
$3,536
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$849
After-tax cash flow
$3,730/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Thornton Twp Hsd 205
NCES district ID
1738970
Math proficiency
7% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
8% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$43,392
Composite
6.92/100
National rank
#9976
State rank
#594 of 620 in IL

Livability — Dolton

Score
74/100
State rank
#263
US rank
#4883

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Dolton, IL
County
Cook County · 4,486,803 people
City population
20,825
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
Population (ZIP)
20,825
Household income
$57,887
Rent vs Own
27.4% rent · 72.6% own
Severe rent burden
919.0

Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,347,519 people
By 2030
5,357,703 · +0.2%
By 2040
5,324,924 · -0.4%
By 2050
5,230,762 · -2.2%
By 2075
4,785,735 · -10.5%
By 2100
4,188,836 · -21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (91%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 91% White 4% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Hispanic 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cook

2024 margin
Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -66.88%
Current HPI
193.2346
Rent YoY
▲ 9.65%
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+93.9% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-13 Listed $95,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-30 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-09 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2002-02-13 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
  • 1996-11-22 Sold (Public Records) $53,000 Public Records
  • 1994-12-21 Sold (Public Records) $49,000 Public Records
  • 1994-12-21 Sold (Public Records) $49,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.5%/yr

Latest (2023): $1,937 · +315.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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