2616 Maryland Ave · Flint, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$70,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Move-in ready and easy to maintain, this 2002-built ranch offers 4 bedrooms, 1 full bathroom, and an open floor plan that works well for everyday living. The home features many updates, including a newer roof and updated flooring throughout. The kitchen connects seamlessly to the main living area, and all appliances are included. A full basement provides valuable storage space and offers potential for future finishing. The home also includes a new aluminum handicap-accessible ramp, providing easy access to the front entry. This home is a solid option for buyers looking for space, value, and convenience.
Key facts
- Newer roof
- Full basement
- Updated flooring
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Ground-level entry with steps; Vinyl siding
- Construction: Asphalt roof
- Exterior features: Paved road access; Shed(s); Accessible entrance with ramp
Interior
- Kitchen: Free-standing electric oven; Free-standing refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 4 rooms total
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Ceiling fan(s); No central air
- Interior features: Gas water heater; Full unfinished basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $527 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
- Cap rate 15.3% vs local median 11.5% in Flint — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#196 in MI, #4,946 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Flint School District (urban): math 7% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #714 of 760 in MI (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 202 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($48k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $50k; 39% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.86% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.33%
- Cash-on-cash
- 32.28%
- DSCR
- 2.44
- GRM
- 4.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $41,440
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2616 Maryland Ave | 0.00mi | 4/1.0 | 1,184 (0%) | 0mo | $70,000 | $59 | 100 |
| 3116 Beechwood Ave | 0.39mi | 4/1.5 | 1,248 (+5%) | 5mo | $14,000 | $11 | 67 |
| 2905 Thom St | 0.30mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,176 (-1%) | 17mo | $15,250 | $13 | 66 |
| 3127 Woodrow Ave | 0.44mi | 4/1.5 | 1,239 (+5%) | 10mo | $107,000 | $86 | 62 |
| 2975 Henry St | 0.65mi | 4/1.5 | 1,225 (+4%) | 3mo | $50,000 | $41 | 60 |
| 2317 Oklahoma Ave | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,316 (+11%) | 16mo | $16,500 | $13 | 48 |
| 3710 Branch Rd | 0.65mi | 4/1.5 | 1,298 (+10%) | 6mo | $40,500 | $31 | 46 |
| 1646 Bennett Ave | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,260 (+6%) | 13mo | $24,900 | $20 | 42 |
| 3106 Arizona Ave | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,034 (-13%) | 17mo | $52,300 | $51 | 35 |
| 3632 Western Rd | 0.52mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,357 (+15%) | 12mo | $47,500 | $35 | 34 |
| 3413 Dakota Ave | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,018 (-14%) | 2mo | $113,351 | $111 | 34 |
| 3145 Whittier Ave | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,346 (+14%) | 18mo | $3,500 | $3 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 27.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.14×
- Total profit
- $22,266
- Equity at exit
- $10,437
- IRR
- 34.9%
- Equity multiple
- 4.20×
- Total profit
- $62,746
- Equity at exit
- $6,052
Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48506
- Active inventory
- 202
- Price-to-rent
- 4.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,299 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax from tax record
- −$103 /mo · $1,237/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$273
- Net cashflow
- $527
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,500
- Closing costs
- $2,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2311 N Averill Ave Unit Main Flint, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,200 | $1.26 | 13d | 1 | 0.60mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-05-07status Pending 610-char remark
Show marketing remark (610 chars)
Move-in ready and easy to maintain, this 2002-built ranch offers 4 bedrooms, 1 full bathroom, and an open floor plan that works well for everyday living. The home features many updates, including a newer roof and updated flooring throughout. The kitchen connects seamlessly to the main living area, and all appliances are included. A full basement provides valuable storage space and offers potential for future finishing. The home also includes a new aluminum handicap-accessible ramp, providing easy access to the front entry. This home is a solid option for buyers looking for space, value, and convenience.
-
2026-05-07status Pending
Show marketing remark (610 chars)
Move-in ready and easy to maintain, this 2002-built ranch offers 4 bedrooms, 1 full bathroom, and an open floor plan that works well for everyday living. The home features many updates, including a newer roof and updated flooring throughout. The kitchen connects seamlessly to the main living area, and all appliances are included. A full basement provides valuable storage space and offers potential for future finishing. The home also includes a new aluminum handicap-accessible ramp, providing easy access to the front entry. This home is a solid option for buyers looking for space, value, and convenience.
-
2026-04-30$70,000 Active 610-char remark
Show marketing remark (610 chars)
Move-in ready and easy to maintain, this 2002-built ranch offers 4 bedrooms, 1 full bathroom, and an open floor plan that works well for everyday living. The home features many updates, including a newer roof and updated flooring throughout. The kitchen connects seamlessly to the main living area, and all appliances are included. A full basement provides valuable storage space and offers potential for future finishing. The home also includes a new aluminum handicap-accessible ramp, providing easy access to the front entry. This home is a solid option for buyers looking for space, value, and convenience.
