1525 Route 179 · West Amwell, NJ
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.3/15.0
- Cash flow +6.0/30.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +0.8/10.0
- DSCR +0.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$669,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to 1525 Route 179 a fully renovated Cape Cod where classic curb appeal meets uncompromising modern updates. Just minutes from historic Lambertville, this 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home has been completely transformed with top-to-bottom upgrades, delivering the rare combination of timeless character and true turn-key peace of mind. Inside, a bright open floor plan showcases a completely updated kitchen with new cabinetry, modern countertops, and stainless appliances. Both bathrooms have been beautifully redone with contemporary finishes, and a dedicated first-floor home office provides the perfect work-from-home solution, guest space, or quiet retreat a feature today's buyers consistently demand. Upstairs, the dormered second floor offers two additional bedrooms with charming rooflines and abundant natural light, while a full unfinished basement delivers abundant storage, workshop potential, or future finished living space. What sets this home apart is what you don't see: a brand-new HVAC system, brand-new septic system, and brand-new well pump plus all-new siding and fresh landscaping. The three most expensive systems in any home, all replaced. No deferred maintenance, no surprises. The location delivers the best of both worlds: a short drive to Lambertville's renowned restaurants, antique shops, art galleries, and the Delaware River towpath, with quick access across the bridge to New Hope, PA
Key facts
- 0.91 acre lot
- 10 parking spots
- Built 1950
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway with 10 parking spaces (total garage and parking spaces: 10)
- Utilities: Well water; Private septic tank; Electric cooling fuel; Natural gas heating fuel; Tankless hot water
- Home design: Detached structure; Vinyl siding; Asphalt roof; Block foundation; Above-grade living space (estimated 2,000 finished)
- Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Block foundation; Asphalt roof; Detached design
- Exterior features: No tidal water
Interior
- Bedrooms: One main-level bedroom; Two upper-level bedrooms
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (one on main level, one on upper level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning; Natural gas heating fuel; Tankless instant hot water
- Interior features: Unfinished basement with sump pump; Estimated living area
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $670k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-16k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $433k (35.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $388k (42.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $388k (42.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade F — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- South Hunterdon Regional School District (rural): math 13% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #335 of 472 in NJ (top 71%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; only 14% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: West Amwell Township School (math 12% / reading 47%, grade F, #731 of 1,303 statewide, top 59%, 170 students, 14% FRL); South Hunterdon Regional High School (math 14% / reading 42%, grade F, #304 of 399 statewide, top 77%, 417 students, 25% FRL).
- Market conditions: 52 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 389 units permitted in Hunterdon County in 2024 (180 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $20k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hunterdon County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($660k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $200k; list at $670k implies a 235% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.58% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.01%
- Cash-on-cash
- -8.17%
- DSCR
- 0.64
- GRM
- 14.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $666,796
- List price
- $669,900
- Delta
- 0.47%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 58 Belvidere Ave | 0.26mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,240 (+3%) | 1mo | $385,000 | $310 | 76 |
| 192 George St | 0.59mi | 3/1.5 | 1,152 (-4%) | 4mo | $749,000 | $650 | 60 |
| 72 N Franklin St Unit A | 0.56mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,172 (-2%) | 9mo | $484,000 | $413 | 54 |
| 208 Coryell Rd | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 | 1,097 (-9%) | 13mo | $355,000 | $324 | 53 |
| 41 Jean St | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,100 (-8%) | 23mo | $515,000 | $468 | 52 |
| 58 Delevan St | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,248 (+4%) | 24mo | $400,000 | $321 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -31.5%
- Equity multiple
- -0.04×
- Total profit
- $-194,196
- Equity at exit
- $99,884
- IRR
- -35.5%
- Equity multiple
- -0.49×
- Total profit
- $-279,594
- Equity at exit
- $57,921
Cash invested: $187,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08530
- Active inventory
- 52
- Price-to-rent
- 14.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,882 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,513
- Tax from tax record
- −$551 /mo · $6,616/yr
- Insurance
- −$279
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$815
- Net cashflow
- $-1,343
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $167,475
- Closing costs
- $20,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 162 York St Lambertville, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 816 | $2,475 | $3.03 | 44d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 67 Ferry St Lambertville, NJ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,700 | $1.93 | 1d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 15 Ferry St Unit 1336813P Lambertville, NJ | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1496 | $8,185 | $5.47 | 24d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 14 W Bridge St Unit A New Hope, PA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $3,475 | $3.16 | 1d | 1 | 1.16mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $669,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $669,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $669,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $669,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $669,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $669,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $669,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $669,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $669,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $669,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $669,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $669,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $669,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-05-11historical $669,900 1602-char remark
-
2025-10-17soldstatus $200,000
-
2003-12-24soldstatus $260,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $6,616 · $551/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $11,648 · $971/mo
- Expected delta
- +$5,032/yr (+$419/mo · 76.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $46,579
- − Mortgage interest
- −$37,525
- − Property taxes
- −$6,616
- − Insurance
- −$4,147
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,726
- − Management
- −$3,726
- − Depreciation
- −$19,488
- Taxable loss
- −$28,649
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$6,876
- After-tax cash flow
- $-9,246/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- South Hunterdon Regional School District
- NCES district ID
- 3400769
- Math proficiency
- 13% ▼ -27.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -17.00%
- Median HH income
- $82,621
- Composite
- 27.54/100
- National rank
- #6948
- State rank
- #335 of 472 in NJ
Livability — West Amwell
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,146
Population outlook (Hunterdon County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 122,644 people
- By 2030
- 121,131 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 117,753 · -4.0%
- By 2050
- 112,601 · -8.2%
- By 2075
- 104,371 · -14.9%
- By 2100
- 93,364 · -23.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 8% Black 5% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Iranian 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 2% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hunterdon
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+6.7) · D 45.7% · R 52.4% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.7pp toward D · 2008: -13.3pp · 2024: -6.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+6.7 2020: R+4.4 2016: R+13.8 2012: R+18.8 2008: R+13.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -193.68%
- Current HPI
- 226.5618
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
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| Technology | 2 | $21B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
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Price history
+157.7% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-28 Price Changed $669,900 GSMLS
- 2026-05-20 Listed $669,000 GSMLS
- 2026-05-20 Listed $669,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-11 Coming Soon $669,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-10-17 Sold (Public Records) $200,000 Public Records
- 2003-12-24 Sold (Public Records) $260,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.1%/yrLatest (2025): $6,616 · +9.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…