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408 Elm St
B- Composite 68.9
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.0/30.0
  • DSCR +8.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +7.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.3/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.1/10.0
  • Schools +6.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$89,900

408 Elm St · Albert City, IA 50510
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,152 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 131 Days on market
Built 1975 0.29 ac lot $78/sqft · at area comps Est $90k · at est. ↓ 20% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Come see this charming 2 bedroom, 1 bathroom home nestled in a quiet small-town setting. This cozy property offers comfortable living spaces, a well designed kitchen, and plenty of natural light throughout. Enjoy the peaceful surroundings, spacious yard with beautiful summer plants and flowers, and quiet small town living. The home has many recent updates including a new roof within the past 7 years, new windows within the last 3 years, and a remodeled bathroom within the last 4 years.

Key facts

  • Spacious yard
  • Recent updates
  • Natural light

Tags

WELL DESIGNED KITCHENNATURAL LIGHTSPACIOUS YARDRECENT UPDATESNEW ROOFNEW WINDOWS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $197 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($996 rent vs $90k).
  • Recommended offer: $79k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#274 in IA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, schools A-; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Albert City-Truesdale Community School District (rural): math 60% / reading 80% proficiency, ranked #169 of 330 in IA (top 51%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
  • Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP; 164 units permitted in Buena Vista County in 2024 (71 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($622 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (5.1% local appreciation)).
  • Buena Vista County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (5.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 131 days — a 12% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $79,112 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 131 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.11%
Cap rate
8.92%
Cash-on-cash
9.38%
DSCR
1.42
GRM
7.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$89,530
List price
$89,900
Delta
0.41%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
14 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
413 Main St 0.39mi 2/1.0 1,214 (+5%) 9mo $115,000 $95 65
302 S 2nd St 0.33mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,212 (+5%) 10mo $49,900 $41 63
304 Highway N 14 0.25mi 2/1.5 1,288 (+12%) 6mo $130,000 $101 62
201 3rd Street South St 0.35mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,224 (+6%) 18mo $55,000 $45 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

5.14% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
21.2%
Equity multiple
2.35×
Total profit
$33,967
Equity at exit
$51,705
10-year hold
IRR
20.8%
Equity multiple
4.64×
Total profit
$91,523
Equity at exit
$89,870

Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Iowa
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; mostly landlord-friendly statewide.

ZIP-level market 50510

Home prices YoY
3.1%
Active inventory
6
Price-to-rent
7.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$996 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$471
Tax from tax record
$81 /mo · $970/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$209
Net cashflow
$197

Break-even live

Break-even rent $747
Max offer price $89,900
Occupancy floor 75%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,475
Closing costs
$2,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $89,900 Active 131 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $89,900 Active 130 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $89,900 Active 129 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $89,900 Active 128 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $89,900 Active 126 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $89,900 Active 125 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $89,900 Active 122 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $89,900 Active 121 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $89,900 Active 120 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    remarks 504-char remark
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $89,900 Active 118 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $89,900 Active 116 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $89,900 Active 115 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $89,900 Active 114 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $89,900 Active 113 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $89,900 Active 112 DOM
  17. 2026-02-24
    price $94,900 490-char remark
    Show marketing remark (490 chars)

    Come see this charming 2 bedroom, 1 bathroom home nestled in a quiet small-town setting. This cozy property offers comfortable living spaces, a well designed kitchen, and plenty of natural light throughout. Enjoy the peaceful surroundings, spacious yard with beautiful summer plants and flowers, and quiet small town living. The home has many recent updates including a new roof within the past 7 years, new windows within the last 3 years, and a remodeled bathroom within the last 4 years.

  18. 2026-02-07
    listed $99,990 Active 490-char remark
    Show marketing remark (490 chars)

    Come see this charming 2 bedroom, 1 bathroom home nestled in a quiet small-town setting. This cozy property offers comfortable living spaces, a well designed kitchen, and plenty of natural light throughout. Enjoy the peaceful surroundings, spacious yard with beautiful summer plants and flowers, and quiet small town living. The home has many recent updates including a new roof within the past 7 years, new windows within the last 3 years, and a remodeled bathroom within the last 4 years.

  19. 2025-11-25
    price $99,990
  20. 2025-11-25
    price $99,990
  21. 2025-11-08
    price $109,900
  22. 2025-11-08
    price $109,900
  23. 2025-10-16
    price $114,900
  24. 2025-10-16
    price $114,900
  25. 2025-09-22
    listed $119,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$970 · $81/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,191 · $99/mo
Expected delta
+$221/yr (+$18/mo · 22.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,948
− Mortgage interest
−$5,036
− Property taxes
−$970
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$956
− Management
−$956
− Depreciation
−$2,615
Taxable income
$966
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$232
After-tax cash flow
$2,130/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Albert City-Truesdale Community School District
NCES district ID
1900031
Math proficiency
60% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
80% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$52,646
Composite
60.78/100
National rank
#1642
State rank
#169 of 330 in IA

Livability — Albert City

Score
73/100
State rank
#274
US rank
#5336

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Albert City, IA
Population (ZIP)
1,055

Population outlook (Buena Vista County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
20,775 people
By 2030
21,101 · +1.6%
By 2040
21,955 · +5.7%
By 2050
23,202 · +11.7%
By 2075
27,159 · +30.7%
By 2100
29,578 · +42.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Iranian 3% Lithuanian 2% Portuguese 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 8% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Buena Vista

2024 margin
Solid R (+33.3) · D 32.8% · R 66.0% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-31.5pp toward R · 2008: -1.8pp · 2024: -33.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+33.3 2020: R+25.6 2016: R+25.0 2012: R+10.4 2008: R+1.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 5.14%
Current HPI
169.085
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.48%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-20.3% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-24 Price Changed $94,900 Iowa Great Lakes BOR
  • 2026-02-07 Listed $99,990 Iowa Great Lakes BOR
  • 2025-11-25 Price Changed $99,990 Iowa Great Lakes BOR
  • 2025-11-25 Price Changed $99,990 NWIA
  • 2025-11-08 Price Changed $109,900 Iowa Great Lakes BOR
  • 2025-11-08 Price Changed $109,900 NWIA
  • 2025-10-16 Price Changed $114,900 NWIA
  • 2025-10-16 Price Changed $114,900 Iowa Great Lakes BOR
  • 2025-09-22 Listed $119,000 NWIA

Property tax history

+5.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $970 · +4.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…