4402 Werling Dr · Fort Wayne, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.0/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$79,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This 2-bedroom (can easily be convert back to a 3 bed), 1-bath home offers strong potential for an investor or buyer ready to bring new vision and updates to the property. Conveniently located just 3 minutes from shopping, dining, and McMillen Park, the home combines accessibility with opportunity. The property features off-street parking, brick exterior, directly next to lots of new developments, and an 8x10 shed and spacious backyard provide additional storage and outdoor flexibility. With solid exterior features and a desirable location, this home presents a great opportunity for renovation, investment, or personalization.
Key facts
- Brick exterior
- Spacious backyard
- Off-street parking
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located in Anthony Wayne Village subdivision
Exterior
- Parking: Asphalt off-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence, site-built; One story
- Construction: Brick and vinyl siding construction; Slab foundation; Asphalt shingle roof; Approximately 880 above-grade finished area
- Exterior features: Wood and wire fencing; Shed(s) on property; Corner, level lot (approximately 77 x 89)
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Electric range
- Bedrooms: 5 total rooms (bedroom count not specified)
- Flooring: Tile; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced air heating; No cooling
- Interior features: Crown molding; Open floor plan; One fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry on main level; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $403 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
- Cap rate 12.3% vs local median 4.8% in Fort Wayne — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#6 in IN, #676 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D+.
- East Allen County Schools (suburban): math 36% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #122 of 301 in IN (top 40%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Southwick Elementary School (606 students, 89% FRL); Paul Harding Jr High School (math 11% / reading 25%, grade F, #279 of 330 statewide, top 86%, 430 students, 88% FRL); New Haven Jr/Sr High School (math 21% / reading 50%, grade F, #263 of 369 statewide, top 72%, 1,494 students, 67% FRL) — zoned schools average 81% FRL vs 43% district-wide (38 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 27% at this address vs 42% district-wide (-15 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the East Allen County Schools average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 129 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,861 units permitted in Allen County in 2024 (576 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Allen County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.9% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $51k; list at $80k implies a 57% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.40% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.35%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.63%
- DSCR
- 1.96
- GRM
- 6.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $99,440
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4501 S Colonial Ave | 0.12mi | 3/1.0 | 880 (0%) | 9mo | $85,000 | $97 | 87 |
| 2304 Marcy Ln | 0.08mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 832 (-6%) | 7mo | $74,000 | $89 | 77 |
| 4315 S Colonial Ave | 0.10mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 800 (-9%) | 7mo | $88,500 | $111 | 70 |
| 4717 Reed St | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 | 875 (-1%) | 9mo | $132,000 | $151 | 68 |
| 4343 Lillie St | 0.35mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 825 (-6%) | 7mo | $84,500 | $102 | 63 |
| 3627 Plaza Dr | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 | 936 (+6%) | 4mo | $126,500 | $135 | 60 |
| 4602 Reed St | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 | 972 (+10%) | 3mo | $110,000 | $113 | 56 |
| 1322 Mckinnie Ave | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 | 931 (+6%) | 10mo | $120,000 | $129 | 56 |
| 4821 Oliver St | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 825 (-6%) | 6mo | $114,900 | $139 | 52 |
| 3921 Bowser Ave | 0.73mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 918 (+4%) | 2mo | $79,000 | $86 | 50 |
| 4425 Holton Ave | 0.53mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 996 (+13%) | 5mo | $55,000 | $55 | 44 |
| 4314 Smith St | 0.75mi | 3/1.0 | 768 (-13%) | 10mo | $100,000 | $130 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.93% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.67×
- Total profit
- $14,923
- Equity at exit
- $11,913
- IRR
- 26.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.48×
- Total profit
- $55,409
- Equity at exit
- $6,908
Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46806
- Home prices YoY
- -33.6%
- Rents YoY
- 4.9%
- Active inventory
- 129
- Price-to-rent
- 6.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,119 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$419
- Tax from tax record
- −$28 /mo · $341/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$235
- Net cashflow
- $403
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,975
- Closing costs
- $2,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4325 Werling Dr Fort Wayne, IN | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 923 | $1,164 | $1.26 | 43d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 4705 S Anthony Blvd Fort Wayne, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1110 | $1,050 | $0.95 | 13d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 3932 Winter St Fort Wayne, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $875 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 4129 Bowser Ave Fort Wayne, IN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 850 | $1,250 | $1.47 | 21d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 3410 S Anthony Blvd Fort Wayne, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,200 | $1.33 | 43d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 4014 Oliver St Fort Wayne, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $1,050 | $1.12 | 13d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 4522 Spatz Ave Fort Wayne, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $950 | $1.13 | 43d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 2754 E Paulding Rd Fort Wayne, IN | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 997 | $1,089 | $1.09 | 13d | 14 | 1.01mi |
| 4121 Monroe St Fort Wayne, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,100 | $1.52 | 13d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 4655 Avondale Dr Fort Wayne, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $875 | $1.14 | 43d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 4331 Lafayette St Fort Wayne, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 810 | $925 | $1.14 | 13d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 4126 Lafayette St Fort Wayne, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $1,275 | $1.65 | 43d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 3801 Lafayette St Fort Wayne, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1116 | $995 | $0.89 | 13d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 1004 Fayette Dr Fort Wayne, IN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 679 | $1,199 | $1.76 | 13d | 18 | 1.39mi |
| 4018 S Clinton St Fort Wayne, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 860 | $1,000 | $1.16 | 21d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-18remarks 633-char remark
-
2026-06-18$79,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $341 · $28/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $510 · $43/mo
- Expected delta
- +$169/yr (+$14/mo · 49.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,427
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,476
- − Property taxes
- −$341
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,074
- − Management
- −$1,074
- − Depreciation
- −$2,324
- Taxable income
- $3,738
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$897
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,942/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- East Allen County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 1802850
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,524
- Composite
- 35.75/100
- National rank
- #4849
- State rank
- #122 of 301 in IN
Livability — Fort Wayne
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #6
- US rank
- #676
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fort Wayne, IN
- County
- Allen County · 326,813 people
- City population
- 326,813
- Metro
- Fort Wayne, IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,425
- Household income
- $47,895
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1184.0
Population outlook (Allen County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 394,020 people
- By 2030
- 405,128 · +2.8%
- By 2040
- 423,476 · +7.5%
- By 2050
- 435,137 · +10.4%
- By 2075
- 450,293 · +14.3%
- By 2100
- 424,101 · +7.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.74)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 37% Hispanic / Latino 26% White 21% Asian 12% Two or more races 11% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 18% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Canada, Philippines, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 71% English-only · Spanish 19% Other Asian/Pacific 9%
Political lean MEDSL · Allen
- 2024 margin
- R (+12.5) · D 42.9% · R 55.4% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.1pp toward R · 2008: -4.3pp · 2024: -12.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+12.5 2020: R+11.2 2016: R+19.6 2012: R+16.8 2008: R+4.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -148.00%
- Current HPI
- 291.8198
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.93%
- Metro
- Fort Wayne, IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
+57.1% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Listed $79,900 IRMLS
- 2007-07-16 Sold (Public Records) $50,873 Public Records
Property tax history
+20.0%/yrLatest (2024): $341 · +26.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…