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4402 Werling Dr
B+ Composite 78.01
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$79,900

4402 Werling Dr · Fort Wayne, IN 46806
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 880 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1950 6,853 sqft lot Est $99k · 20% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This 2-bedroom (can easily be convert back to a 3 bed), 1-bath home offers strong potential for an investor or buyer ready to bring new vision and updates to the property. Conveniently located just 3 minutes from shopping, dining, and McMillen Park, the home combines accessibility with opportunity. The property features off-street parking, brick exterior, directly next to lots of new developments, and an 8x10 shed and spacious backyard provide additional storage and outdoor flexibility. With solid exterior features and a desirable location, this home presents a great opportunity for renovation, investment, or personalization.

Key facts

  • Brick exterior
  • Spacious backyard
  • Off-street parking

Tags

OFF-STREET PARKINGBRICK EXTERIOR8X10 SHEDSPACIOUS BACKYARD

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Located in Anthony Wayne Village subdivision

Exterior

  • Parking: Asphalt off-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence, site-built; One story
  • Construction: Brick and vinyl siding construction; Slab foundation; Asphalt shingle roof; Approximately 880 above-grade finished area
  • Exterior features: Wood and wire fencing; Shed(s) on property; Corner, level lot (approximately 77 x 89)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator; Electric range
  • Bedrooms: 5 total rooms (bedroom count not specified)
  • Flooring: Tile; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced air heating; No cooling
  • Interior features: Crown molding; Open floor plan; One fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry on main level; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $403 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
  • Cap rate 12.3% vs local median 4.8% in Fort Wayne — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 84/100 on livability (#6 in IN, #676 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D+.
  • East Allen County Schools (suburban): math 36% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #122 of 301 in IN (top 40%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Southwick Elementary School (606 students, 89% FRL); Paul Harding Jr High School (math 11% / reading 25%, grade F, #279 of 330 statewide, top 86%, 430 students, 88% FRL); New Haven Jr/Sr High School (math 21% / reading 50%, grade F, #263 of 369 statewide, top 72%, 1,494 students, 67% FRL) — zoned schools average 81% FRL vs 43% district-wide (38 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 27% at this address vs 42% district-wide (-15 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the East Allen County Schools average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 129 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,861 units permitted in Allen County in 2024 (576 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Allen County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.9% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $51k; list at $80k implies a 57% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $79,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.40%
Cap rate
12.35%
Cash-on-cash
21.63%
DSCR
1.96
GRM
6.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$99,440
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4501 S Colonial Ave 0.12mi 3/1.0 880 (0%) 9mo $85,000 $97 87
2304 Marcy Ln 0.08mi 2/1.0 (-1) 832 (-6%) 7mo $74,000 $89 77
4315 S Colonial Ave 0.10mi 2/1.0 (-1) 800 (-9%) 7mo $88,500 $111 70
4717 Reed St 0.50mi 3/1.0 875 (-1%) 9mo $132,000 $151 68
4343 Lillie St 0.35mi 2/1.0 (-1) 825 (-6%) 7mo $84,500 $102 63
3627 Plaza Dr 0.54mi 3/1.0 936 (+6%) 4mo $126,500 $135 60
4602 Reed St 0.50mi 3/1.0 972 (+10%) 3mo $110,000 $113 56
1322 Mckinnie Ave 0.57mi 3/1.0 931 (+6%) 10mo $120,000 $129 56
4821 Oliver St 0.68mi 3/1.0 825 (-6%) 6mo $114,900 $139 52
3921 Bowser Ave 0.73mi 2/1.5 (-1) 918 (+4%) 2mo $79,000 $86 50
4425 Holton Ave 0.53mi 2/1.0 (-1) 996 (+13%) 5mo $55,000 $55 44
4314 Smith St 0.75mi 3/1.0 768 (-13%) 10mo $100,000 $130 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.93% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
16.2%
Equity multiple
1.67×
Total profit
$14,923
Equity at exit
$11,913
10-year hold
IRR
26.1%
Equity multiple
3.48×
Total profit
$55,409
Equity at exit
$6,908

Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 46806

Home prices YoY
-33.6%
Rents YoY
4.9%
Active inventory
129
Price-to-rent
6.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,119 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$419
Tax from tax record
$28 /mo · $341/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$235
Net cashflow
$403

Break-even live

Break-even rent $608
Max offer price $79,900
Occupancy floor 59%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,975
Closing costs
$2,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 15 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4325 Werling Dr Fort Wayne, IN 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 923 $1,164 $1.26 43d 1 0.11mi
4705 S Anthony Blvd Fort Wayne, IN 3.0 1.0 1110 $1,050 $0.95 13d 1 0.29mi
3932 Winter St Fort Wayne, IN 2.0 1.0 750 $875 $1.17 43d 1 0.55mi
4129 Bowser Ave Fort Wayne, IN 3.0 1.5 850 $1,250 $1.47 21d 1 0.65mi
3410 S Anthony Blvd Fort Wayne, IN 3.0 1.0 900 $1,200 $1.33 43d 1 0.76mi
4014 Oliver St Fort Wayne, IN 3.0 1.0 936 $1,050 $1.12 13d 1 0.77mi
4522 Spatz Ave Fort Wayne, IN 2.0 1.0 840 $950 $1.13 43d 1 0.83mi
2754 E Paulding Rd Fort Wayne, IN 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 997 $1,089 $1.09 13d 14 1.01mi
4121 Monroe St Fort Wayne, IN 2.0 1.0 725 $1,100 $1.52 13d 1 1.10mi
4655 Avondale Dr Fort Wayne, IN 2.0 1.0 768 $875 $1.14 43d 1 1.20mi
4331 Lafayette St Fort Wayne, IN 2.0 1.0 810 $925 $1.14 13d 1 1.26mi
4126 Lafayette St Fort Wayne, IN 2.0 1.0 775 $1,275 $1.65 43d 1 1.31mi
3801 Lafayette St Fort Wayne, IN 2.0 1.0 1116 $995 $0.89 13d 1 1.35mi
1004 Fayette Dr Fort Wayne, IN 1.0–2.0 1.0 679 $1,199 $1.76 13d 18 1.39mi
4018 S Clinton St Fort Wayne, IN 3.0 1.0 860 $1,000 $1.16 21d 1 1.41mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    remarks 633-char remark
  2. 2026-06-18
    listed $79,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$341 · $28/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$510 · $43/mo
Expected delta
+$169/yr (+$14/mo · 49.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,427
− Mortgage interest
−$4,476
− Property taxes
−$341
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,074
− Management
−$1,074
− Depreciation
−$2,324
Taxable income
$3,738
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$897
After-tax cash flow
$3,942/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
East Allen County Schools
NCES district ID
1802850
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$50,524
Composite
35.75/100
National rank
#4849
State rank
#122 of 301 in IN

Livability — Fort Wayne

Score
84/100
State rank
#6
US rank
#676

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fort Wayne, IN
County
Allen County · 326,813 people
City population
326,813
Metro
Fort Wayne, IN
Population (ZIP)
26,425
Household income
$47,895
Rent vs Own
48.1% rent · 51.9% own
Severe rent burden
1184.0

Population outlook (Allen County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
394,020 people
By 2030
405,128 · +2.8%
By 2040
423,476 · +7.5%
By 2050
435,137 · +10.4%
By 2075
450,293 · +14.3%
By 2100
424,101 · +7.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.74)
Race & ethnicity
Black 37% Hispanic / Latino 26% White 21% Asian 12% Two or more races 11% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 18% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
19% · Canada, Philippines, South Korea
Languages at home
71% English-only · Spanish 19% Other Asian/Pacific 9%

Political lean MEDSL · Allen

2024 margin
R (+12.5) · D 42.9% · R 55.4% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-8.1pp toward R · 2008: -4.3pp · 2024: -12.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+12.5 2020: R+11.2 2016: R+19.6 2012: R+16.8 2008: R+4.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -148.00%
Current HPI
291.8198
Rent YoY
▲ 4.93%
Metro
Fort Wayne, IN
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+57.1% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-17 Listed $79,900 IRMLS
  • 2007-07-16 Sold (Public Records) $50,873 Public Records

Property tax history

+20.0%/yr

Latest (2024): $341 · +26.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…