-
2026-04-30$70,000 Active
Show marketing remark (610 chars)
Move-in ready and easy to maintain, this 2002-built ranch offers 4 bedrooms, 1 full bathroom, and an open floor plan that works well for everyday living. The home features many updates, including a newer roof and updated flooring throughout. The kitchen connects seamlessly to the main living area, and all appliances are included. A full basement provides valuable storage space and offers potential for future finishing. The home also includes a new aluminum handicap-accessible ramp, providing easy access to the front entry. This home is a solid option for buyers looking for space, value, and convenience.
-
2024-11-26soldstatus $50,500
-
2024-11-15soldstatus $50,500 Sold 422-char remark
Show marketing remark (422 chars)
Move in condition with all the updates already completed. Walking into this home you will appreciate the open floor plan. The kitchen/dining/living rooms are all open to each other. Heading down the hallway you will find 4 spacious bedrooms and one bathroom. The lower level has a laundry area with a washer & dryer. The rest of the basement is ready for finishing or to use as storage. Don't miss out on this one!!!
-
2024-11-15soldstatus $50,500 Closed
Show marketing remark (422 chars)
Move in condition with all the updates already completed. Walking into this home you will appreciate the open floor plan. The kitchen/dining/living rooms are all open to each other. Heading down the hallway you will find 4 spacious bedrooms and one bathroom. The lower level has a laundry area with a washer & dryer. The rest of the basement is ready for finishing or to use as storage. Don't miss out on this one!!!
-
2024-10-25status Pending 422-char remark
Show marketing remark (422 chars)
Move in condition with all the updates already completed. Walking into this home you will appreciate the open floor plan. The kitchen/dining/living rooms are all open to each other. Heading down the hallway you will find 4 spacious bedrooms and one bathroom. The lower level has a laundry area with a washer & dryer. The rest of the basement is ready for finishing or to use as storage. Don't miss out on this one!!!
-
2024-10-25status Pending
Show marketing remark (422 chars)
Move in condition with all the updates already completed. Walking into this home you will appreciate the open floor plan. The kitchen/dining/living rooms are all open to each other. Heading down the hallway you will find 4 spacious bedrooms and one bathroom. The lower level has a laundry area with a washer & dryer. The rest of the basement is ready for finishing or to use as storage. Don't miss out on this one!!!
-
2024-10-23price $50,000
-
2024-10-22price $50,000 422-char remark
Show marketing remark (422 chars)
Move in condition with all the updates already completed. Walking into this home you will appreciate the open floor plan. The kitchen/dining/living rooms are all open to each other. Heading down the hallway you will find 4 spacious bedrooms and one bathroom. The lower level has a laundry area with a washer & dryer. The rest of the basement is ready for finishing or to use as storage. Don't miss out on this one!!!
-
2024-10-07$59,900 Active 422-char remark
Show marketing remark (422 chars)
Move in condition with all the updates already completed. Walking into this home you will appreciate the open floor plan. The kitchen/dining/living rooms are all open to each other. Heading down the hallway you will find 4 spacious bedrooms and one bathroom. The lower level has a laundry area with a washer & dryer. The rest of the basement is ready for finishing or to use as storage. Don't miss out on this one!!!
-
2024-10-07$59,900 Active
Show marketing remark (422 chars)
Move in condition with all the updates already completed. Walking into this home you will appreciate the open floor plan. The kitchen/dining/living rooms are all open to each other. Heading down the hallway you will find 4 spacious bedrooms and one bathroom. The lower level has a laundry area with a washer & dryer. The rest of the basement is ready for finishing or to use as storage. Don't miss out on this one!!!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,237 · $103/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,237 · $103/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,594
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,921
- − Property taxes
- −$1,237
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,247
- − Management
- −$1,247
- − Depreciation
- −$2,036
- Taxable income
- $5,554
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,333
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,994/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Flint School District
- NCES district ID
- 2614520
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 13% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,954
- Composite
- 10.97/100
- National rank
- #14642
- State rank
- #714 of 760 in MI
Livability — Flint
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #196
- US rank
- #4946
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Flint, MI
- County
- Genesee County · 221,329 people
- City population
- 93,814
- Metro
- Flint, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,712
- Household income
- $47,929
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 954.0
Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 381,312 people
- By 2030
- 362,731 · -4.9%
- By 2040
- 321,550 · -15.7%
- By 2050
- 279,212 · -26.8%
- By 2075
- 193,336 · -49.3%
- By 2100
- 128,118 · -66.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Black 9% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 6% Romanian 4% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Genesee
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -173.31%
- Current HPI
- 90.0494
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Flint, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+16.9% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-07 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-04-30 Listed $70,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-30 Listed $70,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-11-26 Sold (Public Records) $50,500 Public Records
- 2024-11-15 Sold (MLS) $50,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-11-15 Sold (MLS) $50,500 REALCOMP
- 2024-10-25 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2024-10-25 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-10-23 Price Changed $50,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-10-22 Price Changed $50,000 REALCOMP
- 2024-10-07 Listed $59,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-10-07 Listed $59,900 REALCOMP
Property tax history
-0.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,237 · +367.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…