417 Wolf St · Syracuse, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Cash flow +9.1/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- DSCR +2.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.9/10.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
$219,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Own both a residential and commercial property on a single deed with low property taxes — a rare, high-performing combination. 417 Wolf St – 2 bed, 1 bath single-story home with a long-term tenant, delivering steady, reliable income from day one. 419 Wolf St – Commercial building previously rented for $2,000/month, now vacant and ready for an owner-occupant or new tenant. With the commercial space re-leased at prior rent, the property offers a strong pro forma cap rate and significantly increased income potential.
Key facts
- 0.31 acre lot
- Built 1900
- Listed 94 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $220k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-170 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $190k (13.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $152k (30.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $152k (30.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 8.2% in Syracuse — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#187 in NY, #2,869 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment D-.
- Syracuse City School District (urban): math 18% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #590 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 99 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 75% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 616 units permitted in Onondaga County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $24k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $22k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Onondaga County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 95 days — a 9% lower offer ($200k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $30k; list at $220k implies a 633% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 95 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 31% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.69% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.37%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.31%
- DSCR
- 0.85
- GRM
- 12.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.77×
- Total profit
- $108,872
- Equity at exit
- $198,103
- IRR
- 19.7%
- Equity multiple
- 6.34×
- Total profit
- $328,985
- Equity at exit
- $427,217
Cash invested: $61,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13208
- Home prices YoY
- 8.4%
- Active inventory
- 99
- Price-to-rent
- 12.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,520 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,153
- Tax from tax record
- −$126 /mo · $1,510/yr
- Insurance
- −$92
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$319
- Net cashflow
- $-170
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-45 | -5% $-108 | +0% $-170 | +5% $-232 | +10% $-294 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-290 | -5% $-230 | +0% $-170 | +5% $-110 | +10% $-50 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-59 | -0.5pp $-114 | base $-170 | +0.5pp $-227 | +1.0pp $-285 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $54,975
- Closing costs
- $6,597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 20 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1507 N Salina St Unit 3 Syracuse, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1030 | $1,350 | $1.31 | 44d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 1132 Wolf St Unit 4 Syracuse, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1041 | $1,350 | $1.30 | 44d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 1140 Wolf St Apt 3 Syracuse, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,200 | $1.50 | 44d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 100 Buckley Rd Liverpool, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 985 | $3,850 | $3.91 | 14d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 286 Ross Park Syracuse, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,500 | $1.36 | 45d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 807-13 N Salina St Unit 809A Syracuse, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1020 | $1,325 | $1.30 | 44d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 721 N Clinton St Unit 105 Syracuse, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,475 | $1.48 | 44d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 721 N Clinton St Unit 213 Syracuse, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,550 | $1.55 | 44d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 210 W Division St Unit 24 Syracuse, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,850 | $1.54 | 21d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 912 Park St Unit 1 Syracuse, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1040 | $1,200 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 210 W Division St Unit 87 Syracuse, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,750 | $1.46 | 44d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 610 E Division St Unit F2 Syracuse, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,150 | $1.28 | 44d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 373 Spencer St Unit 303 Syracuse, NY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1085 | $1,850 | $1.71 | 44d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 130 Old Liverpool Rd Liverpool, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,700 | $1.55 | 14d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 517 N Salina St Unit 4 Syracuse, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,050 | $1.50 | 14d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 746 E Laurel St Unit 1 Syracuse, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,500 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 746 E Laurel St Unit 2F Syracuse, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,100 | $1.38 | 44d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 126 Woodruff Ave Syracuse, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,675 | $1.40 | 44d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 205 Beecher St Unit 3 Syracuse, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 815 | $1,100 | $1.35 | 44d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 416 Pearl St Unit 2 Syracuse, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $2,400 | $2.67 | 14d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-05-30days on market $219,900 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-02-24$219,900 Active 537-char remark
Show marketing remark (537 chars)
Own both a residential and commercial property on a single deed with low property taxes — a rare, high-performing combination. 417 Wolf St – 2 bed, 1 bath single-story home with a long-term tenant, delivering steady, reliable income from day one. 419 Wolf St – Commercial building previously rented for $2,000/month, now vacant and ready for an owner-occupant or new tenant. With the commercial space re-leased at prior rent, the property offers a strong pro forma cap rate and significantly increased income potential.
-
2026-02-04historical
-
2025-12-01price $219,900
-
2025-11-04$229,900 Active
-
2016-07-19historical
-
2016-07-16$79,900 Active
-
2016-01-19soldstatus $30,000 Closed Sale or Rented
-
2015-12-21soldstatus $29,999
-
2015-10-30status Pending Sale
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2015-10-13historical Continue to Show- Under Contract
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2015-10-06$45,000 Active
-
2011-02-09soldstatus $13,391
-
2004-09-24soldstatus $35,000
-
1996-10-31soldstatus $37,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,510 · $126/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,613 · $218/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,103/yr (+$92/mo · 73.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,238
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,318
- − Property taxes
- −$1,510
- − Insurance
- −$1,100
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,459
- − Management
- −$1,459
- − Depreciation
- −$6,397
- Taxable loss
- −$6,004
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,441
- After-tax cash flow
- $-598/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Syracuse City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3628590
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,097
- Composite
- 17.83/100
- National rank
- #9007
- State rank
- #590 of 590 in NY
Livability — Syracuse
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #187
- US rank
- #2869
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Syracuse, NY
- County
- Onondaga County · 247,257 people
- City population
- 152,627
- Metro
- Syracuse, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,993
- Household income
- $44,712
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1437.0
Population outlook (Onondaga County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 467,894 people
- By 2030
- 463,381 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 447,697 · -4.3%
- By 2050
- 426,399 · -8.9%
- By 2075
- 373,661 · -20.1%
- By 2100
- 307,967 · -34.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 46% Black 24% Asian 14% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 4% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Swedish 3% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 22% · Vietnam, Philippines, Canada
- Languages at home
- 70% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Asian/Pacific 5% Vietnamese 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Onondaga
- 2024 margin
- D (+17.3) · D 58.6% · R 41.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.0pp toward R · 2008: 20.3pp · 2024: 17.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+17.3 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+12.8 2012: D+21.1 2008: D+20.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 30.91%
- Current HPI
- 399.3284
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Syracuse, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+494.3% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-24 Listed $219,900 CNYIS
- 2026-02-04 Listing Removed — CNYIS
- 2025-12-01 Price Changed $219,900 CNYIS
- 2025-11-04 Listed $229,900 CNYIS
- 2016-07-19 Listing Removed — WNYREIS
- 2016-07-16 Listed $79,900 WNYREIS
- 2016-01-19 Sold (MLS) $30,000 CNYIS
- 2015-12-21 Sold (Public Records) $29,999 Public Records
- 2015-10-30 Pending — CNYIS
- 2015-10-13 Contingent — CNYIS
- 2015-10-06 Listed $45,000 CNYIS
- 2011-02-09 Sold (Public Records) $13,391 Public Records
- 2004-09-24 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
- 1996-10-31 Sold (Public Records) $37,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,510 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…